LTA's MLB Plays

**SlickRick1382** · 05-13-12, 01:04 AM

Originally posted by WVU9494

Thank you sir for the very kind words....
1) I might be the only idiot with a phd in the known universe.
2) I am up 12 units on my own picks. I have a10hr a day job and 3 small kids. I follow guys with a good track record due to time constraints.
3) not bad money management at all. Down 100+ units in a few weeks.

You got anything else or just name callin sir?

I highly doubt you have anything that even closely resembles a PhD. The most I would give you credit for is a GED.

In the event that you somehow do have a PhD, then yes you must be the only idiot in the world with a PhD. A grown man doesn't come in here blaming others for his mistakes. A grown man takes responsibility for his actions.

Secondly. If you're down 128 units how could that even remotely be LTA's fault? If you tailed form Day 1 you would be up 8 units after today so he's not responsible for your losses. Even if you go back to the start of the month, May 1st where he was up a little over 14 units then you should only be down 6 units from LTA's picks for the last 10 days. Even with the aforementioned Dexter and On3 there is no chance you lost 128 on their picks. On3's system was down 28 units before sweeping the card yesterday.

You're down 128 units in 10 days because you have no money management concept and are a long term loser. To be down 128 units in 10 days you'd have to lose 12.8 units a day. The cappers you mentioned are no where near responsible for that.

Furthermore I actually tail all 3 of those people and I've actually been up the past two weeks and only down 3 units this week. By today's close. It's obvious you're doing something wrong.

Grow up and become a man.

**WVU9494** · 05-13-12, 01:05 AM

What is a troll? What does that even mean. Seems to be a common term used when someone has nothing constructive to say. Read through the various thread and see how many people are in my situation. Look through those other threads and see what goes into them and then constructively answer. Thank you sir for your response.

Originally posted by wguan2

i guess the guy is just simply trolling. you have a phd, you acknowledge the importance of money management, yet you're able to lose 100 units in a few weeks? and you claim that you're up 10 units on your own plays. if lta, dex, and on3 average about 4 plays a night, that's 84 a week. how is it even possible that you lose 100 units in few weeks? are you betting 10 unit plays on everything they bet? and even so, it's not like they're down that much. i just dont understand it. you successfully trolled me.

**WVU9494** · 05-13-12, 01:10 AM

Sir it is almost like you are talking about a completely different subject and threads. On3 and dexters threads are down considerably. Dexters a3 plays alone are down 50u in 1.5 weeks. You need to grow up sir and learn how to communicate like a normal human being. Thanks again for your kind words.

QUOTE=SlickRick1382;14737250]I highly doubt you have anything that even closely resembles a PhD. The most I would give you credit for is a GED.

In the event that you somehow do have a PhD, then yes you must be the only idiot in the world with a PhD. A grown man doesn't come in here blaming others for his mistakes. A grown man takes responsibility for his actions.

Secondly. If you're down 128 units how could that even remotely be LTA's fault? If you tailed form Day 1 you would be up 8 units after today so he's not responsible for your losses. Even if you go back to the start of the month, May 1st where he was up a little over 14 units then you should only be down 6 units from LTA's picks for the last 10 days. Even with the aforementioned Dexter and On3 there is no chance you lost 128 on their picks. On3's system was down 28 units before sweeping the card yesterday.

You're down 128 units in 10 days because you have no money management concept and are a long term loser. To be down 128 units in 10 days you'd have to lose 12.8 units a day. The cappers you mentioned are no where near responsible for that.

Furthermore I actually tail all 3 of those people and I've actually been up the past two weeks and only down 3 units this week. By today's close. It's obvious you're doing something wrong.

Grow up and become a man.[/QUOTE]

**TC Woods** · 05-13-12, 01:16 AM

Hey Moron (WVU)... move on, stop cluttering the thread. You are pathetic

Can we get back to discussing baseball?

**WVU9494** · 05-13-12, 01:19 AM

Thank you sir. Please grow up and learn how to communicate like an adult. Good luck on your plays tommorow.

Originally posted by TC Woods

Hey Moron (WVU)... move on, stop cluttering the thread. You are pathetic

Can we get back to discussing baseball?

