New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

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  • Formulawiz
    Restricted User
    • 01-12-09
    • 1589

    #561
    Originally posted by barts185
    Question on the team H/A power plays.

    From the site:

    "Some pitching-only based systems may work well as early as May when a pitcher has completed 15 or more starts."

    Is that a typo? Does it mean to say 5 starts?
    I believe it means 15 innings and not starts. Ill point it out to sportrends
    Comment
    • Formulawiz
      Restricted User
      • 01-12-09
      • 1589

      #562
      ML system went 1-0, +1 unit
      YTD 18-9, +6 units
      Another win on the free play.
      Plays later today.
      Comment
      • rask7rask7
        SBR High Roller
        • 10-01-10
        • 159

        #563
        Originally posted by Formulawiz
        ML system went 1-0, +1 unit
        YTD 18-9, +6 units
        Another win on the free play.
        Plays later today.
        Good job again.
        Thank you and good luck
        Comment
        • losemyloot
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-26-11
          • 697

          #564
          Yesterdays PT Power Plays 05/24
          CLE +130 L

          PIT +103 L
          HOU +113 L
          SFG n/p > -130
          Yesterday 0-3 -3.0 Units
          Start Date 05/01
          50-56 -.26 Units


          Todays PT Power Plays 5/25
          HOU
          CIN
          COL (watch line currently -124)
          FLA 1/2U
          n/p if >-130

          Filtered Out
          TAM n/p L2
          WAS n/p L4
          KC n/p L3
          NYY n/p >-130
          Last edited by losemyloot; 05-25-11, 08:39 AM. Reason: Add U
          Comment
          • HoulihansTX
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-12-09
            • 30566

            #565
            Originally posted by HoulihansTX
            March 26 to May 14
            Overall
            (68-52) +22.56 Units


            Official start (May 15 - Current)
            Overall
            (23-19) +3.15Units


            _____________________
            Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher. May 24

            Bullpen Projection System

            Arizona 6.70 (Only Game 1) L (+155)
            Atl 5.93 W (-125)
            Philly 1.93
            L (-115)
            March 26 to May 14
            Overall
            (68-52) +22.56 Units

            Official start (May 15 - Current)
            Overall

            (24-21) +2.0Units

            _____________________
            Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

            May 25
            Bullpen Projection System

            San Fran
            5.27
            Arizona
            5.01
            Balty 4.75
            Atl 3.20
            Angels 2.39
            Seattle 1.98
            Stl 1.19

            Tampa np L2
            Wash np L2
            CWS np L2
            Philly np >-150
            Mets np L2
            Comment
            • Formulawiz
              Restricted User
              • 01-12-09
              • 1589

              #566
              Todays ML plays
              Must be < -140
              SF, DET, TEX
              Comment
              • BrewMaster
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-03-10
                • 555

                #567
                24May11 Result: 2-1 +1.65 units
                Record Official Start 15May11: 20-16, +2.30 units)


                Scientific Approach 25May11:


                SEA, -239
                STL, -160
                OAK, -164

                Filtered (CLE, PIT, TB, WAS, KC, NYM)
                System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.
                Last edited by BrewMaster; 05-25-11, 09:02 AM.
                Comment
                • ShivaBowl
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-09-10
                  • 5133

                  #568
                  Team Projected Runs, 05/24
                  STL 2.3 –130 W
                  Start Date 05/01
                  27-25 +2.65

                  PR Predicted Run, 05/24
                  N/P
                  Start Date 05/13
                  8-4 +5.84u

                  Tracking: Pitching and Team H/A Power Plays
                  Went 2-0 yesterday
                  6-0 last two days

                  TPR Plays, 05/25
                  STL 2.4
                  CIN 1.1
                  MLW np >-150


                  PR Run Plays, 05/25
                  MIN, OAK
                  Filtered Out,
                  WAS L/4
                  TB L/2
                  TEX >-100
                  BLT >-100
                  PHI >-100
                  NYM L/3

                  H/A Plays, 05/25
                  TOR, ARZ
                  Comment
                  • feedmecappers
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 04-20-10
                    • 221

                    #569
                    **FINAL** 5/25/2011 Summary

                    Originally Posted by ShivaBowl
                    Team Projected Runs
                    System NO PLAY if >-150
                    STL 2.4
                    CIN 1.1

