Burns MLB Fade

thekoreanmang · 04-06-15, 12:04 PM

I thought we wanted to tail his Eli plays?

Thanks for posting.

Mucak77 · 04-06-15, 12:10 PM

I am keeping this thread to show how much money you can make just by blindly fading this faker..
So for the record here every play is a fade.
If i like a play i ll tail but mostly i ll fade becuase i am convinced
he ll do similar like in all other sports where he is losing almost every month and every week.

I like his totals where is not so much juice, the rest is pure garbage imo..

Everyone should decide for themself what he bets..GL

thekoreanmang · 04-06-15, 06:44 PM

Thanks mucak. Already 2-0 on the day!

Mike1029 · 04-06-15, 06:47 PM

So is he 0-3 in baseball this year?

NoLimitz80 · 04-06-15, 07:10 PM

Are his plays based on ML or spread?

GiantsWin · 04-06-15, 10:40 PM

I don't understand this
Texas 7.1 u to win 17.1u,
Toronto 7.5u to win 16.5u,
Mets 4.5u to win 11.5u.
Could somebody explain

KonaZonie · 04-07-15, 12:24 AM

GiantsWin

I don't understand this
Texas 7.1 u to win 17.1u,
Toronto 7.5u to win 16.5u,
Mets 4.5u to win 11.5u.
Could somebody explain

The first amount is the amount you wager and the second amount is the total return (based on the line of the game). The difference is the net amount, which corresponds the to the unit value of the play.

So in line one Mucak77 is saying bet 7.1 units on Texas to get a return of 17.1 units, for a total net gain of 10 units. That corresponds to the rating of the play.

Hope that helps, pomaika'i!

Mucak77 · 04-07-15, 05:50 AM

Yes, this is how i calculate.. thanks for explaining.
What a loser, i think he wont get to black whole season

Although the Eli Manning was a very nice bet..

MLB season:
1-3 , -2.488$

Our Fade record:
3-1, +1.790$

3 plays today, coming a little later.

purplehazae479 · 04-07-15, 09:42 AM

how profitable was the fade last year?

jetsmets31 · 04-07-15, 12:08 PM

All Drew Brees... Tampa bay, Cubs, brew crew

queens11 · 04-07-15, 12:11 PM

Hi, Mucak, units for the picks?

jetsmets31 · 04-07-15, 12:19 PM

All drew Brees

toolup · 04-07-15, 12:28 PM

Sorry jets, are these burns plays, or the fades??

queens11 · 04-07-15, 12:28 PM

New to this. What's all drew brees?

jetsmets31 · 04-07-15, 12:35 PM

These are all of burns plays so you would fade them....

Mucak77 · 04-07-15, 12:50 PM

Sorry i was travelling, couldnt post earlier. Thanks for posting..

Fade:

Cadrinals 9u to win 18u,
Baltimore 9.8u to win 19.8u,
Colorado 7.5u to win 16.5u.

GL

Mucak77 · 04-08-15, 12:44 AM

OMG what a loser i cant believe he is that bad

0-2 yesterday, 1-5 for the season..lost almost 5K in 3 days

That one game was scratced, probably we would have swept these 3 games lol..

MLB season:
1-5 , -4.945$

Our Fade record:
5-1, +3.590$

jetsmets31 · 04-08-15, 01:27 AM

I smell a heavy juice game today

queens11 · 04-08-15, 03:11 AM

1 unit = $100? For the fade record?

Mucak77 · 04-08-15, 04:22 AM

Yes, i took his unit sizes but it doesnt matter really..i thought it is easier to write in his sizes so
we can check his records easily..

NJA · 04-08-15, 09:33 AM

is -4.945 his tally flat betting? wouldn't he be down way more than $494.50 if unit betting?

thank you for posting and keeping track of the fade, appreciated.

KFaceNugz · 04-08-15, 10:20 AM

Mucak thank you for posting and tracking. It is appreciated!

Mucak77 · 04-08-15, 10:54 AM

It is by his units, so sometimes it is a 10 units, 9,8 etc.. so yes at this moment he is around -5K..

You re welcome Face, I hope we all make a nice income

3 plays today, 1 Eli total! Usually he is good with these and even Burns cant lose all the time so think what to
take..