**SlickRick1382** · 05-13-12, 01:26 AM

Originally posted by WVU9494

Sir it is almost like you are talking about a completely different subject and threads. On3 and dexters threads are down considerably. Dexters a3 plays alone are down 50u in 1.5 weeks. You need to grow up sir and learn how to communicate like a normal human being. Thanks again for your kind words.

QUOTE=SlickRick1382;14737250]I highly doubt you have anything that even closely resembles a PhD. The most I would give you credit for is a GED.

In the event that you somehow do have a PhD, then yes you must be the only idiot in the world with a PhD. A grown man doesn't come in here blaming others for his mistakes. A grown man takes responsibility for his actions.

Secondly. If you're down 128 units how could that even remotely be LTA's fault? If you tailed form Day 1 you would be up 8 units after today so he's not responsible for your losses. Even if you go back to the start of the month, May 1st where he was up a little over 14 units then you should only be down 6 units from LTA's picks for the last 10 days. Even with the aforementioned Dexter and On3 there is no chance you lost 128 on their picks. On3's system was down 28 units before sweeping the card yesterday.

You're down 128 units in 10 days because you have no money management concept and are a long term loser. To be down 128 units in 10 days you'd have to lose 12.8 units a day. The cappers you mentioned are no where near responsible for that.

Furthermore I actually tail all 3 of those people and I've actually been up the past two weeks and only down 3 units this week. By today's close. It's obvious you're doing something wrong.

Grow up and become a man.

Then learn some math Mr. PhD.

Dexter down 50 units in 10 days (unverified, taking your word but I'm pretty sure you're wrong on that.)
LTA down 6 units since May 1st (10+ days)
On3's system was only down -28 units before it swept the card yesterday.

That's 84 units. You're down 128 units. You also claim to have been up 10+ on your own capping. So where did the other 54 units come from?

How is it that I follow all three yet I'm up for the past two weeks with the exception of this week?

Get out of here with your sir talk. You come running your mouth and then resort to trying to act professional afterwords when replying to people. Go talk that fake BS somewhere else. Notice you're the ONLY PERSON in here complaining.

Notice this isn't the 1st time you've done it. Notice no one else has an issue with the plays or results.

This can only mean that the problem is YOU, not anyone else.

I'm done with you. You're level of stupidity is beyond comprehension and I refuse to debate a high school dropout who just got his GED. If you can't deal with the losses either don't gamble or don't tail anyone. It's no one's fault but your own. The reason you follow people and then come here to complain about it is because you are a born long term loser. Simple as that ...

P.S. learn how to use the damn Quote feature properly. With a PhD you should be able to at least know how to do that.

**hardball** · 05-13-12, 01:26 AM

Originally posted by WVU9494

Please make sense sir, you seem lost

Focus on beating the closing line. Do not worry about actual wins and losses. If you consistently beat the closing line, then the profits will come eventually.

Any blind donkey can pick winners in baseball at a rate of 65 percent short term using "common sense".

Variance will strike, and the profits will be lost if you've not been beating the closing number.

If you are blindly following any handicapper, I encourage you to research "calculating Z score" to help determine future profitability. . Anything north of 2.0 is of interest.

My guess is LTA should be be in that ballpark.

Here is a great link to help you measure future success. SBR LINK

**WVU9494** · 05-13-12, 01:32 AM

Just a word of advice sir, the way you post and the verabge you use does not represent you very well. If you are up units in the last few weeks you do not follow dexters and on3 systems. They are down considerably. Please read and comprehend my post before you respond. Thank you again sir for the kind words, they will help with the book I am writing on the pearls of sports gambling.

Originally posted by SlickRick1382

Then learn some math Mr. PhD.

Dexter down 50 units in 10 days (unverified, taking your word but I'm pretty sure you're wrong on that.)
LTA down 6 units since May 1st (10+ days)
On3's system was only down -28 units before it swept the card yesterday.

That's 84 units. You're down 128 units. You also claim to have been up 10+ on your own capping. So where did the other 54 units come from?

How is it that I follow all three yet I'm up for the past two weeks with the exception of this week?

Get out of here with your sir talk. You come running your mouth and then resort to trying to act professional afterwords when replying to people. Go talk that fake BS somewhere else. Notice you're the ONLY PERSON in here complaining.

