RL Away Team Experiment

[ColdBeerHere]

BOS -49 (+105) @ TOR +20 (-115) pick is TOR -115

TEX -2 (-137) @ MIN -60 (+127) pick is MIN +127

TB +42 (-126) @ BAL -10 (+116) pick is TB -126

SEA +22 (+104) @ DET -60 (-114) pick is SEA +104

OAK -26 (+108) @ CWS -60 (-118) pick is OAK +108

KC -44 (+126) @ LAA -73 (-136) pick is KC +126

STL +43 (+110) @ MIL +39 (-120) pick STL +110

LAD -32 (+143) @ COL +23 (-153) pick LAD +143

CIN -30 (+150) @ SF +15 (-160) pick is CIN +150

CHC +5 (+178) @ PHI +6 (-188) pick is CHC +178

NYM -18 (-101) @ PIT -75 (-109) pick is NYM -101

WSH -54 (+104) @ SD -42 (-114) pick is WSH +104

CLE -21 (+177) @ NYY +21 (-187) pick is CLE +177

I have yet to bet any of these tonight...And I may not bet any....Maybe I am a little gun shy after what happened last night....I am wicked tired, really didn't sleep much...I tried looking at the numbers on the way back from the business trip but nothing was computing as I was just too tired...

I am trying to figure out if it might be better to only play certain games rather than all of them.....

[GTforme]

.... sorta' what i'm trying today CBH

Thanx for taking the time to put up the plays... I know you must be beat

[ColdBeerHere]

Stay tuned GT if you are out there....First I think I am going to bet the rest of the games on the schedule...

2nd I may have the "B" bet of our RL chase

hmmm...debating right now between

TB rl +125 or SEA rrl +173

[ColdBeerHere]

Betting the rest of the games on the schedule now....Still debating on that RL chase bet.

[ColdBeerHere]

"B" bet for the RL chase is TAM +125.....3 units....bet placed

[ColdBeerHere]

Dont bet kansas city pitching change !!! Game does not qualify for system !

Don't be like me ! I noticed this after I bet KC at two of my books

[ColdBeerHere]

GT, sorry about getting the action in so late...But it's been a long day....anyways...How'd that Honduras soccer bet pan out ? I went to bet it at the last minute but the line had jumped to -170 so I laid off.

[GTforme]

"B" bet for the RL chase is TAM +125.....3 units....bet placed

Saw it too late... took Bal ML

[GTforme]

Dont bet kansas city pitching change !!! Game does not qualify for system !

Don't be like me ! I noticed this after I bet KC at two of my books

Had not placed yet... betting them as they come today!

Thanx... will stay away!

[GTforme]

GT, sorry about getting the action in so late...But it's been a long day....anyways...How'd that Honduras soccer bet pan out ? I went to bet it at the last minute but the line had jumped to -170 so I laid off.

Honduras won HUUUUUUUUUUGE... and saved my night!

Don't apoligize, I understand!

I'm just wondering how long you stay awake!

[ColdBeerHere]

Honduras won HUUUUUUUUUUGE... and saved my night!

Don't apoligize, I understand!

I'm just wondering how long you stay awake!

Well i was pretty beat I maybe got 3 to 4 hours of bad sleep last night.....My mind wouldn't stop after last night's first losing night....But since I placed all those bets at my books along with that big 3 unit bet on TB rl I am jacked...I should be up now through out the rest of the mlb games tonight...No cappin' for me tonight though.....I think I have to get excel or something....I am manually doing the math for all kinds of data which I enter into boxes....The Wally World 3 calculator ain't cuttin' it.....I'll continue using it but I would like to get excel for sure.

Now why'd ya have to go bettin' BAL ml ? Is it cause they are on a little streak ?

[GTforme]

[quote=ColdBeerHere;10387543]Well i was pretty beat I maybe got 3 to 4 hours of bad sleep last night.....My mind wouldn't stop after last night's first losing night....But since I placed all those bets at my books along with that big 3 unit bet on TB rl I am jacked...I should be up now through out the rest of the mlb games tonight...No cappin' for me tonight though.....I think I have to get excel or something....I am manually doing the math for all kinds of data which I enter into boxes....The Wally World 3 calculator ain't cuttin' it.....I'll continue using it but I would like to get excel for sure.

Now why'd ya have to go bettin' BAL ml ? Is it cause they are on a little streak ?[/quote]

Uhhh? yeah!

... a streak, at home tonight, won big last night, won their last 4, etc., etc.

[GTforme]

But.... TB scored 1st.... and from I've been seeing that's as good as "It's all over", TB wins!

... but we'll have to wait and see!

[GTforme]

My hypothesis: team to score first usually wins!

... unless, the opposing team comes back to take the lead... then, the opposing team wins... usually!

If we could just figure out who will score 1st.... we'd have both the PROP and the ML!

Whatya' think?

[GTforme]

Take the ATL/HOU game ongoing right now.

HOU scored 2 in the bottom of the 1st.

ATL has presently tied it at 2-2.

If ATL can take the lead... they will win (most of the time). so simple.........

[GTforme]

Just funning here, but if we could figure out who scores first, I think we tap a gold mine!

[GTforme]

Take ARZ/FLA playing right now.

ARZ. scored 1 in the top of the 1St.

FLA scored 1 in the bottom of the 1st.... and 1 in the bottom of the 3rd.... Fla. wins (most times).

