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  • curtrambus
    SBR MVP
    • 09-13-12
    • 1118

    #3116
    It was my fault on yer Braves under I tailed it and lose every over under bet I make.
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3117
      Can't wait to see how Arizona loses now.

      At least I killed the closer with CHW/SEA -- White Sox only down 7-2.
      Comment
      • EXhoosier10
        SBR MVP
        • 07-06-09
        • 3122

        #3118
        Unfvckingbelievable month. Not the worst time to disappear for a bit and enjoy summer
        Comment
        • GoBlue23
          SBR MVP
          • 11-04-10
          • 1302

          #3119
          Brewers

          Dbags next
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #3120
            Originally posted by EXhoosier10
            Unfvckingbelievable month. Not the worst time to disappear for a bit and enjoy summer
            Yeah, I had to take a long look in the mirror today and realize how much time I'm putting into this while gaining absolutely nothing and getting nowhere over the course of the past month. I'm just at a loss.
            Comment
            • JamesBrown
              SBR MVP
              • 04-07-08
              • 3860

              #3121
              Originally posted by No coincidences
              Adding two units to Milwaukee +116.
              Piece of cake. Lol
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #3122
                Here comes fat f\*\*k Heath Bell to blow it.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #3123
                  5-7, -0.73U tonight
                  314-302, +48.87U thread


                  No plays for a while. I'll still be around to talk baseball though.

                  Take care guys.
                  Comment
                  • 1Time!
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-24-08
                    • 588

                    #3124
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    5-7, -0.73U tonight
                    314-302, +48.87U thread


                    No plays for a while. I'll still be around to talk baseball though.

                    Take care guys.
                    Enjoy the break NC & come back better than ever!

                    If you can post daily leans that'd be awesome if you're still around talking baseball
                    Comment
                    • blackeyeshamus
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-19-11
                      • 6632

                      #3125
                      nocoin:
                      enjoy your break, sir.
                      if you would still post your leans, I would be extremely grateful.
                      thanks. have an awesome night.
                      Comment
                      • gasto
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-30-11
                        • 330

                        #3126
                        Nocoin, appreciate your insights.

                        I wonder for all the questions you pose, when something seems off, if you bet the illogical way, i just wonder what they outcomes would be. People here talk about stats, records etc. Its well and good, but beyond everything is the money involved. Books have a leg up, a huge part of this is the pyschological game.

                        Lines that dont seem to make sense, obviously attracts many who jump on perceived value, best is to run from these type of games or go the illogical way. Just quick examples today

                        These were some lines for totals
                        Seattle - King Felix over 6 +100 under 6 -115 obvious play Under 6 with King Felix on mound. Wrong big time
                        NY Cleveland 0ver 9 +100 under 9 -115 both teams have decent hitters, lines seem to suggest you take over - Wrong
                        Detroit vs TB line was around 8 +100 for Over and -115 for Under. Almost baiting people to take under with 2 decent pitchers- Wrong

                        Anything that seems remotely too good to be true, just avoid, or if you have balls bet the side that does not make sense or against the public opinion. Strongly believe the outcomes are known before hand. Someone in a thread said its hard to fix baseball- WRONG

                        Umpires can simply call balls for apparent strikes and vice versa. This can determine who wins or if the total goes over or not. Or maybe a pitcher is greased, could be the starting pitcher or later in the innings. Bottom line books know more so we have to proceed with caution
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #3127
                          Originally posted by JamesBrown
                          Piece of cake. Lol
                          JB i respect the hell out of you but i have no idea how you capped that gm and came up with a big play on mil? i mean im glad it worked out for you cause it was just a drop in the bucket for me since i been riding oak daily for some time, and didnt bet any more on this one than the others (actually less than some), just not sure what you had that pointed to mil so strongly? id love to hear it tho..congrats on the hit brother
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #3128
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            Can't wait to see how Arizona loses now.
                            we got this 1 at least, certainly not the way i expected it to go tho, lol...if ya dont mind ill still stop by mostly-daily and post some thoughts..
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #3129
                              Couple fun cardinal facts, 1st for those of u with live betting options cards are now 0-4 in extra innings, not 100% on record last year but I'd bet it was pretty bad as well (something to keep in mind).,

