RL Away Team Experiment

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  • ColdBeerHere
    SBR MVP
    • 03-25-11
    • 3626

    #71
    Wow is all I can say....I guess crunching numbers for 2+ hours a day really does pay off...Never thought I would do it but here I am....

    With Tampa winning tonight the system went 7-2 today and was up 6.31 units.....

    The 3 day total of this system is: 17-7 and is up a whopping 12.97 units !

    I am having trouble believing this myself....But you know what? When I am all done coming up with the PR's, and then I look at the odds, it's like clear as a bell....This system somehow makes me see how bad the books are juicing the lines....

    If I did hit a home run with this system it wouldn't be the first time something like this has happened....

    Anyways, can't wait for tomorrow....I'll be placing real wagers on the system.....Looks like I'll be capping 11 of the 14 games.....

    Maybe not so much looking forward to 2 hours of number crunching but if it produces winners I guess I have no choice. That's what coffee, and tunes are for
    =
    Oh yea, and on a side note we lost the RL bet tonight...that now stands at 1-1 on A bets up .25 units
    Comment
    • GTforme
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-31-09
      • 424

      #72
      Originally posted by ColdBeerHere
      Well for our RL play tonight I like STL -1.5 again, and I also like TOR RRL...Toronto #6 on the road in scoring....Also there is a large discrepancy between PR between TOR and KC tonight...though I am not sure how much that plays a part in the final score yet.....

      They system says to take HOU ml, but looking at the stats I have to say I also like STL rl as well

      GT, you out there? you got any input on these ? I'm thinking one of these plays, or no play tonight on the RL....
      Glad to see your system correct w/ the HOU ML. Very incouraging here!
      Comment
      • GTforme
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-31-09
        • 424

        #73
        Maybe the choice of a RL play will be clearer today.

        Yeah, CBH... I was skeptical when I saw all the Dogs show up on the 9 plays yesterday. But @ 7-2... WOW!

        GREAT WORK!
        Comment
        • GTforme
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-31-09
          • 424

          #74
          Originally posted by ColdBeerHere
          Well here's the system picks for tonight : WED. 6/8/11

          (Team, PR, odds)

          LAA -15 (+172) @ PHI +67 (-182) pick is LAD +172 L

          STL +107 (-139) @ HOU -30 (+129) pick is HOU +129 W

          ATL -8 (+109) @ FLA -44 (-119) pick is ATL +109 W

          NYM -68 (+148) @ MIL +49 (-158) pick is MIL -158 W

          BOS +9 (+124) @ NYY +25 (-134) pick is BOS +124 W

          DET +7 (+161) @ TEX +80 (-171) pick is DET +161 L

          TOR +87 (+108) @ KC -43 (-118) pick is TOR +108 W

          SEA -35 (+133) @ CWS -5 (-143) pick is SEA +133 W

          TB +61 (+128) @ LAA +30 (-138) pick is TB +128 W


          Well this is rather interesting...System picked only one fav tonight....Are the books trying to make too much money with the juice tonight ? Are they being greedy ?

          Personally I like the plays as I hate the juice....Can't wait to see how these games pan out

          I''m going to start looking soon at a RL play for tonight.....

          Also, anyone reading these picks please be aware this system is brand new....I am not betting any of these games yet.
          For your review CBH... I know you have a lot to get done today w/system capping!
          Comment
          • Galante118
            SBR High Roller
            • 04-26-11
            • 220

            #75
            very interesting thread. ill be checking in here to see how oyu do. best of luck and lets make some money! keep crunching those numbers
            Comment
            • DreJay25
              SBR High Roller
              • 02-15-11
              • 101

              #76
              I have read throught evey post... This is very interesting. I will be tailing what you play for a little while, see where it goes. You are very much into this and the hard work and the dedication is much appreciated. You don't have to be sharing this with us, but the fact that you are speaks a lot about your character and your person. BOL, and lets KA$H some $HIT
              Comment
              • keel44
                SBR MVP
                • 08-01-09
                • 3363

                #77
                What you will find is that the underdogs will have better value. The question is will they win enough over the long haul. Lets see if I can predict what the plays will be using no formula at all.

