Ck's 2024 mlb thread

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  • atthehalf
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-13
    • 4566

    #1541
    As for MNF looking like the line will land at Ravens-2. The big boys are buying back the POINTS, but you won't get rich betting against the Ravens folks
    Comment
    • atthehalf
      SBR MVP
      • 12-31-13
      • 4566

      #1542
      Looking ahead to tomorrow, the Spurs and Bulls are both kind of locked up into a bad spread situation for the line to go anywhere but to -4.5 or all the way up to -6 to -6.5). The Suns look good to go-only one thing bothers me a bit about it and that is are the numbers skewed with Kevin Durant out of the mix..

      11/26/24


      Bulls-4 (-4.5) (-6 to -6.5)
      Wizards (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
      SYNERGY WIZARDS+0.5 O/U 244


      Bucks (+2) or (+4.5 to +5)
      Heats-1.5 (-2.5 to -3.5 ML)
      SYNERGY HEATS-12 O/U 224


      Rockets (+4.5 to +5)
      T-Wolves-3.5 (-2.5 to 3.5 ML) or (-6) BAD NUMBER
      SYNERGY PK O/U 213


      Spurs-2.5 (-4.5) (-6 to -6.5)
      Jazz (+3 to +4)
      SYNERGY SPURS-4.5 O/U 226.5


      Lakers (+2)
      Suns-1.5 (-2.5 to -3.5 ML)
      SYNERGY SUNS-5 O/U 231.5
      Comment
      • atthehalf
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-13
        • 4566

        #1543
        Magic-4.5
        Hawks-140 ML
        Celtics-10.5
        Grizzlies-11
        Pelicans+8
        Comment
        • atthehalf
          SBR MVP
          • 12-31-13
          • 4566

          #1544
          Looking like the Knicks may get to the golden+4 boys let's wait it out
          Comment
          • atthehalf
            SBR MVP
            • 12-31-13
            • 4566

            #1545
            +4.5 I meant-but you get the idea for the Knicks...looking like this one my be a PASS game where the final number ends up being a 4 which is a between number
            Comment
            • atthehalf
              SBR MVP
              • 12-31-13
              • 4566

              #1546
              The Pelicans settled in at +7.5 in Vegas and +8 at the Hard Rock out here so I may take a tumble on that one-but it's all in the game
              Comment
              • atthehalf
                SBR MVP
                • 12-31-13
                • 4566

                #1547
                Ok so i am going to stick with the guidelines for NFL road favorites and the AWAY-3 is a crisp 77.8% clip and on the ML it's 90.9%

                Ravens-160 ML 3 UNITS

                Comment
                • atthehalf
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-31-13
                  • 4566

                  #1548
                  Ravens-1.5 2nd half
                  Comment
                  • atthehalf
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-31-13
                    • 4566

                    #1549
                    NBA time-The Warriors have the Thunder up next on their schedule-stand down on them but do look to capitalize on their superior defense

                    Thunder/Kings UNDER 225.5

                    Kings+3.5

                    Nets/Warriors UNDER 224


                    Comment
                    • atthehalf
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-13
                      • 4566

                      #1550
                      That's all for the evening for me boys-take care until tomorrow
                      Comment
                      • atthehalf
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-31-13
                        • 4566

                        #1551
                        I got blasted on the late night tip. I kind of had the feeling that the Dubs would play poorly with the thunder up next but jeez! The Kings are in the middle of a regression to the mean and definitely didn't play up to the assigned number-no worries-there are good ones on the board today to blast away on and I am certainly staying away from totals. The OVERS are winning at an alarming rate according to the boys at the counter and vice versa they are killing bettors on the sides. this is where i come in at. Sides are my specialty. Stay tuned boys and locked in. I seriously doubt that I will be in on the Maction stuff.
                        Comment
                        • atthehalf
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-31-13
                          • 4566

                          #1552
                          Speaking of synergy BOTH Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal are coming back for the Suns- I am stoked! I can't wait to take the Lakers priced at +2 if I can get it!
                          Comment
                          • atthehalf
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-31-13
                            • 4566

                            #1553
                            Boy oh boy-the Bulls priced at -6 to -6.5 stochastically speaking would be WONDERFUL to start the night-the Bulls will definitely need a cover tonight against the Wizards because I see an advantage for Orlando tomorrow over them that is from another world and will warrant intrinsic value.
                            Comment
                            • atthehalf
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-31-13
                              • 4566