[ColdBeerHere]

Just funning here, but if we could figure out who scores first, I think we tap a gold mine!

maybe I am just tired right now but that sounds difficult

[GTforme]

... except when ARZ scores 6 in the top of the top of the 4th.!

[GTforme]

maybe I am just tired right now but that sounds difficult

It is... we'd have some serious stat work to do!

[ColdBeerHere]

Gonna let the games so and be back later...Watching the remake of "True Grit"

[GTforme]

Gonna let the games so and be back later...Watching the remake of "True Grit"

Don't blame you!

[ColdBeerHere]

Well good and bad tonight....

Bad: system went 5-7 down 1.02 units

Good: RL Chase hit with tampa for 3.75 units

System now 34-26 up 12.94 units in 6 days

RL Chase: A bet: 1-1
B bet: 1-0 up 4.00 units


Not sure how much I can get capped for tomorrow we'll see...It's good I have some more data for the system....See if we can't this thing back on a better track....That Tampa pick tonight was a result of cappin' this system....I compared the two teams power ratings, other things, and previous RL winners which I have been keeping track of....I'm going to try and pick some good one's everyday if I can for the RL chase

[GTforme]

Thanks for all your hard work CBH... let's see what Sunday brings!

[GTforme]

Oh... and congrats on the TB RL play

[ColdBeerHere]

Thanks GT...I'm back gf let me sleep in late....She was supposed to get me up earlier and forgot...She got into some movie....If I am not woken up sometimes I can just sleep forever...I already missed a bunch of bets I wanted to put in, and probable winners

Guess bets will be limited today....Had better make them winners.....I'm gonna cap the 4 latest games today, and see what I come up with.

[GTforme]

Saturday 6/11/11

BOS -49 (+105) @ TOR +20 (-115) pick is TOR -115 L

TEX -2 (-137) @ MIN -60 (+127) pick is MIN +127 W

TB +42 (-126) @ BAL -10 (+116) pick is TB -126 W

SEA +22 (+104) @ DET -60 (-114) pick is SEA +104 L

OAK -26 (+108) @ CWS -60 (-118) pick is OAK +108 L

KC -44 (+126) @ LAA -73 (-136) pick is KC +126 NO BET, PITCHING CHANGE

STL +43 (+110) @ MIL +39 (-120) pick STL +110 L

LAD -32 (+143) @ COL +23 (-153) pick LAD +143 W

CIN -30 (+150) @ SF +15 (-160) pick is CIN +150 W

CHC +5 (+178) @ PHI +6 (-188) pick is CHC +178 L

NYM -18 (-101) @ PIT -75 (-109) pick is NYM -101 L

WSH -54 (+104) @ SD -42 (-114) pick is WSH +104 W

CLE -21 (+177) @ NYY +21 (-187) pick is CLE +177 L

I have yet to bet any of these tonight...And I may not bet any....Maybe I am a little gun shy after what happened last night....I am wicked tired, really didn't sleep much...I tried looking at the numbers on the way back from the business trip but nothing was computing as I was just too tired...

I am trying to figure out if it might be better to only play certain games rather than all of them.....

Went 5-7 today

[ColdBeerHere]

OK, only two games capped in the later games....SP didn't have enough IP in the other games....So here's the two for tonight:

CIN +25 (-103) @ SF -6 (-107) pick is CIN -103

WSH +16 (-102) @ SD -66 (-108) pick is WSH -102

[ColdBeerHere]

I'm looking into if we can bet the RL on one of these games....also may have a prop bet as well.

[ColdBeerHere]

prop bet: Run in the First Inning LAD/COL YES -105 1 unit

[ColdBeerHere]

WOW, Get on this now....I think the line will be changins very soon ! I am going heavy on this...4 units for me (my units is larger than 3% of my br)....And I rarely go heavy anymore.....Write up to come.....


CIN/SF over 7... 4 units

[ColdBeerHere]

Wow I can't believe this o/u is only 7 for this game....I think this game gets at least around 9 runs....CIN is above average on the road at 4.26 rpg....I know SF is a paltry 2.77 rpg at home...but Cin has taken 2 out of 3 against them and they will be trying harder this one....Plus Cincy is putting the volatile Volquez on the mound....

SF is going with the leftie Sanchez....Cincy hits .303 against lefties, waaaaaaaay above the NL league average of .250.......Their OBP against lefties is also waaaaaaaay above thhe league avg - league avg is .315....CIN is .373 !

I was going to go 3 units immediately of the top of my head when I saw this....Then I added one mroe to make it 4 units....I almost want to add more.....I will think about it......

As long as the SP are their normal selves I think this one is a LOCK

[ColdBeerHere]

RL CHASE "A" BET: CIN -1.5 rrl +165 1 unit

Locked in: This bet ties in with the over in this game....As long as Voloquez can contain the Giants somewhat I think Cin takes this one by 2 + runs...The Reds Bullpen is well rested in case there is a problem.....

I'm thinking reds score in the 6 to 7 range, and the Giants score 3 to 4.....

[ColdBeerHere]

SF/CIN is also on ESPN tonight...So if you are on this one, get your popcorn ready

[ColdBeerHere]

prop bet: Run in the First Inning LAD/COL YES -105 1 unit

cash that....these bets I only bet .8 units....just being honest.....should have put .8 units instead of 1 units....

So far 1-0 up .8 units