                    Filtered:
                    MLW np >-150


                    PR Predicted Runs

                    MIN
                    OAK

                    Filtered:
                    WAS L/4
                    TB L/2
                    TEX >-100
                    BAL >-100
                    PHI >-100
                    NYM L/3


                    H/A Power Plays
                    TOR
                    ARI

                    Originally Posted by BrewMaster
                    Scientific Approach
                    System NO PLAY if >-150
                    SEA, -239
                    STL, -160
                    OAK, -164

                    Filtered:
                    CLE
                    PIT
                    TB
                    WAS
                    KC
                    NYM


                    Originally Posted by Formulawiz

                    ML plays
                    System NO PLAY if >-140
                    SF
                    DET
                    TEX

                    Originally Posted by Losemyloot
                    PT Power Plays
                    System NO PLAY if >-130
                    HOU
                    CIN
                    COL (watch line)
                    FLA 1/2U

                    Filtered:
                    TB n/p L2
                    WAS n/p L4
                    KC n/p L3
                    NYY n/p >-130


                    Originally Posted by HoulihansTX
                    Bullpen Projection System
                    System NO PLAY if >-150
                    SF 5.27
                    ARI 5.01
                    BAL 4.75
                    ATL 3.20
                    LAA 2.39
                    SEA 1.98
                    STL 1.19

                    Filtered:
                    TB np L2
                    WAS np L2
                    CWS np L2
                    PHI np >-150
                    NYM np L2

                    _____________________________________
                    RECORDS (Including W/L and YTD units)
                    *PM me if incorrect or have past daily data
                    Comment
                    • grilldog24
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 03-29-11
                      • 193

                      #570
                      two plays today ?
                      Comment
                      • GGZOLA
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-30-06
                        • 1118

                        #571
                        hopefully they will be 2 positives. thanks guys
                        Comment
                        • grilldog24
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 03-29-11
                          • 193

                          #572
                          got a question for you ? what are the plays for today sorry dont under stand all stats
                          Comment
                          • rask7rask7
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 10-01-10
                            • 159

                            #573
                            Let's have some winners today
                            Comment
                            • losemyloot
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-26-11
                              • 697

                              #574
                              Yesterdays PT Power Plays 05/25
                              HOU +108 W

                              CIN +170 L
                              COL -122 L
                              FLA 1/2U +128 W
                              Yesterday 2-2 -.5 Units
                              Start Date 05/01
                              52-58 -.76 Units


                              Todays PT Power Plays 5/26
                              CIN ½U
                              LAA
                              CWS
                              n/p if >-130

                              Filtered Out
                              BOS np DET W3
                              Comment
                              • ShivaBowl
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-09-10
                                • 5133

                                #575
                                Team Projected Runs, 05/24
                                STL –126 L
                                CIN 1.1 +170 L
                                Start Date 05/01
                                27-27 +. 39u

                                PR Predicted Run, 05/25
                                No Plays
                                Start Date 05/13
                                8-4 +5.84u

                                Tracking 05/24: Pitching and Team H/A Power Plays
                                7-1
                                Went 1-1 yesterday

                                TPR Plays, 05/26
                                CIN 1.0
                                LAA 1.0

                                PR Run Plays, 05/26
                                No Plays
                                Filtered Out
                                BAL & COL >-100

                                H/A Plays, 05/26
                                No Plays
                                Last edited by ShivaBowl; 05-26-11, 09:42 AM.
                                Comment
                                • HoulihansTX
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 02-12-09
                                  • 30566

                                  #576
                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                  March 26 to May 14
                                  Overall
                                  (68-52) +22.56 Units


                                  Official start (May 15 - Current)
                                  Overall
                                  (24-21) +2.0Units


                                  _____________________
                                  Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

                                  May 25

                                  Bullpen Projection System

                                  San Fran 5.27 L (-140)
                                  Arizona 5.01 W (+100)
                                  Balty 4.75 W (-145)
                                  Atl 3.20 W (+105)
                                  Angels 2.39 W (+100)
                                  Seattle 1.98 W (-110)
                                  Stl 1.19
                                  L (-110)
                                  March 26 to May 14
                                  Overall
                                  (68-52) +22.56 Units

                                  Official start (May 15 - Current)
                                  Overall

                                  (29-23) +4.65Units

                                  _____________________
                                  Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

                                  May 26
                                  Bullpen Projection System

                                  Florida 5.91
                                  CWS 3.81
                                  Balty 3.55
                                  Arizona 1.16

