⚽ England World Cup 2026 Odds & Predictions: Is it Coming Home?
Is the 2026 World Cup when it's finally coming home? England hasn't captured World Cup glory since 1966, but every four years, the fans of the Three Lions manage to convince themselves that this will indeed be the year. The England World Cup odds have them listed at +650 to actually get the job done this time.
I'm not as convinced. Thomas Tuchel's squad selection was...interesting. It's not that it's bad, but I don't think that this team is set up to get the job done.
📊 England World Cup odds 2026
The best World Cup betting sites will offer plenty of markets, but here are some of the best from DraftKings; odds updated May 28 and subject to change:
| Market | Odds | Probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| To win outright (Champion) | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| To reach final | +300 | 25% | $30 |
| To reach semi final | +140 | 41.67% | $14 |
| To reach quarter final | -140 | 58.33% | $7.14 |
| To reach last 16 | -340 | 77.27% | $2.94 |
Stage of elimination
In a similar vein you can bet where a team will be eliminated as opposed to how far they'll advance in the tournament.
| Stage of elimination | Odds | Probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 32 | +320 | 23.81% | $32 |
| Last 16 | +350 | 22.22% | $35 |
| Group Stage | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Quarter-finals | +350 | 22.22% | $35 |
| Semi-finals | +550 | 15.38% | $55 |
| Runner-up | +700 | 12.50% | $70 |
| Outright Winner | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
🏆 England World Cup 2026 predictions and best bets
England to reach the quarter-final (-140)
This one is steep, but there's a reason for that. I have faith in England making it to the quarters, but I see a matchup with France in the cards there, and I don't see them coming out on top of that. The -140 odds, with an implied probability of 58.33%, are a bit too low. Historically, we can expect England to make it at least this far, and I'd price this closer to -185, although the value disappears on a risk-reward basis before that number.
There is no one in Group L that will be able to handle England's attack or penetrate its defense, so a finish at the top of the group should be expected. The newly-formed Round of 32 will present a third-placed finisher to the England side, and whichever one it is should be easily dispatched. The expansion of the field to 48 teams will mean that weaker sides reach the knockout rounds, and England is strong and experienced enough to handle whichever one it has to face
In the round of 16, England should be able to use its transitional speed on the wings to take advantage of Mexico. But that's where the buck stops. The unrivaled French frontline will cause fits for the England defense, and their midfield players, such as Aurelien Tchouameni and Adrien Rabiot, will neutralize the England possession game. France central defender William Saliba has done an admirable job shutting down England's Harry Kane when they've met on their club teams.
I'm happy with this until the -150 range, after that the value is starting to disappear. At that range I would likely lean heavier into the "to be eliminated in the quarter-finals (+350) wager.
🔬 SBR EDGE: The Tactical Unlock
The Pick: England to reach the quarter-final (-140)
The Why: Tuchel's squad and its depth on the wings should easily dispatch the rest of Group L and its Round of 32 and 16 opponents, but a French side with a superior midfield and attack is where I draw the line on being convinced England will advance.
Market boundaries: Buy-up to: -150 | Allocation: 2 units
⚽ England World Cup 2026 roster
Not surprisingly, England's World Cup roster immediately resulted in a lot of online discourse. Thomas Tuchel clearly had many difficult decisions to make, and it will take until the end of the road for England before we'll know if he made the correct ones. My early assessment is that he hasn't put together a team that will vie for the title.
Tuchel's roster is just too full of head scratchers for me. I don't understand the omission of Harry Maguire in favor of a Dan Burn-type player. The exclusion of Phil Foden and Cole Palmer (despite their subpar seasons), while Jordan Henderson and Noni Madueke made the roster, leaves me wondering about the thought process behind it.
| Player (Position) | Parent Club |
|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford (Goalkeeper) | Everton |
| Dean Henderson (Goalkeeper) | Crystal Palace |
| James Trafford (Goalkeeper) | Manchester City |
| John Stones (Defender) | Manchester City |
| Reece James (Defender) | Chelsea |
| Dan Burn (Defender) | Newcastle |
| Ezri Konsa (Defender) | Aston Villa |
| Marc Guéhi (Defender) | Manchester City |
| Djed Spence (Defender) | Tottenham |
| Jarell Quansah (Defender) | Bayer Leverkusen |
| Tino Livramento (Defender) | Newcastle |
| Nico O'Reilly (Defender) | Manchester City |
| Jordan Henderson (Midfielder) | Brentford |
| Declan Rice (Midfielder) | Arsenal |
| Elliot Anderson (Midfielder) | Nottingham Forest |
| Eberechi Eze (Midfielder) | Arsenal |
| Morgan Rogers (Midfielder) | Aston Villa |
| Jude Bellingham (Midfielder) | Real Madrid |
| Kobbie Mainoo (Midfielder) | Manchester United |
| Harry Kane (Forward) | Bayern Munich |
| Ivan Toney (Forward) | Al Ahli |
| Ollie Watkins (Forward) | Aston Villa |
| Marcus Rashford (Forward) | Barcelona |
| Anthony Gordon (Forward) | Newcastle |
| Bukayo Saka (Forward) | Arsenal |
| Noni Madueke (Forward) | Arsenal |
England's World Cup Group Stage schedule
England's three games against Croatia, Ghana, and Panama are set for the following dates:
- June 17, 2026: vs. Croatia (AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas)
- June 23, 2026: vs. Ghana (Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Mass.)
- June 27, 2026: vs. Panama (MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J.)
❓ World Cup 2026 FAQ
Who is the favorite to win the World Cup?
Spain is the World Cup odds favorite, with odds of +450 at bet365. Those odds imply an 18.18% win probability.
Who won the last World Cup?
Argentina won the 2022 World Cup in Qatar.
Where is the 2026 World Cup?
Canada, Mexico, and the United States, will host the 2026 World Cup, with 16 cities holding matches. The host cities are:
- Toronto (Canada)
- Vancouver (Canada)
- Guadalajara (Mexico)
- Mexico City (Mexico)
- Monterrey (Mexico)
- Atlanta
- Boston
- Dallas
- Houston
- Kansas City
- Los Angeles
- Miami
- New York / New Jersey
- Philadelphia
- Seattle
- San Francisco / Bay Area
When is the 2026 World Cup?
The 2026 World Cup is set to run from June 11, 2026, until the final on July 19, 2026.
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