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Chiefs vs. Raiders SGP Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 18: 3 Picks for Saturday’s 1st Game

Philip Wood

Last Updated: January 7, 2023 8:54 AM EST • 2 min 37 sec read.

Davante Adams #17 of the Las Vegas Raiders catches a pass as we look at 3 reasons nfl bettors need BetMGM
Davante Adams #17 of the Las Vegas Raiders catches a pass for a touchdown as Rashad Fenton #27 of the Kansas City Chiefs defends during the first quarter of the game at Arrowhead Stadium on Oct. 10, 2022. David Eulitt/Getty Images/AFP

The final week of the NFL's regular season begins with an important divisional matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders. We've identified three prop bets to target and parlay together. Here are our Chiefs vs. Raiders SGP NFL picks based on top odds.

With quarterback Jarrett Stidham under center in Week 17, there were very few people who gave the Raiders any chance against the stout defense of the San Francisco 49ers. Yet, the Raiders managed 34 points and forced overtime in the game.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs have won four games in a row, but three of those outcomes have been by six points or less against teams with records well below .500. The Chiefs are heavily favored on the road, and the total is set at 52.5. Does this mean that Chiefs players are where you should be looking when constructing a same-game parlay?

Here are our best Chiefs vs. Raiders NFL SGP picks (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Chiefs vs. Raiders SGP Picks Week 18

Sbr Betting TicketParlay Three Picks

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Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds

SGP Predictions for Chiefs vs. Raiders

Davante Adams Over 104.5 Receiving Yards (+215) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

In Stidham’s first start, Davante Adams was his safety net. He targeted the star wideout 11 times, connecting on seven of those 11 attempts for 153 yards and two touchdowns. These numbers came against a defense that is allowing just 16.5 points per game and 242.9 passing yards through the air.

Now, Stidham will be up against a defense allowing 22.3 points per game. The Chiefs haven’t allowed a 100-yard receiver since Week 11, but they have only faced one top-10 passing offense in the six games following that one. At this value, there's no reason to leave this wager out of your same-game parlay.

Jerick McKinnon 5+ receptions (+145) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Chiefs running back Jerick McKinnon has been a phenomenal weapon for the Chiefs during their four-game winning streak. He has caught 23 passes for 265 yards and six touchdowns during that span, as opposing defenses have had no answer for him in the passing game.

Even if the Raiders are able to shut him down from a yardage perspective, McKinnon is going to catch plenty of dump-off passes, as he has become a staple of the Chiefs offense. He is essentially a wide receiver at this point, as he has five receptions in three of his last four games, including seven in Week 14 and eight in Week 15.

Raiders +10.5 (-140) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Raiders have had a season to forget, but they have actually been playing quite well throughout the back half of the season. Since they were shutout in Week 8, the Raiders have not lost a game by more than seven points. That’s a stretch of nine consecutive games, including six that were against teams that are either in the playoffs or could clinch a spot in Week 18.

This line is currently sitting at Chiefs -9.5, but we are recommending you pay for an extra point to move this past the key number. The Raiders should be able to keep this within one score, but just in case the Chiefs score a touchdown late to put the Raiders away for good, pay the price of -140 to still make your parlay close to +1000.

Chiefs vs. Raiders SGP picks made 01/07/2023 at 8:43 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil is a Sports Betting Analyst for Sportsbook Review and BettingPros.com, specializing in NFL and college football. He previously covered college football and college basketball for CanesInsight.com, where he also hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast. Phil is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is if a line doesn't make sense, just assume that Vegas knows something you don't. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. Some would call him a frontrunner for his love of the Yankees and the Celtics, but he's also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and will never forgive the refs for the blown pass interference call against the Cowboys in 2015.