New Baseball Power Rating System

[peterpan19]

Barts
system for Inter League Play
Play every AL Team on the ROAD in every game, for the last 4 years it netted you around 10 units and a ROI of around 10%
Play every AL Team at home in the first game of the series if it is the FAV, also around 10 units per year and a ROI around 10% too

GL

[peterpan19]

system no.1 is -2.5 units so far
system no.2 is +4 units so far

[barts185]

wasn't sure if this was appropriate for this thread - removed.

[peterpan19]

Bart
yes thats pretty good summary... which site did you get it from ? Some Numbers are a bit different from what I get, bc I also have IL game in MAY and I also include the world series...

But basicly, I have an Interleague account, only play interleague games there, I usually start with 5000 and after all I am done with 7k or 8k... easy money

BOL

[jakeandba]

Barts
system for Inter League Play
Play every AL Team on the ROAD in every game, for the last 4 years it netted you around 10 units and a ROI of around 10%
Play every AL Team at home in the first game of the series if it is the FAV, also around 10 units per year and a ROI around 10% too

GL

Very interesting ...this should help satisfy any action junky...thanks for sharing

[peterpan19]

Tpr:
Cin

gl

[Formulawiz]

ML system went 2-3 yesterday.

Todays plays based on early lines
BAL, TB, CIN, LAD

[ShivaBowl]

Complimentary Selection for 6/11/2010

MLB Take Cincinnati W/Arroyo over Kansas City W/Hochevar NO PLAY if < -170 or > -175

[ShivaBowl]

Wiz, how did the formula fair, in the last Inter league Session, in the ballpark #?
Thanks

[Formulawiz]

Wiz, how did the formula fair, in the last Inter league Session, in the ballpark #?
Thanks

I believe it performed the same last year.

[ShivaBowl]

I believe it performed the same last year.

[Formulawiz]

ML plays went 1-2 yesterday.
Plays later

[Formulawiz]

ML plays based on early lines.

BOS, CLE, ATL, COL, SEA, OAK

[Formulawiz]

ML system went 3-1 yesterday, but what a nignt on software BB and especially PT system.

BB went 3-1 and PT went 7-1.

Anyway ML plays later today.

[Formulawiz]

Todays ML plays based on early lines.

STL, KC, BOS, MIL

By the way, SEA was not a play yesterday since they were on a 4 game losing streak. My error

[Formulawiz]

Is anyone following the software BB and PT systems. They seem to be performing very well on games that are greater then -175.

[barts185]

ML system went 3-1 yesterday, but what a nignt on software BB and especially PT system.

BB went 3-1 and PT went 7-1.

Anyway ML plays later today.

Is this with some sort of filters in place?

Or I guess a better question would be - is there a way to tell if something is a PT play other than when it says play, and differentiate it from the best bets?

Because the games listed yesterday as plays, but not best bets, I thought lost with CUBS, WAS, MIL (and had 4 winners).

Thanks,
Bart

[peterpan19]

CIN, BOS today for TPR

[Dwell]

Is this with some sort of filters in place? Or I guess a better question would be - is there a way to tell if something is a PT play other than when it says play, and differentiate it from the best bets? Because the games listed yesterday as plays, but not best bets, I thought lost with CUBS, WAS, MIL (and had 4 winners). Thanks, Bart

To get the PT plays you have to press 9 at the main screen, then 7, select 30 days of info, then look for teams that have a record of above .500 with at least a 65% chance of covering vs. a team with a record of below .500.

[Formulawiz]

Is this with some sort of filters in place?

Or I guess a better question would be - is there a way to tell if something is a PT play other than when it says play, and differentiate it from the best bets?

Because the games listed yesterday as plays, but not best bets, I thought lost with CUBS, WAS, MIL (and had 4 winners).

Thanks,
Bart

BB plays BOS, MIL, COL, SF
PT plays ARI, BOS, DET, TB, MIL, COL, SD, SF.

I was more interested in games where fav are -175 or greater which seem to be doing very well. Any records out there.

[konck]

Yankeesssssssssssssssssssssss #1

[konck]

hahahhahaha that was good wasnt it

[barts185]

To get the PT plays you have to press 9 at the main screen, then 7, select 30 days of info, then look for teams that have a record of above .500 with at least a 65% chance of covering vs. a team with a record of below .500.

Thanks - are you looking at their overall record, or the home / away split to determine if they are above / below .500?


I see that the program is showing the home / away.

Thanks again.

One other question - any idea why the PT System listed under the pick winners and the PT system listed in option 9 / 7 show different winning percentage chances? I'm guessing they uses slightly different criteria?

Thanks,
Bart

[EXhoosier10]

I was more interested in games where fav are -175 or greater which seem to be doing very well. Any records out there.

Through May 31st, PT(30) plays with lines of -175 or greater are 18-16 for a loss of 17.62 units when betting to win 1 unit.

Through May 31st, BB(30) plays with lines of -175 or greater are 14-14 for a loss of 17.68 units when betting to win 1 unit.

[Formulawiz]

Through May 31st, PT(30) plays with lines of -175 or greater are 18-16 for a loss of 17.62 units when betting to win 1 unit.

Through May 31st, BB(30) plays with lines of -175 or greater are 14-14 for a loss of 17.68 units when betting to win 1 unit.

I am not getting the same results you are. Ill go back and check from May 15th.

[Formulawiz]

ML system went 2-1 yesterday

Todays plays later

[Formulawiz]

Todays Play
LAA

[Formulawiz]

Through May 31st, PT(30) plays with lines of -175 or greater are 18-16 for a loss of 17.62 units when betting to win 1 unit.

Through May 31st, BB(30) plays with lines of -175 or greater are 14-14 for a loss of 17.68 units when betting to win 1 unit.

I dont have the time to go back to check but if your correct we should be playing opposite BB and PT Fav plays over -175. Can you tell me if the BB and the PT plays are the same or how many plays are different?

[peterpan19]

Through May 31st, PT(30) plays with lines of -175 or greater are 18-16 for a loss of 17.62 units when betting to win 1 unit. Through May 31st, BB(30) plays with lines of -175 or greater are 14-14 for a loss of 17.68 units when betting to win 1 unit.

Do you have a record for both with a lower than -175 line ?

Do you use the Filters aka loosing streaks, IP min too?

[peterpan19]

TPR
SF if under -175

[EXhoosier10]

This spreadsheet is just what comes from the fastball software. I don't play the software straight up and simply use it as another tool when capping a game.
"(__) day win%" is the win% on the road or at home from the pt software and the "cover%" is the %chance of covering for each game.

Columns AV and AW are the results for plays discussed above with lines -175 to -350.

Anybody see anything wrong? If someone wants to send me their spreadsheet, I can compare and see what kind of data i'm getting different. I copy straight from the program into excel and let excel get grab the data and tell me who the play is on, so there shouldn't be any human error.

[Formulawiz]

No plays yesterday

[Formulawiz]

Todays ML plays based on early lines

CWS, DET, NYM, FLA, LAA, CHC?

[konck]

Yanks are tied for 1st again 3 weeks ago at+140 to win the Div hahahhahaha score me another

[peterpan19]

Tpr:
Nyy, cin, kc, tor, stl, sf