Baseball - Blindly Betting Underdogs - 2006

**onlooker** · 06-03-06, 03:40 AM

Saturday 06/03/2006

What a day to start this. 2 double headers, and a large slate of games. Lets see if the doggies get crushed today.

Code:

901 G1 Giants  +127   Yesterday: ---
903 Phillies   +152         YTD: ---
905 Cubs       +204
907 Nationals  +113
910 Astros     +116
911 G2 D-Backs +131
913 Padres     +113
915 Marlins    +145
917 Angels     +100
919 Twins      +156
922 Orioles    +157
923 Red Sox    +109
925 Rangers    +154
928 Devil Rays +202
929 Royals     +185
931 G2 Giants  +157
933 G1 D-Backs +145

**EBone** · 06-03-06, 11:23 AM

Onlooker, I hope you keep up with this. I'm interested in seeing how this turns out as I am a vast majority underdog bettor.

E

**jbbulldawg2003@hotmail.co** · 06-03-06, 06:38 PM

yea, please keep us updated, im definatly interested. How often will you post updates?

**onlooker** · 06-04-06, 01:55 AM

I will post the pick for the Giants/Mets game once it pops up at Pinnacle. Yesterday started off good for the pups, but ended bad.

Code:

951 D-Backs    +120     Yesterday: 6-11  -2.35
953 Giants     +144           [B]YTD: 6-11  -2.35[/B]
956 Pirates    +109
957 Reds       +171
960 Brewers    +103
961 Cubs       +127
963 Marlins    +139
966 Dodgers    +121
967 Angels     +143
969 Red Sox    -103
972 Devil Rays +154
974 Orioles    +106
975 Rangers    +156
977 Royals     +214
979 Twins      +176

Hey jbbull. I will try to update this every night. If it is not done each night, the following day it will be. More and likely each night.

**onlooker** · 06-05-06, 03:52 AM

The dogs took care of business yesterday, going 10-5.

I will get the dog posted from the Cubs/Astros game as soon as I see Pinnacle post it.

Code:

901 Nationals  +155   Yesterday: 10-5   +9.47
903 Padres     +134         [B]YTD: 16-16  +7.12[/B]
906 Astros     +119
907 Reds       +112
909 Pirates    +135
911 Phillies   +157
913 Mets       +106
915 Marlins    +151
918 Orioles    +100
919 Red Sox    +118
922 Devil Rays +120
923 Royals     +209

**bigboydan** · 06-05-06, 03:18 PM

it truely was a dog day afternoon yesterday.

**DrSlamm** · 06-05-06, 06:23 PM

this thread will be interesting

**onlooker** · 06-06-06, 02:33 AM

Yesterday the dogs increased the YTD total again .

Code:

951 Nationals  +145    Yesterday:  7-5   +3.85
954 Astros     +104          [B]YTD: 23-21  +10.97[/B]
956 Brewers    +126
957 Reds       +174
959 Pirates    +118
961 Phillies   +108
964 Dodgers    +125
965 Marlins    +179
968 Indians    -101
969 Blue Jays  +108
971 Red Sox    +140
973 Angels     +121
975 Tigers     +122
978 Royals     +183
980 Mariners   +108

**onlooker** · 06-07-06, 03:46 AM

Other winning day for the dogs.
I will post the dog from the Phillies/D-Back game when Pinnacle posts it.

Code:

901 Cubs       +114    Yesterday:  8-7   +2.73
903 Pirates    +111          [B]YTD: 31-28  +13.70[/B]
905 Marlins    +106 
907 D-Backs    +105 
909 Nationals  +184 
912 Brewers    -103 
914 Cardinals  +109 
916 Dodgers    +109 
918 Devil Rays +145 
919 Athletics  +106 
922 Yankees    +125 
923 Blue Jays  -102 
925 Tigers     +127 
928 Royals     +174 
930 Twins      +137

**bigboydan** · 06-07-06, 12:19 PM

it's still early in this one, but it's looking like betting the dogs are cashing in.

YTD: 31-28 +13.70

**adriano** · 06-08-06, 12:25 AM

What about dogs covering the alternate runline, i happened to notice that on 6th june the dogs won 8 of the 15 games and in 7 of them by more than one run.

maybe i shouldn't have posted that

**RickySteve** · 06-08-06, 01:16 AM

Blind betting systems are the path to riches*.

