🏀 Warriors vs. Knicks Player Props: Today's NBA Picks & Best Bets
Last Updated: March 15, 2026 9:05 PM EDT • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
We have a unique game on our hands tonight when the New York Knicks host the injury-riddled Golden State Warriors at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks are a 14.5-point betting favorite ahead of tipoff at 8 p.m. ET (NBC).
My Warriors vs. Knicks player props today look at what all those Warriors injuries will mean on both sides of the ball. My NBA picks and best bets highlight two Unders ahead of tipoff.
🏀 Best Warriors vs. Knicks player props today: NBA picks for March 15
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gui Santos, PF, GSW | Under 16.5 points (-120 at FanDuel) | 2u -> 1.7u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Mitchell Robinson, C, NYK | Under 8.5 rebounds (-112 at bet365) | 2u -> 1.8u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 4 units | Max profit: 3.5 units
💰 Best Warriors vs. Knicks prop bet
Gui Santos Under 16.5 points (-120)
The Warriors are missing a lot of bodies, and that's forced forward Gui Santos to step up. He will probably struggle tonight, however - the Knicks allow the second-fewest points in the paint per game (38.5) since the All-Star Break and are playing at the sixth-slowest pace.
Santos has a three-ball, but he does the majority of his damage inside: over the last seven games, he ranks second on the roster in points in the paint per game (8.3), which makes up 55.7% of his total points. Back him to stay Under 16.5 for -120 (54.6%) at FanDuel.
🔥 More Warriors vs. Knicks prop picks
Mitchell Robinson Under 8.5 rebounds
The Warriors are missing a bunch of key pieces, so I don't expect a standard game from the Knicks and head coach Mike Brown. It'll be a good spot to give new pieces and younger players some run, which will likely come at the expense of injury-prone Mitchell Robinson.
Robinson is coming off a monstrous 22-rebound game in which he returned to the starting five and played 31 minutes. He should slide back onto the bench this evening and will struggle to replicate that performance with less volume - he is averaging just 19.5 minutes per game this year.
This prop is -132 at sharp offshores, so lock in the -112 (52.8%) at bet365 before it disappears.
🚀 Warriors vs. Knicks same-game parlay
Let's lock in the Knicks to cover with the above two bets. The Warriors just don't have enough bodies to keep up with the Knicks tonight, and it should be a bloodbath as a result. Although they're currently in line for a trip to the play-in tournament (and probably can't fall out), it's looking like another season to forget for Golden State.
💵 Warriors vs. Knicks SGP picks
- Knicks -14 (-110)
- Gui Santos Under 16.5 points (-120)
- Mitchell Robinson Under 8.5 rebounds (-112)
Best odds: +525 via bet365 (0.25u -> 1.3u)
💡 How I'm betting Warriors vs. Knicks
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
I'm targeting the above two player props for two units apiece, and that's about it. Tonight's Warriors vs. Knicks game won't be great - the injury report guarantees that - but there is still enough value on the betting markets to warrant some action (and some attention).
Betting insights
BetMGM has given us an inside look at today's NBA action. Let's see how it's shaking out for this game.
- Spread -> Knicks opened at 13.5 but have moved to 14.5; New York has had 58% of the bets and 66% of the handle
- Moneyline -> Knicks opened at -770 and have moved to -1000; New York has had just 34% of the bets but 76% of the hanndle
- Total -> The Over/Under was set at 216.5 at open and has bumped to 218.5; Over is seeing a huge portion of the action, with 83% of the bets and 87% of the handle
🚑 Warriors vs. Knicks injuries
📺 How to watch Warriors vs. Knicks
- Date: Sunday, March 15
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Madison Square Garden
- TV: NBC/Peacock
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