...a decent fade for the second half of season....

There could be some inherent value with most people respecting their previous success. I don't have any back tested data, and I'd welcome anyone's diligence, but there are many factors that suggest they might be a good value.

Besides the obvious record, most pitchers don't succeed both halves. Brad Penny, Ubaldo Jimenez are recent examples. They both finished the first half before All-Star break with stellar results. Then as heavy favorites (-215, -200) they lost time and again. They did win at times, but I think it was beyond profitable to bet AGAINST these types of pitchers.

Any thoughts?

All the best to all,

Derty D