⚽ PSG vs. Bayern Munich Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tuesday's Champions League Match
A Champions League classic could be on the horizon as we look ahead to Tuesday's semifinal at the Parc des Princes in Paris with our PSG vs. Bayern Munich prediction.
Bayern Munich have looked nearly unbeatable this season, but Champions League holders PSG head into the first leg as the +130 favorites to beat the Bavarians (+175) thanks to their strong record at home.
Our Champions League best bets feature a PSG star expected to make a big impact on the game, which starts at 3 p.m. ET on Paramount+
⚽ PSG vs. Bayern Munich predictions
See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Champions League odds:
| Predictions | Best odds | Bet size | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG ML | +130 via bet365 | 1 unit -> 1.3 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 2.5 goals | -275 via bet365 | 1.5 units -> 0.55 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Both teams to score | -300 via bet365 | 1.5 unit -> 0.5 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia anytime goal-scorer | +155 via FanDuel | 0.5 unit -> 0.78 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 4.5 units | Max profit: 3.13 units
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💰 PSG vs. Bayern Munich best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Paris Saint-Germain ML (+130)
Paris Saint-Germain have the weapons to punish a Bayern Munich team that's only lost once in 12 Champions League games this season.
Along with their attacking prowess, PSG proved they have a defense capable of containing Bayern Munich after strong performances recently domestically and in the Champions League. PSG have kept three straight clean sheets in the Champions League, last conceding during the first leg of their round of 16 clash against Chelsea.
Meanwhile, Bayern will be without Alphonso Davies and Minjae Kim on defense. The German side looked shaky last weekend, allowing three goals in a 4-3 win over Mainz.
Score prediction: PSG 2, Bayern Munich 1
🔥 Best PSG vs. Bayern Munich prop bet
Both teams to score (-300)
Although we're anticipating a strong outing from the home team, keeping a clean sheet against Bayern Munich's stacked attack doesn't seem realistic against a team that scored four goals against Real Madrid in its last game.
We're backing the Bavarians to continue their streak of scoring in every single Champions League match this season, led by Harry Kane, who holds an English record in the competition with his 12 goals this season.
Considering that PSG rested multiple forwards for their win over the weekend, Luis Enrique's side will be fresh and eager to entertain the home fans in the French capital on Tuesday.
🙌 Best PSG vs. Bayern Munich goal-scorer prediction
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Paris Saint-Germain (+155)
Injuries to Bayern Munich's defense could open the door for Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to have a big day.
Kvaratskhelia is among the favourites to find the back of the net, as the Georgian looks poised to take advantage of Bayern Munich's makeshift right-back situation and the club's penchant for leaving space when it ventures up the field.
Kvaratskhelia leads PSG scorers with eight goals in 13 Champions League games. He's scored or assisted in his last five Champions League appearances and has 10 goal contributions over his last 10 games.
🚀 PSG vs. Bayern Munich same-game parlay
This three-leg parlay is relying on Tuesday's game being a high-scoring affair between a pair of European heavyweights. We've gone with highly correlated legs with our Over 2.5 goals and BTTS bets, while a Kvaratskhelia anytime goal is an ideal multiplier to spice things up.
💵 PSG vs. Bayern Munich SGP picks
- Over 2.5 goals (-275)
- Both teams to score (-300)
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia anytime goal-scorer (+155)
Best odds: +364 via bet365 (1.5 units -> 5.46 units)
⚖️ How I'm handicapping PSG vs. Bayern Munich
Although Bayern Munich won the first meeting earlier this season, PSG's defensive stability should give them the edge at home for Tuesday's contest. Clean sheets against Chelsea and Liverpool proved that Luis Enrique's side is peaking defensively when it matters most.
PSG have elso enjoyed the luxury of rotating their squad domestically in order to maintain fresh legs for the Champions League.
Bayern Munich's defensive uncertainty is another major reason to back PSG. The combination of Bayern's poor defensive performance last week and the absences of Alphonso Davies and Kim Minjae should tilt the scale in PSG's favor even further.
PSG vs. Bayern Munich key stats
| PSG | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 38 | 38 |
| Goals against | 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target | 101 | 93 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 |
📊 PSG vs. Bayern Munich odds
After news broke about Bayern's defensive absences, the odds shifted from PSG being an underdog at +150 to the Parisians being slight favorites to beat Bayern at +130. The price could continue to shorten as we approach kick-off and uncertainty over Bayern's defense grows.
🆚 PSG vs. Bayern Munich projected lineups
Here are Tuesday's projected lineups for PSG vs. Bayern Munich; lineups subject to change:
| PSG | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|
| Safonov | Neuer |
| Hakimi | Laimer |
| Mendes | Tah |
| Pacho | Upamecano |
| Marquinhos | Stanisic |
| Ruiz | Kimmich |
| Neves | Pavlovic |
| Zaire-Emery | Musiala |
| Doue | Diaz |
| Dembele | Olise |
| Kvaratskhelia | Kane |
📈 PSG vs. Bayern Munich betting trends
| PSG | Statistic | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|
| 9-3-2 | Season record | 11-0-1 |
| 9-0-6 | H2H record | 6-0-9 |
| W-W-L-W-W | Last 5 games | W-W-W-W-W |
| Won 3-0 vs. Angers | Previous result | Won 4-3 vs. Mainz |
| PSG coach Luis Enrique is one win away from becoming the fastest manager to reach 50 Champions League victories. | Key stat | Bayern have won their last five Champions League games against PSG. |
After beating Liverpool 4-0 over two legs, PSG continued to close the door on opposing teams in Ligue 1, maintaining clean sheets in wins over Nanets and Angers.
In attack, Vitinha is expected to be available and pull the strings for PSG from a deep-lying position. His inclusion will likely see Luis Enrique use his preferred 4-3-3 formation.
PSG aren't dealing with any major injuries, while Bayern will have to navigate their way through this difficult encounter without a pair of regular defenders.
🌤️ PSG vs. Bayern Munich weather
Skies will be clear and the temperature will hover around 65 during Tuesday's contest in Paris. The conditions are suited for a highly energized game in which the pitch will be dry and fast.
📺 How to watch PSG vs. Bayern Munich
- Date: Tuesday, April 28
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Parc des Princes
- TV: Paramount+
❓ PSG vs. Bayern Munich FAQ
Who is favored to win PSG vs. Bayern Munich?
Paris Saint-Germain are a +130 betting favorite against Bayern Munich on Tuesday.
Who is the best PSG vs. Bayern Munich bet?
The best bets for Paris Saint-Germain vs. Bayern Munich include Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score (+155).
Where to watch PSG vs. Bayern Munich in the U.S. and Canada?
You can watch Paris Saint-Germain vs. Bayern Munich on Paramount+ in the United States, or stream the game on DAZN in Canada.
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