2014 JM MLB Thread

[shevabets]

It's my pleasure. Hard work should be rewarded (even if it's fun)

[BenGooGa]

It's not a system. It's a service I paid for because JM's system is so dull and slow the first part of the season so I purchased this and decided to share in this thread. I have no idea how it will go but I have been betting every play for one unit so tonight it finally showed some profit. They have been doing really well recently but there is no guarantee of success so if you are playing along do so with caution. I set aside a specific bankroll that I could afford to completely lose and it would not affect my overall sports betting other than piss me off. Just tread lightly because I asked them for past records and they said this is the first year of this program based on 4 years of back testing. I will continue to post the plays as long as it doesn't become a complete dumpster fire. Good luck.

Appreciate you sharing your paid for service. Yes, i've been betting less than a unit on it too, and it is showing some positive signs so far. Thanks again Hagball.

[BenGooGa]

I have noticed something related to the O/U plays that made sense to me. If a broker gives a lower odd on let's say an Under, it means that they believe that the game is gonna end up under. Knowing that brokers have plenty of resources and sharp ppl working for them to come up with those odds. I would say that their odds could be used as a signal. I tested this on some games, betting on every lower O/U odd (Using Bookmaker odds), and the results came up interesting. 11 wins for 2 losses on the 17th games. 9/3 on the 16th games. 5/5 on the 13th. I didn't test previous dates, but i am on the optimistic side that most of them will be positive. What do you guys thing of this, is it worth further digging?

[Wallco99]

shevabets, Thank you. That was more than generous.

P.S. To everyone that has given me points it is greatly appreciated. We're all just trying to help each other get ahead.

He has been very generous with points on here. Good guy.

[Wallco99]

4/18/14
O/U plays

Was (C) Under
LAD (A) Over
SF (A) Over

[hagball52]

I have noticed something related to the O/U plays that made sense to me. If a broker gives a lower odd on let's say an Under, it means that they believe that the game is gonna end up under. Knowing that brokers have plenty of resources and sharp ppl working for them to come up with those odds. I would say that their odds could be used as a signal. I tested this on some games, betting on every lower O/U odd (Using Bookmaker odds), and the results came up interesting. 11 wins for 2 losses on the 17th games. 9/3 on the 16th games. 5/5 on the 13th. I didn't test previous dates, but i am on the optimistic side that most of them will be positive. What do you guys thing of this, is it worth further digging?

You have only looked at a very small window. What you are doing takes a lot of work and backtesting. You are right about the books having a lot of smart people. They have an arsenal of intelligent people with college degrees in numbers and all of the latest and greatest software. For a single guy to think he can go in and compete against that and win consistently is a bit of a stretch. Not that it can't be done because I've met a few people that do win but what they have done is create their own little nitch where the books have flaws. It takes a lot of time and research and when they achieve it they usually aren't willing to share. All I can say is put in the time and let us know how it turns out. Good luck

[hagball52]

Totals Plays 40-37 (+3.80 / +0.25 units)

04/17 ATL @ PHI under 7.5 (even) win
04/17 LAD @ SFO under 7 (even) win
04/17 COL @ SDG over 7.5 (+120) loss
04/17 MIL @ PIT over 7 (even) win
04/17 CLE @ DET over 7.5 (+110) win
04/17 SEA @ TEX over 9 (+105) win
04/17 BOS @ CWS over 7.5 (+110) loss

04/18 There are no plays for today that meet criteria .

I'm starting to see a trend here. The odds you get on these plays are critical. By the time I bet these plays some of the numbers have changed. I'm just hoping that over time the law of averages will prevail and I get a few wins or pushes where they get a loss or a push otherwise the disparity in our unit totals could grow.

[BenGooGa]

You have only looked at a very small window. What you are doing takes a lot of work and backtesting. You are right about the books having a lot of smart people. They have an arsenal of intelligent people with college degrees in numbers and all of the latest and greatest software. For a single guy to think he can go in and compete against that and win consistently is a bit of a stretch. Not that it can't be done because I've met a few people that do win but what they have done is create their own little nitch where the books have flaws. It takes a lot of time and research and when they achieve it they usually aren't willing to share. All I can say is put in the time and let us know how it turns out. Good luck

Sounds good, ill try to test it over the coming days and see how it performs. ill keep you guys updated.

