As for MNF looking like the line will land at Ravens-2. The big boys are buying back the POINTS, but you won't get rich betting against the Ravens folks
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Looking ahead to tomorrow, the Spurs and Bulls are both kind of locked up into a bad spread situation for the line to go anywhere but to -4.5 or all the way up to -6 to -6.5). The Suns look good to go-only one thing bothers me a bit about it and that is are the numbers skewed with Kevin Durant out of the mix..
11/26/24
Bulls-4 (-4.5) (-6 to -6.5)
Wizards (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY WIZARDS+0.5 O/U 244
Bucks (+2) or (+4.5 to +5)
Heats-1.5 (-2.5 to -3.5 ML)
SYNERGY HEATS-12 O/U 224
Rockets (+4.5 to +5)
T-Wolves-3.5 (-2.5 to 3.5 ML) or (-6) BAD NUMBER
SYNERGY PK O/U 213
Spurs-2.5 (-4.5) (-6 to -6.5)
Jazz (+3 to +4)
SYNERGY SPURS-4.5 O/U 226.5
Lakers (+2)
Suns-1.5 (-2.5 to -3.5 ML)
SYNERGY SUNS-5 O/U 231.5Comment -
Magic-4.5
Hawks-140 ML
Celtics-10.5
Grizzlies-11
Pelicans+8Comment -
Looking like the Knicks may get to the golden+4 boys let's wait it outComment -
+4.5 I meant-but you get the idea for the Knicks...looking like this one my be a PASS game where the final number ends up being a 4 which is a between numberComment -
The Pelicans settled in at +7.5 in Vegas and +8 at the Hard Rock out here so I may take a tumble on that one-but it's all in the gameComment -
Ok so i am going to stick with the guidelines for NFL road favorites and the AWAY-3 is a crisp 77.8% clip and on the ML it's 90.9%
Ravens-160 ML 3 UNITS
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Ravens-1.5 2nd halfComment -
NBA time-The Warriors have the Thunder up next on their schedule-stand down on them but do look to capitalize on their superior defense
Thunder/Kings UNDER 225.5
Kings+3.5
Nets/Warriors UNDER 224
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That's all for the evening for me boys-take care until tomorrowComment -
I got blasted on the late night tip. I kind of had the feeling that the Dubs would play poorly with the thunder up next but jeez! The Kings are in the middle of a regression to the mean and definitely didn't play up to the assigned number-no worries-there are good ones on the board today to blast away on and I am certainly staying away from totals. The OVERS are winning at an alarming rate according to the boys at the counter and vice versa they are killing bettors on the sides. this is where i come in at. Sides are my specialty. Stay tuned boys and locked in. I seriously doubt that I will be in on the Maction stuff.Comment -
Speaking of synergy BOTH Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal are coming back for the Suns- I am stoked! I can't wait to take the Lakers priced at +2 if I can get it!Comment -
Boy oh boy-the Bulls priced at -6 to -6.5 stochastically speaking would be WONDERFUL to start the night-the Bulls will definitely need a cover tonight against the Wizards because I see an advantage for Orlando tomorrow over them that is from another world and will warrant intrinsic value.Comment -
Steady boys-stand down on the Bulls-the line is a tweener at 5.5Comment -
Grab some of this that has a +8.25 AVG MOV. I have them at -12 SYNERGY anyway
Heats-5.5
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I have the Rockets/T-Wolves as a PK, the line (T-Wolves-3) suggests a win by the T-Wolves of 5.17 points. I don't however like how the line got to -3 and -2.5 on some books going down from an opening of -4.5 for the T-Wolves. It's always better for a line to go up on a short number to a good number with less cash on that side. Well the cash is pretty even
Rot.#535 Rockets+130 ML
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Hard Rock still has them priced at +130 boys!Comment -
The Jazz have a good looking line-but uh.....not with my money. I would rather make moves on good teams with good numbers instead of betting bad teams and hoping that they will play well for my money by chance.. El PasoComment -
All of this leads to the Lakers in a their best role as a short number underdog facing a Suns team that has too many moving parts with Durant and Beal suddenly being well enough to play. The line is trending down towards Lakers+2 which suits me fine as a buy in price. I will pass on any number other than Lakers+2Comment -
So looking ahead to tomorrow...it's pretty much a just a matter of getting the Magic's injury report before i blast away with several units on that one. I like the Mavs quite a bit too
11/27/24
Heats-3.5 (-4.5) (-6 to -6.5)
Hornets (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY HORNETS-1 O/U 224
Hawks (+12 to +13)
Cavs-12 (-10.5 to -11.5) (-14 to -14.5)
SYNERGY CAVS-11 O/U 242
Blazers (+12 to +13) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Pacers-10.5 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY BLAZERS-5 O/U 227
Bulls(+6.5 to +8.5) (+12 to +13)
Magic-10.5 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY MAGIC-26.5 O/U 217.5 (WHOA!)
