You need to dig a bit deeper and understand that wins are not always equal. If you look at who he beat you will realize that he beat the Angels twice in those 3 wins and we all know (I hope) how bad the angels are. I mean come on FL just beat them. His other win was against SL more than a month ago although he did pitch well.
So your logic of he won 3 of 6 carries little to no weight and the fact that he has 8 years in the league means nothing if he sux a$$ now.
You need to understand that your betting on him NOW a game he played 8 years ago so it doesn't matter if he had a 1.58 era 8 years ago if he has over 6.00 era NOW
I cannot believe you took the time to type all that
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Lord and Master
Restricted User
05-31-11
531
#38
Originally posted by gryfyn1
And While a "half point" in xFip is a big difference again francis is is going the wrong way,posting monthly xFips of 3.47/3.95/5.06 vs Kennedy's 3.39/3.85/3.25.
i'd like to add that having a pitcher getting shelled recently is very good for betting that side, it creates value. i'd much rather be betting on a pitcher that gave up 6 runs in his last 2 outings than a pitcher who gave up 0
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LGHT
SBR Wise Guy
04-18-11
513
#39
Originally posted by Whippit
I cannot believe you took the time to type all that
Unlike most on this forum I actually make bets and use real money. So I do take the time and make the effort to look not just at the numbers in a stat, but try and determine if that stat is comparable to the game at hand.
Pay attention kid you may learn something yet.
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boeing power
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-10
9698
#40
squares with a big zona win, we will bounce back
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face
SBR Posting Legend
01-31-11
14740
#41
diamondbacks were pitching better, royals was a good shot though, coin flip game, but i'm glad i had diamondbacks.
squares lost on redsox and rangers but won with phillies and diamondbacks.
Comment
Bald Bull
Restricted User
06-16-11
210
#42
Originally posted by face
diamondbacks were pitching better, royals was a good shot though, coin flip game, but i'm glad i had diamondbacks.
squares lost on redsox and rangers but won with phillies and diamondbacks.
squares caught arguably the biggest break of the year with the boston rl/over voids.
