Netherlands vs. Germany Prediction, Picks & Odds for Thursday's Nations League Match
My Netherlands vs. Germany prediction comes up with the top plays for Thursday's UEFA Nations League fixture. Two new managers take the helm of their international squads in this post-World Cup reset, with Xavi heading up Netherlands and Jurgen Klopp on the touchline for Germany.
With limited training time ahead of kickoff from Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam at 2:45 p.m. ET, read below to find the best way to target the League A clash. You'll find all the action on Fubo.
⚽ Netherlands vs. Germany predictions & best bets
See our experts' soccer picks.
| Best bets | Best odds | Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Germany Over 12.5 shots | +100 via bet365 | 0.5 units to profit 0.5 units |
| Over 9.5 corners | -110 via bet365 | 0.5 units to profit 0.46 units |
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
💰 Netherlands vs. Germany best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Germany Over 12.5 shots (+100)
Germany’s expected 4-2-3-1 under Klopp should naturally generate shot volume, particularly against a Netherlands side expected to operate out of Xavi's preferred 4-3-3. Germany’s double pivot should be built around Joshua Kimmich, giving its attacking midfielders the freedom to occupy the half-spaces. Lineup projections have Jamal Musiala operating centrally behind Kai Havertz, with width provided on either side.
Xavi has emphasized playing with intensity and taking the initiative when in possession (a big switch for the Netherlands), rather than simply protecting space. That should work right into Klopp’s counter-press: Germany can regain possession before the Dutch defensive structure resets and turn those recoveries into quick attempts.
Reaching 13 doesn't require dominating possession, and it's a wild step back from the 18.5 the Germanys (albeit under a different manager/with a different XI) posted on average during their World Cup games.
🆚 Who will win Netherlands vs. Germany?
This is a lean more than a bet recommendation, because the unknown of the new managers and the limited training time. But, as you might expect from my best bet above, I think Kimmich and Felix Nmecha behind Musiala is probably enough of an edge in the midfield to proper the visitors to the win column.
Score prediction: Germany 2, Netherlands 1
🔥 More Netherlands vs. Germany expert picks
Over 9.5 corners (-110)
Despite their different shapes, both teams should look to use crosses into the box after playing through the wide areas. Crosses that are blocked are among the best generators of corners. The Netherlands should have aggressive fullback involvement to help counter the threats posed by Cody Gakpo and Crysencio Summerville, while Germany should stretch the play to create space for Musiala and Havertz.
I like this angle for a game with so much unknown because neither side necessarily needs to create high-quality chances for the bet to progress. Xavi has explicitly called for the Netherlands to play with intensity and take the initiative, while Klopp prefers aggressive pressing and quick attacking transitions. If both teams stick to their presumed plans, the game should produce repeated end-to-end attacking sequences rather than a slow, possession-heavy stalemate. Ten corners is a reasonable threshold in that type of game state, and a big day at the corner flag for either side can help this along.
📊 Netherlands vs. Germany odds
Odds from bet365 as of Sept. 23; subject to change
- Three-way moneyline: Netherlands (+140) | Draw (+270) | Germany (+170)
- Total: Over 2.5 (-211) | Under 2.5 (+160)
🆚 Netherlands vs. Germany projected lineups
Here are the projected lineups for Netherlands vs. Germany; subject to change:
| Netherlands (4-3-3) | Germany (4-2-3-1) |
|---|---|
| Verbruggen (GK) | ter Stegen (GK) |
| Van de Ven (D) | Vagnoman (D) |
| van Dijk (D) | Tah (D) |
| van Hecke (D) | Schlotterbeck (D) |
| Dumfries (D) | Brown (D) |
| Reijnders (M) | Kimmich (M) |
| Gravenberch (M) | Pavlovic (M) |
| Veerman (M) | Karl (M) |
| Gakpo (F) | Musiala (M) |
| Brobbey (F) | Wirtz (M) |
| Summerville (F) | Havertz (F) |
📺 How to watch Netherlands vs. Germany
- Date: Sept. 24, 2026
- Kickoff: 2:45 p.m. ET
- Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)
- TV/Streaming: Fubo
Related Articles
