Ck's 2024 mlb thread

[atthehalf]

I am not sure how the Bucks suddenly have the type of effort to be road favorites but here we are...the numbers will be all over the place today-the FAVORITES won and covered in each game last night-so there has been some slight shading of them today to allow room for adjustments to make the underdogs have better numbers. One thing is for sure here-the Knicks are up against it today playing a team with no superstars and is built on sheer hustle in the Magic. This may very well be their coming out party

[atthehalf]

Just noticing something. The AWAY+8.5 is a number that is losing some of it's value a bit-the MOV for it now has gone to -9.40. I have made that adjustment and now am looking for road dogs in that range from +6.5 to +8. Gaining some value is the AWAY+4 through +5-ironically this is my buy in number for the Magic this evening too.

The HOME-1.5 is hitting now at a clip of 100% on the ML with an average MOV of +6-so this looks like gold. The Kings are somewhat in that range this evening. Just something to keep an eye out for. The HOME-3.5 ML is also perfect at 100% with an average MOV of a whopping +10.40. The Mavs are in this range this evening

[atthehalf]

Ok let's go

Rot.#506 Pistons+3
Rot.#509 Magic+4.5 DOUBLE DOWN
Rot.#512 Thunder-14

[atthehalf]

Rot.#515 Spurs+7.5
Rot.#521 Blazers+8.5

[atthehalf]

Whoa! Not a good night last night! And then I wake up this morning and suddenly the Magic are being assigned bad numbers too! Well the favorites cleaned up last night fo sho!

12/4/24

Magic-3.5 (-6 to -6.5)
Sixers (+3 to +4)
SYNERGY MAGIC-8 O/U 220.5


Pistons (+12.5 to +13)
Celtics (-13.5 to -14.5)
SYNERGY CELTICS-1 O/U 217.5


Lakers (+2) (+4 to +5)
Heats-2 (-2.5 ML or -3.5 ML)
SYNERGY HEATS-7 O/U 223.5


Pacers-2.5 (-2)
Nets (+3 to +4) (-1.5 ML) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY NETS-4 O/U 236.5


Hawks (+4 to +5)
Bucks-4 (-6)
SYNERGY BUCKS-8.5 O/U 230.5


T-Wolves-3 (-6 to -6.5)
Clippers (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY CLIPPERS-9 O/U 219.5

[atthehalf]

Let's get it

Rot#525 Pistons+13
Rot.#531 Hawks+4.5
Rot.#528 Heats-150 ML

[atthehalf]

Be patient boys. The Nets may fall into my buy in price of +3 to +4

[atthehalf]

The favorites have been killing it the last few days. In the end the house always wins. If nothing else my money is on the side of the rooting interest of the sports books

[atthehalf]

Pass on Nets

[atthehalf]

12/5/24




Nuggets (+4 to +5)
Cavs (-3.5 ML) (-6)
SYNERGY CAVS-4 O/U 224.5


Mavs-14 (-14)
Wizards (+12 to +12.5)
SYNERGY MAVS-5 O/U 239.5


Hornets (+12.5 to +13) (+15)
Knicks-14.5 (-14 to -14.5)
SYNERGY KNICKS-11.5 O/U 222.5


Thunder-9.5 (-9.5 to -11)
Raptors (+8.5 to +9)
SYNERGY THUNDER-13.5 O/U 222.5


Kings (+4 to +5) (+6.5)
Grizzlies-4.5 (-6)
SYNERGY GRIZZLIES-3.5 O/U 214.5


Suns-2.5 (-2)
Pelicans (+3 to +4) OR (-1.5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY PELICAN-2 O/U 230


Bulls (+2) (+4 to +5)
Spurs-2.5 (-3.5 ML)
SYNERGY SPURS-12.5 O/U 231 (WHOA!)


Rockets-3.5 (-6)
Warriors (+3 to +4)
SYNERGY PK O/U 218

[atthehalf]

Looks like my buy in price for the Spurs would be a good one as priced at -3.5 I would take the ML for a nice chunk of change given the synergy alone is 12.5. Other than that most if not all underdogs need some major help for their lines!

[atthehalf]

Rot.#537 Nuggets+4
Rot.#541 Thunder-10
Rot.#540 Knicks-14.5

i'll be back around 7:30 or so with more

[atthehalf]

Rot.#548 Grizzlies ML PRICES VARY
Rot.#546 Spurs-130 ML

I know Wemby is out-they will pick up his production

[atthehalf]

Theoretically the Pelicans look good-however I would have to see them play better together before I use money on them

[atthehalf]

Also I wouldn't be surprised to see the Kings pull off the upset so place a unit on their ML #arbitrage. I am placing a number here but it would be wise to wait until they get down by say 4 or 5 to make your move like I am

Rot.#547 Kings+130 ML OR IN GAME AT BETTER

[atthehalf]

Push the Spurs-ANYTHING 2nd half-they will fight for your money

[atthehalf]

Just LIVE BET INTO IT

[atthehalf]

I got a Spurs+16 boys

[atthehalf]

