⚽ Arsenal vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks & Odds for Saturday's Premier League Match
From leaders to chasers, second-placed Arsenal try to rebound from another setback in the title race when they host Newcastle at the Emirates Stadium in London on Saturday . Both teams are marred in a slump, but my Arsenal vs. Newcastle prediction gives the edge to the hosts.
Despite suffering a gut-wrenching 2-1 loss to Manchester City last weekend, Arsenal are still firmly in the title race. They're favorites for Saturday's game (12:30 p.m. ET on Peacock+) at -223 odds to register a win against a Newcastle team (+525) that's been equally as poor recently.
⚽ Arsenal vs. Newcastle predictions
See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Premier League odds.
| Predictions | Best odds | Bet size | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal ML | -223 via bet365 | 1 units -> 0.45 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Under 2.5 goals | -175 via bet365 | 0.5 units -> 0.29 units | ⭐⭐ |
| Over 10.5 total corners | -105 via DraftKings | 1 unit -> 0.95 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Viktor Gyokeres anytime goal-scorer | +140 via DraftKings | 1 unit -> 1.4 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
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💰 Arsenal vs. Newcastle best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Arsenal ML (-223)
Another slip-up will probably cost Arsenal the Premier League title. With Manchester City sitting atop the table, Arsenal will need to be nearly perfect over the last five games to win the league for the first time in over 20 years.
The Gunners are taking on Newcastle at the perfect time, as the Magpies are dealing with an injury crisis that could extend their losing streak to four games.
Although Arsenal are likely to be without talisman Bukayo Saka again due to injury, desperation to collect three points at home could propel the hosts to a much needed win.
Score prediction: Arsenal 2, Newcastle 0
🔥 Best Arsenal vs. Newcastle prop bet
Over 10.5 corners (-105)
While Arsenal have become famous for scoring corners this season, no team is better at manufacturing them than Newcastle.
We're targeting this game to go Over 10.5 corners, as Arsenal have scored 16 times off corners this season, averaging 5.94 corners per game. Arsenal average 6.19 corners at the Emirates Stadium, while, Newcastle lead the Premier League in corners per game with 6.36.
Newcastle's injury concerns could force them to sit deeper and play a last-ditch style of defending that could lead to increased corners for Arsenal.
🙌 Best Arsenal vs. Newcastle goal-scorer prediction
Viktor Gyokeres, Arsenal (+140)
With a handful of key Newcastle players out injured, we're expecting Viktor Gyokeres to have a big day for Arsenal.
Although the Swedish striker has struggled at times during his debut season in England, he has 12 goals from 18 shots on target and a xG rate of 9.79 that suggests he's efficient in converting chances that he's expected to score.
Not having Saka in the lineup is going to hurt, but there are enough creative players who can supply Gyokeres with opportunities to score against Newcastle's depleted back line. And with Saka out, Arsenal could pivot to a different attacking philosophy that includes more crosses into the box for Gyokeres.
🚀 Arsenal vs. Newcastle same-game parlay
We've gone with a three-leg parlay that is highly correlated, hoping that Arsenal can rediscover their scoring form against Newcastle's depleted defense. We're banking on Gyokeres to score for the third time in four league games, while also leaning on both teams living up to their reputations as corner-kick aficionados.
💵 Arsenal vs. Newcastle SGP picks
- Arsenal ML (-223)
- Over 10.5 corners (-105)
- Viktor Gyokeres anytime goal-scorer (+140)
Best odds: +579 via DraftKings (1 unit -> 5.79 units)
⚖️ How I'm handicapping Arsenal vs. Newcastle
April is historically Arsenal's worst month under Mikel Arteta, with 18% of all losses (9 out of 51) occurring during the month. That would normally be enough to put some off bettors, but desperation is a significant factor for the title-chasing Gunners.
While Newcastle don't have anything but respect to play for, they could take pride in having an impact on the title race if they can shock Arsenal at home. But they're dealing with too many injuries to justify the risk.
Arsenal vs. Newcastle key stats
| Arsenal | Newcastle | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 63 | 46 |
| Goals against | 26 | 49 |
| xG | 56.88 | 49.45 |
| Shots on target | 160 | 152 |
📊 Arsenal vs. Newcastle odds
Although Arsenal's odds saw a significant drop following their defeat to Manchester City, money swung back in the Gunners' direction after the extend of Fabian Schar's injury was revealed earlier this week. It's an indication that gamblers are banking on Newcastle's defense being in disarray without their leader.
🆚 Arsenal vs. Newcastle projected lineups
Here are Saturday's projected lineups for Arsenal vs. Newcastle; lineups subject to change:
| Arsenal | Newcastle |
|---|---|
| Raya | Pope |
| White | Trippier |
| Saliba | Thiaw |
| Gabriel | Burn |
| Hincapie | Hall |
| Zubimendi | Tonali |
| Rice | Guimaraes |
| Odegaard | Ramsey |
| Madueke | Elanga |
| Martinelli | Barnes |
| Gyokeres | Woltemade |
📈 Arsenal vs. Newcastle betting trends
| Arsenal | Statistic | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 21-7-5 (2nd) | Season record | 12-6-15 (14th) |
| 87-39-72 | H2H record | 72-39-87 |
| W-W-W-L-L | Last 5 games | W-W-L-L-L |
| Lost 2-1 vs. Manchester City | Previous result | Lost 2-1 vs. Bournemouth |
| Arsenal trying to complete league double over Newcastle for first time since 2021. | Key stat | Newcastle are winless in their last 13 Premier League away games against Arsenal. |
Arsenal's dip in form coincides with the loss to Bukayo Saka to injury. The gifted winger is expected to be out again Saturday, leaving Martin Odegaard and Eberechi Eze as the team's main creative sparks.
There was some good news on the injury front, though, as Jurien Timber is expected to be back on the bench after missing time with an ankle issue.
Meanwhile, Newcastle are trying to end the season on a high after a poor campaign that's been derailed by inconsistency and injuries.
Along with Schar, Anthony Gordon - one of Newcastle's most dangerous attacking threats - is out injured alongside Tino Livramento and Joelinton, who is serving a suspension.
🌤️ Arsenal vs. Newcastle weather
The weather will be cloudy with a high of 67, but the temperature is expected to drop to as low as 41 as the match progresses. With virtually no wind in the forecast, conditions will be ideal for both teams.
📺 How to watch Arsenal vs. Newcastle
- Date: Saturday, April 25
- Kickoff: 12:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Emirates Stadium (London)
- TV: Peacock+
❓ Arsenal vs. Newcastle FAQ
Who is favored to win Arsenal vs. Newcastle?
Arsenal are a +145 betting favorite against Newcastle on Saturday.
Who is the best Arsenal vs. Newcastle bet?
The best bets for Arsenal vs. Newcastle include Viktor Gyokeres to score (+140).
Where to watch Arsenal vs. Newcastle in the US and Canada?
You can watch Arsenal vs. Newcastle on Peacock+ in the United States, or stream the game on FuboTV in Canada.
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