*for bookies

**onlooker** · 06-08-06, 02:44 AM

Not a good day for the dogs yesterday. They got crushed.

Still ahead on the YTD, so we will see what happens to that today.

Code:

951 Padres     +123    Yesterday:  3-11   -7.10
953 Phillies   +106          [B]YTD: 34-39   +6.60[/B]
955 Cubs       +190 
957 Braves     +105 
959 Mets       +103 
961 Pirates    +127 
963 Athletics  +131 
966 Mariners   +173 
968 Orioles    +188 
970 Yankees    +127 
971 Tigers     +105
975 Royals     +175

**DrSlamm** · 06-08-06, 03:00 AM

not nessecarily true steve.

if the public forces the bookies to charge a price steeper than the "fair price" on all favorites .. theoretically blindly betting underdogs could be a viable strategy

**BigD** · 06-08-06, 10:03 AM

The only problem that I see is you have to bet every dog on the board to turn a profit

**onlooker** · 06-09-06, 04:08 PM

Sorry its so late today, but I fell asleep last night and for some reason thought I had did this already.

Yesterday was a even day for both sides. But a very small profit for the pups.

Code:

902 Nationals  +130    Yesterday:  5-7   +0.02
903 Cubs       +134          [B]YTD: 39-46  +6.62[/B]
906 Brewers    +125 
907 Braves     -101
910 Rockies    +122 
911 Mets       -101 
913 Marlins    +161 
915 Pirates    +123 
917 Rangers    +132 
920 Blue Jays  +102 
921 Athletics  +146 
924 Royals     +113
925 Orioles    +106
927 Indians    +124
929 Mariners   +128

**DrSlamm** · 06-09-06, 07:55 PM

thanks for the update

**onlooker** · 06-10-06, 02:27 AM

It was a even day pretty much, with the dogs getting one more win. But that produces more units.

I will post the dog from the Dodgers/Rockies game once posted at Pinnacle.

Code:

952 Nationals  +101    Yesterday:  8-7   +2.76
954 Astros     +128          [B]YTD: 47-53  +9.38[/B]
955 Pirates    +125 
958 Reds       +100 
959 Cardinals  +112 
961 Dodgers    +102 
963 Mets       +144
965 Marlins    +136 
967 Athletics  +218 
969 Indians    +104 
972 Royals     +112 
973 Tigers     +126 
975 Rangers G2 +196 
978 Twins      -101 
979 Mariners   +153
981 Rangers G1 +104

**onlooker** · 06-11-06, 02:16 AM

Yesterday the chalk came out on top in the record part of the day, but the dogs cash in on the units part.

Thats what we want right?

I will post the dog of the Rangers/Red Sox game in the morning before gametime.

Code:

902 Nationals  +135    Yesterday:  7-8    +2.06
903 Cubs       +170          [B]YTD: 54-61  +11.44[/B]
905 Cardinals  +104 
908 Astros     -101 
910 Rockies    +124 
911 Marlins    +178 
913 Pirates    +203 
916 D-Backs    +182 
918 Blue Jays  +104 
919 Athletics  +121 
921 Indians    +118
923 Rangers G2 +152
926 Royals     +101 
927 Orioles    +146 
929 Mariners   +109
931 Rangers G1 +143

**onlooker** · 06-12-06, 02:01 AM

Very nice day for the dogs yesterday. Hitting a 10-6 record, with a very nice profit for the day.

Code:

951 Rockies    +115    Yesterday: 10-6    +7.90
953 Brewers    +183          [B]YTD: 64-67  +19.34[/B]
955 Devil Rays +136
957 Orioles    +137
960 Rangers    +117
961 Royals     +188

**Illusion** · 06-12-06, 02:59 AM

Up almost 20 units, awesome.

**onlooker** · 06-13-06, 02:05 AM

The chalk and dogs split yesterday, but the pups pulled another profitable day.

Large board today. Could it spell trouble for the dogs? We will see.

