New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

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  • BrewMaster
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-03-10
    • 555

    #456
    18May11 Result: 0-1 (CIN and FLA fell out at >-150, filter saved 2 losses!)
    Record Official Start 15May11: 8-5 (+3.24 units)


    Scientific Approach 19May11:


    NYM, -160
    COL, -198

    Filtered (ANA, CLE)
    System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.
    Comment
    • feedmecappers
      SBR High Roller
      • 04-20-10
      • 221

      #457
      5/19/2011 Summary

      Originally Posted by ShivaBowl
      Team Projected Runs
      System NO PLAY if >-150
      NYM 1.3
      MLW 1.1

      Filtered:
      CIN 1.4 np >-150
      STL 1.5 np >-150
      OAK 1.0 np >-150
      LAA 1.3 np L/4
      NYY 1.3 np >-150
      CLE 1.5 np CWS W/2


      PR Predicted Runs

      No Plays

      Originally Posted by BrewMaster
      Scientific Approach
      System NO PLAY if >-150
      NYM -160
      COL -198

      Filtered:
      LAA
      CLE


      Originally Posted by Formulawiz

      ML plays
      FLA
      TOR
      TB

      Originally Posted by Losemyloot
      PT Power Plays
      System NO PLAY if >-130
      MIN
      SEA
      TB
      CHC

      Filtered:
      BAL n/p L2
      CLE n/p CWS W2
      KC n/p L5
      ATL n/p ARZ W2
      SD 1/2U n/p L2


      Originally Posted by HoulihansTX
      Bullpen Projection System
      System NO PLAY if >-150
      SF 7.00
      SEA 5.08
      NYM 5.01
      CWS 3.80
      ARI 2.52
      BOS 2.51
      TB 1.30

      Filtered:
      CIN np >-150
      HOU np L2
      OAK np (Minny W2)
      FLA np >-150
      KC np L5
      SD np L2

      _____________________________________
      RECORDS (Including W/L and YTD units)
      *PM me if incorrect or have past daily data
      Last edited by feedmecappers; 05-19-11, 11:13 AM.
      Comment
      • ShivaBowl
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-09-10
        • 5133

        #458
        [quote=BrewMaster;10054575] 18May11 Result: 0-1 (CIN and FLA fell out at >-150, filter saved 2 losses!)
        The No Play if >-150 has worked out!
        When you post a play that's close to >-150
        post it EX: STL np if STL >-150
        Thanks


        Comment
        • ShivaBowl
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-09-10
          • 5133

          #459
          Originally posted by Tommygunn
          If somethings a NP > -130 is it a NP if it does not fit the SBR home page odds or do I play it if I can find one of my books that has it at -130 or better (such as Pinnacle or 5 dimes)?
          Very important to pay attention to our line constraints. Make sure to pass on games outside our line parameters. Also, check the lines at a majority of casinos.
          BOL

          Comment
          • feedmecappers
            SBR High Roller
            • 04-20-10
            • 221

            #460
            Originally posted by ShivaBowl
            Very important to pay attention to our line constraints. Make sure to pass on games outside our line parameters. Also, check the lines at a majority of casinos. BOL
            Posting convention updated to stress this point
            Comment
            • joeytunes
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-29-10
              • 449

              #461
              how can tor and tb b ml plays? they play each other
              Comment
              • ShivaBowl
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-09-10
                • 5133

                #462
                Originally posted by thebonzman
                really like the records report (Including W/L and YTD units) nice job
                Thanks thebonzman.
                BOL
                Comment
                • Mr.Carrot
                  Restricted User
                  • 03-15-10
                  • 1148

                  #463
                  Originally Posted by Formulawiz
                  ML plays
                  FLA
                  TOR
                  TB

                  Just curious - doesnt play TB at TOR ?
                  How can both be ML play?
                  Comment
                  • ShivaBowl
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-09-10
                    • 5133

                    #464
                    Originally posted by joeytunes
                    how can tor and tb b ml plays? they play each other
                    Sorry joeytunes, I dont understand your ?
                    Comment
                    • ShivaBowl
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-09-10
                      • 5133

                      #465
                      Team Projected Runs, 05/18
                      NYY 1.2 +1.05 W
                      MLW 1.1 -1.30 W

                      Yesterday 2-0 +2.05u
                      Start Date 05/01
                      24-23 +1.88

                      Team Projected Runs, 05/19
                      NYM 1.3
                      MLW 1.1

                      CIN 1.4 no play CIN >-150
                      STL 1.5 np >-150
                      OAK 1.0 np >-150
                      LAA 1.3 np L/4
                      NYY 1.3 np >-150
                      CLE 1.5 np CWS W/2

                      PR Predicted Runs, 05/19
                      No Plays
                      Start Date 05/13
                      4-2 +3.87u
                      Comment
                      • staf
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-11-07
                        • 2521