                                  Boston np (Detroit W2)
                                  Comment
                                  • BrewMaster
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-03-10
                                    • 555

                                    #577
                                    25May11 Result: 1-2 -1.36 units
                                    Record Official Start 15May11: 21-18, +0.94 units


                                    Scientific Approach 26May11:


                                    CIN, -167
                                    NYM, -114
                                    ANA, -144
                                    FLA, -105

                                    Filtered (COL >-150)
                                    System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.
                                    Comment
                                    • Tommygunn
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 02-26-09
                                      • 669

                                      #578
                                      Wiz can we please have ML plays? First game in 30min

                                      Thanks
                                      Comment
                                      • HoulihansTX
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-12-09
                                        • 30566

                                        #579
                                        Originally posted by Tommygunn
                                        Wiz can we please have ML plays? First game in 30min Thanks
                                        Balty np <-150
                                        Philly np <-150
                                        Cubs np <-130

                                        Boston np(Detroit W2)

                                        If there are additional filters that Formulawiz has added, then I am not aware of them.

                                        BOL
                                        Comment
                                        • Tommygunn
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 02-26-09
                                          • 669

                                          #580
                                          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                          Balty np <-150
                                          Philly np <-150
                                          Cubs np <-130

                                          Boston np(Detroit W2)

                                          If there are additional filters that Formulawiz has added, then I am not aware of them.

                                          BOL
                                          Thanks Houli
                                          Comment
                                          • docvinny
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 11-21-09
                                            • 386

                                            #581
                                            good luck today guys
                                            Comment
                                            • Mr.Carrot
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 03-15-10
                                              • 1148

                                              #582
                                              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                              May 26
                                              [/I][/B]Bullpen Projection System

                                              Florida 5.91
                                              CWS 3.81
                                              Balty 3.55
                                              Arizona 1.16

                                              Boston np (Detroit W2)
                                              Houli, why there isnt Oakland? It should be play too or not?
                                              Its 2,64 and no L2, W2 or -150 filter
                                              Comment
                                              • barts185
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-13-09
                                                • 815

                                                #583
                                                Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                Balty np <-150
                                                Philly np <-150
                                                Cubs np <-130

                                                Boston np(Detroit W2)

                                                If there are additional filters that Formulawiz has added, then I am not aware of them.

                                                BOL
                                                I think that he has starting using -140 as the most he is willing to lay. I'm not positive, but he had a couple of posts about it and yesterday he did specifically say that the plays were only plays if you could lay -140 or less.
                                                Comment
                                                • HoulihansTX
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-12-09
                                                  • 30566

                                                  #584
                                                  Originally posted by Mr.Carrot
                                                  Houli, why there isnt Oakland? It should be play too or not?
                                                  Its 2,64 and no L2, W2 or -150 filter
                                                  Chokeland was a play. It just didnt make it from my speadsheet to this thread. Dammit. Thanks. I apologize fellas.

                                                  Bart,
                                                  Thanks for pointing out the additional filters. Nevertheless, all of the recommended teams have won so far.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Small Timer
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-12-11
                                                    • 389

                                                    #585
                                                    Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                    Chokeland was a play. It just didnt make it from my speadsheet to this thread. Dammit. Thanks. I apologize fellas.

                                                    Bart,
                                                    Thanks for pointing out the additional filters. Nevertheless, all of the recommended teams have won so far.
                                                    Nice day, with the BPR plays undefeated and I played the free pick of the day at Philly -1 instead of moneyline and made a very nice profit today.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HoulihansTX
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-12-09
                                                      • 30566

                                                      #586
                                                      Congrats Small Timer on the profits.
                                                      This was one of those days you wish you had a parlay going.
                                                      Last edited by HoulihansTX; 05-26-11, 11:02 PM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mr.Carrot
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 03-15-10
                                                        • 1148

                                                        #587
                                                        Hi, i am working on one of these systems in detail.
                                                        Looking how filters work, looking for new filters etc.

                                                        I dont want public it here for now becasue it should make mess in this system. And its not my interest due to realy welcome HARD work guys doing here.

                                                        I am missing detail for May 15th-18th
                                                        If anyone is interested in my filters in detail and would help me fill in missing data and working on it, let me know please.
                                                        My target is find the most profitable system in this system, nevetheless it works well without any filter.

