LTA's MLB Plays

[Redscot]

Thanks for the well wishes fellas. I assumed BigBurk was giving me love, but one never knows...I knowyou guys who have to look up the page on your cells,scrolling through so much shiznit can be a pain. If LTA leaves us, NO!, I will gladly put up threads when I am able to for discussion and info gathering.

Slick Rick, every time I see your name in my head I hear " Slicka-Slick-Rick--Slick-ta-Slick-Rick" and then Dougie Fresh doing a beat box . Not sure if that is the inspiration though. I do live in the D.R., Santiago. Shoot me a p.m. next time you are gonna be down here we can definitely hook up for a drink or 10.

[apurvaas]

Thanks for the well wishes fellas. I assumed BigBurk was giving me love, but one never knows...I knowyou guys who have to look up the page on your cells,scrolling through so much shiznit can be a pain. If LTA leaves us, NO!, I will gladly put up threads when I am able to for discussion and info gathering.

Slick Rick, every time I see your name in my head I hear " Slicka-Slick-Rick--Slick-ta-Slick-Rick" and then Dougie Fresh doing a beat box . Not sure if that is the inspiration though. I do live in the D.R., Santiago. Shoot me a p.m. next time you are gonna be down here we can definitely hook up for a drink or 10.

whats your thought on mets ml today?
i already put 3u on them but now am afraid as david wright is out

[Les_Nuts]

I passed on mets its virtually a b line up now. I did really like them though. I'm liking the look of the under in San Diego

[Redscot]

whats your thought on mets ml today?
i already put 3u on them but now am afraid as david wright is out

They are running a pretty rag-tag lineup out there, but they have positive mojo going fort hem. I am surprised the Nat's line hasn't steamed more atm. Anyone who bet the under when I posted Wright was out earlier is gonna get great value. I will be pulling for you apurvaas, gonna have to scratch and claw for this one.

[Redscot]

I passed on mets its virtually a b line up now. I did really like them though. I'm liking the look of the under in San Diego

Yeah, that Met lineup is gonna have to be scrappy tonight. I feel you on the S.D. under, No Justin Upton btw for Zona....and although I peg Volquez to rebound this year, just not sure how much I trust him yet. GL if you play it.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/10/2012

Play #1

Devil Rays/Tigers under (8.5)(+100) 1x (Locked)

I know rapuano is the ump and the wind is blowing out, but the tigers have never faced moore who is a certified stud and porcello tends to keep the ball down with a GB/FB generally above 1.5. Plus, according to the hard ball times study, there is no true wind effect at tigers stadium. I think the over is too easy in this one and the under hits. Good luck.

Play #2

Royals ML (-103) 1x (Locked)

I should have locked this in last night at plus odds, but I will take a shot here at -103 as there is still about 10 cents of value. I have KC set around -113 and I think their offense has a nice game tonight after getting shut out last night. Even though Godfrey has the unfamiliarity factor working, I don't think that will be enough tonight against a clear cut superior lineup. Duffy is set to improve this season and seems to have figured out some control problems this spring. Based on the value, better SP and lineup, I am rolling with the Royals for 1x. Good luck.

[Child's Play]

Play #2

Royals ML (-103) 1x (Locked)

I should have locked this in last night at plus odds, but I will take a shot here at -103 as there is still about 10 cents of value. I have KC set around -113 and I think their offense has a nice game tonight after getting shut out last night. Even though Godfrey has the unfamiliarity factor working, I don't think that will be enough tonight against a clear cut superior lineup. Duffy is set to improve this season and seems to have figured out some control problems this spring. Based on the value, better SP and lineup, I am rolling with the Royals for 1x. Good luck.

Agree - don't see the royals bats staying quiet twice in a row vs this oak a's team. Plus, they don't strike out much and there's a lot of field behind Godfrey for those balls to drop. Good luck man.

[MidgetTossers]

Play #2

Royals ML (-103) 1x (Locked)

I should have locked this in last night at plus odds, but I will take a shot here at -103 as there is still about 10 cents of value. I have KC set around -113 and I think their offense has a nice game tonight after getting shut out last night. Even though Godfrey has the unfamiliarity factor working, I don't think that will be enough tonight against a clear cut superior lineup. Duffy is set to improve this season and seems to have figured out some control problems this spring. Based on the value, better SP and lineup, I am rolling with the Royals for 1x. Good luck.

i like the play..Good luck..Hope they get this one in though cause its been raining pretty good all damn day

[Love The Action]

Maholm getting lit up like a Christmas tree

[Ryan138]

Ha, it's tough to watch....being a cubs fan is the worst.

[Les_Nuts]

Yeah, that Met lineup is gonna have to be scrappy tonight. I feel you on the S.D. under, No Justin Upton btw for Zona....and although I peg Volquez to rebound this year, just not sure how much I trust him yet. GL if you play it.

