LB thread for MLB plays 2010

absolute · 08-14-10, 11:26 PM

hmm interesting. i like the cubbies too. not sure about the tribe. i gotta look at that closer, but im a king felix fan

lakerboy · 08-15-10, 10:06 AM

Tribe Ml +131 (2 x)

tanner40 · 08-15-10, 11:12 AM

Good luck LB

JR007 · 08-15-10, 11:22 AM

Solid play due to the anemic run production of Seattle....Felix almost has to pitch flawlessly almost everytime out...live Dog

lakerboy · 08-15-10, 02:23 PM

Angels ML -141 (1x)

$Burm$ · 08-15-10, 02:25 PM

great call on the indians LB...like the halos as well

Wilforth · 08-15-10, 02:37 PM

Great call on the Indians!

I wonder how we all missed the Cubs with the honorable Lohse starting for the Cardinals.

lakerboy · 08-15-10, 06:47 PM

Mets/Phils under 8.5 +101 (1.5x)

vitalogist · 08-15-10, 06:59 PM

Gl lb.

lakerboy · 08-15-10, 07:07 PM

Originally posted by vitalogist

Gl lb.

Thanks buddy. Im glad i got a good # at +101 now at -111 at pinny but late money and line moves mean nothing in bases unfortunately.

Tommy_de1st · 08-15-10, 07:24 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Thanks buddy. Im glad i got a good # at +101 now at -111 at pinny but late money and line moves mean nothing in bases unfortunately.

Apart from NBA where should we take into consideration late money movements?

lakerboy · 08-15-10, 07:29 PM

Originally posted by Tommy_de1st

Apart from NBA where should we take into consideration late money movements?

Everywhere. The NBA/NFL/MLB are all efficient markets. Beating the closing # is the objective in gambling. Its hard to do but if you do it consistently you will win more than you lose. Now im not talking about line movement as an indicator on who to bet on but beating the closing #.

Tommy_de1st · 08-15-10, 07:47 PM

Ok, thanks LB. I hope we come back to this discussion during the NFL season

lakerboy · 08-15-10, 07:51 PM

Originally posted by Tommy_de1st

Ok, thanks LB. I hope we come back to this discussion during the NFL season

anytime bro

broadway6 · 08-15-10, 08:07 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Everywhere. The NBA/NFL/MLB are all efficient markets. Beating the closing # is the objective in gambling. Its hard to do but if you do it consistently you will win more than you lose. Now im not talking about line movement as an indicator on who to bet on but beating the closing #.

how do u do this? i assume u use a few different sites?

lakerboy · 08-15-10, 08:55 PM

Rays ML -101 (1.5x)

WiseGrumpy · 08-15-10, 09:45 PM

Great hit on the tribe mate.

lakerboy · 08-15-10, 10:18 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Mets/Phils under 8.5 +101 (1.5x)

Winner

To those who have ridiculed me for saying line movement means nothing in bases look at this line move in the last 30 minutes before gametime.

08/15 19:42 8½ -116 / 8½ +105
08/15 19:43 8½ -113 / 8½ +102
08/15 19:45 8½ -110 / 8½ +100
08/15 19:46 8½ -109 / 8½ -101
08/15 19:47 8½ -108 / 8½ -102
08/15 19:50 8½ -107 / 8½ -103
08/15 19:59 8½ -106 / 8½ -104
08/15 20:02 8½ -101 / 8½ -109
08/15 20:03 8½ +101 / 8½ -111
08/15 20:05 8½ +104 / 8½ -115
08/15 20:06 8½ +106 / 8½ -117
08/15 20:07 8½ +107 / 8½ -118
08/15 20:08 8½ +101 / 8½ -111

Thats at pinny. It means something one in a while. Im here to help others learn about betting.I havent been good in baseball this year and i admit that and keep an honest record but i wont sway from what has been my bread and butter for years.

lunchbawks · 08-15-10, 10:19 PM

Nice hit on the U8.5 keep the winners coming.

lakerboy · 08-15-10, 10:22 PM

Originally posted by $Burm$

great call on the indians LB...like the halos as well

Thx pal the angels was a bad call

Originally posted by Wilforth

Great call on the Indians!

I wonder how we all missed the Cubs with the honorable Lohse starting for the Cardinals.

I leaned on cubs but couldnt pull the gun

Originally posted by WiseGrumpy

Great hit on the tribe mate.

Thanks grumpy.

Originally posted by lunchbawks

Nice hit on the U8.5 keep the winners coming.

Thanks pal. Keep it cool buddy we local you know.

MrKurt · 08-15-10, 10:29 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Winner

To those who have ridiculed me for saying line movement means nothing in bases look at this line move in the last 30 minutes before gametime.

