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  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #1
    Sunday
    3* Yankees/Mets under 8.5 (-110)
    3* Red Sox over 8 (-105)
    3* Padres/Mariners under 6.5 (+102)
    3* Dodgers/Angels under 7.5 (-121)
    2* Tribe/Reds under 9.5 (-107)
    2* Giants/Tigers under 8.5 (+100)

    BOL to all today.
  • BigDan
    Restricted User
    • 04-28-11
    • 5104

    #2
    Hope you had a good day on the coarse yesterday brother, dont remember your card but i hope you did well. Barely remember mine but when i woke up this morning my account was a little up. I got trashed and was doing crazy shit in a not real deep inground pool. usually am really good about not hittin bottom (good w angles i guess) but was messing with my nephews and went over top of them them straight down head 1st and cracked the shit out of it, pretty sure it was minor concussion 5 or 6 in my life, lol, luckily my brain can take it. My neck is sore as fukk this morning tho!!!!!Crunched that shit, the wife said she heard it above water.

    played a few of those neither to score 3 again yesterday going 1 for 3. +450 on the hit so once again profit on those. these things have been nice in interleague.

    Like your card brother. i played zona/oak un 6.5 and waiting on neither to score 3 on that one.

    really liked tribe under until i saw it wasnt the ump i thought it was. still very tempting as that number just seems high.

    prob join you on a few of these.

    Cards really pissed me off, McClellan is starting to look like a ff un and stl ff kind of guy, after 5 he gets shaky a lot it seems, of coarse this his 1st year starting , obviously didnt see any of the gm but checked box scores this morning...

    GL today Brother
    Comment
    • HoulihansTX
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-12-09
      • 30566

      #3
      Padres Mariners UN2
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #4
        what's up, big dan? great day for golf yesterday, and did okay on bases (3-2 +2.3u).

        i'm not too worried about Wolf in Cincy. he's not an over ump. liked AZ/OAK under, but had to draw the line somewhere. i liked about 8-10 plays today. also like the Marlins/Rangers over but waiting since line dropped. also like Royals/Rockies over a bit, but considering R+H+E there. may add more later

        wished i'd played Cards/Rays under yesterday. like it again today but passing given all the juice.

        hope your head feels better. gotta pace yourself on these long holiday weekends, haha.
        Comment
        • BiffTFinancial
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-29-09
          • 22670

          #5
          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
          Padres Mariners UN2
          no kidding. might be a good candidate for the neither team scores 3 prop.
          Comment
          • HOT WINGS
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-29-10
            • 8055

            #6
            Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
            3* Yankees/Mets under 8.5 (-110) 3* Red Sox over 8 (-105) 3* Padres/Mariners under 6.5 (+102) 3* Dodgers/Angels under 7.5 (-121) 2* Tribe/Reds under 9.5 (-107) 2* Giants/Tigers under 8.5 (+100) BOL to all today.
            Good luck I played Red Sox Over and Mariners under as well. Also played Rockies over 10, A's Under 6.5, Brewers Over 8, Rangers O 9.5 and opposite on Tigers pick I took Over there.
            Comment
            • BigDan
              Restricted User
              • 04-28-11
              • 5104

              #7
              i actually like the the stl/tb ff un 4.5. Just need Demuth to give Loshe the corners, he has decent k % but goes over a ton? previous years much lower k % but pretty even on ov/un. think Hell boy will take a minute at least for stl to figure out and dont see why Loshe cant make it thru tb lineup the 1st 2 times at least before/if he is gonna get in trouble id think it would be in the 6th if the k-zone is solid.
              Comment
              • BigDan
                Restricted User
                • 04-28-11
                • 5104

                #8
                i alwyas go with kc h/r/e ov now if i like the over in their gms, didnt matter yesterday but hell they could have scored much less (like kc is prone to do) and been to 30 probably.
                Comment
                • BiffTFinancial
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-29-09
                  • 22670

                  #9
                  Originally posted by HOT WINGS

                  Good luck I played Red Sox Over and Mariners under as well. Also played Rockies over 10, A's Under 6.5, Brewers Over 8, Rangers O 9.5 and opposite on Tigers pick I took Over there.
                  BOL, hotwings. i think that i'll end up on the Marlins/Rangers over, going to wait and see what the number does. on Tigers game, i'm hoping that the late night caused by the rain-out leads to some sluggishness today plus i usually like a crappy offensive team to go back to sucking the day after they play way above their heads. Porcello does scare me a bit though.
                  Comment
                  • BiffTFinancial
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-09
                    • 22670

                    #10
                    Originally posted by BigDan
                    i actually like the the stl/tb ff un 4.5. Just need Demuth to give Loshe the corners, he has decent k % but goes over a ton? previous years much lower k % but pretty even on ov/un. think Hell boy will take a minute at least for stl to figure out and dont see why Loshe cant make it thru tb lineup the 1st 2 times at least before/if he is gonna get in trouble id think it would be in the 6th if the k-zone is solid.
                    i like that. might add it. as a general rule, i'm willing to consider any under at the Trop. place is an under goldmine.

