Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction Tonight: Game 2 Odds & Expert Picks

Mike Spector makes his Warriors vs. Timberwolves prediction ahead of tonight's Game 2, which won't feature Stephen Curry, who left Game 1 with a hamstring injury.

Mike Spector

Last updated: May 8, 2025 7:15 PM EDT • 4 min read

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction Tonight: Game 2 Odds & Expert Picks, May 8 — Pictured: Golden State Warriors guard Brandin Podziemski (2) dribbles past Minnesota Timberwolves forward Jaden McDaniels (3). Photo by Bruce Kluckhohn via Imagn Images.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are double-digit betting favorites over the Golden State Warriors in Game 2 tonight, despite losing the series' debut duel, with Stephen Curry sidelined with a hamstring injury. Our Warriors vs. Timberwolves prediction - part of our NBA picks - backs the home favorites to even the series tonight.

Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT/truTV) from Target Center in Minneapolis.

💰 Warriors vs. Timberwolves expert picks for Game 2

🔎 Our NEW NBA player prop odds tool can help you find the best NBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Against the spread pick: Timberwolves -9.5 (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Timberwolves (-440 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Under 201.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐

🏀 Game 2 prediction & best bet

🎯 Score prediction: Timberwolves 106, Warriors 93

Stephen Curry only played 13 minutes in Game 1 before exiting with a hamstring injury, but the Warriors still outscored the Timberwolves by one point throughout the rest of the game amid his absence.

However, there's a massive difference in a team’s preparation and mindset between losing a player mid-game, and preparing for a new matchup without him.

The Timberwolves are destined for positive shooting regression after producing an all-time worst 12-for-76 from 3-point range over the last two playoff games (and 0-for-15 in the first half during Game 1). That's shocking from a team that ranked fourth in 3-point percentage and fifth in overall 3-pointers during the regular season.

One way to combat its shooting woes is for Minnesota to take advantage of the team's size inside, much like it did during the series against the Lakers.

And defensively, while Minnesota allowed the sixth-most points per possession (1.04) on off-ball screens during the regular season, Golden State’s seventh-best efficiency in that regard (1.05 points per possession offensively) will be tested without Curry.

The Warriors are now 4-1 head-to-head against the Timberwolves this year, with three of those wins coming prior to the Jimmy Butler trade. But Curry tallied three 30-point games against Minnesota across the three regular-season wins, and losing him will be too much to overcome on the road.

I don't mind paying up slightly in juice at BetMGM as a Timberwolves backer, as it's alone among our best NBA betting sites while still offering a single-digit point spread.

✅ Best bet: Timberwolves -9.5 (-115 via BetMGM)

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📈 Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds

Live updated odds from our best sports betting sites.

📊 Game 2 betting insights

The latest betting statistics via BetMGM as of Thursday morning.

The Warriors won by 11 in Game 1, so bettors are showing a 10.5-point spread in Game 2 is too much, backing Golden State at a 58% rate
The public has shown this is a different game without Curry, backing the Game 1 losers and Game 2 hosts with 62% of moneyline bets
76% of the action is on the Over with a total of 201.5 points in tonight's contest

🪧 Game 2 opening odds

Opening odds via BetMGM.

Spread: Warriors +9.5 (-115) | Timberwolves -9.5 (-105)
Moneyline: Warriors +350 | Timberwolves -450
Over/Under: Over 202.5 (-105) | Under 202.5 (-115)

🚑 Warriors vs. Timberwolves injury report

Follow the official NBA injury report for more injury news.

📡 How to watch Warriors vs. Timberwolves live (Game 2)

📅 Thursday, May 8
🕗 8:30 p.m. ET
📍 Target Center (Minneapolis)
📺 TNT/truTV | 🛜 Max

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Written By:
Mike Spector

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”