Code:

902 Marlins    +127    Yesterday:  3-3    +1.35
903 Rockies    +139          [B]YTD: 67-70  +20.69[/B]
906 Phillies   +110
908 Pirates    +143
909 Brewers    +168
911 Astros     -103
913 Giants     +120
915 Dodgers    -104
917 Indians    +126
919 Orioles    +272
921 Devil Rays +211
923 White Sox  +107
925 Red Sox    +124
927 Mariners   +112
929 Royals     +250

**bigboydan** · 06-13-06, 02:22 AM

it's been a nice dog run lately i see. i'm just glad the O's cashed big for me as a +150 dog tonight

**presley177** · 06-13-06, 10:11 AM

very interesting experiment here Dan. Appreciate you sharing and updating it....really shows how much value there is betting the dogs in bases.

**bigboydan** · 06-13-06, 11:41 AM

don't thank me presley, thank onlooker for posting these updates.

all i know is this experiment of onlooker is proving my theroy on betting dogs til the all-star break

**onlooker** · 06-13-06, 08:25 PM

Originally posted by bigboydan

all i know is this experiment of onlooker is proving my theroy on betting dogs til the all-star break

Yep, it will be interesting to see how the months after the break turn out.

**Illusion** · 06-13-06, 09:01 PM

Originally posted by onlòóker

Yep, it will be interesting to see how the months after the break turn out.

looker, you try the same experiment with reverse runlines. Now that would be interesting.

**onlooker** · 06-14-06, 04:18 AM

The dogs finally fall again, but not to bad. Maybe we will see the dogs cash in a profit today.

Code:

951 Brewers    +153    Yesterday:  5-10   -3.59
953 Rockies    +126          [B]YTD: 72-80  +17.10[/B]
955 Mets       +136 
957 Cardinals  +106 
959 Braves     +132
962 Cubs       +124
964 D-Backs    -103
966 Padres     +128
967 Indians    +147
969 Devil Rays +197
971 Orioles    +101
973 White Sox  -103
976 Twins      +104
977 Royals     +224
979 Mariners   +150

**bigboydan** · 06-14-06, 12:40 PM

Originally posted by Illusion

looker, you try the same experiment with reverse runlines. Now that would be interesting.

that would be very interesting indeed ILL. infact, i'd love to see those results.

**onlooker** · 06-14-06, 06:33 PM

Originally posted by Illusion

looker, you try the same experiment with reverse runlines. Now that would be interesting.

After the all-star break? I could probably do that.

I know I did decent betting the RL of teams fighting for playoff spots, the last few weeks of the season last year.

**DrSlamm** · 06-15-06, 03:10 AM

I will keep track of alternate runlines in this thread unless someone has a problem with it.

902 Pirates +195
903 Mets +154
905 Rockies +194
*** astros cubs line unavailable
909 Dodgers + 197
911 Braves +153
913 Giants +149
915 Orioles +179
917 DevilRays +247
919 Indians +239
921 Mariners +179
923 WhiteSox +148
926 Twins +207
927 Royals +382

**onlooker** · 06-15-06, 06:14 AM

Id rather it go in another thread DrSlamm. It will just get to cluttered in here. Thanks.

The dogs had a small profitable day yesterday, but any profit is a good thing.

Code:

901 Carinals   -102    Yesterday:  6-9    +0.15
903 Mets       +102          [B]YTD: 78-89  +17.25[/B]
905 Rockies    +123 
907 Astros     +161
909 Dodgers    +124 
911 Braves     +100 
913 Giants     -104 
915 Orioles    +113 
917 Devil Rays +166 
919 Indians    +163 
921 Mariners   +109 
924 Rangers    -101 
926 Twins      +123 
927 Royals     +247

**onlooker** · 06-16-06, 03:10 AM

Another good day for the dogs.

I will post the dog of the Mariners/Giants game once I see Pinnacle has it up.

Code:

951 Rockies    +119    Yesterday:  8-6    +3.96
954 Cubs       +140          [B]YTD: 86-95  +21.21[/B]
956 Nationals  +118
957 Devil Rays +186
960 Pirates    +124 
962 Reds       +105
963 Orioles    +164
965 Blue Jays  +103
967 Red Sox    +140
969 Royals     +199
972 Brewers    +100
974 Rangers    +101
975 Giants     +131
977 Dodgers    +151
979 Padres     -101

**bigboydan** · 06-16-06, 11:14 AM

overall, it's looking like the dogs are still the way to go.