New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

HoulihansTX · 05-31-11, 08:50 AM

BPR No Plays, Since May 3rd
(57-48) Failed to track Units, as I did not copy down the ML's.

BrewMaster · 05-31-11, 09:10 AM

30May11 Result: 1-3 -2.06
Record Official Start 15May11: 31-32, -0.17 units

Scientific Approach 31May11:

SF, -113
NYY, -235

Filtered (BAL, COL, DET)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.

losemyloot · 05-31-11, 09:22 AM

Yesterdays PT Power Plays 05/30
OAK -112 L
COL -103 L
ARZ -135 n/p over -130 (system really needed this one)
Yesterday 0-2 -2.0 Units
Start Date 05/01
56-68 -7.00 Units

Todays PT Power Plays 5/31
NYY
n/p if >-130

Filtered Out
WAS n/p L3
BOS n/p L2
COL n/p L2

losemyloot · 05-31-11, 09:46 AM

Yankees seem to be a pick in several of the systems today. Usually I wait on betting dogs but with the Yankees being a public team is it better to put it in now or to wait?

barts185 · 05-31-11, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by Formulawiz

Guys thanks for posting yesterday.

ML system went 4-1, +2.8
YTD 30-15, 9.95

Although I played SEA yesterday I did not find them to be a ML play.

By the way I was following ML plays towards the end of April and it was on fire before I started keeping official records. If I had to guess it hit at a 70% clip and that is pretty good.

ML plays later today.

I'd appreciate if you would confirm that the 4th win yesterday was LAA and if the reasoning I posted was accurate.

I agree that the SEA line never made it high enough to qualify.

For today, and I think this is the case but would appreciate a confirmation, we only filter on less than 20 innings pitched if the team we are playing on fits that criteria, correct? So the CIN pitcher having less than 20 IP doesn't matter if the play is on MIL.

Thanks.

Formulawiz · 05-31-11, 12:48 PM

Todays ML plays

MIL, NYM

docvinny · 05-31-11, 01:20 PM

good luck today guys

losemyloot · 06-01-11, 08:01 AM

Yesterdays PT Power Plays 05/31
NYY +102
Yesterday 1-0 +1.02 Units
Start Date 05/01
57-68 -5.98 Units

Todays PT Power Plays 6/1
WAS
TEX
NYY
TOR
SDP
CIN
PIT 1/2U
FLA
STL
LAD 1/2U
n/p if >-130
Watch line on Tor -125

Filtered Out
BOS n/p L3
DET 1/2U n/p -162

Formulawiz · 06-01-11, 08:09 AM

ML went 1-1, -0.5
YTD 31-16, +9.9

Todays plays must be < -140

NYM, MIL, SF

HoulihansTX · 06-01-11, 08:34 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

(May 5 - Current)
(46-36) +5.95Units

May31 BPR

Seattle 4.73 W (-130)
Yanks 4.33 W (+110)
Angels 4.20 L (-105)
Houston 3.01 W (+150)
Texas 2.04 L (-130)
Milwaukee 1.26 W (-140).

(May 5 - Current)
(50-38) +8.20Units

June 1 BPR

Pitt 8.69
Seattle 4.84
Yanks 4.32
TX 3.70
Angels 3.4
Florida 3.05
Brew Crew 1.28

Philly np >-150
Atl np L2
Colorado np L2

AussieCapper, thank you for the points.

barts185 · 06-01-11, 08:41 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

(May 5 - Current)
(50-38) +8.20Units

June 1 BPR

Pitt 8.69
Seattle 4.84
Yanks 4.32
TX 3.70
Angels 3.4
Florida 3.05
Brew Crew 1.28

Philly np >-150
Atl np L2
Colorado np L2

AussieCapper, thank you for the points.

I think the SEA line is too high.

And I'd also like to thank Aussiecapper for the points.

HoulihansTX · 06-01-11, 08:45 AM

Seattle probably is too hig have not looked @ all the lines yet.

Remember No Play @ -150 or higher.
BOL

ShivaBowl · 06-01-11, 09:20 AM

Originally posted by barts185

I think the SEA line is too high. And I'd also like to thank Aussiecapper for the points.

Barts198, if you want to help out? You can start posting the daily summery of plays, if you like?
But please, only post it one time and use simple fonts if you can, EX post #606 page #18.
It would be a big help.
Thanks

barts185 · 06-01-11, 09:25 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Barts198, if you want to help out? You can start posting the daily summery of plays, if you like?
But please, only post it one time and use simple fonts if you can, EX post #606 page #18.
It would be a big help.
Thanks

Shiva,

I might be able to in the future, but can't right now - I'm getting on a plane in about 8 hours, and then going to have to see how things are where I'm going.

BrewMaster · 06-01-11, 09:25 AM

31May11 Result: 1-1 +.05units
Record Official Start 15May11: 32-33, -0.15 units

Scientific Approach 01Jun11:

TB, -106
CLE, -157
MLW, -156
PIT, -139

Filtered (HOU)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.

Thanks for the points AussieCapper

ShivaBowl · 06-01-11, 10:08 AM

TPR system went 1-0, yesterday +1.15u
NYY 1.9 +115 W
STL np if >-150 W
DET np if >-150 W
YTD 34-32 +2.32u

H/A plays yesterday.
N/P
YTD +3.28u

TPR Plays, 06/01
NYY 1.9
STL 1.9
DET 1.4 np if DET >-150
BOS 1.3 np BOS L/3

H/A Plays, 06/01
TB
ARZ
CLE
ATL np L/2

I have been tracking the over and under run totals since last year, within the H/A System.
And I feel its time to start wagering a 1u on the over, when H/A is on a play.

