2014 JM MLB Thread

[Wallco99]

How did you calculate it to be - 17 units . How much units is that per play ?

Because I got slightly better odds than those on Covers. Actually, using the Covers odds as system states, the Cubs loss would be exactly 18.00 units, not 17.19 as stated earlier. But it's only a couple bucks different, so it really doesn't matter.

[Wallco99]

4/21/14
Plays for O/U system

SF (C) Over
TEX (A) Under

[ok15533]

Because I got slightly better odds than those on Covers. Actually, using the Covers odds as system states, the Cubs loss would be exactly 18.00 units, not 17.19 as stated earlier. But it's only a couple bucks different, so it really doesn't matter.

How many units do you play per A B C or D bets ?

[hagball52]

How many units do you play per A B C or D bets ?

It's your typical chase bet. You bet the series to win 1 unit. If (A) bet loses you bet lost amount plus to win 1 unit, if (B) bet loses you bet both lost amounts plus to win 1 unit and so on.

[hagball52]

Totals Plays 41-38 (+3.90 / +1.30 units)

04/20 There are no plays for today that meet criteria .

04/21 MIA @ ATL over 7 -105

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2014 Official season series record 0-0 (V1)
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 0-0
V3 system 2-0
Unofficial series 4-0
(A) 3-1
(B) 1-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 1-0

Next Plays
Thursday

Upcoming plays
04/24 Houston v Oakland
05/16 NY Mets @ Washington
05/20 Miami @ Philadelphia
05/23 Arizona @ NY Mets

Notes: Picked up only 1 sweep yesterday with a future play. Got it listed above. Won't post again until Wednesday.

The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.

[shevabets]

Totals Plays 41-38 (+3.90 / +1.30 units)

04/20 There are no plays for today that meet criteria .

04/21 MIA @ ATL over 7 -105

How often do *you* see the exact line they tip? Because I haven't once in 80 bets. 70-80% of the time the line is 10 cents off, or more. 20 cents isn't uncommon.

[Wallco99]

How often do *you* see the exact line they tip? Because I haven't once in 80 bets. 70-80% of the time the line is 10 cents off, or more. 20 cents isn't uncommon.

Yeah, I am yet to see those myself. If this system is designed to go 50/50, based on getting all +money bets and collecting the units above +100 on the winning bets, then there is no way we can profit getting all bets at -105 or lower. We would need a higher than 50/50 win rate just to get to the break even point. We really need to know the win percentages of this system from whatever backtest was run, and not just the +units that the creators brag about, since pretty much none of us are getting the posted odds.

[hagball52]

How often do *you* see the exact line they tip? Because I haven't once in 80 bets. 70-80% of the time the line is 10 cents off, or more. 20 cents isn't uncommon.

Yeah, I am yet to see those myself. If this system is designed to go 50/50, based on getting all +money bets and collecting the units above +100 on the winning bets, then there is no way we can profit getting all bets at -105 or lower. We would need a higher than 50/50 win rate just to get to the break even point. We really need to know the win percentages of this system from whatever backtest was run, and not just the +units that the creators brag about, since pretty much none of us are getting the posted odds.

Yeah I agree. I haven't gotten anywhere near the odds they claim. I know on some of the plays they buy off the total by half a point to get the plus money plays but when I see some plays at +110 and I can only get -120 I really question their odds. I have written them several times about this. Sometimes I'll get the picks the evening before all of the current days games have even gone final. Like I mentioned earlier I usually take the posted line at the higher juice and hope for occasional wins or pushes to their pushes or losses. That did work out for me on Saturday but I'm not sure there will be enough of those to compensate over time. I think their backtest was done more on a win percentage and not the odds. They claim they had an average 60% win percentage over time on their backtests. Now at that rate we all would win some money. Most capping services will over inflate their performance to draw in new clients and that's probably what's going on here. I can check Pinnacle's opening lines on vegasinsider to see if they are posting actual odds. I do know that when sharp bettors jump on a number it moves rather quickly. The line on today's play opened on Pinnacle at even money at 4:19 PM yesterday and moved to -107 by 4:33 PM and right now it's at -117. I guiess for now I'll start checking Pinnacles lines and see if the odds are for real. I paid for the whole season so I'll keep playing it for now but if it looks like it's going in the wrong direction I can always pull it. At least it's just flat betting plays so there won't be any big chase losses. I wasn't sure how this whole thing would go so I set aside an individual bankroll just for this service in case it went terribly wrong so for now I suggest to tread lightly and I'll monitor the odds.
<br>

[hagball52]

Also I'll try and get the plays out the night before so maybe you can grab a better line.

[shevabets]

Also I'll try and get the plays out the night before so maybe you can grab a better line.

There's a bunch of us willing to jump at any system head first, including myself. Just need to have a chance to see these tips (a lot) earlier. I didn't realize they are sent to you the night before. That would explain a lot.

[Icey bets]

Wallco, or anyone following the all I do is win system. What happens with the sf push from yesterday? Do we bet another C? Or did I just get the wrong line and miss out? I had o7.
Appreciate your help guys

[hagball52]

Most of the time they post the night before. Sometimes really late or very early the day of. I work until around 8 PM Pacific time. If they are in before I go to bed I'll get em up.

