Multiple MLB Chase Systems (+250 units in 2012)

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  • thefonzo
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-10-10
    • 671

    #211
    Do any of your systems have injury filters? Just curious because Milwaukee's 3-4-5 hitters are all out (Ramirez and Hart on DL, and reports around town last night are that Braun is VERY doubtful for today). We are trotting out Alex Gonzolez and Yuniesky Betancourt at the corners, which is downright pathetic.

    in all honesty, if I were the brewers manager today, I would seriously consider batting Gallaro like 6th.

    best of luck guys...I hope I'm wrong!
    Comment
    • samrock67
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 05-05-12
      • 647

      #212
      Originally posted by thefonzo
      Do any of your systems have injury filters? Just curious because Milwaukee's 3-4-5 hitters are all out (Ramirez and Hart on DL, and reports around town last night are that Braun is VERY doubtful for today). We are trotting out Alex Gonzolez and Yuniesky Betancourt at the corners, which is downright pathetic.

      in all honesty, if I were the brewers manager today, I would seriously consider batting Gallaro like 6th.

      best of luck guys...I hope I'm wrong!
      Unfortunately, I think chase systems turn sports betting into mathematically advantageous situations and don't factor in injuries...sometimes the capper will be nice enough to alert his tailers as to the presence of an injury that may affect a series, but it is certainly not their responsibility.

      I think it's up to each person to decide whether they want to continue with the chase or not. You would hope after losing 4 in a row, Gallardo would come out with his best stuff to try and help the Brewers out of this slump, even despite the injuries.
      Comment
      • knugen
        SBR MVP
        • 12-09-09
        • 2612

        #213
        Aaa brewers.. Loaded bases no outs and still no runs
        Comment
        • TheDarkKnight01
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-31-12
          • 390

          #214
          Brewers are sure doing a lot of teasing every inning... always seem to get in scoring position then chokes it up.
          Comment
          • skyscrapers
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-02-11
            • 6168

            #215
            The Brew Crew got swept
            And Can you believe the crappy Cubs played 6 straight under with today's 5-1 loss to the Dogders...pathetic
            Comment
            • samrock67
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 05-05-12
              • 647

              #216
              Only book that has the game up for tomorrow is BetOnline, listing Milwaukee at +115 for tomorrow's game in Chicago. I'm not feeling good about it but gotta stick to the system and hope for the best...
              Comment
              • Semper Fidelis
                SBR MVP
                • 09-22-11
                • 1999

                #217
                Originally posted by skyscrapers
                The Brew Crew got swept
                And Can you believe the crappy Cubs played 6 straight under with today's 5-1 loss to the Dogders...pathetic
                Actually they played the Braves, and we hit the over yesterday (we came from behind in dramatic fashion!), so their chase was already cleared. We got a bad beat with the Brewers-come from behind to force extra innings only to have Axford lose it for them yet again. Hopefully they'll fare a little better tomorrow.
                Comment
                • TheDarkKnight01
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-31-12
                  • 390

                  #218
                  Recap of 4/7/2013

                  4 game chase play:
                  #3: Brewers -110 (544/494) for Game 3 Loser, on to game 4 on 4/8/13
                  #7: White Sox -160 (160/100) for Game 1 Winner

                  YTD: 6-0 +600
                  Game 1: 6
                  Game 2: 0
                  Game 3: 0
                  Game 4: 0 (#3 pending)

                  Will post tomorrow's plays either tonight or early tomorrow morning.
                  Comment
                  • TheDarkKnight01
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-31-12
                    • 390

                    #219
                    Originally posted by skyscrapers
                    The Brew Crew got swept
                    And Can you believe the crappy Cubs played 6 straight under with today's 5-1 loss to the Dogders...pathetic
                    Yeah, some tough breaks early on.

                    Side note, Cubs hit the over in game 5 (4/6/2013) while PIT hit the over in game 6 (4/7/2013). For the under chase, BAL hit the under on game 6 (4/7/2013). To summarize, if we would have done a 6 game chase, both the Over and Under would have gone 30-0 but there's no way I would chase 6 games, it's something to note for anyone that was curious though.
                    Comment
                    • TheDarkKnight01
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 10-31-12
                      • 390

                      #220
                      Plays for 4/8/2013

                      4 game chase play:
                      #4: Brewers ML to win 10.38u for Game 4
                      #8: Giants 1u for Game 1
                      #9: Giants 1u for Game 1
                      #10: Royals 1u for Game 1

                      The Giants play overlaps with two different chases, we're playing both.

                      YTD: 6-0 +600
                      Game 1: 6
                      Game 2: 0
                      Game 3: 0
                      Game 4: 0 (#3 pending)

                      Good luck
                      Comment
                      • skyscrapers
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 05-02-11
                        • 6168

                        #221
                        Originally posted by TheDarkKnight01
                        Yeah, some tough breaks early on.

