***** Totals and Sides *****

[blackHIPPY]

Hit lad Pitt 2nd half

[doubledime]

Hit lad Pitt 2nd half

Actually I think it was a push at 12

[doubledime]

Thanks for the points BH

[doubledime]

Good evening,

It's late and someone should check my figures on these second half totals. HERE IS MY SUMMARY:

If you played the second half before the game started (Bookmaker) the Reliever Plays went 6-2-1
If you played LIVE second half on the Reliever Plays you went 5-3-1
If you played LIVE second half on ONLY the games that the second half total for the game, was LESS than the ORIGINAL TOTAL, it went 2-0

Good night

[Mike Huntertz]

I think overs were 13-2 today...all plays were over.
Food for thought?

[Capybara]

Good evening,

It's late and someone should check my figures on these second half totals. HERE IS MY SUMMARY:

If you played the second half before the game started (Bookmaker) the Reliever Plays went 6-2-1
If you played LIVE second half on the Reliever Plays you went 5-3-1
If you played LIVE second half on ONLY the games that the second half total for the game, was LESS than the ORIGINAL TOTAL, it went 2-0

Good night

Thanks for all the work on this, Double D! Great effort!

My only question is, can you clarify the third one here for us, just out of curiosity? So you mean, if we played the LIVE OVER at the end of five innings (no matter what the books have it at for live play), and the posted live O/U was less than WHICH original total?... it went 2-0. Less than the original O/U for the game? You may have to always put EXAMPLES from now on since things are getting a little confusing in here.

[TechnicalTrader]

Good evening,

It's late and someone should check my figures on these second half totals. HERE IS MY SUMMARY:

If you played the second half before the game started (Bookmaker) the Reliever Plays went 6-2-1
If you played LIVE second half on the Reliever Plays you went 5-3-1
If you played LIVE second half on ONLY the games that the second half total for the game, was LESS than the ORIGINAL TOTAL, it went 2-0

Good night

BUT, but, but, but, but.... The entire league's bullpen pretty much sucked yesterday.

The best way to play this is probably to just take the second half before the game. I should have some time today at work and will backtest this. Obviously we will not know where the 2H total was but what I can do is list the amount of runs scored during the second half. If that number clearly averages above 3.6-3.7, then we have a system which might have legs.

[TechnicalTrader]

This is how the system would've performed in August. I used EU dates, please excuse me.

The system went 43-27-13, which is decent at 61.43% but I was assuming we'd take 3.0 totals rather than 3.5. If we were to assume that the totals were 3.5, the performance would've been 44-40.... Crappy

If anyone would like to view the excel sheet let me know and I'll send it to you.

