VERY Weird line and Team Totals in Bal/Bos game later

**ShowMeDaMoney** · 04-12-16, 03:23 PM

maybe I'm just one of the suckers but I jumped on over 9 with zero hesitation. two units.

**newguy** · 04-12-16, 03:25 PM

Interesting. I would look at both unders (tt and game) given that fact pattern. Does seem like they are begging you to take over.

**44 Mag** · 04-12-16, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

So the over opened at 9.5. Moved down to 9 even though 86% on over according to sportsinsights.

Bos TT is o4.5 -125
Bal TT is o3.5 -135

So the team totals only add up to 8.. The over is 9.. And baltimore is 6-0, while averaging 5+ runs per game (31 in 6 games). They have only gone under 4 once. They have scored 3, 4, 4, 6, 5, 9.

This is the fishiest line i have seen in a while

What gives? Wind blowing across the diamond, so its not like the wind is blowing in from center at 20 mph.

Buchholz sucks. He DOES have a 3.65 career ERA vs bal, but most of those starts were when he was decent. He got hammered in his first outing against a medicore indians lineup. Please someone explain to me how Bal doesnt score 4 rung tonight.

Those TT's are common, that happens all the time. I took the LAD game, and their TT's are 1/2 run less. Some days it is a full run. Don't read anything into that. And how Baltimore doesn't score 4 runs, because, I already took them over 3.5, that's how. LOL.

**pavyracer** · 04-12-16, 04:05 PM

You can't score .5 a run in baseball. So for the over you need 5+4 which equals the total of 9 runs offered. The TT are also heavily juiced.

**blackHIPPY** · 04-12-16, 04:23 PM

i got 600 on bos

**iloseagain** · 04-12-16, 04:26 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

You can't score .5 a run in baseball. So for the over you need 5+4 which equals the total of 9 runs offered. The TT are also heavily juiced.

True.. I just figured the tt usually are closer to the total when added up. I see what u mean though

**44 Mag** · 04-12-16, 04:28 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

You can't score .5 a run in baseball. So for the over you need 5+4 which equals the total of 9 runs offered. The TT are also heavily juiced.

I think he was implying it seemed fishy that the two TT's don't add up to the game TT. That' s what I was referring to, and it does happen all the time. And believe it or not, I know you can't have .5 runs in a game, not rocket science. But thanks for the heads up.

**pavyracer** · 04-12-16, 05:22 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

I think he was implying it seemed fishy that the two TT's don't add up to the game TT. That' s what I was referring to, and it does happen all the time. And believe it or not, I know you can't have .5 runs in a game, not rocket science. But thanks for the heads up.

Isn't the total for over 9 -105? But the TT add up to 8 because they are offered at -125 & -135. It's all factored in the juice.

**unusialsusp5** · 04-12-16, 05:25 PM

april night games at fenway haven't been big run totals in the past. day games yes. but this bum pitching for baltimore 30 er in his last 30 innings last year and the stereo thief having command issues for boston still begs this to go over. weather a factor here tonite, tread lightly.

**Louisvillekid1** · 04-12-16, 05:32 PM

I think clay deals

**iloseagain** · 04-12-16, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by unusialsusp5

april night games at fenway haven't been big run totals in the past. day games yes. but this bum pitching for baltimore 30 er in his last 30 innings last year and the stereo thief having command issues for boston still begs this to go over. weather a factor here tonite, tread lightly.

Weather a factor? Its 50 and sunny here

Originally posted by Louisvillekid1

I think clay deals

Probably.

**unusialsusp5** · 04-12-16, 05:41 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Weather a factor? Its 50 and sunny here

Probably.

yes, the sun came out after raining all day. heavy sea breeze air in april a factor though. still think it goes over but hardly a lock. sun will disappear by game time, 45 and raw.

**upscope** · 04-12-16, 05:48 PM

U seem to be ignoring the juice factor -135 & -125 is some heavy fkkin' wood

**iloseagain** · 04-12-16, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by upscope

U seem to be ignoring the juice factor -135 & -125 is some heavy fkkin' wood

not ignoring it.. TT are always juiced. -120 seems to be a pretty normal TT. I just figured it would be 4.5 and 4.5. Or 5 and 4. Not 3.5 and 4.5 regardless of juice

**iloseagain** · 04-12-16, 06:20 PM

Wellp.. Bucholz gets out of the 1st.. He didnt look very good though.. He left quite a few pitches over the plate and they could have EASILY taken advantage of some of those pitches, but they didnt. Oh well.. Good start for O's even though they didnt get any runs

**jtoler** · 04-12-16, 06:22 PM

Not weird, overs are juiced a bit.

**ShowMeDaMoney** · 04-12-16, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Wellp.. Bucholz gets out of the 1st.. He didnt look very good though.. He left quite a few pitches over the plate and they could have EASILY taken advantage of some of those pitches, but they didnt. Oh well.. Good start for O's even though they didnt get any runs

He'll get hit around at some point. Sox have two up already... we're looking good

**iloseagain** · 04-12-16, 06:50 PM

Originally posted by jtoler

Not weird, overs are juiced a bit.

please tell me when tt overs arent juiced? Theyre almost always juiced AND add up to the total..

**jtoler** · 04-12-16, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

please tell me when tt overs arent juiced? Theyre almost always juiced AND add up to the total..

Both TT's arnt usually juiced that much though. 3 out of the 4 remaining games TT's dont add up to the total, the farther away from the total the more juice, the closer to the total, less juice.

**iloseagain** · 04-12-16, 07:27 PM

fair enough.. just seems over tt are usually -120 minimum but maybe not

**paco** · 04-12-16, 07:50 PM

Balti sucks

**iloseagain** · 04-12-16, 08:02 PM

wellp.. 4-4 lol. easy $$.. well, push at worst