LSU vs. Alabama Odds, Picks, Predictions College Basketball: Tide Keep Rolling Against Struggling Tigers
Through four conference games, the Alabama Crimson Tide look like potential national title contenders. Can the Tide handle their business against the rival LSU Tigers at home? Read on for our top LSU vs. Alabama pick.
No. 5 Alabama (14-2, 4-0) rolled through the early portion of its conference schedule, and is a legitimate candidate to win the league. In its first season under head coach Matt McMahon, LSU (12-4, 1-3) got off to a strong start by upending Arkansas. The Tigers, though, scuffled since then and face long odds to a victory Saturday afternoon.
Here is our best LSU vs. Alabama college basketball pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook and PointsBet; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
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LSU vs. Alabama Game Info
- Date: Saturday, Jan. 14, 2023, 4 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN
- Location: Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
LSU vs. Alabama Odds
LSU vs. Alabama Odds Analysis
Alabama opened as a favorite between 14.5 and 15.5 points and remained there across our affiliated sportsbooks. With such a large spread, only 35% of the money wagered was on Alabama.
The total opened between 147 and 147.5 and stayed in that range across the board. 64% of the money bet on the total went Over.
LSU vs. Alabama Pick
Alabama -14.5 vs. LSU (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Alabama is 9-6-1 against the spread this season, including a 5-3 ATS record as a home favorite. The Tigers are 6-10 ATS, though the majority of those struggles came with a 2-8 ATS record in home games. LSU played only two true road games so far, going 1-1 ATS in those matchups.
Alabama is one of college basketball's most impressive teams, dispatching NCAA Tournament-caliber opponents by double-digits on a regular basis. The Tide are 4-0 in SEC play, winning each conference game by 10 points or more while taking down all of their last three games by 15+. By contrast, the Tigers lost three straight and fell to double-digit losses in consecutive conference contests.
LSU spiraled against lesser opponents recently, so seeing the Tigers struggle on the road against one of the league's top rosters isn’t difficult. Alabama is one of the most balanced teams, ranking among the top 20 in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency.
The pace Alabama plays--No. 3 in KenPom’s adjusted tempo--will be a challenge for an LSU unit that operates at an adjusted tempo outside the top 200 and turns the ball over 12.8 times per game (161st in Division 1).
LSU vs. Alabama Best Odds
DraftKings, FanDuel, PointsBet: -14.5 (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
| -14.5 | -14.5 | -15.5 | -15 | -14.5 |
| -110 | -110 | -105 | -110 | -110 |
BetMGM offers the most favorable odds on Alabama's point spread at -105, but the line is a full point worse than the best available number at -15.5. Caesars has Alabama at a slightly better -15 with standard -110 odds.
DraftKings, FanDuel and PointsBet are the optimal choices, though. All three books list the Crimson Tide as 14.5-point favorites with standard -110 odds. If the line inflates beyond 15 points, this four-star recommendation drops down to a three-star play.
LSU-Alabama pick made 1/14/2023 at 11:58 a.m. ET.
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