hurry! Georgia went to -17 quick or just live bet in
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9:30 Rot.#887 Butler+8.5
9:30 Rot.#890 St. Mary's-6
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Rot.#517 Thunder-150 ML
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Well that's gonna do it for me for the evening boys! Be back tomorrow with some goodies-from the looks of things-mostly CFB underdogs catching too many pointsComment -
May as well stat the day off with making my own NBA lines right?
11/30/24
Hawks-4.5 (-6 to -6.5)
Hornets (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY HORNETS-11 O/U 221.5
Sixers (+2) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Pistons-2 (-2.5 to -3.5 ML)
SYNERGY SIXERS-3 O/U 227
Wizards (NO DATA)
Bucks-15.5 (NO DATA)
SYNERGY BUCKS-13.5 O/U 225
Warriors (+2) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Suns-2.5 (-2.5 to -3.5 ML)
SYNERGY WARRIORS-2.5 O/U 223.5
Mavs-6.5 (-6 to -6.5)
Jazz (+7) (+8 to +9) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY JAZZ-0.5 O/U 236.5Comment -
It's ok. This is kind of how it should be-you don't want a whole bunch of confusion on a thread! There are a lot of other pros out there to follow other than me for sure. It's quieter here for sure. My X is a zoo with all of the DM's and so on.
Anyway I will be back close to around 11:45 or so with my early stuff y'all. I am actually just going to use my Hard Rock app and stay home today-I will betaking my son to the batting cage around NOON after kickoff but i will definitely be back before the 3:00-3:30 windowComment -
Also because every book is different I am going to list my moves in a range of numbers that would be acceptable. if your book has a different number than the range that I post then leave it alone-don't go buying too many points because it will screw up your unitsComment -
12:00 Rot.#415 Louisville-4.5 to -5.5
12:00 Rot.#424 UL Monroe+8.5 to +9
12:00 Rot.#362 Vanderbilt+9.5 to +10
12:00 Rot.#384 Northwestern+8.5 to +9
12:00 Rot.#364 UMASS+8.5 ot +9
12:00 Rot.#399 West Virginia+3
2:00 Rot.#397 South Florida-4.5 to -5.5
3:00 Rot.#381 Old Dominion-4.5 to -5.5Comment -
Don't parlay y'all the straight bet is the pro's bread and butter. it keeps your units in line. Some of these are sure to go down in flames LOL!Comment -
Perhaps I may have been just a little off with West Virginia
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3:30 Rot.#417 Arkansas+3
3:30 Rot.#419 Auburn+10 to +11
3:30 Rot.#365 Miami(FL)-12
3:30 Rot.#389 Arizona State-7.5 to -8
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I have a guy placing a move for me at the sportbook for
Rot.#411 Cal+12.5 seems that +12 is good tooComment -
Alright so the focus is now going to shift to NBA and there's quite a bit of time between the start of those and now so relaxComment -
Rot.#523 Sixers+2 3 UNITS
Rot.#527 Warriors+2 or +2.5 3 UNITS
2-WAY 4 POINT TEASER
Sixers+6/Warriors+6 3 UNITS
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7:30 Rot.#731 K-State+1.5
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Wow! According to the numbers i made moves on a good one each and every move yesterday and had a regression to the mean-especially those home underdogs in the +8 to +9 range and +10.5 to +11. Incredible-attached is what I saw going into yesterday for the conversion rates of the numbers that i played-hell even K-State lost as a +1.5!
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Oh well onwards and upwards-when you do this stuff every day sometimes you will get turbulence. No sweat
12/1/24
Magic-6.5 (-6, -6.5)
Nets (+7 to +7.5) (+8.5 to +9)
SYNERGY MAGIC-12 O/U 224.5
Pacers (+6.5 to +8.5)
Grizzlies-7.5 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY GRIZZLIES-9.5 O/U 228.5
Celtics-1.5 (-2)
Cavs (+3 to +4)
SYNERGY CELTICS-1.5 O/U 223
Pelicans (+12 to +13)
Knicks-12.5 (-14 to -14.5)
SYNERGY KNICKS-9 O/U 225.5
Heats-4.5 (-6 to -6.5)
Raptors (+3 to +4) (+7)
SYNERGY HEATS-8.5 O/U 230
Thunder-1.5 (-2)
Rockets (+3 to +4)
SYNERGY THUNDER-1.5 O/U 207
Lakers-7.5 (-9.5 to -10)
Jazz (+7 to +7.5) (+8.5 to +9)
SYNERGY LAKERS-0.5 O/U 234
Mavs-7.5 (-9.5 to -10)
Blazers (+7 to +7.5) (+8.5 to +9) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY BLAZERS-0.5 O/U 232
Spurs (+4 to +5.5) (+6.5 to +8.5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Kings-5.5 (-9)
SYNERGY SPURS-1.5 O/U 224
Nuggets-2.5 (-2) (-6 to -6.5)
Clippers (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY CLIPPERS-9 O/U 217Comment -
Oddly enough i only see one that I really like and a few that I sort to like.
The Commanders went from being -7.5 to -6 with a majority of 60% of the money on them and the -6 converts at a 33.3% rate doing 3-6-1 ATS. Skipping a key number is a significant move....
I have this thing about a team with a worse record being favored over a team that is over .500 and we get just that with the Jets and Bengals favored over the Seahawks and Steelers-of course I am going to make those moves.