08/15 19:42 8½ -116 / 8½ +105
08/15 19:43 8½ -113 / 8½ +102
08/15 19:45 8½ -110 / 8½ +100
08/15 19:46 8½ -109 / 8½ -101
08/15 19:47 8½ -108 / 8½ -102
08/15 19:50 8½ -107 / 8½ -103
08/15 19:59 8½ -106 / 8½ -104
08/15 20:02 8½ -101 / 8½ -109
08/15 20:03 8½ +101 / 8½ -111
08/15 20:05 8½ +104 / 8½ -115
08/15 20:06 8½ +106 / 8½ -117
08/15 20:07 8½ +107 / 8½ -118
08/15 20:08 8½ +101 / 8½ -111

Thats at pinny. It means something one in a while. Im here to help others learn about betting.I havent been good in baseball this year and i admit that and keep an honest record but i wont sway from what has been my bread and butter for years.

Sorry I'm a newbie and wanna listen some more explanation ...

MidgetTossers · 08-15-10, 10:35 PM

nice work pal...

lakerboy · 08-15-10, 10:44 PM

Originally posted by MrKurt

Sorry I'm a newbie and wanna listen some more explanation ...

just keep an eye on the moves in the morning

ROFLcopter · 08-15-10, 10:46 PM

so LB, what would you make of the large drop from -118 to -111 at the last minute? Why wouldn't that alarm you if you were leaning under? Thanks and nice hit

lakerboy · 08-15-10, 10:51 PM

Originally posted by ROFLcopter

so LB, what would you make of the large drop from -118 to -111 at the last minute? Why wouldn't that alarm you if you were leaning under? Thanks and nice hit

because i had +101 and still beat the closer of -111 by a good margin. its about beating the closer only for me. thanks

keijo32 · 08-15-10, 10:52 PM

great call on indians and cubs LB

paciophobia · 08-16-10, 01:21 AM

great day today LB!

No coincidences · 08-16-10, 02:47 AM

If LB decides to stick with it, I suggest you tail him in bases from here on out.

It's going to be a square bloodbath here from now through October. Teams giving up, teams fighting for playoff berths, roster expansions, etc. If you've been winning with a lot of chalk up to this point, maybe it's time for a different strategy.

I cashed TOR, SD and CLE today. Wasn't a perfect day by any stretch of the imagination, but I suggest looking for different angles and playing more dogs from here on out.

MrTwiz · 08-16-10, 03:14 AM

Home dogs especially, gota love the home ones

JR007 · 08-16-10, 04:38 AM

Thank You LB......you have taught me a lot about moneyline movement...takes awhile to understand the patterns of the moves...but i am getting it......try not to overthink the moves .....

JR007 · 08-16-10, 04:43 AM

One question..if I may..you pulled the trigger when the over went to "plus money"...is that usually when its time to make the play ????

mp5070 · 08-16-10, 06:25 AM

Thanks LB, is the Rays -101 an official play for today?

broadway6 · 08-16-10, 06:36 AM

Originally posted by mp5070

Thanks LB, is the Rays -101 an official play for today?

yes MP. Anytime you see 1x, 2x, .5x etc etc then it's an official play.

Tommy_de1st · 08-16-10, 08:34 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Winner

To those who have ridiculed me for saying line movement means nothing in bases look at this line move in the last 30 minutes before gametime. 08/15 19:42 8½ -116 / 8½ +105 08/15 19:43 8½ -113 / 8½ +102 08/15 19:45 8½ -110 / 8½ +100 08/15 19:46 8½ -109 / 8½ -101 08/15 19:47 8½ -108 / 8½ -102 08/15 19:50 8½ -107 / 8½ -103 08/15 19:59 8½ -106 / 8½ -104 08/15 20:02 8½ -101 / 8½ -109 08/15 20:03 8½ +101 / 8½ -111 08/15 20:05 8½ +104 / 8½ -115 08/15 20:06 8½ +106 / 8½ -117 08/15 20:07 8½ +107 / 8½ -118 08/15 20:08 8½ +101 / 8½ -111 Thats at pinny. It means something one in a while. Im here to help others learn about betting.I havent been good in baseball this year and i admit that and keep an honest record but i wont sway from what has been my bread and butter for years.

Which column is Under and which is Over? I didn't see the odds last night

JR007 · 08-16-10, 09:21 AM

Originally posted by ROFLcopter

so LB, what would you make of the large drop from -118 to -111 at the last minute? Why wouldn't that alarm you if you were leaning under? Thanks and nice hit

This type of movement fools me too...do not know if it is public,sharp money, or a combination of both......right a game time...