Todays Action, 2009 M.L.B. Thread

[woodman663]

They let Phillips steal home as well. I''m forgetting I even bet the Mets.

[TodaysAction]

STL -110 1st 5 Innings 1.5 units L
ATL +120 1 unit L
TOR 1st 5 Innings -125 win 1 unit L
MIN -105 1.5 units L

Ouch. 0-4, swiping 5.25 units and nearly cleaning out the profits to date. On the brighter side, we are still cash positive after weathering a bit of a storm.

Onward to this evening :

TEX 1st 5 Innings -115 win 1.5 unit

As you may have noticed by now I don't trust bullpens much, especially on the road. Burned me yesterday with the Cardinals, but it has worked for me in the long run in situations where I like the pitching matchup. Feldman has pitched very well against the Mariners. The Rangers have seen Marrow in the relief role several times over the past few years and have good number against him. Texas is also slugging much better (on the road) than the Mariners are (at home) over the past 5.

BOS -1.5 -116 win 1.5 units

Yesterday's lose should leave a bitter taste in the mouth. The Red Sox have good numbers vs. Bannister and the Royals have poor numbers vs. Lester. Bannister's numbers are drastically worse on the road 1.54 WHIP 5.02 ERA. Lester has also been very stingy on giving up runs over the past several starts.

MIN -123 win 2.5 units

Another favorable pitching matchup. The Twins are more than capable of hitting Danks and Blackburn has been solid vs. the White Sox lineup. Bit of a disadvantage on the slugging, but nobody likes their first game in the dome. The Twins win 60% of the 1st games of a series when at home (even more if they're favored) and they've just lost two in the past week. Adding an extra unit for the situational advantage.



Record : 17-16-1 +0.13u

Time to put the hammer down on these games and turn `em out!

THerb - Nice day my friend! Calling for the comeback and getting it done. Good stuff.

TA - Good work on that big Dodgers victory. It is obvious that you're a guy that knows when to pour it on.

Woodman - Sorry the tails didn't work out for you, but way get that money on your own selections.

Foghorn - Keep'em coming man. I love the write-ups. Always informative and its great to see the thought process.

BamaBill - Winning the right games to add to that bankroll. Gotta love that.

Beast - Good luck my man. My biggest suggestion to you would be to track your picks on paper for at least 100 picks, whether they be tailed or your own, and keep a record of how much money you win or lose. During that time, you get to figure out what wins and what loses objectively. Money, especially when its not abundant, tends to put emotional blinders on to successful vs. unsuccessful methods of wagering. Gambling without money greatly decreases the allure, but undoubtedly will increase your probability of success. I know I know, it is also MUCH easier said than done.


Best of luck today!

Interesting assessment.

Truthfully, I am worried about Beast as it appears he's using 'scared money' and then getting screwed by having to do parlays only. WTF, doesn't Pinny take Canadians anymore?

[TodaysAction]

Cubs (previously posted) -103 (.5 unit)
BOS -1.5 -120 (.5 unit)
Cinci/NYM 9 -110 (1 unit)
TOR -109 (1 unit)
B-Jays/Bal-o's -105 (.5 unit)
OAK/TB u9 +110 (.5 unit)
FLA/ARI 7.5 +100 (1 unit)
FLA/ARI (1 unit)
Rockies -145 (.5 units)
COL/ATL (1 unit)
LAA +117 (1 unit)
White Sox +112 (.5 unit)
Phillies -165 (2.5 units)
SDO/SFO 8.5 +105 (.5 units)
Texas -120 (2 units)
**Texas needs to win one today. Superior pitching, batting, and bullpen. Mariners have been playing well, but it is Friday now at home. Don't think that isn't a factor in this game.

Large efing card man, I hope you hit the majority of `em!

[TodaysAction]

CHI,

[TodaysAction]

Minnesota -123 (22 units)
Baltimore -104 (10 units)
Clev/Det U8.5, -105 (10 units)
Milwaukee +115 (10 units)
Texas -111 (10 units)
Colorado -144 (10 units)
FLA/AZ U 7.5, -105 (10 units)

Thanks for your daily play list.

Phillies, Mets, Tigers, Jays, Devil Rays.

BOL tonight, TA.

Thank you and you too.

