Ck's 2024 mlb thread

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The #1 and #3 defensive teams are facing one another. This is the LOWEST total set for the league this season too BTW

Magic/Clippers UNDER 205

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Hawks+7 1 UNIT

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That's gonna do it for me for the evening! Check back with y'all tomorrow

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Eastern Michigan whores!

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Ordinarily I would be chomping at the bit to fade a team off of a big upset such as was the case when Georgia Tech beat Miami last week to throw a wrench in Miami's undefeated season plans. I am deciding to play this one today as a normal pedestrian move as the Wolfpack have some issues scoring and that is against a so-so strength of schedule. This is purely a move against a team off of a big upset win

Rot.#113 NC State+9

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As for tomorrow-the choice is clear-my nephew Jordan Cobbs (#8) and his Spartans team are facing one of my favorite teams to make moves on this year in UNLV. So this is a homer pick to say the least. He told me that they have gotten in some good practice this week and have a game plan to flex but not break against the Rebels rushing attack. I have to see it to believe it-I told him that they are gonna get blown the fuckout LOL! Still any man here who bets against the family is not my friend! Grab the robust points-after all why is the 25th ranked team in action on a Friday to begin with-it just sounds like something you are supposed to bet against.

Rot.#120 San Jose State+7.5

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Here are my lines for tonight in the NBA

Pistons(-1.5) -1, or +2
Hornets +3 to +4
SYNERGY Pistons-2 O/U 217.5


T-Wolves(-6.5) -6 to -6.5
Raptors +7 to +9
SYNERGY T-Wolves-5 O/U 237


Jazz+2 or +4.5 to +8.5 AND NOT +6
Spurs(-3) THE ML FOR -3.5 IS 100% 5-0 MOV +10.40
SYNERGY Spurs-11 O/U 229


Magic+4.5 to +8.5 AND NOT +6
Lakers(-5) THERE IS NO GOOD NUMBER IN THEIR RANGE
SYNERGY Magic-5 O/U 225.5

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So synergy wise with Wemby out the Spurs line is a bit skewed. Also it is abundantly clear that I will be taking the Magic and their ML-it's just a matter of when. Also the higher that the T-Wolves line goes the better for me to pull the rug out from underneath joes and take the Raptors and the POINTS which are good up through +9. The Pistons and Hornets look good for an UNDER; Raptors/T-Wolves OVER; Jazz and Spurs line is skewed as i mentioned; Magic/Lakers uh I don't know where that line came from-however there is much more value on the SIDE than the total. I am saying all of this to say tune n during the evening and see what's up

[MisterSack]

Enjoy your posts and insights! Would you mind elaborating on what exactly is being shown here?

[atthehalf]

Enjoy your posts and insights! Would you mind elaborating on what exactly is being shown here?

The night before each day for NBA I create my own spreads and totals by each team's home and away synergy and then I look up the best available number value for the underdog and the favorite on teamrankings so that I have a target price that I am looking for

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Wrong team is favored here-I will gladly take the POINTS and some ML as well

Rot.#535 Magic+5 2 UNITS
Rot.#535 Magic+175 ML 0.5 UNIT

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Looking ahead to tomorrow I like Nets, Hawks, Clippers with possibilities for the Pelicans, Blazers and Pacers depending on where the number lands


11/22/24


Nets (+6.5 to +8.5) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Sixers(-6.5) (-9 80%) NOT A GOOD NUMBER (NEEDS 3.5 MORE POINTS FOR BUY IN)
SYNERGY NETS-1.5 O/U 226


Celtics(-15) NO DATA
Wizards (NO DATA)
SYNERGY CELTICS-14 O/U234


Pacers (+4.5 to +5) (+6.5 to +8.5) NOT +6
Bucks(-5) (-9 80%) NOT A GOOD NUMBER NEEDS 3.5 POINTS FOR BUY IN
SYNERGY BUCKS-9 O/U 227


Hawks (+2 100%) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
Bulls(-1.5) (-1.5 100% ML)(-3.5) NOT A GOOD NUMBER NEEDS 2 POINTS FOR BUY IN
SYNERGY HAWKS+5.5 O/U 243


Warriors-8.5 (-9.5 to -10)
Pelicans (+7 to +9)
SYNERGY WARRIORS-2.5 O/U 225


Kings(-4) (-4.5) (-6 to -6.5)
Clippers (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY CLIPPERS-11.5 O/U 222


Blazers (+6.5 to +8.5)
Rockets(-9.5) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY ROCKETS-4.5 O/U 216.5

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As for tonight-the T-Wolves are almost at the buy in price of -6.5 and the Raptors are almost staying there too...just waiting it out

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Grab some

Rot.#531 T-Wolves-6.5 2 UNITS

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Ah man...the T'Wolves line was -6.5 for only a few minutes and then closed at -7. No big deal. The Raptors will give it back in their next game in all likelihood

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Top of the morning to y'all-one noticeable change overnight is that the Hawks are now FAVORED by 2 which of course means that a change in the best nearest number is in order. Around the AWAY-2 are a bunch of 50% numbers, however with the magnifying glass the ML seems to be the way to go with a +5.5 advantage. So let's go with that EARLY

Rot.#543 Hawks-125 ML 1 UNIT

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Wait a minute...looking ahead to tomorrow how is it possible for Notre Dame to beat Army by two touchdowns in a game that will obviously have limited possessions. Army is #1 both in rushing and stopping the rush. No way! .

