Todays Action, 2009 M.L.B. Thread

[BamaBill67]

All bets are 3 units

Fl -110 W
Tx +170 L
Phi -150 W
Atl +120 L
Was +110 L
KC +190 W

3-3, and +2.70 units............I'll take it

[therber2]

I am following the threads of these guys so far.
Todays action.
Gpicks
Shoebox
jerseyshop
Cashmoney
foghorn

so far anyway.... adding more.
I am get a roll going. My wife tells me I am a fool but I am keeping playing.
Help Guys and baseball gods

Don't spend all your money in one spot.

[therber2]

Well in canada thats all we have unless I deposit with a book and I have no money they wont take less than 200, I am bleeding in the red so far all the bills are behind 2 months

Hey man, if that's all ya got I wouldn't recommend this. That probably won't stop you though will it? Best of luck, post what you are playing for the day. If you are looking at that list of guys you showed I'd just pick out one or two a day that they all might agree on and that you think looks good too. Might not happen all that frequently, but just my $02.00.

[therber2]

Early game:

Cubs -103 (.5 unit)

[woodman663]

I too figured that if you keep an eye on the ones with winning records, the picks they agree on seem to be the plays. Btw, anyone else think the OVER on LAA/NYY looks nice?

[Foghorn]

I am following the threads of these guys so far.
Todays action.
Gpicks
Shoebox
jerseyshop
Cashmoney
foghorn

so far anyway.... adding more.
I am get a roll going. My wife tells me I am a fool but I am keeping playing.
Help Guys and baseball gods

Hey Beastie...........please don't take this the wrong way, but gambling should be more of a hobby than a way to pay bills. If you can't afford to lose money, then it probably shouldn't be wagered.

Regardless of your choice, good luck in whatever you do.

[shoebox]

Started the week off hot but dropped 6 units yesterday as the braves could not get the job done. Braves had plenty of chances to close out the game but came up short.

Still a profitable week taking the crookie for 6.4 units, only have two more days to close the week out.


So for Fridays action I will give you all the plays now because I will be throwing a going away party for a friend that will be moving away, so I wont be around to much tonite...........


cards -103 for the nooner...........2 units

Rays -157................................4 units

twins -121...............................4 units











This week +6.4 units
YTD +43 units....all documented and tracked.........

[OperatorX]

Quote:
Originally Posted by OperatorX
im on the dodgers too..
and phillies, astros, mariners, rockies, marlins. gl all :P

OperatorX thanks for making you 200th post in this thread. Congrats on your LAD winning ticker.

Thank you sir, congratulations to you as well, I was lucky enough to go 6 for 6 last night, not something that happens often for me. Continued success to you and your family.

[Foghorn]

Okay Boys, let's get this thing rolling...............going golfing today and leaving for vacation tomorrow.

Cleveland vs Detroit:

Both teams not hitting well, although Cleveland shows signs of breaking out of it. Tonight however, Cliff Lee & Edwin Jackson are the opposing pitchers. Detroit always has trouble with Lee, but beat him earlier this year 1-0. Jackson has one of the top ERA's of all starting pitchers, and he has given up 8 runs in his last 20 innings.

PICK: under 4.5 1st 5 innings (1 unit)
Record: 26-19-1 (+13 units)

Careful boys, been only average over the last 10 or so, although my other picks have been doing well. I try to give you my "best" play each day, but doesn't always go as planned.................

Let's kick some

[hufster]

STL -110 1st 5 Innings 1.5 units L
ATL +120 1 unit L
TOR 1st 5 Innings -125 win 1 unit L
MIN -105 1.5 units L

Ouch. 0-4, swiping 5.25 units and nearly cleaning out the profits to date. On the brighter side, we are still cash positive after weathering a bit of a storm.

Onward to this evening :

TEX 1st 5 Innings -115 win 1.5 unit

As you may have noticed by now I don't trust bullpens much, especially on the road. Burned me yesterday with the Cardinals, but it has worked for me in the long run in situations where I like the pitching matchup. Feldman has pitched very well against the Mariners. The Rangers have seen Marrow in the relief role several times over the past few years and have good number against him. Texas is also slugging much better (on the road) than the Mariners are (at home) over the past 5.

