2013 MLB thread

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 12:05 AM

Looking at potentially a bigger-sized play on Tampa tomorrow.

**underal** · 04-25-13, 01:46 AM

top notch work so far.seems like some teams have real bullpen issues and some managers (mattingly and gibson for starters) making bad decisions with them.

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 08:25 AM

If I had any faith in anything surrounding Cliff Lee right now, I'd hammer the Phillies today.

**BiffTFinancial** · 04-25-13, 08:28 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Looking at potentially a bigger-sized play on Tampa tomorrow.

mmm-hmm. think i'm going 1u on Rays, 1u on CWS TT under. White Sox offense is putrid right now.

BOL today NC!

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 08:29 AM

Thursday's leans:

PHI -159
KC +160
LAD -112
TB +115
WAS -132
MIA +107
TEX -107

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 08:30 AM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

mmm-hmm. think i'm going 1u on Rays, 1u on CWS TT under. White Sox offense is putrid right now.

BOL today NC!

You too Biff.

CHW offense is struggling, and I'm not sold on Sale making it much longer before the sophomore slump as a starter kicks in. Hellickson's looked pretty solid so far. Rays just aren't hitting though. 10 K's against Pettitte?!?!

**EXhoosier10** · 04-25-13, 08:32 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Looking at potentially a bigger-sized play on Tampa tomorrow.

Similar pitchers with TB having a better offense. I can see it. I would have liked the +125 earlier this morning, but that's what i get for coming to work late today

side note --- Dunn has basically been useless thus far. His periphs aren't completely out of whack, but he is swinging at a lot more pitches, but his contact rates and everything look semi-normal sans First pitch strike%. maybe pitchers just are'nt afraid of him and are challenging him every at bat? I'm not giving up on him yet.

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 08:34 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Similar pitchers with TB having a better offense. I can see it. I would have liked the +125 earlier this morning, but that's what i get for coming to work late today

side note --- Dunn has basically been useless thus far. His periphs aren't completely out of whack, but he is swinging at a lot more pitches, but his contact rates and everything look semi-normal sans First pitch strike%. maybe pitchers just are'nt afraid of him and are challenging him every at bat? I'm not giving up on him yet.

It's hard to be even more useless than he's been in previous seasons, but he's getting there.

**EXhoosier10** · 04-25-13, 08:35 AM

Careful on KC. the whole detroit team has seen him 15+ times and everyone is hitting .300+. http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/dailyhit.pl If that weren't the case, i'd probably be on this with you, but i'm likely to lay off

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 08:39 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Careful on KC. the whole detroit team has seen him 15+ times and everyone is hitting .300+. http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/dailyhit.pl If that weren't the case, i'd probably be on this with you, but i'm likely to lay off

Over might be a solid play. Verlander's been good so far, but not great. Typical April for him; still feeling things out.

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 08:46 AM

PHI/PIT under 7 (1.1U to win 1)

**BiffTFinancial** · 04-25-13, 09:08 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

You too Biff.

CHW offense is struggling, and I'm not sold on Sale making it much longer before the sophomore slump as a starter kicks in. Hellickson's looked pretty solid so far. Rays just aren't hitting though. 10 K's against Pettitte?!?!

Pettitte has always owned the Rays. saw on twitter last night that his winning percentage vs TB is like greatest ever of any SP vs team with 20+ starts (or something like that). i like Sale a ton, but so long as he's being backed by a AAA lineup with Dunn batting 4th, he's fade material. and Rays aren't great offensively right now, but at least they are average or maybe a bit better than average (4.81 runs/9 overall, 4.6 vs LHP L10 games). Sox are just horrendous (3.10 runs/9 overall, 2.89 vs RHP L10 games). can Sale hold the Rays to 2 runs or less? sure it's possible. and it will be necessary if the Sox are going to win tonight, because i don't see them getting more than 3 off of Hellickson and Rays pen.

**BigBoi** · 04-25-13, 09:12 AM

U feeling ok coin? U never play totals.

**BigDofBA** · 04-25-13, 09:24 AM

Great MLB thread Coin.

I like all three favorites in the noon games. Square and juicy but I don't care.

When I bet teams like Detroit today, I'll still bet one unit to win like .6 units. Not always the best idea but it works if yore careful.

GL today.

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 09:25 AM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Great MLB thread Coin.

I like all three favorites in the noon games. Square and juicy but I don't care.

When I bet teams like Detroit today, I'll still bet one unit to win like .6 units. Not always the best idea but it works if yore careful.

GL today.

Thanks Big D.