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Points will be at a PREMIUM this weekend on CFB with teams vying for the CFP being overvalued. Fading teams like SMU, Colorado, Penn State, Texas A&M, and so on. I don't know what to make of the Indiana/Ohio State game. BOTH of them are looking to get in. The OVER looks decent for that one too tho! To be real I may end up just fading all of those teams blindly with the UNDERDOG in some respects because the numbers that they are giving are outrageously good football numbers. I won't be fading Texas however. That defense is insanely good

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Rot.#537 Nets+4.5

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Rot.#552 Clippers+3.5 1 UNIT
Rot.#552 Clippers+140 ML 0.5 UNIT

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I don't know anyone out here who ISN'T going to the Ole Miss/Gators game up top in Gainesville including the Commish with a luxury bus full of mad men. Go gators! The Rebels are gonna blow them out more than likely tho

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Heading down the street to Hard Rock later on this evening to buy some numbers after we eat some ground turkey house tacos y'all. So stay tuned in!

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Rot.#548 Rockets-11 or -11.5 depending on your book

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The refs are obviously helping out the Sixers with Embiid out with 14 free throw attempts to only 2 for the Nets...

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Ok here are the numbers I just grabbed for tomorrow

12:00 Rot.#15 Virginia+10
12:00 Rot.#159 Indiana+10.5
12:00 Rot.#128 Jacksonville State-6
7:30 Rot.#221 Army+14

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For Sunday

Bucs PK/Chiefs-5 6 POINT TEASER

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For Sunday

Bucs PK/Chiefs-5 6 POINT TEASER

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Damn 20 free throw attempts to only 7. There's the ball game right there. The Nets got the full Donaghey treatment tonight with the refs

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With so many of the Gator faithful blasting away on the POINTS I am getting the feeling that Ole Miss may be the play but the number is one that doesn't generate a high enough return for me to grab it where it is (54.6%). i would prefer a buy in price of -12...just an idle thought

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Grab some of this-I fully expect some style points happening towards the end of the game to impress the selection committee

Texas-20

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As for NBA the more points the merrier for the Spurs as they have a slight advantage in this scenario. The Magic, Grizzlies, Blazers and Nuggets all have a pretty decent margin cover as well. according to my math. Basically just wait it out and mix and match the values. the Jazz have a wonderful bet profile for this evening-however they are thin in depth and it doesn't make much sense to bet bad teams and hope that they play well for you because you have your money on them

Knicks (-8.5) (-9.5 TO -10)
Jazz (+8 TO +9 AND +7)
SYNERGY KNICKS-2.5 O/U 232.5


Pistons (+6.5 to +8.5)
Magic(-9.5) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY MAGIC-12.5 O/U 202


Hornets (+6.5 to +8.5)
Bucks(-8.5) (-9) (-10 to -11.5)
SYNERGY BUCKS-7 O/U 224.5


Grizzlies(-5.5) (-6 to -6.5)
Bulls (+3.5 to +4.5)
SYNERGY GRIZZLIES-9 O/U 239


Blazers (+12.5 to +13)
Rockets(-12.5) (-14 to -14.5)
SYNERGY ROCKETS-4.5 O/U 216.5


Warriors(-3.5) (-4.5) (-6 to -6.5)
Spurs (+3 to +4) UNDERDOG ADVANTAGE
SYNERGY SPURS-1.5 O/U 221


Nuggets (+4.5 to +5) (+6.5 to +8.5)
Lakers-4.5 (-6) NOT A GOOD NUMBER
SYNERGY LAKERS-2 O/U 231

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Interesting tidbit for the Blazers-they have the 2nd highest road 4th quarter margin (+3.6) in the entire league behind only the Celtics (+5.2) and they have the 4th best bench production in the league as well with 40.1 points per game. Translated-although they got blown out last night by the Rockets in an outcome I predicted correctly-they may give the Rockets a little more trouble today

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To be perfectly honest-I have more target numbers on deck in NBA today than in CFB the rest of the way so stay tuned. I will be back around 5:00 EXACT

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Alright let's go

Jazz+8.5

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Looking for a buy in price of Magic-10 to -11.5. if I don't get it I will move on to watching the Hornets with a jaundiced eye. -9 is cool too, but -9.5 is the bad number