[Wallco99]

Wallco, or anyone following the all I do is win system. What happens with the sf push from yesterday? Do we bet another C? Or did I just get the wrong line and miss out? I had o7.
Appreciate your help guys

I posted today's plays.

[Icey bets]

I'm an idiot... Thanks for the help

[Icey bets]

On a personal note, is anyone concerned about sf o10.5 ? Is this considered way above the average?

[reddevils64]

Hi Guys,

Just like to know if anyone has come across the so called "Exterminator "System" run by Tony The Sports Betting Champ, would be interested If anyone knows about it.

[hagball52]

Totals Plays 41-39 (+2.85 / +0.10 units)

04/21 MIA @ ATL over 7 -105 loss

04/22 LAA @ WAS over 8 (even)
04/22 BAL @ TOR over 8.5 (even)

[Wallco99]

4/22/14
Plays for O/U system

SF (D) Over
TEX (B) Under

[hagball52]

So if I'm not mistaken I believe Allidoiswins O/U system record stands at:

(A) 10-9
(B) 4-4 (with a (B) bet pending)
(C) 1-3
(D) 1-1 (with a (D) bet pending)

Wallco if you think this is correct I'll at least take the format and keep score for now.

[Wallco99]

So if I'm not mistaken I believe Allidoiswins O/U system record stands at:

(A) 10-9
(B) 4-4 (with a (B) bet pending)
(C) 1-3
(D) 1-1 (with a (D) bet pending)

Wallco if you think this is correct I'll at least take the format and keep score for now.

That looks correct, 16-1 so far. The one loss was Cubs (-18.00 units), so system currently (-2.00 units), with two open bets.

[Wallco99]

Well Hagball, other than me and you, it seems no one is in here lately following the systems we are posting every day. I guess we can just stop posting and play them ourselves.

[Icey bets]

I follow guys : (

[tuneman]

I am here guys! I stay quiet but been following for years! Thanks always!

[BenGooGa]

Yes, there are ppl following. I took a hit from yesterday's 3 losses (add that to some stupid bets of my own), so taking a short break. keep up the good work guys, the official games are on the corner, looking forward for sm fun.

[hagball52]

Well Hagball, other than me and you, it seems no one is in here lately following the systems we are posting every day. I guess we can just stop posting and play them ourselves.

It must be a labor of love

[hagball52]

Totals Plays 43-39 (+4.85 / +2.10 units) win pctg. 52.4%

04/22 LAA @ WAS over 8 (even) win
04/22 BAL @ TOR over 8.5 (even) win

04/23 There are no plays that meet criteria

I started putting the win percentage up also. Hopefully this program will turn a profit for us and I think if we can hit around 55% or better it could be really good. Still, I preach to tread lightly until we get a little deeper into the season.

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2014 Official season series record 0-0 (V1)
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 0-0
V3 system 2-0
Unofficial series 4-0
(A) 3-1
(B) 1-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
V2 plays 1-0

Next Plays
Thursday

Upcoming plays
04/24 Houston v Oakland
05/16 NY Mets @ Washington
05/20 Miami @ Philadelphia
05/23 Arizona @ NY Mets

Notes: There are 3 possible sweeps today. Update everything tomorrow with the next system play.

The rules for the JM MLB system can be found in post #10 and the filters in post #115 (pg. 4). Any results and information regarding the last 2 seasons are in posts #12, 13 and 14. Good luck all and let's make a little money this season.

[hagball52]

Allidoiswin89's UNDER/OVER system 2014
Official season series record: 0-0
Unofficial season series record: 16-2

series losses (CHC 04/13 18.00 units, SFO 04/22 19.4 units) I switched to vegasinsider for closing lines.

Last Play(s) results:

04/22/14
##### SFO over (D) Lost
##### TEX under (B) Lost

Official Plays
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0
(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
Unofficial Plays
(A) 10-9
(B) 4-5
(C) 1-3 ( 1 play pending)
(D) 1-2

Next Play(s):

If Wallco will post the plays until after May 20th I'll keep score and take over a few days after I get back from my trip.


NOTES:
***** Juice will be post on the following day based on vegasinsider closing line. The KEY number to follow is the total.
##### Unofficial Play
Rules of the system can be found on post #41

[hagball52]

I went back and read the rules for the O/U system and I think allidoiswins mentioned in a later post that the official plays go through to the end of August and not July. Also if during an official play if there is a push after an (A) bet loss you still play it out as an official play and also if a series loses it starts all over again. I PMed him but got no response so if anyone can confirm it would be appreciated.

[miss_sbets]

I am here guys! I stay quiet but been following for years! Thanks always!

That's a lot of betpoints I'm sure you could share with the team leaders!..

[allidoiswin89]

Hag, thanks for stepping in. Any reason you are changing to vegas insider for closing lines? Using the prices and the total could vary. Almost like comparing apples to oranges if numbers aren't the same.

[allidoiswin89]

Well Hagball, other than me and you, it seems no one is in here lately following the systems we are posting every day. I guess we can just stop posting and play them ourselves.

The reason I posted my system rules was for it to be posted...not just for a single person to benefit from it. U've said it yourself, this thread is slow at times.

[Wallco99]

That's a lot of betpoints I'm sure you could share with the team leaders!..

My point exactly!!!!

[Wallco99]

4/23/14
Plays for O/U system

SF (A) Over
TEX (C) Under
BOS (A) Under