World Cup Semifinals Parlay: Best Parlay Bets & Prop Picks for Semifinals
The final four teams will take the pitch on Tuesday and Wednesday, and I've crafted the best World Cup parlay for the semifinals. The action gets underway on Tuesday at 3 p.m. ET as France and Spain battle. Then, on Wednesday, England and Argentina face off, as Harry Kane and Lionel Messi look to send their teams to the final.
My World Cup best bets come together to create a parlay that pays +770, highlighting England's ability to put shots on target and chances of defeating Argentina, and Spain's ability to prevent corners.
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⚽ World Cup parlay: Semifinals
See all of our experts' World Cup picks based on the latest World Cup odds and favorites
| 💰 Best bets | 📊 Best odds | ⚖️ Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| England 5+ shots on target | +130 via DraftKings | 2u -> 2.6u |
| France Under 4.5 corners | +100 via DraftKings | 1.5u -> 1.5u |
| England in regulation | +160 via DraftKings | 1u -> 1.6u |
Total wagered: 4.5 units | Max profit: 5.7 units
💸 World Cup parlay
- England 5+ shots on target (+130)
- France Under 4.5 corners (+100)
- England in regulation (+160)
Parlay total: +770 | Wager: 1 unit | Possible profit: 7.7 units
💰 Best World Cup semifinal prediction
England 5+ shots on target (+130) vs. Argentina
England has been one of the most aggressive offensive teams at this World Cup, putting at least five shots on target in five of its six games. Even when playing a man down for over 35 minutes against Mexico, England still managed to hit this threshold.
Argentina allowed just one shot on goal in each of its group stage matches but has allowed five shots on target in two of its knockout stage games. England currently has 39 attempts on target, an average of 6.5 per game, despite only three shots on net against Ghana.
Kickoff time: Wednesday, July 15 @ 3 p.m. ET
England vs. Argentina odds: England (+160) | Draw (+195) | Argentina (+205)
How to watch: FOX, Telemundo, FOX One
💵 SBR Edge: Kane and Bellingham have been unstoppable
Both Kane and Jude Bellingham have scored six goals for England at this World Cup. But even when one player takes the spotlight for a game, the other is still active. Kane has multiple shots on goal in three of his last four games, while Bellingham has at least two shots on target in three consecutive matches. The two have combined for 14 shots on net in three knockout stage games.
🔥 More World Cup predictions for the semifinals
France Under 4.5 corners (+100) vs. Spain
France has earned at least five corners in five of six World Cup matches. However, two of those games saw France finish with five, and the French have only managed more than six corners in two games.
Meanwhile, Spain has been excellent at preventing corners at this tournament. The Spanish have allowed just seven corners in six games, and only Portugal managed to earn more than one against them. Still, Portugal earned only three corners.
Additionally, these two teams have met in semifinals in each of the last two years. When France fell behind Spain 4-0, the French still ended with only six corners. And in 2024, France played more than 60 minutes down a goal and also finished with six corners. In a game that I think will be played at a slow, tactical pace for at least the first half, I love this Under for +100.
Kickoff time: Tuesday, July 14 @ 3 p.m. ET
France vs. Spain odds: France (+135) | Draw (+220) | Spain (+220)
How to watch: FOX, Telemundo, FOX One
England in regulation (+160) vs. Argentina
Argentina once again struggled with an inferior opponent before ultimately finding a way to win. However, after needing extra time against Cape Verde and Switzerland, and a miraculous comeback against Egypt, I think the defending champions are finally going to meet their demise.
Ultimately, I don't believe in Argentina's offense against England's defense. England allowed two goals in its first World Cup match, but since then, the only time an opponent scored multiple goals in a match was when Mexico netted a penalty kick while playing up a man.
England completely shut down Norway's attack, allowing just 0.68 expected goals. And while betting against Messi never seems smart, Bellingham is playing the best soccer of anyone taking the pitch on Wednesday. The English are much better than any team Argentina has faced to this point, and I think they'll get the job done in 90 minutes.
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