                Toronto
                Arizona
                Boston
                Seattle
                Atlanta
                Milwaukee
                Texas
                Chicago White Sox
                Cincinnati
                Washington
                Comment
                • ColdBeerHere
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-25-11
                  • 3626

                  #78
                  Thanks everyone for the support....Thanks GT for updating wins and loses, it's appreciated....You're right, it does just add to the amount of time of stuff I have to do.....

                  Well time to get crunching....probably be back in a couple of hours or so with picks
                  Comment
                  • ColdBeerHere
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-25-11
                    • 3626

                    #79
                    OK boys, Here's the picks for today 6-9-11:

                    (team, PR, odds)

                    ARZ +88 (-118) @ PIT -32 (+108) pick is ARZ -118

                    NYM -20 (+165) @ MIL +42 (-175) pick is NYM +165

                    WSH -52 (+120) @ SD -57 (-130) pick is WSH +120

                    ATL +42 (-114) @ FLA -57 (+104) pick is ATL -114

                    CIN +87 (-105) @ SF -29 (-105) pick is CIN -105

                    TOR +26 (-128) @ KC -31 (+118) pick is TOR -128

                    SEA -26 (+179) @ DET +33 (-189) pick is SEA +179

                    BOS +77 (+130) @ NYY +5 (-140) pick is BOS +130

                    OAK -28 (+100) @ CES -46 (-110) pick is OAK +100

                    TEX -32 (-133) @ MIN -63 (+123) pick is MIN +123
                    Comment
                    • GTforme
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-31-09
                      • 424

                      #80
                      playing all 10 for 1 unit ea.
                      Comment
                      • ColdBeerHere
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-25-11
                        • 3626

                        #81
                        Originally posted by GTforme
                        playing all 10 for 1 unit ea.
                        Same here, I'm a little nervous b/c this is my first time with real wagers on the system...But the more I look at the numbers, the more I believe...Let's get these tonight
                        Comment
                        • ColdBeerHere
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-25-11
                          • 3626

                          #82
                          Wow I just noticed the system picked all road teams tonight except for Minnesota...Interesting
                          Comment
                          • ColdBeerHere
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-25-11
                            • 3626

                            #83
                            Toronto threatened in the 8th and 9th innings but couldn't break through...Oh well, onto this evening's games
                            Comment
                            • ColdBeerHere
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-25-11
                              • 3626

                              #84
                              Not too shabby...After opening the night with a loss at KC....The system came back to go 6-3 in the last 9 games....The system has been a winner on all 4 days thus far....Tonight it went 6-4 and +2.90 units....

                              Thus far the 4 day total is:

                              23-11 and up 15.87 units

                              Looks like there are 14 games that fit the capping system tomorrow...Full slate, get your popcorn ready.
                              Comment
                              • GTforme
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-31-09
                                • 424

                                #85
                                Originally posted by ColdBeerHere
                                Not too shabby...After opening the night with a loss at KC....The system came back to go 6-3 in the last 9 games....The system has been a winner on all 4 days thus far....Tonight it went 6-4 and +2.90 units....

                                Thus far the 4 day total is:

                                23-11 and up 15.87 units

                                Looks like there are 14 games that fit the capping system tomorrow...Full slate, get your popcorn ready.
                                SWEEEET, congrats... popcorn's ready!