                    Originally posted by BigDan
                    i alwyas go with kc h/r/e ov now if i like the over in their gms, didnt matter yesterday but hell they could have scored much less (like kc is prone to do) and been to 30 probably.
                    yeah, i remembered your saying that and that's kind of why i lean that way.
                    Comment
                    • BigDan
                      Restricted User
                      • 04-28-11
                      • 5104

                      #11
                      you right there a ton to like today. i played lot of stuff yesterday as well. had way more out than i wanted when i got done clicking buttons b4 i left house, worked out ok tho, not up a whole lot but whenever i play that much im happy to come out ahead at all.
                      Comment
                      • BigDan
                        Restricted User
                        • 04-28-11
                        • 5104

                        #12
                        thinking of joining det under.
                        Comment
                        • DRZ
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-24-10
                          • 918

                          #13
                          best of luck on the card today
                          Comment
                          • zjohnzzz
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-15-10
                            • 517

                            #14
                            best of luck today
                            Comment
                            • BiffTFinancial
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-29-09
                              • 22670

                              #15
                              adding

                              2* Cardinals/Rays FF under 4.5 (-125)
                              2* Royals/Rockies R+H+E over 30.5 (-125)

                              updated card
                              3* Yankees/Mets under 8.5 (-110)
                              3* Red Sox over 8 (-105)
                              3* Padres/Mariners under 6.5 (+102)
                              3* Dodgers/Angels under 7.5 (-121)
                              2* Tribe/Reds under 9.5 (-107)
                              2* Giants/Tigers under 8.5 (+100)
                              2* Cardinals/Rays FF under 4.5 (-125)
                              2* Royals/Rockies R+H+E over 30.5 (-125)

                              haven't played this many games in one day since the Memorial Day tribute to the troops. USA! USA!
                              Comment
                              • ParlayJunkie
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 08-06-10
                                • 689

                                #16
                                Thats a lot of plays. Good luck today.
                                Comment
                                • Lord and Master
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 05-31-11
                                  • 531

                                  #17
                                  i HATE the cards/rays under. both pitchers are far worse than their ERAs, two of the biggest disparities in baseball between ERA and xFIP on the mound in the same game

                                  hellickson 122nd in SIERA(4.75), 42nd in ERA(3.18)
                                  lohse 96th in SIERA(4.38), 21st in ERA(2.78)

                                  if you could guarantee wade davis a few innings you'd have the over of the year
                                  Comment
                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 22670

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ParlayJunkie
                                    Thats a lot of plays. Good luck today.
                                    yeah, it doesn't feel very mature. BOL to you too.

                                    Originally posted by Lord and Master
                                    i HATE the cards/rays under. both pitchers are far worse than their ERAs, two of the biggest disparities in baseball between ERA and xFIP on the mound in the same game

                                    hellickson 122nd in SIERA(4.75), 42nd in ERA(3.18)
                                    lohse 96th in SIERA(4.38), 21st in ERA(2.90)
                                    you are absolutely correct about the ERA vs xFIP here, LM. if this game were being played somewhere else, i wouldn't be playing the FF under, but the Trop more than makes up for the difference between ERA and xFIP, at least as i see it. BOL to you today.
                                    Comment
                                    • Lord and Master
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 05-31-11
                                      • 531

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                      but the Trop more than makes up for the difference between ERA and xFIP, at least as i see it.
                                      how does the trop impact a pitcher's strikeout, walk, or flyball rate? it's more about the the betting public seeing two absurd ERAs and bet accordingly. 57% on the under I think is reflecting that
                                      Comment
                                      • BigDan
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 04-28-11
                                        • 5104

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Lord and Master
                                        i HATE the cards/rays under. both pitchers are far worse than their ERAs, two of the biggest disparities in baseball between ERA and xFIP on the mound in the same game

                                        hellickson 122nd in SIERA(4.75), 42nd in ERA(3.18)
                                        lohse 96th in SIERA(4.38), 21st in ERA(2.78)

                                        if you could guarantee wade davis a few innings you'd have the over of the year

                                        I think you could make great case for the over for the gm but believe both Loshe and Hell boy will be difficult early on, it may be close cause the blow up should come from 1 of them right around 5th 6th. just counting on getting a wide k-zone and making it thru 5 before things start to happen.
                                        Comment
                                        • BigDan
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 04-28-11
                                          • 5104

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by BigDan
                                          i actually like the the stl/tb ff un 4.5. Just need Demuth to give Loshe the corners, he has decent k % but goes over a ton? previous years much lower k % but pretty even on ov/un. think Hell boy will take a minute at least for stl to figure out and dont see why Loshe cant make it thru tb lineup the 1st 2 times at least before/if he is gonna get in trouble id think it would be in the 6th if the k-zone is solid.