Looking for another profitable day.....Up 5.2 units on the week
.
.
Oak +150 2 units (hated to see TA on the opposite side after I already bet)
Tex (pick) 2 units
LAA +120 2 units (if it was any team other than the NYY, LAA would be fav)
Minn -130 4 units (tailing many on this and a good write up convinced me)
Atl/Col u-9.5 1 unit
Fl/Ari u-7.5 1 unit
Kc/Bos u-9 1 unit (has already started but I am running behind)

Good luck tonight BamaBill67.

[Foghorn]

Up to your usual good stuff again I see. Run support for him has been lacking to much for me to put anything on the game.

I hope you're right because I need the lack of run support for the under. Good Luck on your plays tonight, keep it rollin'

[Foghorn]

Therber2 these are my picks,
1. Twins
Blackburn is good plus the Twins got creamed by the yanks so they are looking to win. Danks has a 1-1 career mark with a 6.19 ERA at the Metrodome.
2. Marlins Under both Nolasco and haren are good pitchers.
2. Phils. They are smoking hot and hungry,
Duke is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA in three career starts against the Phillies. They pirates don't have much of an offence.

If I could do straight bets I would play these.
I am tailing a few guys with LAD,Tampa Bay Detroit, Houston.

I like your selections, hope they cash, nice thought process on all of them.

[TodaysAction]

I hope you're right because I need the lack of run support for the under. Good Luck on your plays tonight, keep it rollin'

Nice call on the under and thank you.

[TodaysAction]

Tonights game won adding ten units to the account (one wager is pending).

[OperatorX]

Another great call tonight TA, well done

[woodman663]

Ok, back to picking myself:

DET: 1,67, 1 unit
NYM: 1,85, 0.5 unit
NYM -1.5: 2,72, 0.5 unit
TEX: 1,85, 1 unit

DET/CLE under 8.5: 2,00, 0.5 unit
TB/OAK under 9: 2,04, 0.5 unit
SF/SD over 9: 1,99, 0.5 unit

GL to everyone!

Today, 4-3-0: +1.04 units

Bets YTD: 17-13-0: +8.93 units (tailed bets not included but "best bets" are)
"Best bets" YTD: 6-1-0: +10.79 units (2 units or up)
Tailed bets YTD: 4-7-0: -0.78 units

[therber2]

Feelin good

Cubs (previously posted) -103 (.5 unit)
BOS -1.5 -120 (.5 unit)
Cinci/NYM 9 -110 (1 unit)
TOR -109 (1 unit)
B-Jays/Bal-o's -105 (.5 unit)
OAK/TB u9 +110 (.5 unit)
FLA/ARI 7.5 +100 (1 unit)
FLA/ARI (1 unit)
Rockies -145 (.5 units)
COL/ATL (1 unit)
LAA +117 (1 unit)
White Sox +112 (.5 unit)
Phillies -165 (2.5 units)
SDO/SFO 8.5 +105 (.5 units)
Texas -120 (2 units)
**Texas needs to win one today. Superior pitching, batting, and bullpen. Mariners have been playing well, but it is Friday now at home. Don't think that isn't a factor in this game.

10-5 today
Adding +7.88 units

Record: 80-64-1 55.5% (+22.82 units)

Thanks for the TB play by the way TA congrats on that. I put a few units separate on that one, and a couple on the series which is looking good so far . Foggy, I told you I'd regret not playing that!! I told you. Hope you guys played my Philly and Texas picks. FYI, the most I'll really ever do is 2-3 units so if you see one of those ya know it might be a good one.

[BamaBill67]

Looking for another profitable day.....Up 5.2 units on the week
.
.
Oak +150 2 units L (hated to see TA on the opposite side after I already bet)
Tex (pick) 2 units W
LAA +120 2 units W (if it was any team other than the NYY, LAA would be fav)
Minn -130 4 units W (tailing many on this and a good write up convinced me)
Atl/Col u-9.5 1 unit W
Fl/Ari u-7.5 1 unit L
Kc/Bos u-9 1 unit W (has already started but I am running behind)

5-2 and 7.3 units to add to this week to put me @ +12.5 units.

Congrats to TA , therber2 , Foghorn , Woodman663
If I missed anyone, congrats to you also

[woodman663]

We did well today. I considered tailing the Phillies and TB picks but I didn't like the lines at my book so I laid off.

[woodman663]

COL/ARI under 9.5: 1,82, 4 units

Went on this one quick before the line moved. Jurrjens versus Marquis and a line of 9.5? Who are they kidding?

[TodaysAction]

WA,
FL/AZ,
CWS/MN,

More later after the track.