                              2nd and while I havnt capped this gm yet cards are like the heat of baseball having not lost b2b gms since April, clearly that will end at some point but impressive none the less.
                              Comment
                              • fitguy67
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-13-11
                                • 5082

                                #3130
                                Originally posted by curtrambus
                                It was my fault on yer Braves under I tailed it and lose every over under bet I make.
                                have you considered changing your avatar before placing your next bet?
                                Comment
                                • joco
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-24-11
                                  • 3242

                                  #3131
                                  all the good mlb cappers on sbr r taking breaks right now...this is insane
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #3132
                                    Originally posted by 2daBank
                                    JB i respect the hell out of you but i have no idea how you capped that gm and came up with a big play on mil? i mean im glad it worked out for you cause it was just a drop in the bucket for me since i been riding oak daily for some time, and didnt bet any more on this one than the others (actually less than some), just not sure what you had that pointed to mil so strongly? id love to hear it tho..congrats on the hit brother
                                    He's boys with Doolittle, who was obviously in the tank last night. LOL.
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #3133
                                      I'm actually following tatddy's lead -- he did this a while back because he had a bad feeling in his gut about losing his profits, and so do I at this point. I'm up almost 50 units in bases this year, but was close to +70 a month ago and I'm really just spinning my wheels right now (at best). So I requested a payout today for a thousand bucks -- nothing big because I don't bet big as I've said before, but I'll take it and do something for my family with it.

                                      As for today, I think Toronto, Pittsburgh, Cleveland and even the White Sox look good to go this afternoon. Could be a decent profit out of those four; not saying all of them hit, but they're all still at decent enough prices for now that they're worth playing IMHO.

                                      Good luck everyone, and thanks for the well-wishes.
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #3134
                                        I think Toronto's the best play on the board if you can get a +110.

                                        Dickey back in an NL pitchers' park, everyone hammering Zito because of his amazing home/day numbers, and yet the line basically opened as a PK for a 24-34 team (10-18 road) vs. a 31-27 team that's 21-10 at home. That says it all to me.

                                        Also, the White Sox are beyond due.
                                        Comment
                                        • GoBlue23
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-04-10
                                          • 1302

                                          #3135
                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                          I'm actually following tatddy's lead -- he did this a while back because he had a bad feeling in his gut about losing his profits, and so do I at this point. I'm up almost 50 units in bases this year, but was close to +70 a month ago and I'm really just spinning my wheels right now (at best). So I requested a payout today for a thousand bucks -- nothing big because I don't bet big as I've said before, but I'll take it and do something for my family with it.

                                          As for today, I think Toronto, Pittsburgh, Cleveland and even the White Sox look good to go this afternoon. Could be a decent profit out of those four; not saying all of them hit, but they're all still at decent enough prices for now that they're worth playing IMHO.

                                          Good luck everyone, and thanks for the well-wishes.
                                          Congrats on your winnings and enjoy the time off pal. Appreciate your insight and will look forward to your return when you're refreshed and ready to go.
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #3136
                                            Originally posted by GoBlue23
                                            Congrats on your winnings and enjoy the time off pal. Appreciate your insight and will look forward to your return when you're refreshed and ready to go.
                                            Thanks, GoBlue. I appreciate it.
                                            Comment
                                            • thes0vereign
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-13-12
                                              • 712

                                              #3137
                                              Enjoy the break, it's the prudent move. There's plenty of baseball left for when you get back.
                                              Comment
                                              • PAULYPOKER
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-06-08
                                                • 36581

