RL Away Team Experiment

[ColdBeerHere]

thanks cala....

Just finishing up now...next 3 early games system picks are :

FLA +176, SD +137, and CIN +102

PR, and more picks up soon

[ColdBeerHere]

Hey guys, I may have found something....When I rate a team to have a +PR that Vegas has as a dog, and I have the Vegas Fav as a - PR, these plays are 6-2....

I know it's early, and not a lot of data yet, but I am going to roll with the flow here, and make those games 2 unit bets...They'll be called Green Beer Picks (GBP)

[ColdBeerHere]

Team - PR - Odds - Pick Wed 6-15

FLA (+29) +176 @ PHI (+66) -186 pick is FLA +176 GAME 2

SD (+8) +137 @ COL (+59) -147 pick is SD +137

CIN (-38) +102 @ LAD (-71) -112 pick is CIN +102

STL (+58) -105 @ WSH (-5) -105 pick is STL -105

NYM (+47) +128 @ ATL (+24) -138 pick is NYM +128

PIT (-1) -104 @ HOU (-43) -106 pick is PIT -104

MIL (-22) -104 @ CHC (+5) -106 pick is CHC -106

SF (+3) +101 @ ARZ (-23) -111 pick is SF +101

CLE (-39) +117 @ DET (-26) -127 pick is CLE +117

TEX (-39) +111 @ NYY (+13) -121 pick is NYY -121

BOS (+119) -128 @ TB (+18) +118 pick is BOS -128

CWS (+!7) -130 @ MIN (-66) +120 pick is CWS -130

KC (-11) +136 @ OAK (-45) -146 pick is KC +136

LAA (-5) +108 @ SEA (-32) -118 pick is LAA +108

BAL (-36) +151 @ TOR (+4) -161 pick is BAL +151

I know SF/COL qualifies as a GBP but I don't like that it's only +101...1 unit play on that game as well as the rest of the games...need some more data when it's that close

[ColdBeerHere]

Rollin' with the Canucks tonight as well....Placed a bet for them to win cup a few weeks ago at +160...Have almost 2 units ML on them at each book....GO NUCKS' !!!!! BEAT THE BEAN BOYS !!!!!

[GTforme]

Hmmmmmmmmmm.... I have Canucks series, but I'm thinking about hedging that w/a play on Boston to better than cover the series play!

TORN!

GT's in da' house!

[GTforme]

I hated to do it, but I went Bruins +odds for tonight.

I just can't fathom home ice making that much difference, and I know it went 1 - 0 Canucks in game 5 @ home.

But Boston is just far superior IMO, and Luongo looked very jaded Mon. night.

Of course, I was all over Miami winning Game 6 in the NBA (still so glad Dallas won the Championship)... SO WHAT THE HELL DO I KNOW!!!!!!

I'll recover my series Canucks and some if Bruins manage it... if not I'll loose some... can't wait for the puck to drop!!!!!!!!!!

[GTforme]

No baseball or anything else for me tonight... tired and going to relax and watch this great hockey!

Wish we could both win CBH!

[GTforme]

7 - 8 on 15 games yesterday I think?

The GBP qualifier was a winner, that's encouraging!

[GTforme]

Team - PR - Odds - Pick Wed 6-15

FLA (+29) +176 @ PHI (+66) -186 pick is FLA +176 GAME 2 L

SD (+8) +137 @ COL (+59) -147 pick is SD +137 L

CIN (-38) +102 @ LAD (-71) -112 pick is CIN +102 W

STL (+58) -105 @ WSH (-5) -105 pick is STL -105 L

NYM (+47) +128 @ ATL (+24) -138 pick is NYM +128 W

PIT (-1) -104 @ HOU (-43) -106 pick is PIT -104 W

MIL (-22) -104 @ CHC (+5) -106 pick is CHC -106 L

SF (+3) +101 @ ARZ (-23) -111 pick is SF +101 W (GBP Qualifier)

CLE (-39) +117 @ DET (-26) -127 pick is CLE +117 W

TEX (-39) +111 @ NYY (+13) -121 pick is NYY -121 W

BOS (+119) -128 @ TB (+18) +118 pick is BOS -128 W

CWS (+!7) -130 @ MIN (-66) +120 pick is CWS -130 L

KC (-11) +136 @ OAK (-45) -146 pick is KC +136 L

LAA (-5) +108 @ SEA (-32) -118 pick is LAA +108 L

BAL (-36) +151 @ TOR (+4) -161 pick is BAL +151 L

I know SF/COL qualifies as a GBP but I don't like that it's only +101...1 unit play on that game as well as the rest of the games...need some more data when it's that close

Check behind me CBH.....

[GTforme]

From coachkap MLB thread...

[COLOR=#000000 !important]HI everyone!!!

Have you noticed??? When a MLB team wins BOTH GAMES of a DOUBLEHEADER, that team when playing the SAME team THE NEXT DAY/GAME, has had UNBELIEVABLE SUCCESS playing that same team.... the stats over the last 2 seasons have been AMAZINGLY IN FAVOR OF THE WINNING TEAM (I DO NOT have the exact stats but the winning team has won approx.39 OUT OF THE LAST 43 games over the last 2 seasons after winning both games of a doubleheader)

For example, the PHILLIES beat the MARLINS yesterday in both games of the doubleheader... they play again today at 1:15 p.m. BET with THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES! as an added feature CLIFF LEE is on the BUMP TODAY!!! I WAGERED PHILLIES ML last night at -225 .... today it is up to -235... I also wagered on the PHILLIES -1.5 runs AT -110, IT'S NOW UP TO -115... I BELIEVE THERE'S STILL VALUE IN A PHILLIES BET!!!