I think he settles down tonight after that jittery start. Cahill is an under machine but has been under the radar for a while. Last I looked it is predicted to be cold and dull so hopefully the ball will be a bit heavier than usual. I'm starting to really warm to this play, wouldn't be surprised by a 4 2 dbacks score line, if volquez can hold them to 4, then I love my chances as I think Cahill shuts them down. GL tonight

[Love The Action]

I think he settles down tonight after that jittery start. Cahill is an under machine but has been under the radar for a while. Last I looked it is predicted to be cold and dull so hopefully the ball will be a bit heavier than usual. I'm starting to really warm to this play, wouldn't be surprised by a 4 2 dbacks score line, if volquez can hold them to 4, then I love my chances as I think Cahill shuts them down. GL tonight

I like this play as well. The under has a high chance of hitting. I have this game set at 5.4 giving us over a run of value. The time to be this was this morning at plus money, but I can still get -110 so I'm going to play this as well. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/10/2012

Play #1

Devil Rays/Tigers under (8.5)(+100) 1x (Locked)

I know rapuano is the ump and the wind is blowing out, but the tigers have never faced moore who is a certified stud and porcello tends to keep the ball down with a GB/FB generally above 1.5. Plus, according to the hard ball times study, there is no true wind effect at tigers stadium. I think the over is too easy in this one and the under hits. Good luck.

Play #2

Royals ML (-103) 1x (Locked)

I should have locked this in last night at plus odds, but I will take a shot here at -103 as there is still about 10 cents of value. I have KC set around -113 and I think their offense has a nice game tonight after getting shut out last night. Even though Godfrey has the unfamiliarity factor working, I don't think that will be enough tonight against a clear cut superior lineup. Duffy is set to improve this season and seems to have figured out some control problems this spring. Based on the value, better SP and lineup, I am rolling with the Royals for 1x. Good luck.

Play #3

Diamondbacks/Padres under (6.5) 1x (Locked)

Most of the market is going to close at -115 or more so I will still beat the closer at -110 even though the best time to bet this was earlier in the day at plus money. Not as much value, but I think this is a great spot for the under with a guy like Cahill with elite GB/FB numbers in a big park against a light hitting Padres team. Plus without Upton, the Dbacks lineup is just a bit weakened, although still formidable for Volquez. However, I agree with Red with respect to Volquez's predicted improvement this season. I have this game set at 5.4 and it's going to take a final score of 7 to beat us so I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

[Les_Nuts]

Good to see LTA, let's cash this

[JM92]

Only managed 115. Still played it , let's get this one!

[mikea33]

missed it. ****

[Love The Action]

missed it. ****

You should be glad

A quick two runs off Mr. Volquez....

[Love The Action]

Uh oh....I think that late under was a "sharp" play, but both Volquez and Cahill are struggling right out of the gate.

[Love The Action]

Time to finish up some work for tomorrow. I will have some plays for tomorrow posted in the next 3 hours. Good luck tonight.

[bmur714]

Time to finish up some work for tomorrow. I will have some plays for tomorrow posted in the next 3 hours. Good luck tonight.

Thank you Sir for all you do!! Can't say it enough...

[mikea33]

got the 2h line for under 3. so if it goes to 6 u win and i push.....so heres to a shutout from here on!

THanks LTA

[apurvaas]

Time to finish up some work for tomorrow. I will have some plays for tomorrow posted in the next 3 hours. Good luck tonight.

Missed last one..
Waiting for tomorrow..
BOL bud...

[mikea33]

jeez stinks this game is a 2-2 game....unlike hockey where the next goal typically wins and this favors under backers.....in baseball they could win on a run homerun

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/11/2012

Play #1

Devil Rays/Tigers under (7)(+100) 1x (Locked)

While I do expect a regression for Shields, he is much better than he displayed against the Yankees. For the season, I think we can expect a season similar to what he had in 2008 with a 3.5 ERA and 3.7ish SIERA. For this game, I think he pitches well and bounces back from that Yankee outing. Verlander is pretty much on autopilot already so there's no reason not to expect a solid performances. The wind should not be a factor but the weather will be cold and wet, which is just how we like it for the under. The ump is Blaser who is relatively new, but I see nothing in his past that overly concerns me. I have this play set exactly at 6 and it's going to take a final score of 8 to beat us so I am rolling with the under for 1x.

Play #2

Giants ML (-118) 1x (Locked)

I suppose this is a "square" play, but just like I expect Shields to bounce back I also expect a better performance from Timmy than we saw opening day. As much as I am also backing Timmy, there's never a bad opportunity to fade Guthrie, especially with SF's offense emerging. Most books opened around -130 but saw early Rocky money. To be honest, I just don't see it and I will back the better pitcher with value. I have SF set at -125 giving us 7 cents of value in this game and I am rolling with the Giants for 1x. Good luck.

[Love The Action]

Don't be surprised if we have 5 or more MLB plays tomorrow. There's some interesting numbers out there. Still have more work to do, but tomorrow should definitely have quite a few plays. Good luck.