                                                #3138
                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                I don't have the patience for this right now. My capping is somehow off, the lines are somehow off, the movements are somehow off -- I guess all I have to do it bet chalk like Brock every game. He's on like a 15-3 run at EOG saying things like "I'm betting the over in Oakland because the temperature is going to be in the 90's" when the forecast clearly says 81. I guess the MLB betting retards can have this for a while, because I'm not going to try and figure it out. I can't make heads or tails of what is going on.
                                                Say Uncle and I'll let ya resume where ya left off.......
                                                Comment
                                                • joco
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-24-11
                                                  • 3242

                                                  #3139
                                                  no coin..ive noticed over the previous two seasons of mlb that the first half of the year is always profitable picking dogs for + money and going against the public. then the second half of the season alot of favorites win and layin chalk becomes profitable. remember two years ago on sbr goldengreek was up over 400 units by the all star break and lost it all and more the second half of the year as he continued to play dogs....just an observation...i dont think its a coincidence. no pun intended
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #3140
                                                    So hard to lay off hammering Toronto and CHW, but I'm doing just that.

                                                    Good luck if you play either.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • No coincidences
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                      • 76300

                                                      #3141
                                                      Originally posted by joco
                                                      no coin..ive noticed over the previous two seasons of mlb that the first half of the year is always profitable picking dogs for + money and going against the public. then the second half of the season alot of favorites win and layin chalk becomes profitable. remember two years ago on sbr goldengreek was up over 400 units by the all star break and lost it all and more the second half of the year as he continued to play dogs....just an observation...i dont think its a coincidence. no pun intended
                                                      I felt that way in April for sure, but May and early June has been a chalk-lover's haven -- at least on the games I've been looking at.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PAULYPOKER
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-06-08
                                                        • 36581

                                                        #3142
                                                        Your Open Bets


                                                        GameDate Date Placed Sport Description Risk/Win
                                                        Ticket#:2096620
                                                        Jun 05 07:10 PM
                                                        Jun 05 04:08 PM MLB
                                                        STRAIGHT BET
                                                        [958] CINCIN -1½+130
                                                        ( J GARLAND -R / P VILLARREAL )
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #3143
                                                          Like Tampa, Texas, Arizona, the Mets and the Dodgers at first glance, but didn't pay much attention to the night card and have no idea re: line movement, public %, etc.

                                                          Good luck tonight everyone.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #3144
                                                            I also don't see any reason why the Stros can't win tonight vs. Fab Five Freddy.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #3145
                                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                              Like Tampa, Texas, Arizona, the Mets and the Dodgers at first glance, but didn't pay much attention to the night card and have no idea re: line movement, public %, etc.

                                                              Good luck tonight everyone.
                                                              I'd just play Tampa and nothing else. Card doesn't look that appealing to me.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • PAULYPOKER
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-06-08
                                                                • 36581

                                                                #3146
                                                                Your Open Bets


                                                                GameDate Date Placed Sport Description Risk/Win
                                                                Ticket#:2096620
                                                                Jun 05 07:10 PM
                                                                Jun 05 04:08 PM MLB
                                                                STRAIGHT BET
                                                                [958] CINCIN -1½+130
                                                                ( J GARLAND -R / P VILLARREAL )
                                                                Ticket#:2096904
                                                                Jun 05 08:15 PM
                                                                Jun 05 07:24 PM MLB
                                                                STRAIGHT BET
                                                                [960] ST. LO -1½+160
                                                                ( W MILEY -L / J KELLY -R )
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #3147
                                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                  So hard to lay off hammering Toronto and CHW, but I'm doing just that.
                                                                  LO-fvcking-L.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • NittanyLionsFan
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-26-10
                                                                    • 2857

                                                                    #3148
                                                                    Anything on the late game? I'll blindly tail.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EXhoosier10
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-06-09
                                                                      • 3122

                                                                      #3149
                                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                      LO-fvcking-L.
                                                                      Of course that's how it happens. it's just how this crap works
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • No coincidences
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                                        • 76300

                                                                        #3150
                                                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                        I'd just play Tampa and nothing else. Card doesn't look that appealing to me.
                                                                        Good grief.

                                                                        Well, I hope someone benefited from playing Toronto, Seattle and Tampa today -- because I didn't.
                                                                        Comment
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