Ck's 2024 mlb thread

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Rot.#284 Cardinals PK

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Rot.#286 Chiefs-3.5 1st half

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Steelers-0.5 2nd half

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Gimme about 15 minutes-want to get the closing numbers

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Hold steady-may even wait until after the opening kickoff

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Okay live bet

Bears/Texans OVER 45

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Bears+0.5 2nd half

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With only minutes to spare

Rot.#901 Nats/Metropolitans UNDER 4.5 FF +115 Irvin/Manaea 1 UNIT
Rot.#913 Tigers/Royals UNDER 4 FF -110 Olson/Lugo 1 UNIT
Rot.#906 Brews-110 Civale 2 UNITS
Rot.#907 Buccos/Cardinals UNDER 3.5 FF +104 Skenes/Pallante 1 UNIT
Rot.#909 Snakes Team Total OVER 6.5 +105 1 UNIT (Senzatela must start)

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Monday Night FBALL

Rot.#291 Falcons/Eagles OVER 46.5 2 UNITS

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Prop bet

kirk cousins/jalen hurts both over 250 pass yards +750 1 unit

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Prop bet

Saquon Barkley/Bijan Robinson each record a touchdown+275 1 UNIT

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No 2nd half moves for MNF-we are about to have a 2nd half explosion of points. the average 46.5 last season produced 45.40 points and hit at a clip of 80% for the OVER. Five games had low scores and brought down the overall production rate

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Really all I want is 1 more touchdown from Hurts and 2 from Cousins

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Dang..some poor red zone execution did me in. The teams easily had red zone opportunities at the beginning of the second half to get me over the bump but came away with field goals instead of touchdowns. It was the right call. I would do it all over again if given the chance

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For today here is what I blasted away on

Rot.#968 Royals Team Total OVER 4.5 +106 1 UNIT
Rot.#968 Royals-1.5 +135 RL Ragans 1 UNIT
Rot.#977 Athletics+138 Spence 1 UNIT
Rot.#960 Cardinals Team Total OVER 4.5 +112 1 UNIT
Rot.#960 Cardinals-1.5 +155 RL Lynn 1 UNIT
Rot.#969 Jays+114 Bassitt 1 UNIT
Rot.#961 Snakes Team Total OVER 6.5 +105 1 UNIT
Rot.#979 Astronauts+102 ML Brown 3 UNITS CRUMBS POD
Rot.#957 Blunts/Brews UNDER 4 -120 FF Wheeler/Montas 1 UNIT
Rot.#973 Bombers/Sailors UNDER 4 -120 FF Gil/Woo 1 UNIT

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My TOP TEN Streaming Options

Blunts Wheeler#1 Aces gonna ace
Royals Ragans#2 Aces gonna ace
Giants Snell#3 Aces gonna ace
Bombers Gil#4 This is too juicy of a matchup
Fathers King#5 Aces gonna ace-although he has bad numbers vs the Astronauts
Wanderers Eovaldi#6 He has bad numbers vs 5 Jays-still not a lineup to run from
Sailors Woo#7 Aces gonna ace in Seattle with the marine layer to help out
Red Sox Pivetta#8 The Rays are exactly who you want him to be facing
Rays Baz#9 He's done well with his curve and being at the Trop will help too
Orioles Suarez#10 It's possible rain interferes at Camden-but he should still be able to take advantage

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I have no idea what is wrong with the Snakes bats down the stretch here-it's weird...anyway they are on verge of being swept so naturally I am rolling with them in spite of this madness. The Royals are about to be swept too however they are facing a #1 starter in Skubal so I am gonna pass on that one. The Buccos are also on sweep lookout but are also facing a #1 starter in Gray. El Paso on that one too. The Nats are an in division foe so I will go against all conventional thought and blast away on the Nats even up against the juggernaut Metropolitans

The best pitching matchups for today Ober vs Bibee and Nola vs Peralta are strange in the fact that I have both of the underdogs in those games as higher ranked pitchers so you know what that means

Rot.#901 Snakes-1.5 +100 RL Rodriguez 3 UNITS
Rot.#921 Jays/Wanderers UNDER 4.5 -120 Francis/Bradford
Rot.#907 Nats+150 ML Herz
Rot.#909 Blunts+105 ML Nola
Rot.#915 Twins+100 ML Ober
Rot.#917 Red Sox/Rays OVER 7.5 -115 Houck/Pepiot 2 UNITS

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For those concerned I actually took Alec Marsh (Royals) because his curve and slider have been on a tear recently, that said the Tigers playoff push team can provide some pop and because of this I am not sure that Marsh can replicate his 11 K performance-but it does look good for 5 frames 2/1 K/W ratio in a fantasy perspective

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9/19/24

Damn..it feels weird. I actually have some time to piss off for tomorrow and get ahead of the competition in my league.