12/6/24


Magic-3.5 (-6.5)
Sixers (+3 to +4)
SYNERGY MAGIC-7 O/U 219.5


Lakers (+4 to +5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Hawks-3.5 (-3.5 ML)
SYNERGY LAKERS-2 O/U 235.5


Bucks (+4 to +5) (+6.5 to +8)
Celtics-6.5 (-6) (-9)
SYNERGY CELTICS-4 O/U 223


Pacers-2.5 (-2) (-6.5)
Bulls (+3 to +4)
SYNERGY PACERS-6 O/U 243.5


Kings-3.5 (-6.5)
Spurs (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY SPURS-5 O/U 223.5


T-Wolves (+2) (+4 to +5)
Warriors-2.5 (-3.5 ML)
SYNERGY WARRIORS -2 O/U 220


Jazz (+4 to +5)
Blazers-2.5 (-3.5 ML)
SYNERGY BLAZERS-4 O/U 239.5

[atthehalf]

Considering that the Lakers lost by almost 40 points to the Heats I fully expect for them to come out and give the Hawks the business tomorrow. the same can be said for the Spurs who are currently being handled and will come out and play well tomorrow

[atthehalf]

And hopefully Wemby suits up LOL!

[atthehalf]

As a side note-I am so waiting for MLB season. I miss those big paydays taking advantage of my knowledge of lesser known arms outdueling the big names for those 5 frames. the amount of money made in MLB season is so much more than these spread and totals moves. Why? Because of the shares splits in our league. I can literally make a move for $600 and get back over 3 dimes-sometimes more than once in a single day

Football will pick up once all of the bad teams are out of the way. This is starting now with the BOWLS and conference championship games.

[atthehalf]

BANG! Spurs cover the +16 LIVE BET for us!

[DJK]

BANG! Spurs cover the +16 LIVE BET for us!

Nothing like winning by ONE point.

Just checked the score and the Spurs scored the last bucket. LOL

[atthehalf]

Nothing like winning by ONE point.

Just checked the score and the Spurs scored the last bucket. LOL

Just fabulous!

[atthehalf]

Looking like the game of the day will be the Bucks and the Celtics, It would be good for the Bucks to end up in my buy in zone of +6.5 to +8.

In other news-I am hoping that LeBron DOESN'T play tonight. Without him on the floor the ball will move more freely. Austin Reeves being out isn't too concerning as his production can be replaced for sure. A nice lakers +4 to +5 would spark my interest for sure-especially when they have a + synergy over the Hawks.

The T-Wolves and Jazz could conceivably both end up with +2's... we've got a long way to go until this evening. Today's my wife's birthday so with that I will have to use the Hard Rock app or see if i can get someone to be an out for me and get to the counter...dinner on a boat seems likely this evening

[atthehalf]

Alright boys-I am gonna give this FBALL thing a go today. I have ben rolling with the Rebs all year long so I ain't gonna stop now

Rot.#107 UNLV+4.5

[atthehalf]

Top Twenty arms for this upcoming MLB season-pay attention boys and draft accordingly. If you get them now you will have EXTREME value

#1 Tarik Skubal
#2 Paul Skenes
#3 Garrett Crochet
#4 Zach Wheeler
#5 Corbin Burnes
#6 Jacob deGrom
#7 Shane McClanahan
#8 Shohei Ohtani (remember that he can pitch y'all)
#9 Michael King
#10 Logan Gilbert
#11 George Kirby
#12 Cole Ragans
#13 Yoshinobu Yamamoto
#14 Tyler Glasnow
#15 Roki Sasaki (tricky because he may wait it out another year)
#16 Gerrit Cole
#17 Max Fried
#18 joe Ryan
#19 Bailey Ober
#20 Aaron Nola

[atthehalf]

For those wondering Chris Sale is #22

[atthehalf]

Also once the FUTURES have been announced I am all in on the Athletics OVER whatever is offered. They have a budding battery row and are now in the stages of upgrading their starting pitching. Bullpen wise they have a stopper in Mason Miller

[atthehalf]

Rot.#105 Western Kentucky/Jacksonville State OVER ANYTHING

[atthehalf]

Alright-I am just going by the number-this will be my first time this season making a move against the Magic. This is a rare series type of affair where the same two teams are meeting in the same arena-almost like a playoff series which it actually is. So the Magic closed as a 6 point favorite in the first game a few days ago and this time they were assigned a bad number (-3.5) which is surrounded by lots of good numbers for the home team (+3 to +4). the best number in the range for the Magic would be -6.5. Somehow i don't see the number climbing up to -6.5 so take the points and pray for the best

Rot.#552 Sixers+4

[atthehalf]

As far as the Pacers and Bulls are concerned-this represents the highest total for the entire season in the NBA.

Synergy wise i have it at 243.5 and that's really before foul shots are included at the end of the game. Coincidentally this is also the highest synergy that i have handicapped too. May as well take a whack at it since everyone else is afraid of the size of the number

Rot.#559 Pacers/Bulls OVER 247.5

[atthehalf]

The Hard Rock has the Sixers priced at +4 so go and get it. I know that I did!

[atthehalf]

Rot.#103 Tulane-4.5