Dodgers under 7 - Eli,
2x Drew Brees:
Tampa, Milwaukee

Fade:
Dodgers over7, 10u to win 20u,
Baltimore , 8.2u to win 17.2u,
Colorado, 6.9u to win 15.9u..

GL

Leikster · 04-08-15, 02:15 PM

Same. Watch him go 3-0 now that I'm here to fade him too.

Mike1029 · 04-08-15, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by Leikster

Same. Watch him go 3-0 now that I'm here to fade him too.

That's usually what happens when I fade anyone. They get hot. LOL..

BosDargent · 04-08-15, 04:00 PM

Lol

Mucak77 · 04-09-15, 01:06 AM

Not with Ben the Loser Burns - he is constantly losing

Mucak77 · 04-09-15, 01:13 AM

Again a losing day for Ben Burns, 2-2 all sports and minus 455$ - in MLB he was 1-2 and minus 1.455$!
This month he has lost almost 6K, in MLB 6.500$!!

MLB season:
2-7 , -6.500$

ELI record:
1-1, -150$

Our Fade record:
7-2, +4.670$

He is still advertised as a "top handicapper" and it says: grab a subscription and watch your ROI hit the roof
instead of "fade every play" or "watch your bankoll get burned by Burns"..
I am very confident he wont ever make it to black numbers, look at his MLB - from the very first play he is in the red and just losing more and more..
If you would flip a coin i doubt you would lose 7 out of 9 games you pick

and he usually goes for plays with some juice so disaster is coming..
Avg odds for these 9 plays were 1.76! So even when we lose the fade we wont lost too much as we usually take +money..

kalishnikov · 04-09-15, 05:06 AM

This is freaken awesome, thanks Mucak77. Any idea of his baseball record from last year? If he this bad, this is too dam easy.

Mucak77 · 04-09-15, 06:47 AM

Well he is even worse then i expected, apparently there were seasons where he made money?
I can tell for the last 6 months that he is absolutely garbage..
NHL season was a disaster, almost 30K down.. Even when he was winning the fade never was negative..

All sports he is also very bad, check also the NHL fade thread i have exact numbers..
It is possible he ll be around 50%, 2-7 is very bad even for him, but he always has these plays with a lot of juice.. so it wont be a big problem even if he wins 5-6 in a row..
I have a feeling he should hit 70% to make money with his plays but obv he cant get close..

I would expect that he can lose 30-40K for the whole season.

Even when he won money it wasnt too much so not a big bankroll required for the fade

This is e.g. his NHL season:
October -2.250$
November +232$
December -5.010$
January -10.545$
February +3.750$
March -12.181$
April -180$

All sports 2015:
January around -20K (dont have exact numbers)
February +4.761$
March -26.095$
April -5.940$

I have some excel sheets if anyone is interested send me your mail to my pm and i can send it to you.

teamejd · 04-09-15, 08:36 AM

Originally posted by kalishnikov

This is freaken awesome, thanks Mucak77. Any idea of his baseball record from last year? If he this bad, this is too dam easy.

Records in baseball don't mean anything. Any service that advertises the percentage they hit in baseball has probably lost money.
Given the heavy chalk Burns plays he would need to hit an outrageous percentage to be making a profit.

Mucak77 · 04-09-15, 09:24 AM

We have 2 potential winners today

Thanks to Burns love for favs if we go 1-1 we will have a small profit..

Drew Brees both:

Washignton and Oakland..

Fade:
Mets 8.35u to win 17.35
Texas 6.9u to win 15.9u..

Keep in mind, this is just the start (didnt expect the fade to be that good or him that bad hahaha).
During the season he will probably get close to 50% or even 55% but i am quite certain the fade will
bring money. I doubt he will finish the season with 23%

Adjust your stakes wisely.. I prefer flat betting for this kind of bets, we will have +money all the time
as he is on the favorites..

GL

pet2150 · 04-09-15, 02:06 PM

Does he pick a lot of heavy favorites in baseball like he does in hockey?

tribeforlife22 · 04-09-15, 03:27 PM

wow this clown is awful. 0-1 alrdy and oak is down 5!!!