⚽ Spain World Cup 2026 Odds & Predictions: Will the Favorite Win It All?
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is just around the corner, and one team in particular will be looking to wash the bad taste from the last one from their mouth when they were bounced by Morocco on penalties in the Round of 16. La Roja followed that up by becoming the first team to win all seven matches on the way to winning the Euro 2024. On the heels of that, the Spain World Cup odds list them as the favorites to become world champions.
The roster was released just days ago and is absolutely loaded with world-class talent - it's going to be hard for anyone to tackle this side. But the same can be said for the French, and maybe the English. So let's dive into the odds and see if Spain winning it all at +475 is actually the play, or are there better values to be found?
📊 Spain World Cup odds 2026
The best World Cup betting sites will offer plenty of markets, but here are some of the best from DraftKings; odds updated May 27 and subject to change:
| Market | Odds | Probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| To win outright (Champion) | +475 | 17.39% | $47.50 |
| To reach final | +220 | 31.25% | $22 |
| To reach semi final | +100 | 50% | $10 |
| To reach quarter final | -160 | 61.54% | $6.25 |
| To reach last 16 | -360 | 78.26% | $2.78 |
Stage of elimination
In a similar vein you can bet where a team will be eliminated as opposed to how far they'll advance in the tournament.
| Stage of elimination | Odds | Probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 32 | +400 | 20% | $40 |
| Last 16 | +400 | 20% | $40 |
| Group Stage | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Quarter-finals | +400 | 20% | $40 |
| Semi-finals | +550 | 15.38% | $55 |
| Runner-up | +600 | 14.29% | $60 |
| Outright Winner | +475 | 17.39% | $47.50 |
🏆 Spain World Cup 2026 predictions and best bets
To reach the semi-finals (+100)
The semi-finals are probably the first time that Spain will feature any real resistance, but it will absolutely be real resistance against Portugal or Argentina. Sure, Spain is the favorite to win it all, and their roster is capable of beating anyone on any day.
But facing another top-5 team in the world is hardly a free pass to the next round, so instead of pushing my luck to try to get a better payday, I'm fully comfortable cashing a +100 ticket and letting the chips fall where they may. We all know that Spain is capable of going all the way, and I wouldn't knock anyone for an outright winner ticket. There is absolutely a reason they're the favorite. But I'm also comfortable with a solid +100 ticket payout rather than trying to feign shock that the No. 3 or No. 5 team in the world beat them, both of whom are also strong contenders in the World Cup odds.
⚽ Spain World Cup 2026 roster
Luis de la Fuente's squad is loaded with world-class players, and shockingly there are zero players from Real Madrid (for the first time in history). He also said that he has no concerns about the fitness of Yamal, Nico Williams, or Mike Merino, suggesting he has "no doubt" they'll be ready for the opening game.
| Player (Position) | Parent Club |
|---|---|
| Unai Simón (Goalkeeper) | Athletic Club |
| David Raya (Goalkeeper) | Arsenal |
| Joan García (Goalkeeper) | Barcelona |
| Marc Cucurella (Defender) | Chelsea |
| Pau Cubarsí (Defender) | Barcelona |
| Aymeric Laporte (Defender) | Athletic Club |
| Álejandro Grimaldo (Defender) | Bayer Leverkusen |
| Pedro Porro (Defender) | Tottenham Hotspur |
| Eric García (Defender) | Barcelona |
| Marcos Llorente (Defender) | Atlético Madrid |
| Marc Pubill (Defender) | Atlético Madrid |
| Gavi (Midfielder) | Barcelona |
| Rodri (Midfielder) | Manchester City |
| Pedri (Midfielder) | Barcelona |
| Martín Zubimendi (Midfielder) | Arsenal |
| Fabián Ruiz (Midfielder) | PSG |
| Álex Baena (Midfielder) | Atlético Madrid |
| Mikel Merino (Midfielder) | Arsenal |
| Lamine Yamal (Forward) | Barcelona |
| Nico Williams (Forward) | Athletic Club |
| Dani Olmo (Forward) | Barcelona |
| Ferran Torres (Forward) | Barcelona |
| Mikel Oyarzabal (Forward) | Real Sociedad |
| Yéremy Pino (Forward) | Crystal Palace |
| Borja Iglesias (Forward) | Celta Vigo |
| Víctor Muñoz (Forward) | Osasuna |
Spain World Cup Group Stage schedule
Spain's three games against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay are set for the following dates:
- June 15, 2026: vs. Cape Verde (Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta)
- June 21, 2026: vs. Saudi Arabia (Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta)
- June 26, 2026: vs. Uruguay (Estadio Akron, Zapopan, Mexico)
❓ FIFA World Cup 2026 FAQ
Who is the favorite to win the World Cup?
Spain is the World Cup odds favorite, with odds of +475 odds at DraftKings. Those odds imply an 17.39% win probability.
Who won the last World Cup?
Argentina won the 2022 World Cup in Qatar.
Where is the 2026 World Cup?
Canada, Mexico, and the United States, will host the 2026 World Cup, with 16 cities holding matches. The host cities are:
- Toronto (Canada)
- Vancouver (Canada)
- Guadalajara (Mexico)
- Mexico City (Mexico)
- Monterrey (Mexico)
- Atlanta
- Boston
- Dallas
- Houston
- Kansas City
- Los Angeles
- Miami
- New York / New Jersey
- Philadelphia
- Seattle
- San Francisco / Bay Area
When is the 2026 World Cup?
The 2026 World Cup is set to run from June 11, 2026, until the final on July 19, 2026.
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