Really tempted to take Philly for about 3 units. Pittsburgh has been atrocious vs. lefties so far this year.

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 09:26 AM

Originally posted by BigBoi

U feeling ok coin? U never play totals.

Yeah, I know. Proceed with caution.

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 09:27 AM

PHI -161 (4.83U to win 3)

**EXhoosier10** · 04-25-13, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

PHI -161 (4.83U to win 3)

Why is 5D hanging -161 while everywhere else is -170 or higher?

**BigBoi** · 04-25-13, 09:37 AM

What about a cliff lee/Justin verlander parlay?

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 09:49 AM

Originally posted by BigBoi

What about a cliff lee/Justin verlander parlay?

I'm not 100% sold on Detroit. I'd be more tempted to go PHI/NYM, but remember, I never pick the right time to lay chalk so proceed with caution.

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 09:50 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Why is 5D hanging -161 while everywhere else is -170 or higher?

I don't know. Even Pinny has gone to -173.

**EXhoosier10** · 04-25-13, 09:55 AM

Weird.. I guess i'm line watching for a while as I put 2 extra u on it to scalp should the opportunity come up.

What line are you waiting on for TB? I'm pretty happy with +119, but I'm guessing the public could keep buying Sale

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 10:04 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Weird.. I guess i'm line watching for a while as I put 2 extra u on it to scalp should the opportunity come up.

What line are you waiting on for TB? I'm pretty happy with +119, but I'm guessing the public could keep buying Sale

I'm going to lock it in at +118. I would assume the public would be relatively split on this one, though I'm not sure. If it moves a lot higher than this, I might start to get worried.

TB +118 (3U to win 3.54)

**YOUNGBUCK** · 04-25-13, 10:05 AM

Twinkies Coin

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 10:07 AM

Going to make another total play, which I would not advise tailing:

TB/DET over 7 (+115) (1U to win 1.15)

The hitters know each pitcher well. Tigers have a good track record vs. Shields. I'd take KC on the RL, but that didn't work yesterday so I'm not going to bother today.

Might be back with something else later, but I don't really see anything else that is worth making a play on. I do think the Dodgers win, but I just missed the -112 and the -115.

Good luck everyone.

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by YOUNGBUCK

Twinkies Coin

You will not see me backing Vance Worley against the Rangers under any circumstances.

Sorry Buck. I see what you're seeing, but I just can't. Feel the same way about the Marlins -- want to pull the trigger, but meh.

**BigDofBA** · 04-25-13, 10:24 AM

Locked in Dodgers at -118 this morning and Phills at -170.

Both lines moved in my favor but when has that ever mattered? Lol.

I swear, line movement only seems to matter if I'm on he other side.

**YouHave2outs** · 04-25-13, 10:25 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Going to make another total play, which I would not advise tailing:

TB/DET over 7 (+115) (1U to win 1.15)

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Locked in Dodgers at -118 this morning and Phills at -170.

Both lines moved in my favor but when has that ever mattered? Lol.

I swear, line movement only seems to matter if I'm on he other side.

Yep.

If I bet against line movement, I get buried every single time. Yet when I beat the closer, it hardly ever seems to matter. Go figure.

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by YouHave2outs

Taking a chance based on the familiarity approach and obviously because I got +115 odds. Just a shot in the dark.

**BigDofBA** · 04-25-13, 10:55 AM

Twins and Nats moving in my favor as well.

Maybe I'm just a sucker betting the wrong teams like everyone else....

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 11:44 AM

One more:

NYM TT under 3.5 (2.1U to win 2)

**HOT WINGS** · 04-25-13, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Going to make another total play, which I would not advise tailing:

TB/DET over 7 (+115) (1U to win 1.15)

The hitters know each pitcher well. Tigers have a good track record vs. Shields. I'd take KC on the RL, but that didn't work yesterday so I'm not going to bother today.

Might be back with something else later, but I don't really see anything else that is worth making a play on. I do think the Dodgers win, but I just missed the -112 and the -115.

Good luck everyone.

Took the Billy Butler prop to have more hits, runs, rbis than victor. Butler always hits Verlander

**No coincidences** · 04-25-13, 12:01 PM

Originally posted by HOT WINGS

Took the Billy Butler prop to have more hits, runs, rbis than victor. Butler always hits Verlander

I like it. V-Mart has not been good this year, either.

**HOT WINGS** · 04-25-13, 12:11 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I like it. V-Mart has not been good this year, either.

Yeah couldn't believe I got +110 on it. V-Mart is 6 of 13 off shields(so that's why) but he's been a shell of the v-mart 2011 version so far so ill take my chances.