                                I'll post up the 6-4 results for yesterday in awhile. I forgot all about a RL play yesterday
                                Comment
                                • GTforme
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-31-09
                                  • 424

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by ColdBeerHere
                                  OK boys, Here's the picks for today 6-9-11: Thursday:
                                  (team, PR, odds)

                                  ARZ +88 (-118) @ PIT -32 (+108) pick is ARZ -118 W

                                  NYM -20 (+165) @ MIL +42 (-175) pick is NYM +165 W

                                  WSH -52 (+120) @ SD -57 (-130) pick is WSH +120 L

                                  ATL +42 (-114) @ FLA -57 (+104) pick is ATL -114 W

                                  CIN +87 (-105) @ SF -29 (-105) pick is CIN -105 W

                                  TOR +26 (-128) @ KC -31 (+118) pick is TOR -128 L

                                  SEA -26 (+179) @ DET +33 (-189) pick is SEA +179 L

                                  BOS +77 (+130) @ NYY +5 (-140) pick is BOS +130 W

                                  OAK -28 (+100) @ CES -46 (-110) pick is OAK +100 L

                                  TEX -32 (-133) @ MIN -63 (+123) pick is MIN +123 W

                                  6 wins - 4 losses

                                  For your review CBH...
                                  Comment
                                  • busbybil
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 05-25-11
                                    • 16

                                    #87
                                    nice thread, thanks
                                    Comment
                                    • Dad
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-26-08
                                      • 23245

                                      #88
                                      Interesting thing you got going on here. I hope it keeps working for you, ColdBeer.
                                      Comment
                                      • ColdBeerHere
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-25-11
                                        • 3626

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by GTforme
                                        SWEEEET, congrats... popcorn's ready!

                                        I'll post up the 6-4 results for yesterday in awhile. I forgot all about a RL play yesterday
                                        Yea I hear you there....I think the original plan was to take the highest scoring team on the road for a given night....I've gotten so caught up in this......Currently I've been looking at the numbers and everything that's in front of me to see if I could predict which game would be the best choice for road RL.....Haven't been able to nail it yet.....

                                        Up to you if you want to keep that experiment going in this thread you can do it if you want.....Or wait and see if I can find something....I've been a little hesitant to bet other things outside this system now that it is working so well.....For instance last night at one of my books I was actually down two units....It was from various soccer, and basketball picks I got from others...Luckily I was up at my other two books b/c these picks were not available....If you do it I may or my not tail you, just a heads up......I'm also looking into underdogs that I have ranked as the favorite - like last night I had Boston as the favorite, the books had them as the dogs....They were a +130...This could possibly be incorporated into a chase, dunno yet.

                                        One thing that does look rather promising has something to so with the PR.....I still need more data but I think there could be something promising there....It's looking like I may be able to post serious LOCKS that should hit a great percentage of the time....But like I said more data is needed......

                                        For now though I am gonna get back to it....I just brewed some coffee Time to get back to the grindstone.
                                        Comment
                                        • PoweRay
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 09-07-10
                                          • 417

                                          #90
                                          RRL parlays pay like lottery tickets and can turn a few bucks into a nice bankroll with just 4 or 5 teams. Good luck with this, I like it.
                                          Comment
                                          • GTforme
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 12-31-09
                                            • 424

                                            #91
                                            Originally posted by ColdBeerHere
                                            Yea I hear you there....I think the original plan was to take the highest scoring team on the road for a given night....I've gotten so caught up in this......Currently I've been looking at the numbers and everything that's in front of me to see if I could predict which game would be the best choice for road RL.....Haven't been able to nail it yet.....

                                            Up to you if you want to keep that experiment going in this thread you can do it if you want.....Or wait and see if I can find something....I've been a little hesitant to bet other things outside this system now that it is working so well.....For instance last night at one of my books I was actually down two units....It was from various soccer, and basketball picks I got from others...Luckily I was up at my other two books b/c these picks were not available....If you do it I may or my not tail you, just a heads up......I'm also looking into underdogs that I have ranked as the favorite - like last night I had Boston as the favorite, the books had them as the dogs....They were a +130...This could possibly be incorporated into a chase, dunno yet.

                                            One thing that does look rather promising has something to so with the PR.....I still need more data but I think there could be something promising there....It's looking like I may be able to post serious LOCKS that should hit a great percentage of the time....But like I said more data is needed......