[TodaysAction]

CRC 3: 6
CRC 4: 6, 9
CRC 6: 1
CRC 7: 4, 5, 9
CRC 8: 1
CRC 9: 1, 4, 5, 9
CRC 10: 4

Standard ladder and keys.

[OperatorX]

going with the tigers, cubs devil rays and blue jays today. Gotta keep it short today, UFC 100 will eat up my bankroll gl all

[hufster]

TEX 1st 5 Innings -115 win 1.5 unit W
BOS -1.5 -116 win 1.5 units L
MIN -123 win 2.5 units W

2-1 yesterday adding 2.26 units back to the total, lets keep that rolling day :

SEA/TEX Under 8 +103 1 unit

Two quality pitchers on the mound tonight. Washburn is especially good at home. The Mariners and their opponents are each averaging only 3.9 runs per game in Seattle. I think the two pitchers will combine to keep this a low scoring affair.

Good luck to all on their pick tonight. Keep up the good work everyone!


Record : 19-17-1 +2.39u

[BamaBill67]

Early game picks..............

NYY -110 2 units
ChC -180 2 units
Oak +170 2 units

[BamaBill67]

Added plays for tonight, all 2 units.........

Tor -120
KC +160
Ari -120
Sea -110
LaD -110

Hope everyone is enjoying there Saturday, and GL.

[woodman663]

COL/ARI under 9.5: 1,82, 4 units

Went on this one quick before the line moved. Jurrjens versus Marquis and a line of 9.5? Who are they kidding?

Added:
TOR: 1,80, 2 units
LAD: 1,85, 2 units
SEA/TEX under 8: 1,95, 2 units

[therber2]

WA,
FL/AZ,
CWS/MN,

More later after the track.

I'm on FL/AZ too. Not posting a card today though; too busy. Perhaps tomorrow I will have one. Looks like a good call so far with Washington. I'm starting to like them a bit more. How long do the crappy teams stay crappy. Come on Washington.... Mets. They have to come around sometime

[TodaysAction]

SD,

[xXxBallin21xXx]

Seattle and SF!!!

[woodman663]

Stupid Toronto losing in extra innings. Where did the bats go? First only 2 runs off Berken, now only 2 off Hill and only 1 off their crappy bullpen.

[woodman663]

COL/ARI under 9.5: 1,82, 4 units

Went on this one quick before the line moved. Jurrjens versus Marquis and a line of 9.5? Who are they kidding?

Added:
TOR: 1,80, 2 units
LAD: 1,85, 2 units
SEA/TEX under 8: 1,95, 2 units

2-2-0: +1.18 units

Bets YTD: 19-15-0: +10.11 units (tailed bets not included but "best bets" are)
"Best bets" YTD: 8-3-0: +11.97 units (bets of 2 units or up)
Tailed bets YTD: 4-7-0: -0.78 units (bets solely made because good bettors are on them)

[TodaysAction]

Saturday ended up going 3-1-0 earning 3.49 units with one game pending.

[BamaBill67]

[quote=woodman663;2018101]

2-2-0: +1.18 units




Your 2-2 was better than my 4-4. I did get +.6 units and I am glad to be up some at the end of the day, but the way I had to get there sux. I am up but

[woodman663]

@BamaBill, Toronto really should've won and then we would be up in units by a larger margin. But they suck against some bad pitchers for some reason.


@TA, nice call on Washington! I liked them but didn't tail.

[BamaBill67]

Ok, I am not a NYY fan by no means, but does anyone else feel that this would be a good play for Sunday??? Surely they wouldnt throw Sabathia out there unless they intended to win. -160

[therber2]

CWS +100 (.5 unit)
CWS/MIN 8.5 -120 (1 unit)
TB -186 (1 unit)
TB/OAK 8.5 -120 (1 unit)
KC Royals +1.5 +120 (.5 units)
NYY -135 (.5 units)
ATL +130 (.5 units)
COL/ATL (1 unit)
PIT +1.5 -120 (.5 units)
PIT/PHI 9 -115 (1 unit)
FLA/ARI (.5 units)
TEX +135 (.5 units)

[therber2]

Ok, I am not a NYY fan by no means, but does anyone else feel that this would be a good play for Sunday??? Surely they wouldnt throw Sabathia out there unless they intended to win. -160

I'll give them half a chance. That is about it though.

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

The under is the play.

[Rixsaw]

WA,
FL/AZ,
CWS/MN,

More later after the track.

I wrote off WA long ago. When I saw you on it, I knew something was up. But I had to stick to my rule. It is amazed to me how to capped WA winning the game.