THERE'S NO GUARANTEE IN THE PHILLIES WINNING, BUT THE STATS DO NOT LIE!!!

KEEP TRACK OF THE TEAMS WINNING DOUBLEHEADERS AND WINNING/PLAYING THE SAME TEAM THE NEXT GAME!!! let me know your thoughts on this betting trend...[/COLOR]

[ColdBeerHere]

Yea system went 7-8 yesterday down .91 units....For me of course I lost more because I accidentally took Texas instead of the Yanks

That Philly comeback at the end of the game hurt....Florida was a +176 in that game...Would have made a nice day....Oh well onto today.......

Nice call GT on the hockey game....The Bruins remind of those Devil teams from the 90s with Martin Broduer and Scott Stevens - Thomas & Chara....Got to hand it to them...I didn't think they would do it, and they did.

I'll have to look into your stats you posted later...I got into the adult beverages pretty good last night, and my head is pounding...Hoping that goes away so I can cap some of the later games. Be back later hopefully.

[GTforme]

I'm no hockey guy by any stretch of the imagination, but I got caught up in the finals. I covered my Canucks series bet and won some... nothing big

I was gonna' play a GREENIE today after that one hit yesterday, but the Boss is out sick... maybe he makes it back in time

Shake it off CBH... and get to caping!!!!

[ColdBeerHere]

OK...drank some h2o, a couple of advils, and I am good to go....Just started cappin' the last 4

[ColdBeerHere]

Team - PR - Odds - Pick - Thursday 6/16

STL (+70) -104 @ WSH (+2) -106 pick is STL

NYM (-42) +112 @ ATL (-50) -122 pick is NYM

SF (+49) +128 @ ARZ (+46) -138 pick is SF +128

BOS (+60) +107 @ TB (-2) -117 pick is BOS +107


Interesting, tonight the system picked all 4 road dogs as the team with the higher PR...I'm liking it...

Also, at first glance BOS/TB may look like a Green Beer Play, It does meet all criteria thus far but one thing I have not mentioned...GBP are a no play when either the Sox or the Yankees are involved...these two teams for some reason really screw things up

Alright, now let's get them dogs barking tonight !

[ColdBeerHere]

Season Totals:

49-39 13.39 u (9 days)

RL Chase: A bet 1-2
B bet 1-1 up 0.00 units

Unit size is 3.5% of BR

[GTforme]

GL tonight my friend... hope you're feeling abit better!

[ColdBeerHere]

GL tonight my friend... hope you're feeling abit better!

I am feeling fine now thanks...Apparently I was in top form last night...I thought it was a bit odd when I woke up and my clothes were strewn around the living room...

I guess at some point I decided to throw my clothes off last night...Then I went out in the front and was climbing a large boulder in our front yard....I guess I told my gf "watch this", took my clothes off, and ran off into the front yard....I guess I left my boxers on but my gf said I was still puttin' on a show

I am just trying to figure out when the boxers came off cause they were on the living floor

Like I said I really got into the beverages last night

[GTforme]

Nuttin' like letting off some steam once in awhile

[ColdBeerHere]

well we had the mets game won...8-6 mets bottom of the 9th...K-rod in for the save....guy on first one out...and he gives up a 2 run homer to tie it....We'll see what happens.

[ColdBeerHere]

well the next clown the mets put out on the mound in the 10th walks the first batter on 4 pitches...then 1st baseman cant field a grounder....runner to third...then pitchers balks, and winning run comes in...unreal.

[ColdBeerHere]

50-42 11.42 u (10 days)

RL Chase: A bet 1-2
B bet 1-1 up 0.00 units

Unit size is 3.5% of BR



Tough tough day...We win one game...the other 3 go to extra innings, and we lose them all......1-3 down 1.97 units on the day...I need a little break...Got business stuff to do....I am also second guessing my system....I started off hot but have since cooled and have not had a hot day.....Those GBP seem to be Locks but they don't pop up everyday, and it's a lot of number crunching to do ....

I know I am up over a unit per day...But I also averaged 1.6 units per day the first month of the season doing the first inning chase along with other bets....

Well I will be around but laying off the system for a bit

[GTforme]

Will keep checking in CBH.....

[busbybil]

thanks for the picks as always

[GTforme]

Where you hanging out on the SBR threads CBH, anywhere in particular... or just kinda' floating about?

[ColdBeerHere]

Where you hanging out on the SBR threads CBH, anywhere in particular... or just kinda' floating about?

Hey, yea just kind of floating around....Getting back into some business stuff...So I will be busy with that....I've been doing a yes chase in the first inning (with fav odds though)...So far I am 0-2 today....The 10pm games aren't looking really good to me...either for yes, or a no bet. My chase may have to continue tomorrow.

[GTforme]

Couldn't get on yesterday CBH... just too busy!

I'll catch you somewhere on the threads.

[busbybil]

No more picks? Good luck

[ColdBeerHere]

No more picks? Good luck

I think I am going to have to put the capping for that system on hold for a while...I am going to be busy for the next foreseeable future tending to my business....

Instead to save time...I have been doing a score in the first inning chase....I am selective in the games I pick....Usually picking the fav YES.....

I would have to look at how many days I have done this for if anyone was interested (I have been keeping track in a notebook - real pen & paper)...

Tonight I won my first two...lost the third...started a chase...hit the 4th, and ended up 3 units for the day.....What I like about it is it is fast and so far so good....

I am up 14 units over maybe a week or so.....Like I said I would have to look it up to see how many days it has been...

I would post those plays if anyone was interested.

[busbybil]

I'm interested. Thank you

[busbybil]

Can you post them here?

[busbybil]

Thread finished? If so, thank you