BOS -1.5 -116 win 1.5 units

Yesterday's lose should leave a bitter taste in the mouth. The Red Sox have good numbers vs. Bannister and the Royals have poor numbers vs. Lester. Bannister's numbers are drastically worse on the road 1.54 WHIP 5.02 ERA. Lester has also been very stingy on giving up runs over the past several starts.

MIN -123 win 2.5 units

Another favorable pitching matchup. The Twins are more than capable of hitting Danks and Blackburn has been solid vs. the White Sox lineup. Bit of a disadvantage on the slugging, but nobody likes their first game in the dome. The Twins win 60% of the 1st games of a series when at home (even more if they're favored) and they've just lost two in the past week. Adding an extra unit for the situational advantage.



Record : 17-16-1 +0.13u

[therber2]

Goin for broke

Cubs (previously posted) -103 (.5 unit)
BOS -1.5 -120 (.5 unit)
Cinci/NYM 9 -110 (1 unit)
TOR -109 (1 unit)
B-Jays/Bal-o's -105 (.5 unit)
OAK/TB u9 +110 (.5 unit)
FLA/ARI 7.5 +100 (1 unit)
FLA/ARI (1 unit)
Rockies -145 (.5 units)
COL/ATL (1 unit)
LAA +117 (1 unit)
White Sox +112 (.5 unit)
Phillies -165 (2.5 units)
SDO/SFO 8.5 +105 (.5 units)
Texas -120 (2 units)
**Texas needs to win one today. Superior pitching, batting, and bullpen. Mariners have been playing well, but it is Friday now at home. Don't think that isn't a factor in this game.

[Beastxxx]

Thanks guys I understand. I am just in the red because I got sick. Don't worry I didn't get busted gambling. I just love baseball and always play proline which only offers parlays.
I just follow the threads and take a few picks on what a couple of folks agree on.
usually my picks are similar but I cant bet as no books here.
I had a stroke and ****ed out of my benefits at manulife so now its tough. I will make a few bucks here just getting started.
Thanks to all you guys for the warm words.
Lets play ball....

therber2 I am watching your threads too

[Beastxxx]

My picks so far
DET
MIN
FLA
LAA all win by 1 run. x10.
pays 105.30

[hufster]

THerb - Nice day my friend! Calling for the comeback and getting it done. Good stuff.

TA - Good work on that big Dodgers victory. It is obvious that you're a guy that knows when to pour it on.

Woodman - Sorry the tails didn't work out for you, but way get that money on your own selections.

Foghorn - Keep'em coming man. I love the write-ups. Always informative and its great to see the thought process.

BamaBill - Winning the right games to add to that bankroll. Gotta love that.

Beast - Good luck my man. My biggest suggestion to you would be to track your picks on paper for at least 100 picks, whether they be tailed or your own, and keep a record of how much money you win or lose. During that time, you get to figure out what wins and what loses objectively. Money, especially when its not abundant, tends to put emotional blinders on to successful vs. unsuccessful methods of wagering. Gambling without money greatly decreases the allure, but undoubtedly will increase your probability of success. I know I know, it is also MUCH easier said than done.


Best of luck today!

[therber2]

Thanks guys I understand. I am just in the red because I got sick. Don't worry I didn't get busted gambling. I just love baseball and always play proline which only offers parlays.
I just follow the threads and take a few picks on what a couple of folks agree on.
usually my picks are similar but I cant bet as no books here.
I had a stroke and ****ed out of my benefits at manulife so now its tough. I will make a few bucks here just getting started.
Thanks to all you guys for the warm words.
Lets play ball....

therber2 I am watching your threads too

GL with the tailing man. What is your best pick today?

[therber2]

Okay Boys, let's get this thing rolling...............going golfing today and leaving for vacation tomorrow.

Cleveland vs Detroit:

Both teams not hitting well, although Cleveland shows signs of breaking out of it. Tonight however, Cliff Lee & Edwin Jackson are the opposing pitchers. Detroit always has trouble with Lee, but beat him earlier this year 1-0. Jackson has one of the top ERA's of all starting pitchers, and he has given up 8 runs in his last 20 innings.

PICK: under 4.5 1st 5 innings (1 unit)
Record: 26-19-1 (+13 units)

Careful boys, been only average over the last 10 or so, although my other picks have been doing well. I try to give you my "best" play each day, but doesn't always go as planned.................