                                          got thru that bitch by the skin of our teeth.
                                          Comment
                                          • BigDan
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 04-28-11
                                            • 5104

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Lord and Master
                                            i HATE the cards/rays under. both pitchers are far worse than their ERAs, two of the biggest disparities in baseball between ERA and xFIP on the mound in the same game hellickson 122nd in SIERA(4.75), 42nd in ERA(3.18) lohse 96th in SIERA(4.38), 21st in ERA(2.78) if you could guarantee wade davis a few innings you'd have the over of the year
                                            Originally posted by BigDan
                                            I think you could make great case for the over for the gm but believe both Loshe and Hell boy will be difficult early on, it may be close cause the blow up should come from 1 of them right around 5th 6th. just counting on getting a wide k-zone and making it thru 5 before things start to happen.
                                            Ok L&M hopefully Cards can start to figure out hell boy and get you the gm over now that we done w/ff
                                            Comment
                                            • BigDan
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 04-28-11
                                              • 5104

                                              #23
                                              Bam just like that baby!!!!!!!!!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • Lord and Master
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 05-31-11
                                                • 531

                                                #24
                                                two of the worst bullpens in the league following
                                                Comment
                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                  • 22670

                                                  #25
                                                  2* Tribe/Reds under 9.5 - LOSER
                                                  2* Cards/Rays FF under 4.5 - WINNER

                                                  1-1 -0.14u start.

                                                  FF under was looking solid until two outs, glad we pulled that out. 3 runs already in the 6th, your game over looking better and better LM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BigDan
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 04-28-11
                                                    • 5104

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Lord and Master
                                                    two of the worst bullpens in the league following

                                                    STL pen is improving by the day, still nothing to brag about but not the trash they were most the season. Hopefully they can make a move for Bell and put Salas in 8th, not sure i trust him as closer down the stretch, that and a lefty that could actually get lefties out would handle all their woes. Far as this over you shouldnt have to worry, i almost did over gm after you posted but ive never tried ff un gm ov before.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                      • 22670

                                                      #27
                                                      2 unearned in Detroit, now 4 errors on the game. bah.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BigDan
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 04-28-11
                                                        • 5104

                                                        #28
                                                        Wow, ive never seen KC score so efficiently, usually would take them at least 15 hits to get anywhere near 6 runs. gonna need Rox to at least bang out some hits to help the h/r/e ov in this one. at least kc has given us a error already also.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigDan
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 04-28-11
                                                          • 5104

                                                          #29
                                                          there you go L&M

                                                          would have been a lot nicer if stl would have got job done for you but whatever. you know once Talbot comes in runs will be scored. time to cut this jerkoff just like they did Franklin and Bautista, while they at it get rid of Miller's garbage ass!!!!

                                                          Cards left handed "specialist" (use that term very loosely)Miller and Talbot are letting lefties reach base at like a .500 clip. the guy Valdez they brought up seems like he is ok but these other scrubs have to go.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Lord and Master
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 05-31-11
                                                            • 531

                                                            #30
                                                            was only the 2nd or 3rd over i've bet all year not counting coors or windy wrigley days. if brewers hold on and astros win it will be a monster day
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigDan
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 04-28-11
                                                              • 5104

                                                              #31
                                                              i didnt have the stomach for hou after gm1 where i thought i had a W locked down. Did play on Jays tho.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Lord and Master
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 05-31-11
                                                                • 531

                                                                #32
                                                                they really need to move the fences in at citi. 2 bombs in a row, 1 that would've been out in half the parks and another that would've been out in another 25 of them
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Lord and Master
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 05-31-11
                                                                  • 531

                                                                  #33
                                                                  houston was a great bet regardless but this would be a really lucky win with lyles walking 5 and beckett with 0 walks and 11 Ks
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BigDan
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 04-28-11
                                                                    • 5104

                                                                    #34
                                                                    yea i thought stors were the right side just didnt really wanna be involved. Hope it cashes for you.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Lord and Master
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 05-31-11
                                                                      • 531

                                                                      #35
                                                                      if there was one team i had to pick to blindly bet every game from here on out it would be astros when happ isn't pitching. their defense is terrible but every other aspect of that team is perceived to be way worse than it is. offense is barely below average, bullpen is average, starters are slightly above average but way underrated. the team is being priced like their record as one of the worst in the league but they aren't even close
                                                                      Comment
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