The Orioles are unfamiliar with Webb so he is a perfect spoiler in this setting. Don't get me wrong-Eflin is a stud.

Webb#8 vs Orioles 19 AB; 7K; 0BB; .105 AVG; .105 OBP; .263 SLG; .368 OPS
Eflin#4 vs Giants 46 AB; 8K; 4BB; .304 AVG, .360 OBP; .630 SLG; .990 OPS

Rot.#973 Giants+120 ML Webb 1 UNIT

For whatever reason, Sale has issues with the Red Leggins bats...Aguiar is a sinkerballer; creating a miniscule chance for 5 frames as heaters find gloves

Sale vs Red Leggins 23 AB; 7K; 0BB, .304 AVG, .304 OBP; .565 SLG; .870 OPS
Aguiar vs Braves NO DATA

Rot.#952 Braves/Red Leggins OVER 8 -120 Sale/Aguiar 2 UNITS

In the Twinkies quest to chase down a wild card spot they are facing the Guardians a home run heavy team and the Twinkies coaching staff isn't letting Woods-Richardson go long these days-no way to know if he will be let to go 5 frames. it's a tough decision but the numbers are there for the old "we will let you go as long as you can." Cantillo has been wonderful-but that was against the Ray and pale Hose-this is a much more potent lineup-but he does have a historically good bullpen to back him should he run into too much trouble

Woods-Richardson vs Guardians 37 AB; 8K; 0BB; .189 AVG; .189 OBP; .270 SLG; .459 OPS
Cantillo vs Twinkies 17 AB; 2K; 3BB; .294 AVG; .408 OBP; .765 SLG; 1.165 OPS

Rot. #963 Twinkies FF ML Woods-Richardson NO LINE 1 UNIT

Brayan Bello is set to make a start on a push up. Won't matter

Bello vs Rays 63 AB; 13K; 6BB; .365 AVG, .420 OBP; .492 SLG; .912 OPS
Littell vs Red Sox; 36 AB; 11K; 2BB; .222 AVG; .263 OBP; .444 SLG; 708 OPS

Rot.#970 Rays-110 ML Littell 2 UNITS (BELLO MUST PITCH)

OMG Bot hof these guys have pedestrian numbers vs the opposition

Pfaadt vs Brews 23 AB; 5K; 3BB; .478 AVG; .538 OBP; .652 SLG; 1191 OPS
Myers vs Snakes 26 AB; 5K; 0BB; .308 AVG; .308 OBP; .423 SLG; .731 OPS

Rot.#959 Snakes/Brews OVER 8.5 +105 Pfaadt/Myers 1 UNIT

As i was looking it up I couldn't believe that Tijuan Walker has the numbers vs the Metropolitans that he does. Severino is a stud

Walker vs Metropolitans 116 AB; 24K; 10BB; .224 AVG; .286 OBP; .345 SLG; .631 OPS
Severino vs Snakes 42 AB; 9K; 2BB; .262 AVG; .295 OBP; .452 SLG; .748 OPS

Rot.#955 Blunts/Metropolitans UNDER 8 -110 Walker/Severino 1 UNIT

Oriz vs Cardinals 23 AB; 5K; 7BB; .391 AVG; .533 OBP; .522 SLG; 1.055 OPS
Fedde vs Buccos 51 AB; 10K; 4BB; .275 AVG; .327 OBP; .569 SLG; .896 OPS

Rot.#957 Buccos/Cardinals OVER 8 -110 Ortiz/Fedde 1 UNIT

Hope the weather is decent with the wind-but here goes

Corbin vs Cubs 117 AB; 27K; 14BB; .291 AVG; .366 OBP; .470 SLG; .836 OPS
Assad vs Nats 51 AB; 10K; 4BB; .275 AVG; .327 OBP; .569 SLG; .896 OPS