                              #1554
                              Steady boys-stand down on the Bulls-the line is a tweener at 5.5
                              Comment
                              • atthehalf
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-31-13
                                • 4566

                                #1555
                                Grab some of this that has a +8.25 AVG MOV. I have them at -12 SYNERGY anyway

                                Heats-5.5


                                Comment
                                • atthehalf
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-31-13
                                  • 4566

                                  #1556
                                  I have the Rockets/T-Wolves as a PK, the line (T-Wolves-3) suggests a win by the T-Wolves of 5.17 points. I don't however like how the line got to -3 and -2.5 on some books going down from an opening of -4.5 for the T-Wolves. It's always better for a line to go up on a short number to a good number with less cash on that side. Well the cash is pretty even

                                  Rot.#535 Rockets+130 ML

                                  Comment
                                  • atthehalf
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-31-13
                                    • 4566

                                    #1557
                                    Hard Rock still has them priced at +130 boys!
                                    Comment
                                    • atthehalf
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-31-13
                                      • 4566

                                      #1558
                                      The Jazz have a good looking line-but uh.....not with my money. I would rather make moves on good teams with good numbers instead of betting bad teams and hoping that they will play well for my money by chance.. El Paso
                                      Comment
                                      • atthehalf
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-31-13
                                        • 4566

                                        #1559
                                        All of this leads to the Lakers in a their best role as a short number underdog facing a Suns team that has too many moving parts with Durant and Beal suddenly being well enough to play. The line is trending down towards Lakers+2 which suits me fine as a buy in price. I will pass on any number other than Lakers+2
                                        Comment
                                        • atthehalf
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-31-13
                                          • 4566

                                          #1560
                                          So looking ahead to tomorrow...it's pretty much a just a matter of getting the Magic's injury report before i blast away with several units on that one. I like the Mavs quite a bit too

                                          11/27/24




                                          Heats-3.5 (-4.5) (-6 to -6.5)
                                          Hornets (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
                                          SYNERGY HORNETS-1 O/U 224


                                          Hawks (+12 to +13)
                                          Cavs-12 (-10.5 to -11.5) (-14 to -14.5)
                                          SYNERGY CAVS-11 O/U 242


                                          Blazers (+12 to +13) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
                                          Pacers-10.5 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
                                          SYNERGY BLAZERS-5 O/U 227


                                          Bulls(+6.5 to +8.5) (+12 to +13)
                                          Magic-10.5 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
                                          SYNERGY MAGIC-26.5 O/U 217.5 (WHOA!)


                                          Rockets-4.5 (-6 to -6.5)
                                          Sixers (+3 to +4)
                                          SYNERGY ROCKETS-7 O/U 220


                                          Clippers-10.5 (-10) (-11)
                                          Wizards (+8 to +9)
                                          SYNERGY CLIPPERS-9 O/U 234.5


                                          Knicks-4 (-4.5) (-6 to -6.5)
                                          Mavs (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
                                          SYNERGY MAVS-12 O/U 220


                                          Pistons (+6.5 to +8.5)
                                          Grizzlies-8.5 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
                                          SYNERGY GRIZZLIES-2 O/U 217


                                          Raptors (+4 to +5)
                                          Pelicans-3 (-2.5 to -3.5 ML)
                                          SYNERGY PELICANS-3.5 O/U 230.5


                                          Lakers-2 (-4.5)
                                          Spurs (+2 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
                                          SYNERGY SPURS+10 O/U 227


                                          Nets (+6.5 to +8.5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
                                          Suns-7.5 (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
                                          SYNERGY NETS-1 O/U 225.5


                                          Nuggets-8 (-9.5 to -10)
                                          Jazz (+7) (+8 to +9)
                                          SYNERGY NUGGETS-1.5 O/U 230.5


                                          Thunder-2 (-4.5)
                                          Warriors (+2 to +4)
                                          SYNERGY THUNDER-5 O/U 214


                                          Kings (+4 to +5) (+6.5 to +8.5)
                                          T-Wolves-5.5 (-6) (-9)
                                          SYNERGY T-WOLVES-9 O/U 221.5
                                          Last edited by atthehalf; 11-26-24, 10:44 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • atthehalf
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-31-13
                                            • 4566

                                            #1561
                                            Man is this Magic move setting up so good with the Bulls blasting the Wizards right now...

