⚽ Manchester United vs. Brentford Prediction, Picks & Odds for Monday's Premier League Match
Manchester United will try to get back to its winning ways at home as we look ahead to Monday's clash at Old Trafford in Manchester with our Manchester United vs. Brentford prediction.
Their form under Michael Carrick is a major reason why United are on the verge of securing a return to the Champions League next season, and why they're -118 favorites to beat Brentford (+300). Our Premier League best bets target a pair of players from both teams who should have an influence on how the match unfolds (3 p.m. ET on USA Network).
⚽ Manchester United vs. Brentford predictions
See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Premier League odds.
| Predictions | Best odds | Bet size | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United ML | -118 via bet365 | 1 unit -> 0.85 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 2.5 | -175 via bet365 | 1.5 units -> 0.86 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Bruno Fernandes assist | +200 via DraftKings | 0.5 units -> 1 unit | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Igor Thiago anytime goal-scorer | +135 via FanDuel | 0.5 units -> 0.68 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
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💰 Manchester United vs. Brentford best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Manchester United ML (-118)
A chance to further strengthen their bid to qualify for the Champions League should be enough to motivate Manchester United against Brentford. The Red Devils have looked reborn since Carrick's appointment as coach, winning five of six home games under him.
Along with their current momentum, history is also on United's side, as Brentford have suffered defeats at Old Trafford in all four of their trips there since returning to the Premier League in 2021.
Brentford beat United 3-1 in the first fixture this season at home, but their current form (five straight draws) suggests they've lost some of the spark that made them a formidable opponent earlier this season.
Score prediction: Manchester United 3, Brentford 2
🔥 Best Manchester United vs. Brentford prop bet
Over 2.5 goals (-175)
Past meetings suggest there could be plenty of goals at Old Trafford, as Manchester United’s previous three matches against Brentford have gone Over 2.5 goals. In the last 10 clashes, games have gone Over 2.5 goals 80% of the time.
Manchester United looked worryingly vulnerable at the back in their last home game against Leeds, but it should get a boost with Harry Maguire's return from a suspension.
The loss to Leeds was a performance that Brentford have undoubtedly analyzed in their bid to pull off a similar upset. However, Manchester United's attack is finally clicking, averaging just under two goals per game over their last 12 Premier League outings.
🙌 Best Manchester United vs. Brentford goal-scorer prediction
Igor Thiago, Brentford (+135)
Along with helping Brentford secure a place in the top half of the table, Igor Thiago will be eager to shorten the gap with Erling Haaland in the Premier League Golden Boot race.
The Brazilian forward is easily the top striker among teams outside of the traditional top six. He sits just three goals back of the Manchester City scoring machine, with 21 goals in 33 Premier League games.
Given that United have a habit of conceding chances at home when they venture into enemy territory, there should be opportunities for Thiago to add to his club-record-breaking goal haul.
🚀 Manchester United vs. Brentford same-game parlay
Brentford have a reputation as draw specialists, so we're leaving out the three-way moneyline for Manchester United to win. That leaves us with three correlated picks for our same-game parlay. We're expecting Bruno Fernandes to add to his league-leading 18 assists in a matchup in which he's recorded three helpers in eight games.
Thiago's form this season is too good to ignore, and he should help the total surpass 2.5 goals.
💵 Manchester United vs. Brentford SGP picks
- Over 2.5 goals (-175)
- Bruno Fernandes anytime assist (+200)
- Igor Thiago anytime assist (+135)
Best odds: +1008 via DraftKings (1 unit -> 10.07 units)
⚖️ How I'm handicapping Manchester United vs. Brentford
The return of Harry Maguire should help reduce stress, as Manchester United clearly struggled without the England international against Leeds United. He's a factor in why we're backing United to come out on top.
Although Brentford have the ability to spoil the festive mood at Old Trafford on Monday, United have turned their stadium into a fortress this season after winning 10 games, three more than they managed last season.
United's motivation to lock down a spot in the Champions League next season could be a deciding factor.
Manchester United vs. Brentford key stats
| Manchester United | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 58 | 48 |
| Goals against | 45 | 44 |
| xG | 54.94 | 53.28 |
| Shots on target | 188 | 130 |
📊 Manchester United vs. Brentford odds
That market has showed steady movement in Manchester United's direction after the odds opened. After opening at -105, the odds have shifted further to -118 as confidence has grown in United's defense following their clean sheet against Chelsea.
That's has led to Brentford's odds dropping from +300 to +380 amid doubts over the team's ability to upset the Red Devils on the road.
🆚 Manchester United vs. Brentford projected lineups
Here are Monday's projected lineups for Manchester United vs. Brentford; lineups subject to change:
| Manchester United | Brentford |
|---|---|
| Lammens | Kelleher |
| Dalot | Kayode |
| Maguire | Van den Berg |
| Heaven | Collins |
| Shaw | Lewis-Potter |
| Casemiro | Yarmolyuk |
| Mainoo | Jensen |
| Mbeumo | Ouattara |
| Fernandes | Damsgaard |
| Cunha | Schade |
| Sesko | Thiago |
📈 Manchester United vs. Brentford betting trends
| Manchester United | Statistic | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| 16-10-7 (3rd) | Season record | 13-9-11 (9th) |
| 11-3-8 | H2H record | 8-3-11 |
| L-W-D-L-W | Last 5 games | D-D-D-D-D |
| Won 1-0 vs. Chelsea | Previous result | Tied 0-0 vs. Fulham |
| Bruno Fernandes is two assists away from matching the single-season record (20) | Key stat | Brentford haven't won at Old Trafford since 1937. |
The mood at Old Trafford has transformed from misery to optimism in the months since Carrick's appointment. He's instilled a belief that was nonexistent when Ruben Amorim was in charge.
Carrick will likely deploy the 4-2-3-1 formation that United used to beat Chelsea away from home last weekend, with Fernandes set to be the focal point in the attack.
Meanwhile, Brentford are relatively healthy for this contest, with coach Keith Andrews expected to use a defensive 5-3-2 formation while hoping to limit chances for the hosts. Look for Brentford to absorb pressure and wait for opportunities to catch United on the counterattack.
🌤️ Manchester United vs. Brentford weather
Weather could be a factor in this game, as there's a 20% chance of rain with some wind. Skies will be mostly cloudy while the temperature in Manchester on Monday evening is set to hover around 46.
📺 How to watch Manchester United vs. Brentford
- Date: Monday, April 27
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)
- TV: USA Network
❓ Manchester United vs. Brentford FAQ
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs. Brentford?
Manchester United are a -118 betting favorite against Brentford on Monday.
Who is the best Manchester United vs. Brentford bet?
The best bets for Manchester United vs. Brentford include Igor Thiago anytime goal (+550) and Bruno Fernandes anytime assist.
Where to watch Manchester United vs. Brentford in the U.S. and Canada?
You can watch Manchester United vs. Brentford on USA Network in the United States, or stream the game on FuboTV in Canada.
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