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Thunder vs. Magic NBA Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions for Tuesday

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: February 13, 2024 6:43 PM EST • 3 min 58 sec read.

Paolo Banchero of the Orlando Magic celebrates during the second half against the New Orleans Pelicans, and we offer our top Thunder vs. Magic player props based on the best NBA odds.
Paolo Banchero of the Orlando Magic celebrates during the second half against the New Orleans Pelicans. Photo by Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images via AFP.

Oklahoma City has been a Western Conference powerhouse this season ahead of Tuesday's trip to Orlando, as we offer our best Thunder vs. Magic player props based on the best NBA odds.

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Orlando Magic have been two of the NBA's biggest surprises this season, and each enter Tuesday's clash with a winning record and an inside track to the postseason.

The Magic sit sixth in the Eastern Conference with a 29-24 record, including an impressive 17-7 mark at home this season. Orlando has won two straight games entering Tuesday's contest, both coming at Kia Center.

Meanwhile, the Thunder last played on Sunday at home against the Sacramento Kings, which came on the second night of a back-to-back. OKC has bounced between home and road affairs for most of February, so it's fair to wonder whether the travel will wear on the team at some point.

This is a good spot for the Magic to take advantage of potentially tired legs. Orlando hasn't played since Saturday and comes into this contest with no reported injuries.

Will the Magic pick up a third straight home victory, or will an NBA Finals odds contender Thunder team prove too much to handle?

Here are our best Thunder vs. Magic NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Thunder vs. Magic NBA player props: Tuesday

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Thunder vs. Magic props

Paolo Banchero Under 22.5 points (-115 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

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It's a battle between the first and second overall picks in the 2022 NBA Draft on Tuesday night, as Paolo Banchero and Chet Holmgren square off. Banchero captured Rookie of the Year honors last year while Holmgren was sidelined with an injury. The latter is doing his best to chase down Victor Wembanyama by this year's Rookie of the Year odds. 

On Tuesday, neither player is projected to set the world on fire from a scoring perspective, but it's Banchero's line that's set far too high.

In fact, Banchero's points total has already dropped from its opening number of 24.5, and we're still seeing value on the Under. According to NumberFire, Banchero is projected to score just 19.6 points on Tuesday, which is likely why we continue to see money come in on the Under even as the total plummets.

When we run that projection against FanDuel's -115 odds on Under 22.5 points, we're getting roughly 26% positive expected value on this bet.

Meanwhile, Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry, initially priced Under 22.5 at -113 after moving its line from 23.5. It's since been smashed to -138, telling us that sharp money is backing the Under at this price or one even shorter.

Among our best sports betting sites, DraftKings and bet365 offer relatively competitive prices of -120 to back the Under.

We've seen Banchero act as more of a facilitator in recent games, so it's possible he fills that role again on Tuesday.

Markelle Fultz Over 3.5 assists (+125 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

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We move from one first overall pick to another, though Markelle Fultz's journey to this point in his career has been far bumpier than Banchero's.

Fultz looked rejuvenated when he left Philadelphia for Orlando, and he continues to serve as a solid player for the Magic in his seventh season in the league.

The 25-year-old is averaging just 3.7 assists on the season, but his projection on Tuesday is far higher than that number. He's projected to carve up the Thunder's defense to the tune of 4.9 assists, according to NumberFire. 

This one is more about the projection than anything else, as we're getting 59% +EV based on NumberFire's data vs. these +125 odds at BetMGM on Over 3.5 assists.

You can get an even better price on this prop by using our exclusive BetMGM bonus code: SBRBONUS and taking advantage of BetMGM's 33% boost for one NBA bet!

Franz Wagner Under 5.5 rebounds (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐  

Considering Franz Wagner is 6-foot-10, he's not much of a rebounder. The third-year forward is averaging a career high in boards, but that number is still just 5.6. On Tuesday, Wagner is projected to pull down exactly five rebounds.

Based on that projection, we're getting roughly 18.5% +EV on this bet thanks to FanDuel's -108 odds on the Under.

Comparatively, our other best sports betting apps are hovering around -115 to back the Under, and Pinnacle is at -125.

Among our best sportsbooks, FanDuel is usually the main culprit when it comes to these rogue prices, so you need to act quickly before it adjusts to match the rest.

Your expected value drops to just better than 12% at -120, and BetRivers is already pricing its Under at -129.

Thunder-Magic NBA player props made Tuesday at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Here are our best NBA betting sites:

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Written By:
Andrew Brennan
Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.