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  • Love The Action
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-08-10
    • 10952

    #3466
    Looks like I will have at least three plays, if not more, today. I was hoping to keep it to one or two plays on this last day, but I have to roll where I find value. I'm just waiting for my squarish book to open MLB lines up because I think I will get better prices on the totals I am looking at...
    Comment
    • Love The Action
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-08-10
      • 10952

      #3467
      Originally posted by Redscot
      Tito for President.



      What do you like today? I can't believe it's the last day of the regular season. Without NBA to fill its place, I am going to miss the daily grind of MLB. Once you get into a rhythm in capping, much like anything else, it's hard to get out of that.

      However, I think it will allow me to increase my preparation for NCAAF, which I have not had as much time as I would like to make my plays. I feel like I'm ready to break out in NCAAF and NFL and the extra time for football will be nice. Plus, we still get one more month of MLB action and I love the playoffs!

      Good luck today Red
      Comment
      • Love The Action
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-08-10
        • 10952

        #3468
        What do you guys think the opening price on Tampa will be today with Price on the mound?!?! If they were -200 yesterday, they have to be -250 today.
        Comment
        • Love The Action
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-08-10
          • 10952

          #3469
          Oh, and just for the record, even though we missed out on a +1x day because of it, I would make that Yankees bet every day of the week and twice Sunday because when you are getting that much value with an equal or superior team, you have to take it. That is a winning proposition and +ev wager over time.
          Comment
          • Redscot
            SBR MVP
            • 05-16-11
            • 2571

            #3470
            Originally posted by Love The Action



            What do you like today? I can't believe it's the last day of the regular season. Without NBA to fill its place, I am going to miss the daily grind of MLB. Once you get into a rhythm in capping, much like anything else, it's hard to get out of that.

            However, I think it will allow me to increase my preparation for NCAAF, which I have not had as much time as I would like to make my plays. I feel like I'm ready to break out in NCAAF and NFL and the extra time for football will be nice. Plus, we still get one more month of MLB action and I love the playoffs!

            Good luck today Red
            Yeah, last day , and no NBA to pick me up. Oh well, as you said we have the playoffs.

            First glance like the Reds, Cubs, Wash under, Zona under, Toronto under. Last games can be freaky though......will be tuned in to see what you are on.
            Comment
            • Exxpresso
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-29-10
              • 279

              #3471
              Originally posted by Love The Action
              What do you guys think the opening price on Tampa will be today with Price on the mound?!?! If they were -200 yesterday, they have to be -250 today.
              I think it will between - 230 and - 270. I´m thinking of a Rays/Cardinals-Parlay today. What do you think about such a parlay on today ?
              Comment
              • Love The Action
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-08-10
                • 10952

                #3472
                Does anyone remember the line history on the total from last week when September 17th when Strasburg faced off against Volstad. I remember not playing it because I was worried that Strasburg would only pitch four or five innings -- he ended up pitching a full six. However, that was a low scoring under and I was wondering why the books opened up with juice on the over for this one. Both numbers were at 7, but I do remember that the books were juicing the under at close on the first game. Therefore, it doesn't make sense that they would open this game with juice on the over unless they were expecting some early over action.

                If anyone tracks line movement or has the ability to get the line movement on the total for the Florida/Wash game from September 17th, please share. Thanks.
                Comment
                • Love The Action
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 10952

                  #3473
                  Originally posted by Exxpresso
                  I think it will between - 230 and - 270. I´m thinking of a Rays/Cardinals-Parlay today. What do you think about such a parlay on today ?
                  Good luck...I have no lean on the sides in those games but might have a play on the total in the Cards game.
                  Comment
                  • Redscot
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-16-11
                    • 2571

                    #3474
                    Originally posted by Redscot
                    Yeah, last day , and no NBA to pick me up. Oh well, as you said we have the playoffs.

                    First glance like the Reds, Cubs, Wash under, Zona under, Toronto under. Last games can be freaky though......will be tuned in to see what you are on.
                    Add Oakland to the list as well.

                    LTA, you have a total on the St. Louis game yet?
                    Comment
                    • Love The Action
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 10952

                      #3475
                      Off to work...good luck today gentlemen...should have some picks up in the next three hours.

                      Let's close the regular season out on high and profitable note
                      Comment
                      • Love The Action
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-08-10
                        • 10952

                        #3476
                        Originally posted by Redscot
                        Add Oakland to the list as well.

                        LTA, you have a total on the St. Louis game yet?
                        Nope...has not been released...but I suspect it will be set at 7, but I'm praying for 7.5. Good luck!
                        Comment
                        • mt675826
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 03-14-11
                          • 30

                          #3477
                          I'd be surprised if it was as much as -250 for TB today, isn't Price pretty rough at home? No line yet from what I see, but I might take a good look towards the Yankees given Price's home pitching, either that or just bank on the TB rally as I have the last while. I parlayed the Rays RL and O's ML last two nights in a row, got it Monday but last night the O's couldn't come back... Would have been awesome to hit that exact combo back to back nights but that's the way she goes.