                                                        Thanks
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BrewMaster
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-03-10
                                                          • 555

                                                          #588
                                                          26May11 Result: 1-3 -2.13 units
                                                          Record Official Start 15May11: 21-18, -1.19 units


                                                          Scientific Approach 27May11:


                                                          PHI, -213
                                                          ARZ, -185
                                                          ANA, -184
                                                          STL, -110
                                                          FLA, -147

                                                          Filtered (PIT, CLE, KC, OAK, SEA)
                                                          System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BrewMaster
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-03-10
                                                            • 555

                                                            #589
                                                            Wow the service plays are 39-9 at this point. 81% that's unreal!!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BrewMaster
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 12-03-10
                                                              • 555

                                                              #590
                                                              Originally posted by Mr.Carrot
                                                              Hi, i am working on one of these systems in detail.
                                                              Looking how filters work, looking for new filters etc.

                                                              I dont want public it here for now becasue it should make mess in this system. And its not my interest due to realy welcome HARD work guys doing here.

                                                              I am missing detail for May 15th-18th
                                                              If anyone is interested in my filters in detail and would help me fill in missing data and working on it, let me know please.
                                                              My target is find the most profitable system in this system, nevetheless it works well without any filter.

                                                              Thanks
                                                              SA: http://brewmaster.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/
                                                              Comment
                                                              • rask7rask7
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 10-01-10
                                                                • 159

                                                                #591
                                                                thanks for the picks!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • losemyloot
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-26-11
                                                                  • 697

                                                                  #592
                                                                  Yesterdays PT Power Plays 05/26
                                                                  CIN 1/2U +130 L
                                                                  LAA -113 L
                                                                  CWS +129 W
                                                                  Yesterday 1-2 -.34 Units
                                                                  Start Date 05/01
                                                                  53-60 -1.10 Units


                                                                  Todays PT Power Plays 5/27
                                                                  BOS
                                                                  LAA 1/2U
                                                                  STL 1/2U
                                                                  BAL
                                                                  NYY
                                                                  n/p if >-130

                                                                  Filtered Out
                                                                  NYM n/p PHI W2
                                                                  CLE n/p L2
                                                                  CIN n/p L2
                                                                  HOU n/p ARZ W3
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ShivaBowl
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-09-10
                                                                    • 5133

                                                                    #593
                                                                    Team Projected Runs, 05/26
                                                                    CIN 1.0 +130 L
                                                                    LAA 1.0 +-113 L
                                                                    0-2 –2.13u
                                                                    Start Date 05/01
                                                                    27-29 –2.52

                                                                    PR Predicted Runs, 05/26
                                                                    No Plays
                                                                    Start Date 05/13
                                                                    8-4 +5.84u

                                                                    Tracking:05/24 Team H/A Power Plays
                                                                    7-1
                                                                    H/A Plays, 05/27
                                                                    No Plays

                                                                    TPR Plays, 05/27
                                                                    NYY 2.2
                                                                    LAA 1.4
                                                                    MLW 1.1
                                                                    STL 1.0
                                                                    Filtered Out
                                                                    CHC np IP<-20

                                                                    PR Run Plays, 05/27
                                                                    SDP

                                                                    H/A Plays, 05/27
                                                                    No Plays
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • joeytunes
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-29-10
                                                                      • 449

                                                                      #594
                                                                      i ve been on service plays since last college they always win!!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • wikaj
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 10-23-10
                                                                        • 93

                                                                        #595
                                                                        Originally posted by ShivaBowl
                                                                        Team Projected Runs, 05/24
                                                                        STL 2.3 –130 W
                                                                        Start Date 05/01
                                                                        27-25 +2.65

                                                                        PR Predicted Run, 05/24
                                                                        N/P
                                                                        Start Date 05/13
                                                                        8-4 +5.84u

                                                                        Tracking: Pitching and Team H/A Power Plays
                                                                        Went 2-0 yesterday
                                                                        6-0 last two days

                                                                        TPR Plays, 05/25
                                                                        STL 2.4
                                                                        CIN 1.1
                                                                        MLW np >-150


                                                                        PR Run Plays, 05/25
                                                                        MIN, OAK
                                                                        Filtered Out,
                                                                        WAS L/4
                                                                        TB L/2
                                                                        TEX >-100
                                                                        BLT >-100
                                                                        PHI >-100
                                                                        NYM L/3

                                                                        H/A Plays, 05/25
                                                                        TOR, ARZ
                                                                        Hey Shiva the PR is 8-6. You forgot to add in the OAK and MIN losses on Wednesday May 25.
                                                                        Comment
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