		Score Inn 1-5	Runs scored 6-9+		W	L	D
01.08.2016	Mia/Cubs over 7	4:0	1	L
	Mil/SD over 7.5	6:2	2	L
	Tor/Hou over 8	0:0	3	D
	RS/Seat over 8	0:0	3	D	0	2	2
02.08.2016	Cards/Reds under 8.5	2:1	9	L
	LAD/Col under 10.5	4:0	3	D
	Wash/AZ over 8.5	2:6	6	W
	Milw./SD over 7.5	1:1	3	D
	Min/Clev over 8	6:8	2	L
	KC/TB under 8	2:1	2	W
	Tor/Hou over 8	0:2	1	L
	NYY/Mets over 6	2:0	6	W	3	3	2
03.08.2016	Mia/Cubs over (no line yet)	0:1	8	W
	Wash/AZ over 8	1:1	9	W
	Min/Clev over 9	4:6	8	W	3	0	0
04.08.2016	SF/Philly over 8	1:2	3	D
	Pit/Atl over 8.5	1:1	5	W
	Min/Clev over 9	4:2	5	W
	WS/Det under 8.5	1:6	2	W
	TX/Balt under 9.5	2:4	2	W
	Bost/Sea under 8.5	2:2	1	W
	Mets/NYY over 8.5	0:4	1	L	5	1	1
05.08.2016	Reds/Pit over 8	2:1	2	L
	Clev/NYY over 8	7:3	10	W
	Min/TB over 7	1:1	6	W
	LAA/Seat over 8.5	6:3	1	L	2	2	0
06.08.2016	SF/Wash under 8.5	0:4	4	L
	Mia/Col over 11.5	2:3	13	W
	Milw/AZ over 9.5	0:2	19	W
	Clev/NYY over 8	2:2	3	D
	Min/TB over 7	3:0	7	W
	TX/Hou under 9	1:0	4	L	3	2	1
07.08.2016	Mia/Col over 10.5	5:8	3	D
	Phili/SD over 7.5	2:5	4	W
	LAA/Seat over 7.5	3:1	0	L	1	1	1
08.08.2016	Atl/Milw over 8.5	3:3	1	L
	Reds/Cards over 8.5	0:4	5	W
	TB/Tor over 9	4:4	4	W
	Hous/Min over 9	3:0	1	L
	Det/Seat under 8	2:0	1	W
	TX/Col over 10.5	2:0	5	W	4	2	0
09.08.2016	SF/Mia over 8	2:0	0	L
	AZ/Mets under 7.5	1:1	6	L
	Atl/Milw over 9	1:0	2	L
	Reds/Cards over 8.5	3:2	5	W
	TB/Tor over 8.5	2:3	6	W
	WS/KC under 8	3:4	5	L
	Clev/Wash under 7.5	0:0	4	L
	LAA/Cubs under (no line yet)	5:1	0	W	3	5	0
10.08.2016	Philly/LAD over 7.5	1:0	7	W
	Atl/Mil over 9	4:2	1	L
	Hou/Min over 8	--
	Det/Seat over 7.5	1:1	2	L
	LAA/Cubs under 9	2:0	2	W
	Col/TX over 10	2:2	5	W	3	2	0
11.08.2016	Cards/Cubs under (no line yet)	3:2	2	W
	Balt/Oak under 8.5	2:7	6	L
	NYY/Bost over 9	2:1	3	D
	WS/KC over 8	0:1	2	L
	Atl/Mil over 9	5:0	9	W	2	2	1
12.08.2016	SD/Mets over 8.5	3:8	3	D
	TB/NYY over 8.5	3:3	3	D
	LAA/Clev over 8	7:3	6	W
	Det/TX over 9	8:1	4	W
	KC/Min over 8.5	3:3	4	W
	Sea/Oak over 8	3:1	5	W
	WS/Mia over 8	1:4	1	L	4	1	2
13.08.2016	Cards/Cubs over (no line yet)	2:0	10	W
	Col/Philly over 7.5	4:0	5	W
	SD/Mets over 7	1:0	4	W
	TB/NYY over 8	6:3	3	D
	KC/Min over 9	2:1	5	W
	LAA/Cle over 9	4:1	1	L
	WS/Mia over 8.5	7:5	3	D
	AZ/Bost over 10	4:3	2	L	4	2	2
14.08.2016	Cards/Cubs over (no line yet)	2:1	7	W
	SD/Mets over 8	2:0	4	W
	Col/Philly over 9	6:3	4	W
	Reds/Mil over 9.5	7:0	3	D
	Pit/LAD over 8.5	2:7	5	W
	LAA/Clev over 9	3:4	2	L
	KC/Min over 9	2:7	4	W
	WS/Mia over 7	3:2	4	W
	AZ/Bost over 9	16:1	1	L	6	2	1

[doubledime]

Thanks for all the work on this, Double D! Great effort!

My only question is, can you clarify the third one here for us, just out of curiosity? So you mean, if we played the LIVE OVER at the end of five innings (no matter what the books have it at for live play), and the posted live O/U was less than WHICH original total?... it went 2-0. Less than the original O/U for the game? You may have to always put EXAMPLES from now on since things are getting a little confusing in here.

For example, the Cubs original line before the game started was 8.5. After 5 innings, the live line was 6.5 (the score was 2,1). The final was 4,6. Winner

I hope that clears things up.

[doubledime]

BUT, but, but, but, but.... The entire league's bullpen pretty much sucked yesterday.

The best way to play this is probably to just take the second half before the game. I should have some time today at work and will backtest this. Obviously we will not know where the 2H total was but what I can do is list the amount of runs scored during the second half. If that number clearly averages above 3.6-3.7, then we have a system which might have legs.