                        #466
                        Originally posted by Formulawiz
                        ML 1-4, -4.5
                        ML YTD 12-8, 1.05

                        Plays today FLA, TOR, TB
                        Tampa Bay and Toronto are playing each other today.
                        Comment
                        • losemyloot
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-26-11
                          • 697

                          #467
                          Yesterdays PT Power Plays 05/18
                          BAL -125 L

                          COL +129 L
                          SEA +137 W
                          Yesterday 1-2 -.88 Units
                          Start Date 05/01
                          43-44 +2.59 Units


                          Todays PT Power Plays 5/19
                          MIN
                          SEA
                          TB
                          CHC
                          n/p if > -130

                          Filtered Out
                          BAL n/p L2
                          CLE n/p CWS W2
                          KC n/p L5
                          ATL n/p ARZ W2
                          SDP 1/2U n/p L2
                          Comment
                          • feedmecappers
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 04-20-10
                            • 221

                            #468
                            Originally posted by joeytunes
                            how can tor and tb b ml plays? they play each other
                            Originally posted by Mr.Carrot
                            Originally Posted by Formulawiz ML plays FLA TOR TB Just curious - doesnt play TB at TOR ? How can both be ML play?
                            Originally posted by staf
                            Tampa Bay and Toronto are playing each other today.
                            Fixed. The play is on TOR
                            Last edited by feedmecappers; 05-19-11, 12:55 PM.
                            Comment
                            • Formulawiz
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-12-09
                              • 1589

                              #469
                              Guys I was wondering if I should drop the ML plays from -175 to -140 for the ML system. Any thoughts
                              Comment
                              • JR007
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-21-10
                                • 5279

                                #470
                                First visit to this thread.......like the approach
                                Comment
                                • joeytunes
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-29-10
                                  • 449

                                  #471
                                  sorry..i was saying how can tb and toronto both b plays bc they are playing each other shiv?
                                  Comment
                                  • HoulihansTX
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 02-12-09
                                    • 30566

                                    #472
                                    Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                    May 26 to May 14
                                    Overall
                                    (68-52) +22.56 Units


                                    Official start (May 15 - Current)
                                    Overall
                                    (11-7) +3.8 Units

                                    _____________________

                                    Official May 18
                                    Bullpen Projection System

                                    San Diego 4.86 L (+118)
                                    Seattle 3.20 W (+135)
                                    Florida 2.30L (-145)
                                    Cincy 2.04
                                    L (-150)
                                    May 26 to May 14
                                    Overall
                                    (68-52) +22.56 Units

                                    Official start (May 15 - Current)
                                    Overall

                                    (12-10) +1.2 Units

                                    _____________________
                                    Official

                                    May 19
                                    Bullpen Projection System

                                    San Fran 7.00
                                    Seattle 5.08
                                    Mets 5.01
                                    CWS 3.80
                                    Arizona 2.52
                                    Boston 2.51
                                    Tampa 1.30

                                    Cincy np >-150
                                    Houston np L2
                                    Oakland np (Minny W2)
                                    Florida np >-150
                                    Kansas City np L5
                                    San Diego np L2



                                    Added Filter: No Play on teams -150 or higher. Those types of lines kill your bankroll IMO. I rarely play them myself.
                                    Comment
                                    • losemyloot
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-26-11
                                      • 697

                                      #473
                                      Agree at -150 you have to hit 60% to break even. Good luck with that.
                                      Comment
                                      • Tommygunn
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 02-26-09
                                        • 669

                                        #474
                                        I'll ask the same question because it hasn't been answered yet. Why does Formulawiz have both TB and Tor as picks for the money line systems when they play each other????????
                                        Comment
                                        • feedmecappers
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 04-20-10
                                          • 221

                                          #475
                                          **FINAL** 5/19/2011 Summary

                                          Originally Posted by ShivaBowl
                                          Team Projected Runs
                                          System NO PLAY if >-150
                                          NYM 1.3
                                          MLW 1.1

                                          Filtered:
                                          CIN 1.4 np >-150
                                          STL 1.5 np >-150
                                          OAK 1.0 np >-150
                                          LAA 1.3 np L/4
                                          NYY 1.3 np >-150
                                          CLE 1.5 np CWS W/2


                                          PR Predicted Runs

                                          No Plays

                                          Originally Posted by BrewMaster
                                          Scientific Approach
                                          System NO PLAY if >-150
                                          NYM -160
                                          COL -198

                                          Filtered:
                                          LAA
                                          CLE


                                          Originally Posted by Formulawiz

                                          ML plays
                                          FLA
                                          TOR
                                          NYY if line comes down

                                          Originally Posted by Losemyloot
                                          PT Power Plays
                                          System NO PLAY if >-130
                                          MIN
                                          SEA
                                          TB
                                          CHC

