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Edmonton Oilers center Leon Draisaitl controls the puck against Calgary Flames goaltender Dan Vladar as we offer our Devils vs. Oilers prediction.
Edmonton Oilers center Leon Draisaitl controls the puck against Calgary Flames goaltender Dan Vladar. Photo by Sergei Belski via Imagn Images

The New Jersey Devils spent the entire weekend in Edmonton, waiting patiently as the Edmonton Oilers couriered back and forth on Highway 2 to play the Calgary Flames. 

While I'm not sure how they filled the downtime during their idle days in Alberta's capital, one thing is assured: the Devils will be well-rested for Monday's game against the Oilers at Rogers Arena (8:30 p.m. ET, Prime Video). 

Both teams enter the contest as Stanley Cup odds front-runners, but the Devils are the favorites for tonight's clash despite losing five of their last seven contests.

The Oilers, who have won four of the last five, including both games without the injured Connor McDavid, are on an opposite trajectory. Our Devils vs. Oilers prediction expects at least seven goals while offering two prop picks. 

Devils vs. Oilers prediction

Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

My best bet: Over 6.5 goals ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via Betway | Implied probability: 52.38%

The Oilers are overdue for an Over, while five of the last seven Devils' games had at least seven goals. New Jersey's previous two hit the Under, but one was a 6-0 win in Vancouver and the other a 3-0 setback in Calgary.

The latter result was the stranger of the two, as it marked the first time they have been shutout this season. While that happens to the best teams, it was just the third time since the start of last season the Flames shut out an opponent. 

The Devils have had to deal with the devil on their shoulder all weekend, reminding them of that putrid outing. In addition, the Devils score the 10th-most goals per game (3.57) and have the third-most expected goals (30.38). They also have the ninth-most expected goals against (26.15).  

Not only that, but the Oilers' worst penalty kill (61.8%) faces the Devils' fifth-best power play (28.9%). 

Oilers overdue for an Over 

Seven of the last eight Oilers' contests had six or fewer goals. The only exception came in Columbus when the entire collective slept through proceedings. When Kris Knoblauch's men awoke, they realized a 6-1 setback and an injury to their captain had occurred. 

Edmonton has otherwise been excellent defensively over that stretch. But they're playing on back-to-back nights in different cities and may be slightly fatigued.

Plus, the Oilers are finally getting some puck luck offensively. They've scored nine goals in the last two games and at least four in two of the previous three home affairs.

Creating chances for fun, the Oilers have the third-most expected goals (28.88) and had almost six expected goals in the two games thus far without McDavid. 

What about the probable starting netminders? 

Edmonton will almost assuredly go with Calvin Pickard after Stuart Skinner played in Calgary on Sunday. Pickard is 3-1-0 with a 2.48 goals-against average (GAA) and a .897 save percentage. He's won three in a row, allowing five in that stretch. 

Meanwhile, Jacob Markstrom should get the nod for the Devils. He's won two of his last three starts and secured his first shutout of the season against the Vancouver Canucks on Oct. 30. However, Markstrom's record against the Oilers (15-17-2 record, 2.99 GAA, and a .899 save percentage in 34 games) might convince Sheldon Keefe to go with Jake Allen. 

Allen is 10-9-2 with a 2.68 GAA and a .905 save percentage against Edmonton. 

Devils vs. Oilers player prop bet

NHL picks made Monday; odds subject to change.

Leon Draisaitl prop bet: Over 2.5 shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -138 via Betway | Implied probability: 57.98%

I backed Draisaitl to score in Calgary, and it only took him 20 seconds to light the lamp. Draisaitl is a good bet to score again (+125), but I'm targeting his shot total.

He hasn't been shooting as much as usual, but the onus is on him to pick up his production with McDavid sidelined.

Draisaitl had three shots in both games without McDavid thus far and hit the Over on this total in five of the last six games. The expensive price is the only reason it's not a five-star bet. A winning $10 bet will yield a $7.25 profit. 

Evan Bouchard prop bet: Over 0.5 power play points ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +200 via Betway | Implied probability: 33.33%

I love this prop for the potential upside. The Oilers' power play is the eighth worst in the league (15.2%). However, Zach Hyman scored the game-winner on the man advantage against Calgary. It was the Oilers' second power-play marker in the last three games. Even without McDavid, this unit is too elite not to heat up at some point, and there are signs that it could be sooner rather than later. 

As the quarterback, it's only a matter of time before Bouchard adds to his single, terribly lonesome power-play point. A winning $10 bet will profit $20. 

Devils vs. Oilers live odds & info

  • When: Monday, Nov. 4
  • Puck drop: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rogers Place (Edmonton, Alberta)
  • How to watch: Amazon Prime Video
  • Favorite: Devils (-120 via Betway)

Devils-Oilers predictions made Monday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

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