Today’s H/A Run Plays
TB&TEX over 7.5 runs +100 L
ARZ& FLA over 9 runs -110 W
CLE&TOR over 8.5 runs -110W
2-1 +1u

AussieCapper, thanks for the points!

Take San Fran W/Lincecum over St Louis W/Westbrook NO PLAY if > -125

gryfyn1 · 06-01-11, 10:23 AM

Is anyone keeping detailed track of when these systems cross over --I have been looking at them the last few week but have been shoddy on exact records.

The five system i pay attention to are the BPR, SA, ML, PTpowerplays and TPR.

For instance yesterday NYY were 4-0 on systems (4 plays 1 no opinion) and Milw 2-0.

Usually I look for any team that has at least 3 plays and and eye any team that has 2-0 ratio.

Such as today.

Milw 3-1 (PTP likes cincy)
Pitt 3-1 (ML likes NYM)

NYY 2-0
Fla 2-0

losemyloot · 06-01-11, 11:19 AM

AussieCapper thanks for the points

Zion21 · 06-01-11, 11:31 AM

Anyone betting on 5Dimes recently? I seem to have the best luck with them.

rask7rask7 · 06-02-11, 03:41 AM

gl on your plays today

HoulihansTX · 06-02-11, 04:09 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

(May 15 - Current)
(50-38) +8.20Units

June 1 BPR

Pitt 8.69 W (+120)
Seattle 4.84 No Play >-150
Yanks 4.32 W (+100)
TX 3.70 W (+130)
Angels 3.4 L (-115)
Florida 3.05 L (+150)
Brew Crew 1.28 L (-110).

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(53-41) +8.45Units

Further Updates tomorrow

BrewMaster · 06-02-11, 08:36 AM

01Jun11 Result: 2-2
Record Official Start 15May11: 34-35, -0.66 units

Scientific Approach 02Jun11:

PIT, -178
TB, -160

Filtered ()
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck.

ShivaBowl · 06-02-11, 08:53 AM

TPR system went 1-1, yesterday.
NYY –105 W
STL +100 L
DET >-150 W
The No Play if > -150 changing to np if >-175 as of today.
Start Date 05/01
35-33 +2.32u

H/A plays went 2-1 yesterday.
TB –142 L
ARZ –165 W
CLE +100 W
Start Date 05/29
5-1 +3.86

H/A Total Plays went 2-1 yesterday.
TB&TEX over 7.5 runs +100 L
ARZ& FLA over 9 runs -110 W
CLE&TOR over 8.5 runs -110W
Start Date 06/01
2-1 +1u

PR Predicted Runs went 1-0 yesterday
CLE +100
Start Date 05/13
9-5 +6.62u

ShivaBowl · 06-02-11, 09:09 AM

Aussiecapper101 I hope your not cashing out?
If you want to post the PR Runs Plays? send me a PM.
BOL

Tommygunn · 06-02-11, 11:56 AM

Any plays for 1 O'clock game ???

HoulihansTX · 06-02-11, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by Tommygunn

Any plays for 1 O'clock game ???

Sportrends has not updated its site.

My guess is that Pitt would still be a BPR play, since its been a play from game 1 of this series.

Small Timer · 06-02-11, 12:03 PM

Yesterday Pittsburgh was a play, and they won, I'm on them for 1 because they're 8.69 BPR advantage listed for yesterday's game probably has not disappeared and they would pass other filters.

That being said, Sportrends has not update their website for today, and I can't guarantee this would be a BPR play so take what I'm saying with a grain of salt. I'm on Pittsburgh because I think it would be a system play, but no games have been posted so I can't confirm this. BOL

Tommygunn · 06-02-11, 12:08 PM

Originally posted by Small Timer

Yesterday Pittsburgh was a play, and they won, I'm on them for 1 because they're 8.69 BPR advantage listed for yesterday's game probably has not disappeared and they would pass other filters.

That being said, Sportrends has not update their website for today, and I can't guarantee this would be a BPR play so take what I'm saying with a grain of salt. I'm on Pittsburgh because I think it would be a system play, but no games have been posted so I can't confirm this. BOL

Thanks guys. I'll just throw 1 unit at Pitt

ShivaBowl · 06-02-11, 12:21 PM

TPR Plays, 06/02
KC 1.6
TB 1.3
HOU 1.1

H/A Plays, 06/02
N/A

Today’s H/A Total Plays, 06/02
N/A

PR Predicted Runs Plays, 06/02
PIT

Formulawiz · 06-02-11, 12:22 PM

Sportrends finally has their website up

Yesterday ML plays went 1-2, -1.35
YTD 32-18, +8.55

Todays ML plays must be < -140

WAS, TEX, SEA

losemyloot · 06-02-11, 12:34 PM

Most of sporttrends have been updated but PT Power Plays still has yesterdays games.

HoulihansTX · 06-02-11, 12:51 PM

Pittsburgh

HoulihansTX · 06-02-11, 01:00 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(53-41) +8.45Units

_____________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

June 2
Bullpen Projection System

Kansas Shitty 11.72
Pitt 11.61
Seattle 5.44
Houston 3.65
Stl 1.89
Cleve 1.21

losemyloot · 06-02-11, 01:09 PM

Yesterdays PT Power Plays 6/1
WAS +132 W
TEX +131 W
NYY -110 W
TOR -103 L
SDP +170 L
CIN +100 W
PIT 1/2U +110 W
FLA +150 L
STL -105 L
LAD 1/2U +113 L
Yesterday 5-5 +.6 Units
Start Date 05/01
62-73 -5.38 Units

Todays PT Power Plays 6/2
NO PLAYS
n/p if >-130

Filtered Out
NYM n/p L2
TEX n/p CLE W2

losemyloot · 06-02-11, 01:13 PM

Watch that Kansas Shitty stuff HOULI

we are on a 2 game win streak