                        Side note, Cubs hit the over in game 5 (4/6/2013) while PIT hit the over in game 6 (4/7/2013). For the under chase, BAL hit the under on game 6 (4/7/2013). To summarize, if we would have done a 6 game chase, both the Over and Under would have gone 30-0 but there's no way I would chase 6 games, it's something to note for anyone that was curious though.
                        Ha, I totally checked the wrong scores...never mind what I wrote
                        Comment
                        • knugen
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-09-09
                          • 2612

                          #222
                          ML on brewers today TDK?
                          *found the answear
                          Comment
                          • zk
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 01-13-13
                            • 5

                            #223
                            Can you post over/under chases
                            Comment
                            • TheDarkKnight01
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 10-31-12
                              • 390

                              #224
                              Plays for 4/8/2013 with lines updated


                              4 game chase play:
                              #4: Brewers ML +108 (962/1038) for Game 4
                              #8: Giants -170 (170/100) for Game 1
                              #9: Giants -170 (170/100) for Game 1
                              #10: Royals -142 (142/100) for Game 1

                              The Giants play overlaps with two different chases, we're playing both.

                              YTD: 6-0 +600
                              Game 1: 6
                              Game 2: 0
                              Game 3: 0
                              Game 4: 0 (#3 pending)

                              Definitely a weird start to the season with all but 1 chase clearing in game 1 while the other is going the distance to game 4 this early on.

                              Good luck if you decide to ride along with me.
                              Comment
                              • knugen
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-09-09
                                • 2612

                                #225
                                The over/under chases are done..
                                Comment
                                • TheDarkKnight01
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 10-31-12
                                  • 390

                                  #226
                                  Thanks knugen, sometimes I forget to respond to questions.

                                  The Over/Under chase finished, it's only meant to be played the first 5 games of the season. I hope that helps.
                                  Comment
                                  • samrock67
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 05-05-12
                                    • 647

                                    #227
                                    Hopefully Braun returns to the lineup today for the Brewers to give them a boost and hopefully spoil the Cubbies home opener. I know that chases are not designed to take injuries into consideration but in the case of this Milwaukee series they have been playing without their 3-4-5 hitters. The good news is that Braun was in the on-deck circle in the 11th inning against the D-backs yesterday. Hopefully he plays today and it fuels them to bring this series home for us.
                                    Comment
                                    • mrk77
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 05-10-12
                                      • 97

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by TheDarkKnight01
                                      Thanks knugen, sometimes I forget to respond to questions.

                                      The Over/Under chase finished, it's only meant to be played the first 5 games of the season. I hope that helps.
                                      That's too bad, I thought it was a great system
                                      Comment
                                      • zk
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 01-13-13
                                        • 5

                                        #229
                                        Originally posted by knugen
                                        The over/under chases are done..
                                        Already? Am I only one that did good on it? I only played games 3-5 in the chase
                                        Comment
                                        • skyscrapers
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-02-11
                                          • 6168

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by TheDarkKnight01

                                          4 game chase play:
                                          #4: Brewers ML +108 (962/1038) for Game 4
                                          #8: Giants -170 (170/100) for Game 1
                                          #9: Giants -170 (170/100) for Game 1
                                          #10: Royals -142 (142/100) for Game 1

                                          The Giants play overlaps with two different chases, we're playing both.

                                          YTD: 6-0 +600
                                          Game 1: 6
                                          Game 2: 0
                                          Game 3: 0
                                          Game 4: 0 (#3 pending)

                                          Definitely a weird start to the season with all but 1 chase clearing in game 1 while the other is going the distance to game 4 this early on.

                                          Good luck if you decide to ride along with me.
                                          I was about to say feast or famine.
                                          Comment
                                          • TheDarkKnight01
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-31-12
                                            • 390

                                            #231
                                            fyi - Braun is in the starting lineup today for the Brew Crew.
                                            Comment
                                            • skyscrapers
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-02-11
                                              • 6168

                                              #232
                                              The Brewers' line continues to rise...now at +114
                                              Comment
                                              • thefonzo
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 03-10-10
                                                • 671

                                                #233
                                                Originally posted by samrock67
                                                Hopefully Braun returns to the lineup today for the Brewers to give them a boost and hopefully spoil the Cubbies home opener. I know that chases are not designed to take injuries into consideration but in the case of this Milwaukee series they have been playing without their 3-4-5 hitters. The good news is that Braun was in the on-deck circle in the 11th inning against the D-backs yesterday. Hopefully he plays today and it fuels them to bring this series home for us.
                                                good to see him in the lineup today, but that was strictly a decoy yesterday. They were out of position players, and he was on deck for the sole purpose of making sure they didn't pitch around Weeks ( not that it mattered)
                                                Comment
                                                • kcava
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 03-31-13
                                                  • 117