The Falcons are going to score the ball. In the event that the Chargers have ANY hangover from their short week this could spell some major trouble trying to keep up with the track meet folks down in Atlanta.
Ok so let's go
Falcons+100 ML 2 UNITS
Titans+6
Jets-1
Bengals ML (PRICES VARY)
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The Knicks have by far the worst home 4th quarter differential in the NBA. Conversely they also have some of the lowest bench production as well (19.9 points). The Pelicans are getting a decent 31.6 ppg from theirs. It's the stuff that backdoor covers are made of. Gonna be really interesting if that line holds between 12 and 13.
I won't be betting against the Magic any time soon-even though the number is trending towards them being favored by 7 which is a bad number for a road favorite. the Knicks are up next on the schedule for them so this could potentially be a look ahead spot...plus this is a back to back vs the same team-and tempers flared in the last one tooComment -
Damn Stuckey text me that he went 2-8 yesterday and had a hard time navigating good numbers as well. We will get em back today thoComment -
Alright boys-here we go
Rot.#533 Pacers+6.5
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Rot.#539 Pelican+12
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Rot.#544 Jazz+7
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Rot.#546 Blazers+5.5 or +6 DEPENDING ON YOUR BOOK
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The Clippers are in my buy in range
Rot.#550 Clippers+3
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I have no idea where the odds makers came up with the Bulls-7. I know that the Nets have fallen on hard times-but those two losses were to the Magic-a team that I believe when fully healthy will give some of the top tier teams in the league fits..
Heats (+6.5 to +8.5) (+12.5 to +13)
Celtics-10.5 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY CELTICS-1 O/U 222
Pelicans (+6.5 to +8.5) (+12.5 to +13) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Hawks-10 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY PELICANS-2 O/U 236.5
Lakers (+6.5 to +8.5)
T-Wolves-7.5 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY T-WOLVES-9 O/U 223
Nets (+6.5 TO +8.5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Bulls-7 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY NETS-15 O/U 240Last edited by atthehalf; 12-02-24, 09:53 AM.Comment -
I'm not sure what's going on with FBALL right now. Pros such as myself are having issues with teams not playing up to their assigned numbers. the good thing about the conference championship games and bowls and the college football playoff is the underdogs will be the best that money can buy and all of the fringe teams will be out of the mix. NFL I am not sure what the hell is happening. It's crazy-I started to make a move on the late game last night knowing that the Bills had been assigned a bad number and then I thought about it and passed. Good football numbers in the NFL are being demolished tooComment -
Does "CK" stand for Cockknocker by chance?Comment -
In the flesh-that's my old handle given to me by Chet Coppack one night when i went behind the bar and started pouring drinks in Reno one time. Cocknocker was an alien bartender in a Starwars movie. I ran a long standing NBA thread in the good old days here at SBR and had quite a good following
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Sorry about this evening boys-I had a solid dinner with the Commish at Bern's Steakhouse this evening and I ain't gonna pass that up for nothing in the world. it's cool-because disaster was averted when none of the underdogs played up to their numberComment -
I have been wanting to thank you for some time for the knowledge you instilled in me when I was some 23 yr old ROOKIE. I was a bright kid but didn't know anybody in the betting space really. I was good at picking winners but I did not understand the nuances of so many dif things I am not going to try to quantify in one post what I learned following you for a year or so. You and Shoebox taught me a lot and things that still help me win to this day. Don't want to get too mushy but thanks man, you are a good dude.
Last edited by Spite; 12-02-24, 10:41 PM.Comment -
Solid! That was a name from the past! Shoebox was a good guy!I have been wanting to thank you for some time for the knowledge you instilled in me when I was some 23 yr old ROOKIE. I was a bright kid but didn't know anybody in the betting space really. I was good at picking winners but I did not understand the nuances of so many dif things I am not going to try to quantify in one post what I learned following you for a year or so. You and Shoebox taught me a lot and things that still help me win to this day. Don't want to get too mushy but thanks man, you are a good dude.Comment -
Making my spreads now and then taking my son to school. Be back in a little bit with my linesComment -
12/3/24
Sixers-4.5 (-6 to -6.5)
Hornets (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY HORNETS-1 O/U 229
Bucks-3.5 (-6 to -6.5)
Pistons (+3 to +4)
SYNERGY PK O/U 229
Wizards (NOT ENOUGH DATA)
Cavs-16.5 (NOT ENOUGH DATA)
SYNERGY CAVS-12 O/U 236
Magic (+6.5 to +8)
Knicks-5.5 (-6)
SYNERGY PK O/U 2105.5
Pacers-2.5 (-2)
Raptors (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY RAPTORS-2 O/U 239
Jazz (+12.5 to +13)
Thunder-13.5 (-14 to -14.5)
SYNERGY THUNDER-17 O/U 224
Grizzlies (+4 to +5)
Mavs-3.5 (-6)
SYNERGY MAVS-12 O/U 222
Spurs (+6.5 to +8)
Suns-6.5 (-6) (-9)
SYNERGY SUNS-0.5 O/U 225.5
Warriors (+4 to +5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Nuggets-4.5 (-6)
SYNERGY WARRIORS-8 O/U 228.5
Rockets-1.5 (-2)
Kings (+3 to +4)
SYNERGY ROCKETS-6 O/U 222
Blazers (+6.5 to +8)
Clippers-8.5 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY CLIPPERS-6.5 O/U 217
Last edited by atthehalf; 12-03-24, 09:32 AM.Comment