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2014 Official season series record 0-0 (V1)
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 0-0
V3 system 0-0
Unofficial series 2-0
(A) 1-1
(B) 1-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 1-0

*Unofficial*
04/17 Pittsburgh (.454) v Milwaukee(.614) M/L (A) WIN

Next Plays
*Unofficial*
04/18 Kansas City (.479) v Minnesota (.530) M/L (A) 3 gm. set
04/18 Arizona (.430) @ LA Dodgers(.518) +1.5 R/L (A) 3 gm. set

Upcoming plays
05/16 NY Mets @ Washington
05/20 Miami @ Philadelphia
05/23 Arizona @ NY Mets

Notes: Nice to get our first (A) bet win. Last season we had 3 (C) bets in April so hopefully we won't see that again. We had one sweep yesterday with a future play.
05/26 HOU @ KAN

The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.

[hagball52]

Sounds good, ill try to test it over the coming days and see how it performs. ill keep you guys updated.

Thanks, your effort is appreciated

[hagball52]

Totals Plays 40-37 (+3.80 / +0.25 units)

04/18 There are no plays for today that meet criteria .

04/19 STL @ WAS over 7.5 (+115)
04/19 MIL @ PIT over 7.5 (+110)

Thought I'd get this out tonight to see if anyone can grab these lines. Good luck.

[Wallco99]

4/19/14
No new plays for O/U system

LAD (B) over
SF (B) Over

[knugen]

4/19/14
No new plays for O/U system

LAD (B) over
SF (B) Over

Thx alot wallco. Really appreciate it

[Boyne]

And me

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2014 Official season series record 0-0 (V1)
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 0-0
V3 system 0-0
Unofficial series 4-0
(A) 3-1
(B) 1-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 1-0

*Unofficial*
04/18 Kansas City (.479) v Minnesota (.530) M/L (A) WIN
04/18 Arizona (.430) @ LA Dodgers(.518) R/L / M/L (A) WIN

Next Plays
V3
04/19 Minnesota (.519) @ Kansas City (.485) +1.5 R/L (A) 2 gm. set
04/19 LA Dodgers (.494) v Arizona (.429) M/L (A) 2 gm. set

Upcoming plays
05/16 NY Mets @ Washington
05/20 Miami @ Philadelphia
05/23 Arizona @ NY Mets

Notes: Nice to get 2 more (A) bet wins. I wiffed on a V3 play yesterday. I should have had Milwaukee as a play because they lost the first game to Pittsburgh and then came back and won last night. The rpi is so volatile this early in the season and I wasn't paying attention. Sorry about that. I won't count it on the record for now. Keep in mind that the V3 plays are only (A) and (B) bets there is no (C). Also I haven't been playing the road teams in V3 but do as you wish.

The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.

[imotiv8]

4/19/14
No new plays for O/U system

LAD (B) over
SF (B) Over

You're right, I was wrong. Thanks

[ok15533]

Thx alot wallco. Really appreciate it

Allisoiswin thanks, Wallco thanks for taking time to post. We seriously appreciate it. You both are good at this thing.

[Wallco99]

Allisoiswin thanks, Wallco thanks for taking time to post. We seriously appreciate it. You both are good at this thing.

Wish I had time for the full blown unit tracking and (A) (B) (C) (D) breakdowns, but I really don't.

[shevabets]

He has been very generous with points on here. Good guy.

Well if the ball keeps bouncing our way, pretty soon I won't know what to do with them points. Love your work.

[Wallco99]

4/20/14
Plays for O/U system

SF (C) Over
NYY (A) Under
TB (A) Under

[hagball52]

Totals Plays 41-38 (+3.90 / +1.30 units)

04/19 STL @ WAS over 7.5 (+115) loss
04/19 MIL @ PIT over 7.5 (+110) win

04/20 There are no plays for today that meet criteria .

If you noticed I gained a little ground on the units. I had the STL/WAS total at 7 and got the push where they lost. I'm hoping that through the course of the season I get enough of those to offset the difference in the juice on the plays.

P.S. I don't know what to make of these guys yet. Last Sunday we had 14 plays and now none today. I'm sure it'll pick up but there is no pattern at all.

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2014 Official season series record 0-0 (V1)
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 0-0
V3 system 2-0
Unofficial series 4-0
(A) 3-1
(B) 1-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 1-0

V3
04/19 Minnesota (.519) @ Kansas City (.485) +1.5 R/L (A) WIN
04/19 LA Dodgers (.494) v Arizona (.429) M/L (A) WIN

Next Plays
To be determined

Upcoming plays
05/16 NY Mets @ Washington
05/20 Miami @ Philadelphia
05/23 Arizona @ NY Mets

Notes: JM baseball is off to a rocking good start in April. I love picking up wins at the (A) and (B) levels. Very little stress that way.There are 8 possible sweeps today with 7 future plays and a few of them going off this month. Back tomorrow with the updates.

HAPPY EASTER ! Everyone

The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.

[hagball52]

Wish I had time for the full blown unit tracking and (A) (B) (C) (D) breakdowns, but I really don't.