                                                  #234
                                                  Huge day for the beginning of the season. Could be looking at -19/20 units in chase 7... we'd have a lot of ground to make up. Hoping for a big time performance today.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • calebepley93
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 02-23-13
                                                    • 98

                                                    #235
                                                    If all 8 of my pending chases play out, I'll be up 40+ units in a little over a week. I've been playing the ones I like in here, Stiflers thread, Wallco NHL and a few of my own. Suck it snark
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TheDarkKnight01
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 10-31-12
                                                      • 390

                                                      #236
                                                      Brewers up 4-0! Need Estrada and BP to do their job and hold the lead now. Jackson looks horrible early too, nice.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kcava
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 03-31-13
                                                        • 117

                                                        #237
                                                        Keep Calm and DON'T MESS IT UP BREWERS

                                                        Should be a shirt...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dogs1972
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-22-09
                                                          • 509

                                                          #238
                                                          shhhhhhhhhhh....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • samrock67
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 05-05-12
                                                            • 647

                                                            #239
                                                            Forgive me TDK, for I have sinned...LOL

                                                            As I'm sure other people in this thread are doing, I am also tailing Stifler's thread. Stifler has an A bet on the Cubs today. Due to my uncertainty and hesitancy in the Brewers for today, I decided to bet enough on the Cubs ML to cut what my overall loss on the Milwaukee series would have been in half. So, essentially, assuming the Brewers hold on, I've transferred a 7-unit loss to the B bet of Stifler's series. Shame on me for not trusting in the system.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • skyscrapers
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 05-02-11
                                                              • 6168

                                                              #240
                                                              Originally posted by samrock67
                                                              Forgive me TDK, for I have sinned...LOL

                                                              As I'm sure other people in this thread are doing, I am also tailing Stifler's thread. Stifler has an A bet on the Cubs today. Due to my uncertainty and hesitancy in the Brewers for today, I decided to bet enough on the Cubs ML to cut what my overall loss on the Milwaukee series would have been in half. So, essentially, assuming the Brewers hold on, I've transferred a 7-unit loss to the B bet of Stifler's series. Shame on me for not trusting in the system.
                                                              You should have played both sides. I played a D bet on TDK's Brewers and an A bet on Stif's Cubbies.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • samrock67
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 05-05-12
                                                                • 647

                                                                #241
                                                                Originally posted by skyscrapers
                                                                You should have played both sides. I played a D bet on TDK's Brewers and an A bet on Stif's Cubbies.
                                                                Well, I did play both sides...

                                                                I bet the normal amount on TDK's Brewers bet
                                                                I bet half of what I stood to lose on the whole series on the Chicago A bet
                                                                Thus, I effectively transferred 1/2 of my potential loss to the B bet of the Chicago series.

                                                                I just wasn't "man enough" to place the bets regularly, and now I will just have to make up 7 units on the Stifler Chicago series.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TheDarkKnight01
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 10-31-12
                                                                  • 390

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by samrock67
                                                                  Forgive me TDK, for I have sinned...LOL

                                                                  As I'm sure other people in this thread are doing, I am also tailing Stifler's thread. Stifler has an A bet on the Cubs today. Due to my uncertainty and hesitancy in the Brewers for today, I decided to bet enough on the Cubs ML to cut what my overall loss on the Milwaukee series would have been in half. So, essentially, assuming the Brewers hold on, I've transferred a 7-unit loss to the B bet of Stifler's series. Shame on me for not trusting in the system.
                                                                  lol no need to apologize man, I'm just here to answer questions and post plays, what people decide to do with it is entirely up to them. After all, it is your money!

                                                                  Since we're talking about when chases conflict or overlap, here's my two cents and what I do:

                                                                  In this case where we have a game 4 for one chase and a game 1 for the other, I would either play the game 4 in hopes of hitting it and skipping game 1 OR I would play both. However, usually I would play both chases.

                                                                  Time sure is going by slowly, wish this game would end already! 4 more innings...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • samrock67
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 05-05-12
                                                                    • 647

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Thanks for the advice, TDK. Can't thank you enough for the work I'm sure you've put into this.

                                                                    We've all been victim to our emotions and I hate it when it affects my betting. Can't even tell you how many times a Wallco NHL went to a C bet(it was a 3-bet system) and we had over 30units on the line and ALWAYS came out on top.

                                                                    Gotta have faith, bottom line.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • samrock67
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 05-05-12
                                                                      • 647

                                                                      #244
                                                                      P.S. Scoreboard watching for baseball is the absolute WORST. I have no patience for it lol

                                                                      That's why I use the BetBud app, which updates me whenever there is a score change(and keeps track of all of my bets, statistics, etc). I forget who on here mentioned it but by far it is the best $3 I have ever spent.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • skyscrapers
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 05-02-11
                                                                        • 6168

                                                                        #245
                                                                        We needed this win bad and we got it!!! It was dicey in the bottom 9th though but we got it...congrats all!!!
                                                                        Comment
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