                          Still, I'm very excited for last day of regular season and for October. This was my first +/- full season regularly following MLB and betting and it sucks that it's coming to an end. Learned a lot, had a lot of fun. Small bankroll and small bets but purposely took this season as a trial/practice for next year. Can't wait.

                          Like you I'm unhappy about the NBA situation. Bunch of millionaires and billionaires nickel and ****ing diming, drives me nuts. Millions of fans follow/support/attend their teams and the NBA in general and we have to deal with this garbage. They quickly forget where they came from. Always did well with NBA picks in the past and I hope, probably in vain, that it gets settled. Would love to see the Heat get rocked again too hahahaha.

                          Gotta say LTA I just got an account on here but have been watching your thread (MLB) the last couple weeks, really good stuff and much appreciated. Hope you're around next year! I was blown away with your backing out of that detroit under a couple days ago and buying out the over, then they go nuts for like 14 runs or something. I shy away from totals most of the time, inculding that one, but your call on that was impressive. Same with the Cubs pick yesterday. Jays screwed a 3 team parlay I had with them and the Phils, but ah well, very little lost. Looking forward to this afternoon!
                          Comment
                          • Love The Action
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-08-10
                            • 10952

                            #3478
                            MLB 9/28/11

                            Play #1

                            Nationals/Marlins under (7)(+100) 1x (Locked)

                            Play #2

                            Blue Jays/White Sox under (8.5) 1x (Locked)


                            There are weather concerns for both of these games. If it looks like the rain is going to hit the games, I will be buying out. It's your call, but I don't play unders when rain is involved. I locked these in early because I have a morning meeting for work and wanted to preserve these prices. I will post if I cancel. Good luck.
                            Comment
                            • Love The Action
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-08-10
                              • 10952

                              #3479
                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                              MLB 9/28/11

                              Play #1

                              Nationals/Marlins under (7)(+100) 1x (Locked)

                              Play #2

                              Blue Jays/White Sox under (8.5) 1x (Locked)

                              Play #3

                              Cubs ML (-112) 1x (Locked)


                              Big pitching advantage here. I expect quade to play all the regulars so he can demp a win. I have this one at -121, so I like the value. I expect the line to go up soon. However, if quade rests his main guys, I may need to buy out of this one as well so keep an eye out for the lineups. Good luck.
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #3480
                                Originally posted by Love The Action
                                MLB 9/28/11

                                Play #1

                                Nationals/Marlins under (7)(+100) 1x (Locked)

                                Play #2

                                Blue Jays/White Sox under (8.5) 1x (Locked)


                                There are weather concerns for both of these games. If it looks like the rain is going to hit the games, I will be buying out. It's your call, but I don't play unders when rain is involved. I locked these in early because I have a morning meeting for work and wanted to preserve these prices. I will post if I cancel. Good luck.
                                Like the first a lot LTA.

                                Good luck.
                                Comment
                                • Love The Action
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-08-10
                                  • 10952

                                  #3481
                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                  MLB 9/28/11

                                  Play #1

                                  Nationals/Marlins under (7)(+100) 1x (Locked)

                                  Play #2

                                  Blue Jays/White Sox under (8.5) 1x (Locked)


                                  Play #3

                                  Cubs ML (-112) 1x (Locked)

                                  Play #4

                                  Cardinals/Astros under (7.5)(-120) 1x (Locked)


                                  Expensive play, but I like this a lot more at 7.5 as opposed to 7. Good luck.
                                  Comment
                                  • Love The Action
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-08-10
                                    • 10952

                                    #3482
                                    Just a reminder that all of these four plays are subject to a buy out for weather, lineup or bullpen concerns. Keep an eye out for rain in florida and chicago, the cubs lineup in san diego and cardinal bullpen issues in houston.
                                    Comment
                                    • PhillyFlyers
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-27-11
                                      • 8245

                                      #3483
                                      LTA, please tell me your opinion. I took the Phillies tonight at +179 against the Braves. I believe the Phillies have 3 major motivations going into this game.

                                      First, their manager Charlie Manuel is currently tied for the most wins in franchise history and if they win tonight he will have it all by himself.

                                      Secondly, Joe Blanton is starting tonight and is getting back into form. His last time out, he pitched 3 scoreless innings and he is looking to get a win going into the playoffs.

                                      Third, if the Phillies win tonight they will set their all-time franchise record for most wins in a season.

                                      Also, at such a value of +179 I couldn't resist taking a shot. Especially when I'm getting much better odds for my money than all of your other plays that you've listed so far.

                                      Thoughts?
                                      Comment
                                      • Love The Action
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-08-10
                                        • 10952

                                        #3484
                                        Originally posted by PhillyFlyers
                                        LTA, please tell me your opinion. I took the Phillies tonight at +179 against the Braves. I believe the Phillies have 3 major motivations going into this game.