Notice this isn't the 1st time you've done it. Notice no one else has an issue with the plays or results.

This can only mean that the problem is YOU, not anyone else.

I'm done with you. You're level of stupidity is beyond comprehension and I refuse to debate a high school dropout who just got his GED. If you can't deal with the losses either don't gamble or don't tail anyone. It's no one's fault but your own. The reason you follow people and then come here to complain about it is because you are a born long term loser. Simple as that ...

P.S. learn how to use the damn Quote feature properly. With a PhD you should be able to at least know how to do that.

**SMyC23** · 05-13-12, 02:17 AM

Hey LTA,

I've been tailing some of your picks recently and they have helped me a lot....What do ya think about Chicago Cubs 1st 5 innings tomorrow? Samardzija has been pitching well as of late and Estrada is nothing special...I feel like the Brewers are very inconsistent at the plate and I simply don't trust the bullpen of Chicago(Hence the 1st Five)

BOL Tomorrow

**angelo63** · 05-13-12, 02:23 AM

Hmmm I have been following this thread for a few months and am happy to say i have been winning , If you lose then that is your own problem , Do not come in and complain it is so childish. I have refrained from posting a comment because I think it is silly to clutter up the thread. LTA your work is fantastic, I am in Australia and enjoy all your posts, pleas ignore all negative posters as i am sure you can do that as owner of the thread. We are all here to make money and ll i can see is positive results . Thank you LTA i will keep on tailing quietly for as long as you keep posting. To the Haters , well when i read about how much you lost i feel good, you deserve to lose.

**SMyC23** · 05-13-12, 03:26 AM

Originally posted by angelo63

Hmmm I have been following this thread for a few months and am happy to say i have been winning , If you lose then that is your own problem , Do not come in and complain it is so childish. I have refrained from posting a comment because I think it is silly to clutter up the thread. LTA your work is fantastic, I am in Australia and enjoy all your posts, pleas ignore all negative posters as i am sure you can do that as owner of the thread. We are all here to make money and ll i can see is positive results . Thank you LTA i will keep on tailing quietly for as long as you keep posting. To the Haters , well when i read about how much you lost i feel good, you deserve to lose.

Agreed

**Bdolan33** · 05-13-12, 04:37 AM

Less bickering more picks please

**karajohn13** · 05-13-12, 05:26 AM

For you guys complaining, does anyone force you following his picks? Do you pay LTA to give you sure money? No offense to the guy with the PhD, I would expect you to be a little more smarter than complaining for some negative streaks. When you hire LTA and pay him for giving you sure money with his picks you will have every right to complain, until then, enjoy and try to learn from his effort and most of all respect the fact that he spends so much time without any personal benefit

**HarbaughTilting** · 05-13-12, 05:49 AM

Who cares about wins and losses.

All I care is about beating the closing line and this thread delivers on a daily basis.

Back to business, folks.

**LeoMessi** · 05-13-12, 06:08 AM

It's impossible to go broke with a good money management. As your bankroll goes down your unit size should do the same. The problem begins when you want to win back the money you've lost the previous days as fast as you've lost it. Thanks LTA, a true professor in this sports investment industry

**Love The Action** · 05-13-12, 06:42 AM

Originally posted by mstrofpigs

Instead of spending time on your stupid write-ups and getting "value" on your plays you may want to focus on picking a winner jackass. Your Padres pick on Friday was an absolute joke.

Piggy, piggy, out to play again. Six posts and they are all trolling comments in my threads when I am on a downswing. I love it though because everytime your dumbass posts I go on a winning streak. Your comments really illustrate your stupidity because that padres play was one of my best of the year. I beat the closer by over 30 cents. You are such a moron though and can't comprehend what that means. Just keep on hating because your posts make me smile.

**Love The Action** · 05-13-12, 06:50 AM

Originally posted by WVU9494

That's not exactly accurate. You follow these threads for awhile and hear "last year I was up 175 units", "this system has produced a winner since 2000" etc. it gives people that are new to this (which I am not one) false hope. It costs the 16 year old kid in high school everything he has, or the guy on unemployment to bet his giv check instead of feeding his family, it's not good.

I've never made such claims so quit lying. I am still up over $4,000 after a tough week. If you are down money, you have no one to blame but yourself. And if you are unemployed, you should not even be wagering. Go get a job.