                                            For now though I am gonna get back to it....I just brewed some coffee Time to get back to the grindstone.
                                            I'm not really so hot on the RL chase deal. I'd rather see you be able to keep up w/your caping and exploration of these other possible avenues and addendums. As for me, my time right now is just too strained to be fully focused on too much other that making a living and light wagering... as I'm doing right now. I'm w/you here though and trying to pay close attention to what you're doing. I'll offer up anything I see that might make it stronger or make us more $$.

                                            I hope others reading and/or playing you will do the same!

                                            I'll be on your system plays 100% today CBH!

                                            GL to us all
                                            Comment
                                            • GTforme
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-31-09
                                              • 424

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by PoweRay
                                              RRL parlays pay like lottery tickets and can turn a few bucks into a nice bankroll with just 4 or 5 teams. Good luck with this, I like it.
                                              Stay tuned in PR.... looking forward to some winning action here and eagerly awaiting todays plays!
                                              Comment
                                              • GTforme
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 12-31-09
                                                • 424

                                                #93
                                                CBH,

                                                This is from SoccerLocker, the guy I usually tail on MLS... you remember.

                                                I've put a little on it... but primarily saving it as a rescue for tonite in case alll else goes sour.

                                                Kick's @ 9:00pm

                                                Honduras -2.5 -150 or -3 (+ odds) LOCK


                                                Honduras are disappointed with their 0-0 draw vs. Guatemala and need a big result tonight vs. Grenada. Grenada looked dismal vs. Jamaica and were lucky the final was just 4-0. Honduras know that they need goals to pad their goal Goal Differential in case advancing to the next round comes down to that tie breaker. Grenada are already without MLS star Shalrie Joseph, who declined the invitation to play in the tournament opting to help out his club side New England Revolution instead. On top of that Sporting KC defender and standout for Grenada Craig Rocastle suffered an injury and is listed as doubtful for the Honduras game. Grenada have had some in-team scuffles since they arrived for the tournament, and are simply outmatched here. Honduras have been struggling of late but will want to right the ship this game. I expect Honduras to bag a couple early and then continue to add to their total as the game progresses. Good luck everyone.

                                                I got it this morning at -125. I think it's up now. He advertised it at -150. It's moving back up towards that, but may drop just prior to kick.

                                                WINNER!
                                                Comment
                                                • ColdBeerHere
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-25-11
                                                  • 3626

                                                  #94
                                                  Thanks GT for posting....I actually go there sometimes and look at those picks at that site....

                                                  Here's tonight's picks for 6-10-11:

                                                  (team, PR, odds)

                                                  TB +66 (-120) @ BAL -24 (+110) pick is TB -120

                                                  CLE +3 (+145) @ NYY -47 (-155) pick is CLE +145

                                                  SEA -17 (+106) @ DET -11 (-116) pick is SEA +106

                                                  B0S +22 (-137) @ TOR -6 (+127) pick is TOR +127

                                                  TEX +29 (-153) @ MIN -80 (+143) pick is TEX -153

                                                  KC -52 (+148) @ LAA -49 (-158) pick is KC +148

                                                  CHC -12 (+190) @ PHI +31 (-210) pick is CHC +190

                                                  NYM +31 (+106) @ PIT -30 (-116) pick is NYM +106

                                                  ARZ -24 (+130) @ FLA +5 (-140) pick is ARZ +130

                                                  ATL +17 (-146) @ HOU -47 (+136) pick is HOU +136

                                                  STL +106 (-103) @ MIL +9 (-107) pick is STL -103

                                                  LAD -22 (+144) @ COL +51 (-154) pick is LAD +144

                                                  WSH -54 (+140) @ SD -44 (-150) pick is WSH +140

                                                  CIN -44 (+100) @ SF +34 (-110) pick is SF -110
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GTforme
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-31-09
                                                    • 424

                                                    #95
                                                    I'm gonna play 'em and forget 'em... until time to tally up!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ColdBeerHere
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-25-11
                                                      • 3626

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by GTforme
                                                      I'm gonna play 'em and forget 'em... until time to tally up!
                                                      There ya go...I went 1 unit on each play again....Let's keep the train a' rollin'
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Tgordon777
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 05-09-11
                                                        • 525

                                                        #97
                                                        Cold beer read through all this and im very impressed..Thanks for posting these plays gonna tail tonight and see what happens!