If someone in this thread other than Wallco would have enough time to go back and do an accounting of these totals it would be greatly appreciated. At that point I could probably keep a running tally with Wallco posting for now. And Wallco after May 20th if you don't want to do it anymore I might be able to take it from there.

[shevabets]

Χριστός ἀνέστη!

[BenGooGa]

If someone in this thread other than Wallco would have enough time to go back and do an accounting of these totals it would be greatly appreciated. At that point I could probably keep a running tally with Wallco posting for now. And Wallco after May 20th if you don't want to do it anymore I might be able to take it from there.

You mean keeping track of the win/loss records of wallco's O/U games? I can do that, but i wont be able to do the unit count, i dont know how to do it.

[Wallco99]

You mean keeping track of the win/loss records of wallco's O/U games? I can do that, but i wont be able to do the unit count, i dont know how to do it.

Just to avoid any confusion, they are not my plays. This is allidoiswin's system, I am just posting the daily plays until someone steps up to run the whole system in his absence. If I had time I would definitely do it for everyone, but summertime is extremely busy for me and I just need a break after NBA/NHL.

[hagball52]

You mean keeping track of the win/loss records of wallco's O/U games? I can do that, but i wont be able to do the unit count, i dont know how to do it.

Just the totals for the (A), (B), (C) and (D) plays. The unit amounts can easily be figured from that. Each series to win one unit and any losses can be figured from the juice laid on the 4 plays that lost. If I'm not mistaken there was a series loss with the Cubs on the 13th.

[BenGooGa]

Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system 2014
Official season series record: 0-0
Unofficial season series record: 15-15


Last Play(s) results:

4/19/2014
##### LAD OVER (B) Won
##### SF OVER (B) Lost


Official Plays
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
Unofficial Plays
(A) 8-8
(B) 2-5
(C) 3-2
(D) 2-0

Next Play(s):

4/20/2014
##### SF OVER (C)
##### NYY UNDER (A)
##### TB UNDER (A)


NOTES:
***** Juice will be post on the following day based on "Covers" closing line. The KEY number to follow is the total.
##### Unofficial Play
Rules of the system can be found on post #41

[BenGooGa]

Let me know if am missing something

[Wallco99]

Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system 2014
Official season series record: 0-0
Unofficial season series record: 15-15


Last Play(s) results:

4/19/2014
##### LAD OVER (B) Won
##### SF OVER (B) Lost


Official Plays
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
Unofficial Plays
(A) 8-8
(B) 2-5
(C) 3-2
(D) 2-0

Next Play(s):

4/20/2014
##### SF OVER (C)
##### NYY UNDER (A)
##### TB UNDER (A)


NOTES:
***** Juice will be post on the following day based on "Covers" closing line. The KEY number to follow is the total.
##### Unofficial Play
Rules of the system can be found on post #41

Season record is 13-1, the one loss was for 17.19 units, so system is -4.19 units at the moment, not including open series.

(A) 7-8
(B) 4-4
(C) 1-2
(D) 1-1

[allidoiswin89]

Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system 2014
Official season series record: 0-0
Unofficial season series record: 15-15


Last Play(s) results:

4/19/2014
##### LAD OVER (B) Won
##### SF OVER (B) Lost


Official Plays
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
Unofficial Plays
(A) 8-8
(B) 2-5
(C) 3-2
(D) 2-0

Next Play(s):

4/20/2014
##### SF OVER (C)
##### NYY UNDER (A)
##### TB UNDER (A)


NOTES:
***** Juice will be post on the following day based on "Covers" closing line. The KEY number to follow is the total.
##### Unofficial Play
Rules of the system can be found on post #41

There was already an unofficial loss. Hopefully ill have time to go back and make sure uve captured all the wins in the record

[allidoiswin89]

Season record is 13-1, the one loss was for 17.19 units, so system is -4.19 units at the moment, not including open series.

(A) 7-8
(B) 4-4
(C) 1-2
(D) 1-1

I quickly went through this forum and counted 15 games. Ill double check when I have time

[BenGooGa]

Ok, guys. I have the time to keep the records until allidoiswin is back, but someone needs to PM me some instructions on what i need to do.

[Wallco99]

I quickly went through this forum and counted 15 games. Ill double check when I have time

Yes, you are correct. System is actually 14-1, the bet I missed was an (A) bet, so the (A) bet record would actually be 8-8. This was a bet that I forgot to play and actually one, it wasn't on my spreadsheet because I had no action on it. Sorry.

[ok15533]

I quickly went through this forum and counted 15 games. Ill double check when I have time

How did you calculate it to be - 17 units . How much units is that per play ?