[Les_Nuts]

Boom on that under, played it live after the 1st innings at 8 as well

[Redscot]

Don't be surprised if we have 5 or more MLB plays tomorrow. There's some interesting numbers out there. Still have more work to do, but tomorrow should definitely have quite a few plays. Good luck.

You ain't kidding. Much better card today. 1st glance shows me Cards, Nats (Stras, no Wright), Houston (Wandy, Degado big discrepancy) , Cubs (Dempster in bounce back year), Miami (Johnson), Toronto, K.C. all at PLUS money. Not saying I like em all, but I would think there has to be a play or two in there. Look forward to your thoughts.

Edit: Nat's not+ money, but it's almost straight up at Pinny.

That is a great price for Timmy, he and Guthrie are a world apart, and with Melky/Sandoval/Posey, S.F.'s lineup looking more formidable this year.

[SlickRick1382]

Thanks for the well wishes fellas. I assumed BigBurk was giving me love, but one never knows...I knowyou guys who have to look up the page on your cells,scrolling through so much shiznit can be a pain. If LTA leaves us, NO!, I will gladly put up threads when I am able to for discussion and info gathering.

Slick Rick, every time I see your name in my head I hear " Slicka-Slick-Rick--Slick-ta-Slick-Rick" and then Dougie Fresh doing a beat box . Not sure if that is the inspiration though. I do live in the D.R., Santiago. Shoot me a p.m. next time you are gonna be down here we can definitely hook up for a drink or 10.

LOL, I usually hear the la-di-da-di, we likes to party, we don't cause trouble, we don't bother nobody ...

I'm in Santiago a lot and Boca Chica as well so I'll definitely let you know next time I head down so I can hook you up with a drink or 20 . Would of been this summer but going to Ecuador instead ....

[Redscot]

LOL, I usually hear the la-di-da-di, we likes to party, we don't cause trouble, we don't bother nobody ...

I'm in Santiago a lot and Boca Chica as well so I'll definitely let you know next time I head down so I can hook you up with a drink or 20 . Would of been this summer but going to Ecuador instead ....

.....Enjoy the Guinea pig.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 4/10/2012 Recap

3 - 0 = +3x

MLB 2012 Regular Season

9 - 8 = +1.30x

Time for a run....good luck on Wednesday!

[Love The Action]

You ain't kidding. Much better card today. 1st glance shows me Cards, Nats (Stras, no Wright), Houston (Wandy, Degado big discrepancy) , Cubs (Dempster in bounce back year), Miami (Johnson), Toronto, K.C. all at PLUS money. Not saying I like em all, but I would think there has to be a play or two in there. Look forward to your thoughts.

Edit: Nat's not+ money, but it's almost straight up at Pinny.

That is a great price for Timmy, he and Guthrie are a world apart, and with Melky/Sandoval/Posey, S.F.'s lineup looking more formidable this year.

Lot of interesting totals as well....good luck!

[JM92]

Lets go buddy!

[Redscot]

Cle: Davis -------------Tight Strike zone*************confirmed************
Cin: Miller ------------- Very Generous Strike zone
Tor: Ted Barrett -----------Home bias?
Det: Blaser
NY: Vanover
Chi: Barksdale -------------Home bias?
Oak: Reynolds
SD: Cooper -----------Generous Strike zone
Phi: Tschida ------------Home bias?
Bal: Diaz -------------Generous Strike zone
Hou: Holbrook ------------Tight Strike zone
Tex: Danley
Min: Fairchild
Col: Davidson ---------No home bias whatsoever?
LA: Winters

[Love The Action]

Cle: Davis -------------Tight Strike zone
Cin: Miller ------------- Very Generous Strike zone
Tor: Ted Barrett -----------Home bias?
Det: Blaser
NY: Vanover
Chi: Barksdale -------------Home bias?
Oak: Reynolds
SD: Cooper -----------Generous Strike zone
Phi: Tschida ------------Home bias?
Bal: Diaz -------------Generous Strike zone
Hou: Holbrook ------------Tight Strike zone
Tex: Danley
Min: Fairchild
Col: Davidson ---------No home bias whatsoever?
LA: Winters

How do we know it's Davis in Cleveland and not Gibson? Sometimes they rotate after a rainout and sometimes they stick with the original ump. I'm hoping it's Gibson and the total comes out at 7.5 or 8. I like the under in that game at the right number/price.

[Redscot]

How do we know it's Davis in Cleveland and not Gibson? Sometimes they rotate after a rainout and sometimes they stick with the original ump. I'm hoping it's Gibson and the total comes out at 7.5 or 8. I like the under in that game at the right number/price.

Good points....trusting the source here....but I guess we better wait for further confirmation on that one.

Really liking St. Louis and Houston today at + money. Wandy at home, Atlanta struggling against LHP, Delgado not gonna like Holbrooks zone....still, seems like a popular play atm, kinda scaring me off a bit.