2006 Preview - New York Yankees

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    2006 Preview - New York Yankees
    2005 Record: 95-67, AL East Champs

    New York rebounded from a horrible start in 2005, sitting 11-18 in early May and then reeling off an 84-49 mark the rest of the way. After spending so much on pitching entering 2005, injuries on the mound mounted and it was the offense that fueled New York’s turnaround and 11th-straight postseason appearance.

    The offense looks to be the team’s strength once again as the lineup remains drunk with heavy sticks. Assuming good health, it’s a group that should exceed the 886 plate crossings, nearly 5½ per game, last year’s Bronx Bombers tallied. Adding Johnny Damon to the top of the order should give Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez, Gary Sheffield and Jason Giambi even more RBI chances. Follow that quintet with Hideki Matsui, Jorge Posada, Robinson Cano and Bernie Williams, and the scoring possibilities are truly endless.

    On defense, that little part of the game that doesn’t get nearly enough attention from stat heads, New York should be rock-solid on the left side of the diamond with Rodriguez and Jeter at third and short. Though Damon’s arm is often compared to your average grandmother playing catch with her Little League grandson, he’s still a defensive upgrade in center over Williams. With Matsui and Sheffield flanking Damon in the outfield, and Bubba Crosby available off the bench in late innings, the outfield defense should be better than average. Posada is not going to draw many comparisons to Johnny Bench and Pudge Rodriguez behind the dish, but he’s also no Mackey Sasser.

    The right side of the infield where you can find Cano and Giambi could be a bit of an adventure. If Cano upsets the Boss one time too many, don’t be surprised to see Miguel Cairo at 2B more than many currently expect. And if Andy Phillips shows something this spring, he could get more time at 1B with Giambi in the DH slot over Williams. As good as this offense should be the Pinstripers can afford to sacrifice a little for added defense.

    The mound corps enters the season with more questions than the White House press corps has for VP Dick Cheney these days. Manager Joe Torre used 14 different starting pitchers in 2005, with Randy Johnson and Mike Mussina the only two with more than 17 nods. Johnson’s first year in the Bronx was his worst full season (numbers wise) since his second season in Seattle (1991). At 42 entering 2006, and with nearly 3600 innings of toil on his lefty arm, you can’t help but wonder if Mr. Snappy can rebound enough to fulfill the role of staff ace. Mussina is an even bigger concern than Johnson since his health is often cited for seriously declining numbers the past two years. And both Carl Pavano and Jaret Wright, who cost the Yanks better than $50 million before 2005, are complete unknowns at this time.

    Even assuming decent showings from Johnson and Mussina, it still puts a lot of pressure on Shawn Chacon, Chien-Ming Wang and Aaron Small. Chacon really handled himself well after coming over from the Rockies, but he’s still a 3- or 4-slot starter at best. Wang’s shoulder is a bit of a concern, and if Small is in the rotation this season it’s because of at least two injuries ahead of him which wouldn’t be good news despite his 10-0, 3.20 stats in 2005.

    After coming out of the gate blowing his first two save ops to Boston, Mariano Rivera was a huge concern. By season’s end, he was my pick for New York’s MVP after posting career bests in ERA and WHIP along with 43 saves in his final 45 chances. He’ll have Kyle Farnsworth setting him up, and getting off to a strong start in that role is crucial in order to avoid being run through the grinder that is the Big Apple media. Tanyon Sturtz, plus Small, will be in the long and middle relief roles. Mike Myers and/or Ron Villone are the southpaws out of the pen. And assuming he comes back ok by early June from elbow surgery, Octavio Dotel could really give the bullpen a boost since that could help relieve some pressure from Farnsworth.

    Love ‘em or hate ‘em, the Yankees return in 2006 with a team that undoubtedly has George Steinbrenner thinking anything less than a 27th World Series title is a failed effort. In other words, business as usual since the club won its 26th set of rings in 2000.

    Key Performer(s): Johnson, Mussina and Farnsworth.

    Camp Question(s): Emerging from spring with five healthy arms for the rotation.

    My Play: With the present questions in the rotation, my projections have the Yanks struggling to repeat the 95 wins they surged to in ’05. The under 98 (-103) is a no-brainer right now.
    Last edited by Willie Bee; 02-20-06, 01:45 PM.
  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #2
    95 games should be enough to win the divison this year too.

