Originally <a href='/showthread.php?p=19994566'>posted</a> on 10/22/2013:
I would use good consensus data as a tool, not as the gospel. Our data showed 68% of the public on the Giants. If I was going to bet the Giants I might lower my stake or pass. I wouldn't use the data to flip my pick though.
It can help with trap games that look too good. When you see 80% on a game, like Denver over Indy, you have to really ask yourself did the bookmakers really miss the line this badly or is this a suckers bet?
I would use good consensus data as a tool, not as the gospel. Our data showed 68% of the public on the Giants. If I was going to bet the Giants I might lower my stake or pass. I wouldn't use the data to flip my pick though.
It can help with trap games that look too good. When you see 80% on a game, like Denver over Indy, you have to really ask yourself did the bookmakers really miss the line this badly or is this a suckers bet?