                                            Comment
                                            • atthehalf
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-31-13
                                              • 4566

                                              #1562
                                              Ok so I am suggesting that you start getting your outs together for tomorrow's Magic move boys. It's not often to catch a team on a back to back facing the league's #1 defense and #1 4th quarter home differential team. Just for the 4th quarter differential alone the Magic are +7.4 compared to the Bulls pedestrian +0.5 4th quarter differential-translated i will be taking the Magic again for the second half-they have no stars on this team-just hungry grunt types
                                              Comment
                                              • atthehalf
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-31-13
                                                • 4566

                                                #1563
                                                It's TNT one underdog will cover and one favorite will cover-get some Suns-135 ML SMALL. After all the Suns have been off for 5 days to work back in these dudes
                                                Comment
                                                • atthehalf
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-31-13
                                                  • 4566

                                                  #1564
                                                  The Rockets with a complete meltdown-hard to remember that they were once up by 20 points in this game
                                                  Comment
                                                  • atthehalf
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-31-13
                                                    • 4566

                                                    #1565
                                                    I'm still with y'all let's look at the 4th quarter differential for the Lakers/Suns

                                                    Lakers AWAY -4.3
                                                    Suns HOME +0.9


                                                    That makes for a decent edge for the Suns for the 2nd half in the quarter that counts the most

                                                    OVERALL 2nd half differential

                                                    Lakers AWAY-3.3
                                                    Suns HOME +4.6

                                                    After losing 5 straight games one would think that the Suns would put forth a special effort to win this game for the 2nd half. Looking for a line of around Suns PK or -1 or so
                                                    Comment
                                                    • atthehalf
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-31-13
                                                      • 4566

                                                      #1566
                                                      Gonna have to adjust the Rockets move for tomorrow.

                                                      By virtue of their overtime affair with the T-Wolves the line has already gone down to -4.5. The best number in the range of the chalk that they have been reassigned is still -6 to -6.5.

                                                      The Sixers best line in their range is where the change happens wherein the best number is now +3 to 4. i will adjust the big board now
                                                      Comment
                                                      • atthehalf
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-31-13
                                                        • 4566

                                                        #1567
                                                        Lowery, Embiid and George (the money grabbers) are all going to be out for the Sixers-so yes the SYNERGY will still be the same and a Rockets ML will still be in order should I chose to go that direction
                                                        Comment
                                                        • atthehalf
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-31-13
                                                          • 4566

                                                          #1568
                                                          Suns-0.5 2nd half small again
                                                          Comment
                                                          • atthehalf
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-31-13
                                                            • 4566

                                                            #1569
                                                            Ok so you now what is smart here. Since the favorite is the flavor get down on it EARLY. More to come later on but get this out of the way now so that you online bettors can figure out your budget from here

                                                            Rot.#548 Magic-10.5 LARGE

                                                            Comment
                                                            • atthehalf
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-31-13
                                                              • 4566

                                                              #1570
                                                              Let's get lined up for Thanksgiving Day FBALL-forget about the Giants and Cowboys-any man who makes a move on that game has a serious gambling problem-neither of those teams are worth risking your hard earned money on.

                                                              So that leaves the Dolphins/Packers and the Bears/Lions. Don't overthink this-just take the points with both-it's Thanksgiving-and besides-any time you can get an NFL team with double digit points on a Thursday you take it

                                                              Rot.#305 Bears+10
                                                              Rot.#309 Dolphins+3.5 or +3 depending on your book


                                                              Comment
                                                              • atthehalf
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-31-13
                                                                • 4566

                                                                #1571
                                                                I need to understand something. the Spurs get 40 points from their bench on AVERAGE and the lakers only get 23.5 from theirs and as I pointed out last night the Lakers are one of the worst 4th quarter teams in the league with a -4.3 differential in the 4th quarter. My synergy for tonight's game is the Spurs-10 and they are getting 2 points and that's not even factoring in that this is a back to back for both teams. it's just raw numbers

                                                                Hmmmm. Very interesting
                                                                Comment
                                                                • atthehalf
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-31-13
                                                                  • 4566

                                                                  #1572
                                                                  Rot.#552 Hornets+4 or +4.5 depending on your book

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • atthehalf
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-31-13
                                                                    • 4566

                                                                    #1573
                                                                    Rot.#557 Pistons+8

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • atthehalf
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-31-13
                                                                      • 4566

                                                                      #1574
                                                                      Rot.#563 Nuggets-10.5

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • atthehalf
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-31-13
                                                                        • 4566

                                                                        #1575
                                                                        Rot.#562 Spurs+2

                                                                        Comment
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