Thanks TT for all your back testing. I will look at his in more detail throughout the day. Thanks again

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Yesterday

Regular Plays: 4-0
YTD: 104-69 +25.95 units

Reliever Plays: 7-1-1
YTD 292-216

Back later with today's card

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Plays for Monday:

Mia/Reds over 8.5
Mets/AZ over 8.5
Pit/SF over 7.5
SD/TB over 8

Back later with any Regular Plays

Good luck

[TechnicalTrader]

Good morning,

The Reliever Plays for Monday:

Mia/Reds over 8.5
Mets/AZ over 8.5
Pit/SF over 7.5
SD/TB over 8

Back later with any Regular Plays

Good luck

Thanks, I won't be able to stay up tonight. It would be great if someone could post totals after 5.

Capy, I can't seem to be able to view Bookmakers 2H lines. Could you please post them? Thanks!!

[doubledime]

Good morning,

No play on the one early game

Back later with tonight's card

Good lcu

[TechnicalTrader]

All 2H totals on bookmaker are either 3.5 or 4...

[doubledime]

Just looked at BM and all the Reliever Plays have a 3.5 second half total

[TechnicalTrader]

The COL along with the TEX game is above 3.5. Sucks!

[doubledime]

The COL along with the TEX game is above 3.5. Sucks!

They are, but I'm just playing the Reliever Plays to go over the second half.

[TechnicalTrader]

Gotcha

[doubledime]

Good afternoon,

No Regular Play for Monday

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good evening,

For anyone playing the second half of the Reliever Plays, so far tonight both Mia/Reds game and the SD/TB game won the second half if you played it before the game or live bet it. 2-0 so far tonight. Will update the late games tomorrow.

Good night

[John Deere]

[TechnicalTrader]

Good morning,

The Reliever Plays for Monday:

Mia/Reds over 8.5
Mets/AZ over 8.5
Pit/SF over 7.5
SD/TB over 8

Back later with any Regular Plays

Good luck

All four of them cashed on the second half. Looks lik eI might have to open an account at Bookmaker after all!!


Great stuff DD and thanks again for the picks!

[TTA_President]

Wow

[doubledime]

[doubledime]

Wow

[doubledime]

All four of them cashed on the second half. Looks lik eI might have to open an account at Bookmaker after all!!


Great stuff DD and thanks again for the picks!

Thanks TT You too had a fine night.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Yesterday

Regular Plays: No Plays
YTD: 104-69 +25.95 units

Reliever Plays: 4-0
YTD 296-216

Back later with today's card

[doubledime]

Good morning,

For those following, the second half Reliever Plays played before the game went 4-0, and the second half Reliever Plays if played LIVE, if the total was less that the original total, went 2-0. If all 4 were played LIVE, they went 4-0.

DD

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Plays for Tuesday:

Mia/Reds over 8.5
Wash/Col over 11
Mets/AZ over 8
WS/Clev under 7.5
Cards/Hou under 8.5

Back later with the Regular Plays

Good luck

[blackHIPPY]

sweep! thanks

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Needless to say we have had some good luck lately and have been on a good run. I have done this a long time and I know the "pendulum" swings back and forth. Though I am always confident in my plays, this is a game of inches and good money management is the key to success. I am not being a pessimist, but just a realist.

Having said that, here is a quick review of the year so far:

Total of all plays: 400-285
Total Regular Plays: 104-69 Plus 25.95 units
Total of Reliever Plays: 296-216 Plus 51 units based on average line of -113.5

Total units combined: Plus 76.95 Units @ 1 unit per play, 58.4% over 685 Plays

[juicername]

Outstanding results with the reliever plays considering that's the only angle (?). Just goes to show how important it is to cap the bullpen as well as the starting pitcher.

[TechnicalTrader]

Good morning,

Needless to say we have had some good luck lately and have been on a good run. I have done this a long time and I know the "pendulum" swings back and forth. Though I am always confident in my plays, this is a game of inches and good money management is the key to success. I am not being a pessimist, but just a realist.

Having said that, here is a quick review of the year so far:

Total of all plays: 400-285
Total Regular Plays: 104-69 Plus 25.95 units
Total of Reliever Plays: 296-216 Plus 51 units based on average line of -113.5

Total units combined: Plus 76.95 Units @ 1 unit per play, 58.4% over 685 Plays

This is where I want my system to be!!! Great stuff and thanks again!

[doubledime]

Outstanding results with the reliever plays considering that's the only angle (?). Just goes to show how important it is to cap the bullpen as well as the starting pitcher.

Thanks juice. That's what still amazes me. There are games that are a Reliever Play, but so many other traditional handicapping tools are against it, yet it still covers