So at this point, the question becomes is it profitable to bet the dogs for the first 4 months of the season, or just unprofitable overall with those first months simply being variance...guess we'll know more next year unless someone's got all the dog stats from the past 3 years say.
I would guess that betting the dogs to start would be very marginally profitable because of the relative unpredictability of baseball, but as the season drags on they become more than marginally unprofitable (teams without chances, packing it in, going through the motions, etc.)
Comment
EBone
SBR MVP
08-10-05
1787
#179
My data shows that, in 2004, the September dogs were incredibly profitable. My data also shows that, in 2005, the September dogs were profitable but not to the degree of 2004.
The flaw here is that my data are dogs that I bet in 2004 and 2005 so from a "blind" perspective, I don't know that the above paragraph is true. I'll be real interested in what September brings in this thread. My experience is September is a better dog month than June or July. April, May and September seem to be the best dog months from my experience.
E
Comment
MrX
SBR MVP
01-10-06
1540
#180
I have mlb historical lines going back many years. Sometime before this season is over, I'll post month-by-month breakdowns, graphs, etc. on this thread, since there seems to be so much interest.
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 7-6 +2.95
Sep 2006: 7-6 +2.95
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 519-683 -5.87
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 10-7 +6.90
Sep 2006: 17-13 +9.85
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 529-690 +1.03
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 8-8 +2.81
Sep 2006: 25-21 +12.66
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 537-698 +3.84
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 8-7 +3.70
Sep 2006: 33-28 +16.36
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 545-705 +7.54
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 8-5 +6.38
Sep 2006: 41-33 +22.74
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 553-710 +13.92
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 4-12 -6.13
Sep 2006: 45-45 +16.61
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 557-722 +7.79
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 4-3 +1.53
Sep 2006: 49-48 +18.14
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 561-725 +9.32
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 7-8 +0.72
Sep 2006: 56-56 +18.86
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 568-733 +10.04
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 7-8 +2.51
Sep 2006: 63-64 +21.37
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 575-741 +12.55
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 6-9 -1.64
Sep 2006: 69-73 +19.37
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 581-750 +10.91
962 Orioles +184 [Lost]
963 Athletics +107 [Lost] 965 Blue Jays +117 [Won]
967 White Sox +132 [Won]
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 4-5 +0.79
Sep 2006: 73-78 +20.16
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 585-755 +11.70
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 7-6 +3.86
Sep 2006: 80-84 +24.02
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 592-761 +15.56
Wow this is really quite spectacular. If I had to pick one month as the best for dogs, it surely would never have been September!
Comment
onlooker
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-10-05
36572
#205
Originally posted by Hulu
Wow this is really quite spectacular. If I had to pick one month as the best for dogs, it surely would never have been September!
I forgot who it was, but someone posted in another thread that he had records of dogs cashing pretty good in September. So that could be a good month for dogs, along with the beginning months of the season.
All Plays For One Unit September: 8-9 +1.87
Sep 2006: 88-93 +25.89
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 600-770 +17.43
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 5-4 +2.17
Sep 2006: 93-97 +28.06
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 605-774 +19.60
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 6-8 +0.63
Sep 2006: 99-105 +28.69
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 611-782 +20.23
All Plays For One Unit Yesterday: 7-9 -0.11
Sep 2006: 106-114 +28.58
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 618-791 +20.12
All Plays For One Unit September 17th: 9-6 +6.78
Sep 2006: 115-120 +35.36
Aug 2006: 173-251 -28.32
July 2006: 171-215 +6.13
Jun 2006: 168-211 +12.47 YTD: 627-797 +26.90