Rot.#961 Nats/Cubs OVER NO LINE Corbin/Assad 1 UNIT

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My TOP TEN STREAMERS for Thursday

Braves Sale#1 Aces gonna ace
Dodgers Flaherty#2 Aces gonna ace
Astronauts Kikuchi#3 It's the Halos and uh....yeah
Orioles Eflin#4 Safe play for the frames vs a lower tier offense
Sailors Gilbert#5 It's bit risky vs the Bombers but yeah-you do this if you have him on roster
Jays Gausman#6 He's earning more splitter whiffs and the Wanderers aren't a tough crew
Bombers Schmidt#7 It's in Seattle
Giants Webb#8 It's the Orioles who aren't tough right now and are unfamiliar with his ground and pound
Red Sox Bello#9 He's a cherry bomb-but it's the Rays vs a righty
Wanderers Rocker#10 He was EXPLOSIVE in his debut-however the Jays have some surprising thump

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Also I am adding on a move for TODAY. Houck hasn't been the A-1 stud for a while now and Pepiot has given up 8 BOMBS at home and 29 earned 49 hits and 26 free passes over 65.2 frames

Rot.#917 Red Sox/Rays OVER 7.5 -115 Houck/Pepiot 2 UNITS

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So far this season the NFL HOME-5.5 through -9 is hitting at a solid 0%. That's right-no home favorite has covered any of those numbers.

https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/odds-history/spread/?season-filter=2024

Add to that anyone who has watched the Jets know that they have a hard time stopping the run. So it makes all of the sense in the world to fade the joes with the backing of a solid number

Rot.#301 Patties+6.5 3 UNITS

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Get OUT of the Nats/Cubs OVER and make a move on the UNDER for your STAKE amount

https://www.marqueesportsnetwork.com/weather/

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Patties+2.5 2nd half

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My stomach hurt making that bet-that's how you know it's good. if the books will take the action then so can I

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Alright-no sweat-the Patties let the joes get that one by underperforming to the number.

Today

Rot.#309 San Jose State+12.5 3 UNITS

And yes that's my nephew Jordan Cobbs #44 of San Jose State in the photo

[Yensel]

Nice! Go, Mr. Cobb. Go Spartans!

[Yensel]

Mr. Cobbs, that is!

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MLB moves for today. The courts were a complete mess today so here goes

Rot.#915 Tigers+140 Holton
Rot.#926 Royals-1.5 +103 RL Wacha
Rot.#907 Blunts-116 Sanchez 2 UNITS

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Alright folks lets BET OUT of the Spartans. The number has gone bad on me

The NCAA FBALL HOME-13.5 is an 83.3% number for the FAVORITE to cover by an average margin of +23.17 points

So bet 3 UNITS on Washington State-13.5 3 UNITS

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Well y'all my son's high school baseball team are participating in a tournament this weekend in Lakeland so I had to do all of my CFB moves early and on the Hard Rock app instead of in person

12:00 Rot.#334 CLEMSON-18.5

12:00 Rot.#311 HOUSTON+3.5
12:00 Rot.#336 INDIANA-28.5
12:00 Rot.#378 UL LAFAYETTE+1

2:00 Rot.#313 VIRGINIA-170 ML 3 UNITS

3:30 Rot.#349 RUTGERS+3.5
3:30 Rot.#321 BUFFALO/NORTHERN ILLINOIS UNDER 43 OR 43.5
3:30 Rot.#387 USC-4



4:00 Rot.#405 DUKE TEAM TOTAL OVER 33.5

5:00 Rot.#370 SMU+2.5

7:00 Rot.#375 NORTHWESTERN/WASHINGTON UNDER 43 or 43.5

7:30 Rot.#338 MINNESOTA+2.5
7:30 Rot.#335 BOWLING GREEN+22. +22.5, +23
Rot.#410 Western Kentucky+2.5
Rot.#410 Toledo/Western Kentucky OVER 30.5 1st half
Michigan++2.5 2nd half
Rot.#373 U.L. Monroe/Texas UNDER 31.5 1st half

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Stay ready y'all. I am back in town now and I may make a move at 4:00PM EST on a game that I have eyes on

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El Paso on the 4:00 for Mizzou. Never got the number I wanted

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Also if Toledo's line goes down to -2 I am pulling the a switcheroo and going with Western Kentucky

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Michigan is controlling the line of scrimmage against the Trojans so I will be more than likely to take them for the second half