    Johnny Damon was a great signing for them this year, but Kyle Farnsworth i feel will be a big time bust for them.
    Comment
    • Willie Bee
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-14-06
      • 15726

      #3
      Originally posted by bigboydan
      95 games should be enough to win the divison this year too.
      Agreed.
      Comment
      • bigboydan
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 08-10-05
        • 55420

        #4
        just wait til IMG find this thread willie bee. he will make a case for them to win a 105 games this year.
        Comment
        • sergfro
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-20-05
          • 604

          #5
          loaded with talent...but its all about chemistry.....can have all the talent of the world but if guys cant play together team isnt much.
          Comment
          • The Great One
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-08-06
            • 792

            #6
            The last couple of years, I've been burned on the Yanks when the season starts. Looking at the line-up with the potential aces and bats, you wonder why they don't win most of their games 8-1. Especially, since every year, they add name players that are top 5 in their position in the majors.
            Comment
            • Willie Bee
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-14-06
              • 15726

              #7
              Originally posted by bigboydan
              just wait til IMG find this thread willie bee. he will make a case for them to win a 105 games this year.
              I'll take that bet
              Comment
              • bigboydan
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 08-10-05
                • 55420

                #8
                i know whatever sportsbook IMG makes that bet with are gonna love it
                Comment
                • Illusion
                  Restricted User
                  • 08-09-05
                  • 25166

                  #9
                  The Yankees under only because of their pitching staff.
                  Comment
                  • Willie Bee
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-14-06
                    • 15726

                    #10
                    Greek is at 98½ - o(+110) and u(-130).

                    Pinny has slipped down to 97½ with o(-106) and u(-110).
                    Comment
                    • bigboydan
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 55420

                      #11
                      i'd still take the under 98.5 today.
                      Comment
                      • Illusion
                        Restricted User
                        • 08-09-05
                        • 25166

                        #12
                        I still like the under. How many 12-10 games will the Yankees win?
                        Comment
                        • bigboydan
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 08-10-05
                          • 55420

                          #13
                          ILL, i wondering just how many games there pen will blow for them during the 6,7,8th innings.
                          Comment
                          • Willie Bee
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-14-06
                            • 15726

                            #14
                            Current record 30-20

                            My Play: With the present questions in the rotation, my projections have the Yanks struggling to repeat the 95 wins they surged to in ’05. The under 98 (-103) is a no-brainer right now.
                            The Yanks are right at the 97-98 win pace currently. Considering how they've struggled at times, it's easy to imagine them getting into a groove and making my u98 play a loser.

                            Offense was supposed to be their strength, and it has been so far without really hitting consistently on all cylinders. Injuries to Hideki Matsui and Gary Sheffield have at least played a role in that. Matsui is not being counted on to return this year, but Sheffield is back in the lineup now. New York is first in the AL with 301 runs, third in team OPS (.820) and have stolen 37 bases (12 caught) to rank fourth in the AL In that column.

                            Derek Jeter leads the regulars with a .332 average and is on pace for 200+ hits and 130 runs scored. Alex Rodriguez is looking at a 40 HR, 130 RBI, 150 run season. Johnny Damon has been solid in the leadoff role, Jorge Posada is hitting over .300 and Jason Giambi is looking at a 40-HR campaign.

                            Yankee arms are third in the AL with a 4.17 ERA and one of just three clubs in the league to allow fewer than a hit per inning pitched. The bullpen has been better than average. With 13 of their 30 wins by five runs or more, closer Mariano Riveras has not had a lot of save opportunites, just 11 in 22 appearances. Left-handers Mike Myers and Ron Villone have a combined 1.36 ERA with just one HR in 33 IP between them. Kyle Farnsworth has imploded a few times, as expected, to post a rather pedestrian 4.50 ERA up to now.

                            Mike Mussina is the best of the rotation, winning six of his seven decisions with a 2.72 ERA and better than a 5-to-1 K:BB ratio in his 72+ innings. Chien-Ming Wang is 5-2 in his 11 starts with a 4.50 ERA. Randy Johnson has been very un-Unit this season with a 5.37 ERA in his 11 starts, bringing that ERA down with six shutout frames in his most recent start. Shawn Chacon is on the DL with his 5+ ERA. You have to think that adding another arm to the rotation is on the mind of one Mr. George Steinbrenner.

                            But as bad as some of the starting pitching has been, fielding might be the biggest chink in the armor. New York has 36 errors on their ledger, 2nd-most in AL, with almost 11% of the 232 total runs they've allowed unearned. The infield has been been particularly shoddy with 14 of the errors belonging to Jeter and Rodriguez.

                            New York is 28-16 since their 2-4 road trip out west to open the season, and winners of six of their last seven including two straight at Detroit to at least temporarily cool the red-hot Tigers. After two more in Motown, the Yankees will travel to Baltimore for three before returning home for a big 10-game stand against the Red Sox, Athletics and Indians. With the Red Sox also in the throes of a tough stretch on their slate, the next two weeks could go a long way to determining the AL East winners.
                            Comment
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