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TORONTO, ON - NOVEMBER 18: Auston Matthews #34 of the Toronto Maple Leafs sets up on the point for a powerplay against the New York Rangers during an NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on November 18, 2021 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Photo by Claus Andersen / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP

With a 9-0-3 record in the past 12 games, the Toronto Maple Leafs will be a formidable opponent for the visiting Los Angeles Kings on Thursday. Read on for our Kings-Maple Leafs NHL picks and predictions.

Following a 10-6-1 start to the season, the Los Angeles Kings have been slumping, recording a 4-4-3 record in the past 11 games. They're coming off a 5-2 victory in Ottawa on Tuesday.

The Maple Leafs have recorded points in 12 consecutive games, most recently earning a 4-0 win in Dallas on Tuesday.

Here is our best Kings vs. Maple Leafs pick (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Kings vs. Maple Leafs Game Info

Date: Thursday, Dec. 8, 7 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN+, TVAS, TSN4, Bally Sports West
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Kings vs. Maple Leafs Odds

Kings vs. Maple Leafs Odds Analysis

Consensus odds opened with the Maple Leafs favored at -185 on the moneyline. That consensus line has moved to -175, with 66% of the money on the Leafs.

The goal total opened at 6.5, with the Over at even money and -120 the price for the Under. Early betting has 53% of the cash on the Under and the total has moved to six. The Over is now priced at -115 while the Under is -105.

Kings vs. Maple Leafs Pick

Auston Matthews Over 0.5 Goals (+104) ★★★★★

Maple Leafs center Auston Matthews has scored eight goals in 13 home games, with at least one goal in seven of those games.

While he hasn't been as dangerous as he was when he scored 60 goals last season, Matthews ranks ninth in the league with 4.26 shots on goal per game. He's still getting the chances and the goals have started to follow – he has goals in four of his past five contests.

Goaltending has been an area of concern for the Kings, and they recently waived Cal Petersen, sending him to the AHL. Replacing Petersen on the roster, Pheonix Copley backstopped the Kings to their win in Ottawa, but he's a 30-year-old journeyman who has a .902 save percentage in 32 career NHL games. That won’t turn back Matthews.

Jonathan Quick is the Kings’ other option in goal and he has an .888 save percentage in 19 games. He has -8.97 goals saved above expected, which is better than Petersen's, but still a glaring area of weakness for the Kings.

Catching Matthews at home against shaky goaltending for plus money is the play. PointsBet has a Matthews anytime goal priced at +105, just ahead of FanDuel at +104. DraftKings and BetMGM have a Matthews goal priced at -120 while Caesars comes in at -105.

Kings vs. Maple Leafs Best Odds

PickDraftKingsFanDuelCaesarsBetMGMPointsBet
Auston Matthews Over 0.5 Goals-120 ❄️+104-105-120 ❄️+105 🔥

The odds for Matthews to score an anytime goal is most favorable at PointsBet and FanDuel, which are both still offering at plus money.

Other top sportsbooks range from -105 to -120, and none of those prices are unreasonable, given Matthews’ production and the opposition that he will face. But the market determines relative value, so it makes the most sense to place this wager at PointsBet or FanDuel.

Where to Bet on Kings vs. Maple Leafs Picks

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Kings-Maple Leafs pick made 12/08/2022 at 12:45 p.m. ET.