Let's kick some

They are hitting aaalright. You're right not great though. Lee isn't doing so hot. Who knows coin toss pick for me. Gonna pass, best of luck for you today on this one. As usual I will probably regret it .

Thanks Hufster. That comeback was sweet. Might buy the lady a gift....ehhh or maybe a round of beers would be better. What is a good "I just won a shitload of money; here's a ______" gift?

[Beastxxx]

Therber2 these are my picks,
1. Twins
Blackburn is good plus the Twins got creamed by the yanks so they are looking to win. Danks has a 1-1 career mark with a 6.19 ERA at the Metrodome.
2. Marlins Under both Nolasco and haren are good pitchers.
2. Phils. They are smoking hot and hungry,
Duke is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA in three career starts against the Phillies. They pirates don't have much of an offence.

If I could do straight bets I would play these.
I am tailing a few guys with LAD,Tampa Bay Detroit, Houston.

[Beastxxx]

Beast - Good luck my man. My biggest suggestion to you would be to track your picks on paper for at least 100 picks, whether they be tailed or your own, and keep a record of how much money you win or lose. During that time, you get to figure out what wins and what loses objectively. Money, especially when its not abundant, tends to put emotional blinders on to successful vs. unsuccessful methods of wagering. Gambling without money greatly decreases the allure, but undoubtedly will increase your probability of success. I know I know, it is also MUCH easier said than done.

Thanks hufster. I am tracking my plays on wins and losses.
Also spent and won.
I am at 49% win rate.
I could be on a higher win rate but keep in mind I can only play parlays here.
No straight bets, minimum 3 games and all have to win to cash ticket

I am gonna do a a 6 game parlay tonite.
Good LucK and Thanks

[TodaysAction]

Haha don't feel sorry about those Padres. Lincecum is human (or is he?) so he has to collapse one day. Besides the Giants were woeful against Volstad, but unfortunately they picked it up again. I never expected it to cash but it was great value like you said. I don't expect every bet you make to cash.

I'd like to believe they all could/should or I never would have made them.

[woodman663]

Ok, back to picking myself:

DET: 1,67, 1 unit
NYM: 1,85, 0.5 unit
NYM -1.5: 2,72, 0.5 unit
TEX: 1,85, 1 unit

DET/CLE under 8.5: 2,00, 0.5 unit
TB/OAK under 9: 2,04, 0.5 unit
SF/SD over 9: 1,99, 0.5 unit

GL to everyone!

[TodaysAction]

What do you use to record games?

Dunno if I'd call what I do flat betting but it is pretty damn close to it. Chasing or going extra large on ANY play is just not in my blood; I'm super glad it is working out for you, and I like tailing your 30 units picks . Really pissed I didn't see you on the Dodgers today. Like I said, TA on a game with 30 units deserves at least a unit in ANYONE's bank. There is one thing in the market though I am just waiting on that I'm going extra large in. This would be an exception in my routine. If anyone wants to know; send a PM or email.

I'm a cautious man. The other day, upon hearing talk of the CFTC capping commodity futures purchasing on top of record short positions held (delayed news ); I ditched a lot of stocks. I don't care if they go up or down; I'm done with them. I am sick, and tired of the wars against this and that in the market, and incompetent over regulation. All I am going to do now is ride the roller coaster stocks that don't rub anyones fur the wrong way. I have one excellent pick in mind that I have been milking. I think it will be a great buy if it does what I am expecting. Tempting to pull the trigger on it now actually, but I'm willing to wait a bit on it.

Don't but it was done with the VCR/VHS machine as the others were busy getting other goodies.

"373-349-9, 51.7 win rate, +$12,215.26, +122.15 units"

Congrats btw on breaking the 100 units mark.

been a long time coming!

[woodman663]

Just to explain, I'm back to picking myself not because I blame others for losing those tailed picks, but because I've been doing well on my own picks and would like to see if it continues. Again, BOL and should people here all agree on the picks to make I'll happily tail.

[TodaysAction]

Great Job Buddy, you too Therbs, way to bounce back last night. Looks like another good slate of games tonight. Let's keep this train moving forward.