Rockets-4.5 (-6 to -6.5)
Sixers (+3 to +4)
SYNERGY ROCKETS-7 O/U 220
Clippers-10.5 (-10) (-11)
Wizards (+8 to +9)
SYNERGY CLIPPERS-9 O/U 234.5
Knicks-4 (-4.5) (-6 to -6.5)
Mavs (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY MAVS-12 O/U 220
Pistons (+6.5 to +8.5)
Grizzlies-8.5 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY GRIZZLIES-2 O/U 217
Raptors (+4 to +5)
Pelicans-3 (-2.5 to -3.5 ML)
SYNERGY PELICANS-3.5 O/U 230.5
Lakers-2 (-4.5)
Spurs (+2 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY SPURS+10 O/U 227
Nets (+6.5 to +8.5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Suns-7.5 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY NETS-1 O/U 225.5
Nuggets-8 (-9.5 to -10)
Jazz (+7) (+8 to +9)
SYNERGY NUGGETS-1.5 O/U 230.5
Thunder-2 (-4.5)
Warriors (+2 to +4)
SYNERGY THUNDER-5 O/U 214
Kings (+4 to +5) (+6.5 to +8.5)
T-Wolves-5.5 (-6) (-9)
SYNERGY T-WOLVES-9 O/U 221.5Last edited by atthehalf; 11-26-24, 10:44 PM.Comment -
Man is this Magic move setting up so good with the Bulls blasting the Wizards right now...
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Ok so I am suggesting that you start getting your outs together for tomorrow's Magic move boys. It's not often to catch a team on a back to back facing the league's #1 defense and #1 4th quarter home differential team. Just for the 4th quarter differential alone the Magic are +7.4 compared to the Bulls pedestrian +0.5 4th quarter differential-translated i will be taking the Magic again for the second half-they have no stars on this team-just hungry grunt typesComment -
It's TNT one underdog will cover and one favorite will cover-get some Suns-135 ML SMALL. After all the Suns have been off for 5 days to work back in these dudesComment -
The Rockets with a complete meltdown-hard to remember that they were once up by 20 points in this gameComment -
I'm still with y'all let's look at the 4th quarter differential for the Lakers/Suns
Lakers AWAY -4.3
Suns HOME +0.9
That makes for a decent edge for the Suns for the 2nd half in the quarter that counts the most
OVERALL 2nd half differential
Lakers AWAY-3.3
Suns HOME +4.6
After losing 5 straight games one would think that the Suns would put forth a special effort to win this game for the 2nd half. Looking for a line of around Suns PK or -1 or soComment -
Gonna have to adjust the Rockets move for tomorrow.
By virtue of their overtime affair with the T-Wolves the line has already gone down to -4.5. The best number in the range of the chalk that they have been reassigned is still -6 to -6.5.
The Sixers best line in their range is where the change happens wherein the best number is now +3 to 4. i will adjust the big board nowComment -
Lowery, Embiid and George (the money grabbers) are all going to be out for the Sixers-so yes the SYNERGY will still be the same and a Rockets ML will still be in order should I chose to go that directionComment -
Suns-0.5 2nd half small againComment -
Ok so you now what is smart here. Since the favorite is the flavor get down on it EARLY. More to come later on but get this out of the way now so that you online bettors can figure out your budget from here
Rot.#548 Magic-10.5 LARGE
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Let's get lined up for Thanksgiving Day FBALL-forget about the Giants and Cowboys-any man who makes a move on that game has a serious gambling problem-neither of those teams are worth risking your hard earned money on.
So that leaves the Dolphins/Packers and the Bears/Lions. Don't overthink this-just take the points with both-it's Thanksgiving-and besides-any time you can get an NFL team with double digit points on a Thursday you take it
Rot.#305 Bears+10
Rot.#309 Dolphins+3.5 or +3 depending on your book
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I need to understand something. the Spurs get 40 points from their bench on AVERAGE and the lakers only get 23.5 from theirs and as I pointed out last night the Lakers are one of the worst 4th quarter teams in the league with a -4.3 differential in the 4th quarter. My synergy for tonight's game is the Spurs-10 and they are getting 2 points and that's not even factoring in that this is a back to back for both teams. it's just raw numbers
Hmmmm. Very interestingComment -
Rot.#552 Hornets+4 or +4.5 depending on your book
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Rot.#557 Pistons+8
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Rot.#563 Nuggets-10.5
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Rot.#562 Spurs+2
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