Finally, we agreed not post attacks at each other and yet here you are filling up my thread with a page of bullshit. You really are one of the biggest losers I have ever met online or in the real world. How can you be down money following me when I am up over $4,000!?! You are clearly mismanaging your money. If i am so bad at this, then stop following and go away. No one cares about your girlish bitching.

**Love The Action** · 05-13-12, 06:52 AM

I see the douchebags were out in full force yesterday. Oh well, the only way to shut up their stupidity is to make some profit so it's time to get to work.

**Love The Action** · 05-13-12, 07:08 AM

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/12/2012 Recap

2 - 4 = -2.38x

MLB 2012 Regular Season

82 - 70 - 11 = +7.66x

Back to the grind...,

**Redscot** · 05-13-12, 07:15 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

I see the douchebags were out in full force yesterday. Oh well, the only way to shut up their stupidity is to make some profit so it's time to get to work.

Just about to take a look at the card myself, rum was in abundance last night

.

**Love The Action** · 05-13-12, 07:19 AM

Originally posted by Redscot

Just about to take a look at the card myself, rum was in abundance last night

.

Me too. I was at a family party all day and night and got a little sauced lol. Lots of fun, but now we gotta make some money!

**Redscot** · 05-13-12, 07:28 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Me too. I was at a family party all day and night and got a little sauced lol. Lots of fun, but now we gotta make some money!

Gotta let it rip sometimes. On a side note, I ended yesterday up 1/2 a unit but I don't think I set a good precedent. As you know I set myself up recently at 5dimes and there live betting is dangerous!

I was feeling no pain and every time the Denver/Laker game went on a run in the 1st half I would throw a little more on the under. Even threw an extra full unit on it at when it hit 200. Worked out last night, but I am gonna have to be more disciplined than that.

**pacocn** · 05-13-12, 07:36 AM

Lta, good luck today

I know you do
your best work after the trolls clutter

**Redscot** · 05-13-12, 07:45 AM

Very preliminary but so far leaning Tampa, Mets and Zona on sides....liking the under in K.C./Sox and maybe the Nat's under too. Toying with a Det/Philly parlay perhaps. Looking forward to seeing your thoughts on the days card LTA.

**Redman3693** · 05-13-12, 07:46 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

I see the douchebags were out in full force yesterday. Oh well, the only way to shut up their stupidity is to make some profit so it's time to get to work.

Very well said LTA.

I'm a 'Newb' to SBR, but have been wagering for decades.

Personally, I really appreciate the fact that you take the time to try & explain the reasons for the decisions you make.

Also, you're not one of those braggarts that talks about how they win all the time but can never produce proof.

---Give a man a fish, feed him for a day...
------Teach a man to fish and he's set for a lifetime

Finally, it's so easy to see how well you're respected by the number of folks who immediately stepped up to put the Troll back under the bridge. You have never forced anyone here to wager on anything, just shared your methodology and TriX!

You're a Class Act there LTA.

ThanX for sharing!

**Love The Action** · 05-13-12, 07:50 AM

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/13/2012

Play #1

Devil Rays/Orioles under (8.5)(-115) 1x (Locked)

No time for writeups as I have to watch the lines. Good luck.

**Love The Action** · 05-13-12, 07:59 AM

Originally posted by WVU9494

they will help with the book I am writing on the pearls of sports gambling.

I just saw this nugget....thank you. You just made laugh out loud uncontrollably for about 30 seconds. You can't even spell half the time nor do you understand the very basics about this business. That was a truly hilarious comment. Thank you.

**Love The Action** · 05-13-12, 08:00 AM

Happy Mother's Day to all the moms out there!!!!

**blumpkin** · 05-13-12, 08:02 AM

Keep fighting the good fight LTA! Those 2 unders last night made me some nice cash. good luck as always

**Love The Action** · 05-13-12, 08:08 AM

Originally posted by SMyC23

Hey LTA,

I've been tailing some of your picks recently and they have helped me a lot....What do ya think about Chicago Cubs 1st 5 innings tomorrow? Samardzija has been pitching well as of late and Estrada is nothing special...I feel like the Brewers are very inconsistent at the plate and I simply don't trust the bullpen of Chicago(Hence the 1st Five)

BOL Tomorrow

I think that's a solid play. Good luck.