                                          Filtered:
                                          BAL n/p L2
                                          CLE n/p CWS W2
                                          KC n/p L5
                                          ATL n/p ARZ W2
                                          SD 1/2U n/p L2


                                          Originally Posted by HoulihansTX
                                          Bullpen Projection System
                                          System NO PLAY if >-150
                                          SF 7.00
                                          SEA 5.08
                                          NYM 5.01
                                          CWS 3.80
                                          ARI 2.52
                                          BOS 2.51
                                          TB 1.30

                                          Filtered:
                                          CIN np >-150
                                          HOU np L2
                                          OAK np (Minny W2)
                                          FLA np >-150
                                          KC np L5
                                          SD np L2

                                          _____________________________________
                                          RECORDS (Including W/L and YTD units)
                                          *PM me if incorrect or have past daily data
                                          Last edited by feedmecappers; 05-19-11, 12:05 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • Formulawiz
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 01-12-09
                                            • 1589

                                            #476
                                            Todays ML plays

                                            TOR. FLA & NYY too high right now.
                                            Comment
                                            • Small Timer
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 01-12-11
                                              • 389

                                              #477
                                              BOL everyone
                                              Comment
                                              • staf
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-11-07
                                                • 2521

                                                #478
                                                Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                                Guys I was wondering if I should drop the ML plays from -175 to -140 for the ML system. Any thoughts
                                                Based on your picks in this thread, I've got -155 as the worst odds to bet the ML plays.
                                                Comment
                                                • barts185
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 12-13-09
                                                  • 815

                                                  #479
                                                  Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                                  Guys I was wondering if I should drop the ML plays from -175 to -140 for the ML system. Any thoughts
                                                  I've never been a fan of laying big numbers. I'm trying to be helpful here, not a pain, but have you (or anyone) ever tracked how the plays have done when laying -150 and higher?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rask7rask7
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 10-01-10
                                                    • 159

                                                    #480
                                                    Best of luck today on your plays
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HoulihansTX
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-12-09
                                                      • 30566

                                                      #481
                                                      Another huge day for the BPR. I actually just bought a new cell phone with my money. For those with Sprint, get th new Galaxy Epic 4G. Practically a 6inch computer.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Qtip
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 02-18-11
                                                        • 367

                                                        #482
                                                        Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                        Another huge day for the BPR. I actually just bought a new cell phone with my money. For those with Sprint, get th new Galaxy Epic 4G. Practically a 6inch computer.
                                                        Yeah and the filter worked great.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • himeshforex
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 05-29-09
                                                          • 1414

                                                          #483
                                                          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                          Another huge day for the BPR. I actually just bought a new cell phone with my money. For those with Sprint, get th new Galaxy Epic 4G. Practically a 6inch computer.
                                                          awesome bro !!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Giant Rebels
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 10-09-10
                                                            • 289

                                                            #484
                                                            Keep your receipt because when u run out money u can return the phone.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Formulawiz
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 01-12-09
                                                              • 1589

                                                              #485
                                                              ML system went 2-0, +2 units
                                                              YTD 14-8, 3.05 units

                                                              Been monitoring Predicted Run plays and there have been some huge winning days.

                                                              Will continue to use -140 as a filter for our ML plays.

                                                              Plays later today.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mr.Carrot
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 03-15-10
                                                                • 1148

                                                                #486
                                                                Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                                                ML system went 2-0, +2 units
                                                                YTD 14-8, 3.05 units

                                                                Been monitoring Predicted Run plays and there have been some huge winning days.

                                                                Will continue to use -140 as a filter for our ML plays.

                                                                Plays later today.
                                                                Im not sure, but ML plays were FLA, TOR and NYY no play
                                                                Thats 1-1 or I missed someting?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Formulawiz
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                                  • 1589

                                                                  #487
                                                                  Originally posted by Mr.Carrot
                                                                  Im not sure, but ML plays were FLA, TOR and NYY no play
                                                                  Thats 1-1 or I missed someting?
                                                                  Plays were TOR CWS and FLA which was no play do to hi line. If I entered NYY that was an error since line also too hi.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Formulawiz
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-12-09
                                                                    • 1589

                                                                    #488
                                                                    Todays ML play STL at -145, needs to drop to be a play.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BrewMaster
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-03-10
                                                                      • 555

                                                                      #489
                                                                      GREAT DAY FOR THE SYSTEMS!!! Plays coming.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BrewMaster
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 12-03-10
                                                                        • 555

                                                                        #490
                                                                        19May11 Result: 2-0
                                                                        Record Official Start 15May11: 10-5 (+5.24 units)


                                                                        Scientific Approach 20May11:


                                                                        PIT, -129

                                                                        I like a lot of the filtered due to <20 IP, Filtered (CLE, COL, CHC, WAS, KC, ATL, SD)
                                                                        System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.
                                                                        Comment
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