                                                        BOL

                                                        lets cash tonight
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ColdBeerHere
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-25-11
                                                          • 3626

                                                          #98
                                                          Thanks Gordon...BOL to us tonight
                                                          Comment
                                                          • GTforme
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 12-31-09
                                                            • 424

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by Tgordon777
                                                            Cold beer read through all this and im very impressed..Thanks for posting these plays gonna tail tonight and see what happens!

                                                            BOL

                                                            lets cash tonight
                                                            Talk about junk in the trunk
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ColdBeerHere
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-25-11
                                                              • 3626

                                                              #100
                                                              Well, looks like we went 6-8 tonight, and down 1.91 units....First losing night for the system.....

                                                              I have to be up real early tomorrow for business stuff...I've had a few whiskeys in me and should get to sleep...But I am going to see if I can't cap some games before I go to sleep
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ColdBeerHere
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-25-11
                                                                • 3626

                                                                #101
                                                                Hey you guys I crunched the numbers again and it looks like alot of dogs and road teams again....I will post them later....here are the picks...I have not bet them yet...I want to look at these some more.....tired and I have to get up in a few....

                                                                TOR, MIN, TB, SEA, OAK, KC, STL, LAD, CIN, CHC, NYM, WAS, CLE
                                                                Comment
                                                                • busbybil
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 05-25-11
                                                                  • 16

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Best of luck with your picks
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • GTforme
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 12-31-09
                                                                    • 424

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Out of the 15 MLB games contested yesterday, The team that scored 1st. in the game, won the game.

                                                                    Thanks for staying up so late caping for today CBH... you must be dragging thru that business stuff?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tgordon777
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 05-09-11
                                                                      • 525

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by ColdBeerHere
                                                                      Well, looks like we went 6-8 tonight, and down 1.91 units....First losing night for the system.....

                                                                      I have to be up real early tomorrow for business stuff...I've had a few whiskeys in me and should get to sleep...But I am going to see if I can't cap some games before I go to sleep
                                                                      thanks man for your hard work
                                                                      parlayed the two late games-(SF/WAS) ended up a nice day..already on TOR glad to see system agrees...BOL gonna tail again
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • GTforme
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 12-31-09
                                                                        • 424

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Originally posted by coldbeerhere
                                                                        thanks gt for posting....i actually go there sometimes and look at those picks at that site....

                                                                        Here's tonight's picks for 6-10-11: friday

                                                                        (team, pr, odds)

                                                                        tb +66 (-120) @ bal -24 (+110) pick is tb -120 l

                                                                        cle +3 (+145) @ nyy -47 (-155) pick is cle +145 l

                                                                        sea -17 (+106) @ det -11 (-116) pick is sea +106 w

                                                                        b0s +22 (-137) @ tor -6 (+127) pick is tor +127 l

                                                                        tex +29 (-153) @ min -80 (+143) pick is tex -153 w

                                                                        kc -52 (+148) @ laa -49 (-158) pick is kc +148w w

                                                                        chc -12 (+190) @ phi +31 (-210) pick is chc +190 l

                                                                        nym +31 (+106) @ pit -30 (-116) pick is nym +106 w

                                                                        arz -24 (+130) @ fla +5 (-140) pick is arz +130 l

                                                                        atl +17 (-146) @ hou -47 (+136) pick is hou +136 l

                                                                        stl +106 (-103) @ mil +9 (-107) pick is stl -103 l

                                                                        lad -22 (+144) @ col +51 (-154) pick is lad +144 l

                                                                        wsh -54 (+140) @ sd -44 (-150) pick is wsh +140 w

                                                                        cin -44 (+100) @ sf +34 (-110) pick is sf -110 w
                                                                        6 - 8
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