                                        First, their manager Charlie Manuel is currently tied for the most wins in franchise history and if they win tonight he will have it all by himself.

                                        Secondly, Joe Blanton is starting tonight and is getting back into form. His last time out, he pitched 3 scoreless innings and he is looking to get a win going into the playoffs.

                                        Third, if the Phillies win tonight they will set their all-time franchise record for most wins in a season.

                                        Also, at such a value of +179 I couldn't resist taking a shot. Especially when I'm getting much better odds for my money than all of your other plays that you've listed so far.

                                        Thoughts?
                                        The braves are definitely overpriced and there is solid value on philly, however, the braves have the advantage with Hudson. If philly had a lefty on the mound, I would feel a lit better but as it stands I would not touch this game. We also need to see what kind of lineup philly throws out there. Last night we had equal pitchers and a better lineup with the yanks. You can't say that about philly. Good luck...i hope you cash
                                        Comment
                                        • Love The Action
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 10952

                                          #3485
                                          Paul Konerko is out of the sox lineup....
                                          Comment
                                          • rwd201
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-18-11
                                            • 517

                                            #3486
                                            Team Pitcher Open Line Movements Current Runline Scores
                                            955 FLORIDA MARLINS(r) volstad, c7.5u15 7.5u20 / 7.5u25 / 7o157o20 +1.5(-125) 4 Under 7
                                            956 WASHINGTON NATIONALS(r) strasburg, s-230 -230 / -220-210 -1.5(+105) 1 final
                                            TV: MASN2, DTV: 641, 727 MOSTLY CLOUDY, WIND IN FROM RIGHT 4-9. GAME TEMP 62, RH 72%
                                            Last edited by rwd201; 09-28-11, 11:29 AM.
                                            Comment
                                            • 815Sox
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-13-10
                                              • 1078

                                              #3487
                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                              Paul Konerko is out of the sox lineup....
                                              Really weird lineup today. I guess Don Cooper wants to let some of the vets be able to have a few and just watch or something. Who knows. Maybe he just said go home early, but I don't see PK doing that.

                                              I really like the under in this game and the Nats/Marlins.
                                              Comment
                                              • Love The Action
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 10952

                                                #3488
                                                Big move on the sox under....down to 8 at some books. Its not currently raining and the radar shows just some light showers as possible. I am inclined to ride this one out, although the possibility of taking the over 8, and cashing the middle on a final score of 8 with no risk appeals to me....
                                                Comment
                                                • Love The Action
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 10952

                                                  #3489
                                                  Originally posted by mt675826
                                                  I'd be surprised if it was as much as -250 for TB today, isn't Price pretty rough at home? No line yet from what I see, but I might take a good look towards the Yankees given Price's home pitching, either that or just bank on the TB rally as I have the last while. I parlayed the Rays RL and O's ML last two nights in a row, got it Monday but last night the O's couldn't come back... Would have been awesome to hit that exact combo back to back nights but that's the way she goes.
                                                  The rays opened at -250, just as I predicted in my post above. Good luck with your plays.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bleedtoledo
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 08-29-10
                                                    • 513

                                                    #3490
                                                    So I took under 8.5 at 120. Now it's o/u 8 at 110 either way. I do like the under myself, any further thoughts?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bleedtoledo
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 08-29-10
                                                      • 513

                                                      #3491
                                                      o8 now at -105
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Love The Action
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 10952

                                                        #3492
                                                        Originally posted by bleedtoledo
                                                        So I took under 8.5 at 120. Now it's o/u 8 at 110 either way. I do like the under myself, any further thoughts?
                                                        Yeah...let's cash this under!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Love The Action
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-08-10
                                                          • 10952

                                                          #3493
                                                          Ouch...fukin humber pos!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bleedtoledo
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 08-29-10
                                                            • 513

                                                            #3494
                                                            I played over 8, as well. Lets hope for 8 on the spot!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 815Sox
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-13-10
                                                              • 1078

                                                              #3495
                                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                              Ouch...fukin humber pos!
                                                              He is not looking good, nor is Morrow. Humber might settle down though.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EdV38
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 04-04-09
                                                                • 266

                                                                #3496
                                                                Luckily the bush league offenses are saving our skin. Morrow 5 walks through 3 innings, not one of them scored so far.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Love The Action
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                                  • 10952

                                                                  #3497
                                                                  I'm sticking with the marlins under...not buying out as the weather looks ok. Good luck.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Love The Action
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                                    • 10952

                                                                    #3498
                                                                    Man...we really had to sweat out that sox under, but eventually cashed. Now lets get this marlins under!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Donnie Brasco
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-04-11
                                                                      • 862

                                                                      #3499
                                                                      Nice call on that undr lta! Keep it rolling!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EdV38
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 04-04-09
                                                                        • 266

                                                                        #3500
                                                                        I'm liking it because I had the under AND the Jays to win today


                                                                        Oh, and, you know, I'm a Jays fan and it's nice to see them avoid an under .500 season, yada, yada.
                                                                        Comment
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