Ck's 2024 mlb thread

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Louisiana Tech-6.5 2 UNITS

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Now that the pitching matchups have been announced for the World Series i will start digging off into that

For tonight

Jacksonville State Team Total OVER 41.5

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Rest in the sky Fernando

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NBA

Magic/Heat UNDER 208

These two teams are pretty much exactly what they were last season-the Magic like to get to the rim and Erik Spoelstra coached teams don't allow that. both of these teams are top tier defensive teams as well overall and the Heat's offense sucks

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Okie dokie

tonight

Rams+3 (buy a hook if needed)
Old Dominion+100 ML
Georgia Southern/Old Dominion UNDER 52.5
Syracuse/Pitt UNDER 62.5 or 63

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Tonight

Louisville-6.5 LARGE

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Cole#11 vs Dodgers 164 AB; 55K; 14BB; .226 AVG; .287 OBP; .378 SLG; .665 OPS
Flaherty#4 vs Bombers 56AB; 15K; 12BB; .304 AVG; .426 OBP; .518 SLG; .944 OPS

Bombers (Rizzo) 9-21 vs Flaherty; .429 AVG; .571 OBP; .905 SLG; 1.476 OPS

Dodgers (Betts) 7-17 vs Cole; .412 AVG; .444 OBP; .471 SLG; .915 OPS

Ok so what stands out to me is that Cole has the better numbers vs the Dodgers than Flaherty does vs the Bombers. Flaherty is off of a horrendous start as well. The sharp money is squarely on the Bombers too. The only thing is that I will never make a move against my rankings. Ever. I know that the line movement looks bad-so what. I have Flaherty at #4 and Cole at #11. Plus the Dodgers bullpen is top notch and the Bombers has been good albeit against inferior competition. The Bombers have not faced a team that blasts the ball like the Fathers. The Dodgers have

Let's go

Dodgers (Flaherty) UNDER 4.5 K's +120
Dodgers (Betts) OVER 1.5 BASES +120
Bombers (Rizzo) OVER 2 BASES +210
Bombers (Volpe) UNDER 0.5 BASES +120
Dodgers-125 ML

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Wow what a game-what a great time to be alive to see it!

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The sportsbook opens up in a few. I am probably going to blast away on all of my moves early today since we have a short trip up to Deltona to see some friends and eat good and burn some shrubs later on. I will be back on here in a few. Shocking loss with Louisville last night-according to my findings they should have won by the margin-but they got off to a slow start. that's what it takes to beat a good handicap-damn near miracles. They were the better team on the field-just couldn't overcome some early mistakes.

This is the time of the season when movers and shakers should be making moves on good teams in good situations instead of betting bad teams and hoping and praying that they will play well.

Now I am going to label some of the moves in such a manner as 3D and 4D which is my own personal way of ranking the handicap findings based on rushing stats both for and against and 3rd down conversion rates and strength of schedule etc.

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Okay here are the moves that I made

SATURDAY


12:00 MISSISSIPPI-19.5 (4D)

12:00 OHIO-5.5 LARGE (4D)
12:00 TULANE-7.5 (4D)

3:30 NORTHERN ILLINOIS-12 LARGE (4D)
3:30 CENTRAL FLORIDA-135 ML
3:30 BAYLOR-6.5 (3D)
3:30 OREGON-21.5 (4D)
3:30 MARYLAND+5 (3D)

7:00 UTAH-195 ML (4D)

7:30 TEXAS A&M-115 ML (3D)
7:30 MICHIGAN-4 (4D)

8:00 FRESNO STATE-5.5 (3D)
8:00 SMU-12

10:30 WAZZOU-14.5 (4D)

If you don't want to blast away on the robust ML for Utah then take the chalk. There isn't anything that Houston does better than them and they are off of 3 straight losses which makes them as dangerous as a bobcat backed into a corner.

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Northern Illinois-1.5 LIVE BET

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Absorb the UCF loss-no since in making any moves on that one 2nd half

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I will be looking at the Oregon 2nd half line with a jaundiced eye however

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Leave Maryland alone too

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Oregon-40.5 LIVE BET

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Ok so let's ET OUT of Texas A&M by taking LSU+1 boys-the line didn't move in my favor

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Same with Michigan-there are disruptions with e QB situation and an untested bastard is being thrown into the fire. We may get back in at the half so stay locked in

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I just grabbed me some

Kansas+10

Rivalry game y'all-take the points

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Game 2

Dodgers-135 ML Yamamoto

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Rodon vs Dodgers 81 AB; 17K; 11BB; .198 AVG; .293 OBP; .519 SLG; .817 OPS
Yamamoto vs Bombers 24 AB; 6K; 2BB; .125 AVG; .192 OBP; .292 SLG; .484 OPS

Dodgers Enrique Hernandez 3-6 .560 AVG; .571 OBP; 2.000 SLG; 2.571 OPS WITH 3 BOMBS vs Rodon

Dodgers (Hernandez) OVER 2 BASES +170

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Oh yeah and rankings

Rodon#38
Yamamoto#8

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Colorado-6

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So far I have made a move on

Browns+8.5

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Colts+5
Browns+8.5
Eagles+2.5
Dolphins-4.5
Falcons/Bucs OVER 47
Ravens/Browns OVER 44.5

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Saints+7 or +7.5
Raiders+9
Broncos-13

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Adding on

Bears+2

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The HOME-2 has been losing by -9.25 points since 2023

https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/odds-history/win/?season-filter=since_2023

Translated I will more than likely be getting some more Bears 2nd half regardless of the score

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Bills+0.5 2nd half

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Pass on the Bears 2nd half and let the chips fall where they may

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Whoa! The Bears/Commanders game was the game of the year! I lost money on it-and that's ok. It doesn't take away from the matchup however

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Buehler#71 vs Bombers 51AB; 11K; 4 BB; .255 AVG; .309 OBP; .412 SLG; .721 OPS
Schmidt(DNS) vs Dodgers 13AB; 6K; 0BB; .154 AVG; .154 OBP; .385 SLG; .538 OPS

Ok so it is plain to see that I have Schmidt as a DNS arm. He has only faced 3 Dodgers batters and Ohtani hit a dinger off of him within those 13 at bats-which means in all likelihood he will have a lot of trouble the second time through the lineup.

Get any and all CRUMBS

Dodgers+124 Buehler Game 3

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For NCAA FBALL

Florida International-9 or -9.5 depending on your book

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New York Football Giants+3.5 2nd half

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NBA

Phoenix Suns-175 ML

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As most know I don't really get involved in bullpen games. The total for this one opened up at 9 +100/-120 and is now down to 8.5 -110 with some big moves made on the UNDER to drive the price down. One thing that I'm not is stupid-also take Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani to go OVER 1.5 bases in a buy low bid since they are not hitting well but will be facing less than stellar arms today which have become familiar over the course of the series

Dodgers/Bombers OVER 8.5
Bombers (Judge) OVER 1.5 BASES +110
Dodgers (Ohtani) OVER 1.5 BASES +105