Thanks Foghorn. Enjoy your trip.

[TodaysAction]

Yes he has earned it . I need my luck to change. I need some good parlays so I can win a few bucks to start my stake with one of the books.
I am flat broke and cant seem to win. I need to win enough to get a stake started but man what a bad run.
Thanks guys, Good Luck and looking for a few picks today.

Parlays will toast your account quicker than you could lace up your skates.

My advice: don't do parlays.

I second it. Every now and then, after earning a certain amount, I will 'reward' myself with one but will never force it.

I like the
rays
mets
kansas
LAD
Twins
Atlanta to all win at least by 1.
I hate the over/unders as I always seem to loose the cold teams get hot when I bet under maybe I am friggin jinxed.
I need all the input I can get as it helps me to see what I am missing.
Thanks Guys and lets break the books today.

I have a and on one of your listed teams, for whatever that's worth.

Well in canada thats all we have unless I deposit with a book and I have no money they wont take less than 200, I am bleeding in the red so far all the bills are behind 2 months

If you're bleeding that bad, this might not be the thing for you to do.

[TodaysAction]

TAM,
TAM,

[TodaysAction]

3-3, and +2.70 units............I'll take it

Congrats BamaBill67 My kind of numbers and good luck tonight.

[TodaysAction]

I too figured that if you keep an eye on the ones with winning records, the picks they agree on seem to be the plays. Btw, anyone else think the OVER on LAA/NYY looks nice?

Good comment.

just my opinion.

[TodaysAction]

Started the week off hot but dropped 6 units yesterday as the braves could not get the job done. Braves had plenty of chances to close out the game but came up short.

Still a profitable week taking the crookie for 6.4 units, only have two more days to close the week out.


So for Fridays action I will give you all the plays now because I will be throwing a going away party for a friend that will be moving away, so I wont be around to much tonite...........


cards -103 for the nooner...........2 units

Rays -157................................4 units

twins -121...............................4 units











This week +6.4 units
YTD +43 units....all documented and tracked.........

Thanks shoebox for your now daily, , input. Enjoy the party and the list looks solid.

[MILEHIGHMONSTERS]

Minnesota -123 (22 units)
Baltimore -104 (10 units)
Clev/Det U8.5, -105 (10 units)
Milwaukee +115 (10 units)
Texas -111 (10 units)
Colorado -144 (10 units)
FLA/AZ U 7.5, -105 (10 units)

[OperatorX]

Phillies, Mets, Tigers, Jays, Devil Rays.

[chubber911]

BOL tonight, TA.

[BamaBill67]

Looking for another profitable day.....Up 5.2 units on the week
.
.
Oak +150 2 units (hated to see TA on the opposite side after I already bet)
Tex (pick) 2 units
LAA +120 2 units (if it was any team other than the NYY, LAA would be fav)
Minn -130 4 units (tailing many on this and a good write up convinced me)
Atl/Col u-9.5 1 unit
Fl/Ari u-7.5 1 unit
Kc/Bos u-9 1 unit (has already started but I am running behind)

[woodman663]

Man the Mets can't even get a run off Arroyo, how crap are they? Bad bet that.

[TodaysAction]

Thank you sir, congratulations to you as well, I was lucky enough to go 6 for 6 last night, not something that happens often for me. Continued success to you and your family.

Congrats on a job well done last night (6-0) hopefully you didn't make the mistake and two-times (or more) your normal wager.

[TodaysAction]

Okay Boys, let's get this thing rolling...............going golfing today and leaving for vacation tomorrow.

Cleveland vs Detroit:

Both teams not hitting well, although Cleveland shows signs of breaking out of it. Tonight however, Cliff Lee & Edwin Jackson are the opposing pitchers. Detroit always has trouble with Lee, but beat him earlier this year 1-0. Jackson has one of the top ERA's of all starting pitchers, and he has given up 8 runs in his last 20 innings.

PICK: under 4.5 1st 5 innings (1 unit)
Record: 26-19-1 (+13 units)

Careful boys, been only average over the last 10 or so, although my other picks have been doing well. I try to give you my "best" play each day, but doesn't always go as planned.................

Let's kick some

Up to your usual good stuff again I see. Run support for him has been lacking to much for me to put anything on the game.