Bears vs. Packers Prediction: Week 5 Odds, Picks & Best Bet
The NFL's most historic rivalry pens another chapter this week as I provide my Bears vs. Packers prediction. Chicago has won two in a row without Caleb Williams, but a hostile Lambeau Field poses a steep challenge.
Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET today from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisc. (FOX) with the Bears priced as a 1.5 to 2.5-point road betting favorite.
Bears vs. Packers picks & predictions
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 5 based on the latest NFL odds.
| Pick | Bet size |
|---|---|
| Packers +2.5 (-119 via DraftKings) | 1 unit |
| Under 45.5 (-108 via bet365) | 0.5 units |
Total wagered: 1.5 units | Max profit: +1.3 units
Bears vs. Packers prediction & best bet
Packers +2.5 (-119 via DraftKings)
The vibes are high in Chicago right now, but I don't feel comfortable laying points on the road with a backup quarterback, particularly in a notoriously difficult place to perform.
Green Bay has a nearly .750 winning percentage at Lambeau Field since Matt LaFleur took over as head coach. It's been a house of horrors for the arch rival Bears, and something starting QB Tyson Bagent has never experienced before.
Green Bay is unlikely to reach its lofty franchise goals this season, but I expect the Packers to play motivated and nasty at home against their hated rival on Sunday to hang around and even threaten an upset.
While most of our best sports betting sites are offering Packers +1.5, my wager gets an extra point of wiggle room at DraftKings.
📡 SBR Edge: Chicago's struggles at Lambeau
The Bears are 1-9 in their last 10 trips to Lambeau Field, with Jordan Love exiting early in Chicago's lone victory.
Packers need Love to take chances
Despite their lack of a running game, I think Jordan Love hits on a handful of deep passes to put the Packers in scoring position and keep this game close. That was the basis of successful Green Bay drives against Chicago in recent matchups.
This is an aggressive Bears secondary, and that approach favors Love's boom-or-bust playstyle. Still, I have a healthier Chicago squad escaping with a one-point victory.
Score prediction: Bears 22, Packers 21
Live Bears vs. Packers odds
Bears vs. Packers opening odds
- Moneyline: Bears +113 | Packers -138
- Spread: Bears +2.5 (-110) | Packers -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-110) | Under 44.5 (-110)
How to watch Bears vs. Packers: Week 5
- Date: Sunday, Oct. 11
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, Wisc.)
- TV: FOX
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