**Love The Action** · 05-13-12, 08:29 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/13/2012

Play #1

Devil Rays/Orioles under (8.5)(-115) 1x (Locked)

I have this game set at 7.57 and it's going to take a final score of 9 to beat us. I don't think it gets there and I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Royals ML (+117) 1x (Locked)

I wish I would have been up around 5am when this was set at +121, but we are still getting seven cents of value at +117. The Sox struggle with power lefties like Duffy and Humber has been rather poor since his perfect game. I have this game set at +110 and I am rolling with the Royals for 1x. Good luck.

**Love The Action** · 05-13-12, 08:43 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/13/2012

Play #1

Devil Rays/Orioles under (8.5)(-115) 1x (Locked)

I have this game set at 7.57 and it's going to take a final score of 9 to beat us. I don't think it gets there and I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Royals ML (+117) 1x (Locked)

I wish I would have been up around 5am when this was set at +121, but we are still getting seven cents of value at +117. The Sox struggle with power lefties like Duffy and Humber has been rather poor since his perfect game. I have this game set at +110 and I am rolling with the Royals for 1x. Good luck.

Play #3

Angels ML (+122) 1x (Locked)

I have to roll with Weaver in this game and trust the Angels offense to play up to their capabilities. I have the Angels set at +109 giving us thirteen cents of value and I am rolling with the Angels for 1x. Good luck.

**taxe91** · 05-13-12, 09:26 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Play #2

Royals ML (+117) 1x (Locked)

I wish I would have been up around 5am when this was set at +121, but we are still getting seven cents of value at +117. The Sox struggle with power lefties like Duffy and Humber has been rather poor since his perfect game. I have this game set at +110 and I am rolling with the Royals for 1x. Good luck.

sox averaging almost 2 runs less against southpaws than against rightys. i jumped all over this the minute i saw it.

gl

**Love The Action** · 05-13-12, 09:42 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/13/2012

Play #1

Devil Rays/Orioles under (8.5)(-115) 1x (Locked)

I have this game set at 7.57 and it's going to take a final score of 9 to beat us. I don't think it gets there and I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Royals ML (+117) 1x (Locked)

I wish I would have been up around 5am when this was set at +121, but we are still getting seven cents of value at +117. The Sox struggle with power lefties like Duffy and Humber has been rather poor since his perfect game. I have this game set at +110 and I am rolling with the Royals for 1x. Good luck.

Play #3

Angels ML (+122) 1x (Locked)

I have to roll with Weaver in this game and trust the Angels offense to play up to their capabilities. I have the Angels set at +109 giving us thirteen cents of value and I am rolling with the Angels for 1x. Good luck.

Play #4

Cardinals -1RL (-113) 1x (Locked)

I have to roll with Lynn today because his advanced numbers are really among the best in baseball. He's just doing it all right now with a FIP, xFIP, tERA and SIERA all in the 2.9 range (a full run better than Hanson) and the ability to get both strikeouts as evidenced by his 26% K% and ground balls with a 1.6 GB/FB. He does have a low BABIP indicating he will regress a bit, but he has the type of power stuff to support a low BABIP. Hanson is still acclimating himself after the injury and this Cardinals lineup is among the best in baseball. Plus, they really need this win to avoid the sweep. I think the Cardinals win this game by two and am rolling with them on the -1RL for 1x. Good luck.

**Redscot** · 05-13-12, 10:04 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Play #4

Cardinals -1RL (-113) 1x (Locked)

I have to roll with Lynn today because his advanced numbers are really among the best in baseball. He's just doing it all right now with a FIP, xFIP, tERA and SIERA all in the 2.9 range (a full run better than Hanson) and the ability to get both strikeouts as evidenced by his 26% K% and ground balls with a 1.6 GB/FB. He does have a low BABIP indicating he will regress a bit, but he has the type of power stuff to support a low BABIP. Hanson is still acclimating himself after the injury and this Cardinals lineup is among the best in baseball. Plus, they really need this win to avoid the sweep. I think the Cardinals win this game by two and am rolling with them on the -1RL for 1x. Good luck.

Berkman back today as well.