Reds +155

[GemSportsPicks]

This is probably great fade material considering I can't win a close game.. Down 2700 last two weeks, and have lost 12 of 13 1 run games... So if this isn't a blowout from the begining its a loser... Also even if reds are up by less then 5 they will probably find a way to lose. Case and point

Reds last night- this wasn't that bad considering they were down 1-0 most of the game, but still they manage to take lead in 8th, they have shutdown bullpen, but it doesn't matter i have them... 1st and 2nd two outs, Johnny Damon in 1-2 count, hits a broken bat bloop double that scores both runs... But wait i get a hook up with Bruce homerun in 9th to tie game, nope doesn't matter first pitch of bottom 9th walk off homerun longoria.

Indians- Up 2-0 the whole game, threatening every inning and just not getting the runs. anyway they manage to go down 4-2, wait i get hookup with 2 run shot to tie game, followed by a double. No run so doesn't matter... extra innings we go... Dbacks 8 man singles, then steals 2nd and steals 3rd... Two outs Willie "I Strike out Mo" Pena coming up... Should stay alive nope wait i have the indians he golfs a homerun 2 run walk off...

Mariners- Probably the worst one of all up 3-0 the whole game everyone hitting for Mariners... Uggla solo shot, then another run so 3-2, i'm still ahead i should be fine... Nop I have mariners, so it can't be fine... Pineda manages to walk the bases loaded in 7th on 14 pitches yes thats right folks he only threw 2 strikes to 3 people... So what happens single shafer to tie... Single from Mcann to go up 5-3... I am given a chance in the 8th though.. 1-2nd 1 out middle of lineup... For some reason they attempt double steal... Of course guy get thrown out at 2nd, then smoak walks... First and 3rd two outs now instead of bases loaded.. Next guy base hit that would have scored 2, nope forgot that idiot got thrown out 5-4 final and i lose...


Hope my stories help people realizes just go against me, you will somehow win no matter how bad it looks don't worry if i have opposite they will find a way to blow it.

[rthoughton]

I mean, Im against you. Shields is pitching.

[southpaw74]

It's amazing how we can go in streaks and find ways to lose that seem impossible. It will turn around for you

[SportGTI]

Gem, I hear ya. I've been killed all baseball season, down thousands like you. I play dogs, they get pounded. I play favorites, they crumble. I have leads that are evaporated like that. I'm trailing, my team will go into a shell.

Hang in there, hope things around for ya.

[HoulihansTX]

What the Reds did last night shows how weak the NL Central is.

The Pirates might make the playoff.

[AL1322]

to the above,lol..cmon now..the brewers would be alright if the interleague thing was fair..why do they have to go to new york and boston and other teams in the divison dont..i hate interleague lol

[GemSportsPicks]

YEa to be honest the Reds loss last night, I don't even count as a bad beat, it was a good game and a close game, but this is just absurd how often it is happening to me... I'm sure you all know Espn Gamecast and their little game predictor... Now you take it for what it is... But in my last 12 losses, now I had some easy blowout winners mixed in but I'm only going to deal with the close games cause those are the ones i can't win... I was 80% or more to win in all of them and late, I'm talking after 7th inning up 2 runs. All 12 lost so we have .2^12. That gives us 4.096 X 10-9... Or in laymens terms... There was a 1 in 4 billion chance of me losing all of those game... Yes 1 in 4 billion... So basically i could and should be struck by lighting like a dozen times before this should ever happen.

[ji03]

The way the Rays struggle to score at home, the Reds could get a win if they can get Shields out of the game.

[GemSportsPicks]

Yea the reds struggle to hit though too.. I'll have reds, for 400 just waiting to see if i can get slightly better nuber... Its +157 on my book now... usually i wouldn't care but in hole every dollar counts.

[HoulihansTX]

Brewers do not win much on the road period.

[Galante118]

anyone know what the public percentage is? reds +155 is great value but sheilds is a beast. i think the right play here is reds or nothing

[HoulihansTX]

Edindon Volquez is a bum

[jay777]

TB all the way today. Layed the -166. Hottest pitcher in the game today. Pen scares me but with shields might not need it. But then again WTF do I know.

[PAULYPOKER]

anyone know what the public percentage is? reds +155 is great value but sheilds is a beast. i think the right play here is reds or nothing

82% of the public on the rays ML............

[PaperTrail07]

volquez is bum---but he a bum from way down south----he loves pitching down there in that heat=====he might shock some people today

[gtboy]

might be safer with reds +ML. gl.

[PaperTrail07]

if its less than 85 degrees he might not do well

[PaperTrail07]

im staying away from this game expect for sbr points haha

[blackeyeshamus]

temperature at the trop is controlled very carefully.
the grounds crew keeps it frosty in there, right? I'm on the rays:
ML for two and RL for one. fade me and every public square on the rays today
if you think the reds can generate enough offense to back volquez... what the f@#k do I know?
I've been getting slapped around like a ten dollar hooker the last two weeks...
whatever you play: good luck! c'mon tampa bay let's cash one.

[Dukebluejms]

I think this is a good spot to take a chance on the Reds. They are getting a good price, and could definitely pull this one out. I was thinking taking them RL.

[stevenash]

Shields is a beast, Reds strike out too much, I like TB.
Good luck to the OP however.

[Duby]

I think Volq steps it up and wins a low scoring game!

[GemSportsPicks]

The reds do love to strike out.

[PaperTrail07]

they need production with 2 outs to win this game

[GemSportsPicks]

I keep telling you I have them, so they will never come through... Probably get 12 hits in the game for like 1 run... its just how things are going or me right now.

[HoulihansTX]

Drew Stubbs with the fail @the plate.

[GemSportsPicks]

YEa it will be one of many... The rays will score on a reds error too.. just wait and watch... its not even a surprise to me at this point..

[GemSportsPicks]

Or maybe Volquez will just walk the bases loaded and then balk in the run, that seems about right, its happened 3 times to me in last 2 weeks.. so its only fitting.

[GemSportsPicks]

5 hits in 4 innings still zero runs, this is just pathetic

[HoulihansTX]

Volquez looks steady.

[crazymonkey]

congrats on your win. stupid tampa bay

[Affirmed3]

Looks good so far

[GemSportsPicks]

This is by no means a win... I've lost as i said 12 out of 13 games with a 2 run lead or more in the 7th inning or later... I have also lost 4 5 run leads on this streak.... So this def. is not a win.

[NYSportsGuy210]

Pick Cleveland Indians (+110) today. Great value here....surprised they aren't favorites.

[GemSportsPicks]

They were favorites they started at -125 actually.. I thought i liked them, but I'm switching to Dbacks... I don't like to follow the money but here I think i have too.